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I believe we will confidently know Joe Biden is our next president by 11:00 EST Tuesday. I am counting down the hours now.
I'm heading over to Times Square around 8 or 9 pm.

In 2016 I voted at 6am and worked late at the office. Didn't follow news at all during the day, was working on a big project. Knocked off around 10:30 pm. At the time I was working at Bryant Park (40th & 6th) and living in Hell's Kitchen (43rd & 10th.) By default I had to skirt the edge of of Times Square everyday, usually along 40th where it's less of a zoo. But walking home that night I wondered how things were going and rather than look at my phone I decided to swing north a few blocks.

The first large screen I saw showed Hillary was up in Wayne County (Detroit) with 54% of the vote. I knew then this wasn't gonna go the way everyone thought. To carry Michigan you need 65%+ in Motown and Obama won over 73%. HRD ended up with 67% in Wayne, which is the normal counting pattern - the affluent precincts report first, and then the inner city precincts start coming in later. Turnout for Obama in Wayne was 890K in 2008 and 815K in 2012. It was 777K in 2016 - 38K less than the previous cycle. Trump won Michigan by 11K. If they had a better turnout in Detroit...

To me the key to most of the close states is turnout in urban areas. We know Biden will win handily in urban areas; the question is whether it will be enough. Voter turnout in Atlanta, Charlotte, Detroit, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and a handful of mid-sized cities in Ohio will tell the tale in their respective states.

This year I'm not going to Times Square as an afterthought. I'm going there with the intention to be in the crowd when we find out the results of the most important election of my lifetime.

 
  • Pennsylvania -- they aren't allowed to start processing mail ballots until Tuesday morning and require a verification process that will take longer to count than in-person ballots.
I'm not sure why but for the first time since I began voting in the 70s my polling place is using paper ballots.  Seems a bit backward but okay...

 
I'm not sure why but for the first time since I began voting in the 70s my polling place is using paper ballots.  Seems a bit backward but okay...
I can't recall if ours started this in March this year or if we did them before...but you get a paper ballot, insert it into the machine...when you are done voting in the machine it prints the paper copy which you take to the scanner...then they also have the paper copy as well if something happens to the electronic.  Glad they have the backup.

 
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sho nuff said:
I can't recall if ours started this in March this year or if we did them before...but you get a paper ballot, insert it into the machine...when you are done voting in the machine it prints the paper copy which you take to the scanner...then they also have the paper copy as well if something happens to the electronic.  Glad they have the backup.
Paper backups should be legally mandated

 

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