What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

12 Team 15 Keeper Who do you keep (1 Viewer)

Tonycarpenter

Footballguy
Need to keep 15.
Roster limit: 27, expands to 31 with 2x NA 2x IL
I have 25 keepable players.

Roster listed ad bottom of post.
League Info below:

12 Team Keeper H2H
Batters: C, 1,2,3, SS, 3xOF, UT
Pitchers: 10 total: 2SP, 2 RP 6x SP/RP
Categories: R H HR RBI SB CS BB TB E FPCT AVG OPS XBH DPT IP ER HR ERA WHIP QS SV+H
Minimum 24 innings.

Drafting: #10 out of 12. Non-Snake.
2024 Finished 3rd. Prior to that I had a few last or near last place finishes.
There are only like 3 teams with more keeps than 15 where they might be forced to drop talented players in the top 200 ranking back into the draft pool.
Half of the teams have Catchers, Half do not.


Approach:
My philosophy is acquire the top talent at a pace greater than other league owners.
I have 15 of the top 78 ranked players. That's about 3x better than median of Everyone taking 1 top 12 player per roster. I'm at least a HAVE vs HAVE NOT.
This should allow me to trade for positional needs etc... in theory.
Problem: I don't watch or follow baseball. There's been a learning curve to get up to speed with just the names of players.
In 2024 the league champ essentially won "redraft style" #6 seed and won it all with only 1x top 100 player. But he follow baseball. I'm not going to be able to do that.

Learning Curve:
AT the end of the season I started to realize positional nuances and tried to implement that into my line-up.
1B & 2B get more DPTs. 3B, SS might get more Es and lower FCPT than others. DHs don't play the field so that improves their E, FCPT ratio.
Position eligibility: Jazz Chisholm was supposed to be my upcoming 2B to replace Altuve. But he doesn't play 2B any more. Which other players aren't going to be at their position?

Trades:
I don't know if I'll be able to trade players prior to cutdown or draft. This means I'll lose these guys and get no value for them or try to reclaim them via the draft.
Ideally, I could trade some players for higher draft picks. no one has done that in our league so I'm not sure it's possible.
Likely best to try to do some consolidation trade: 2 for 1 upgrades. But for whom? Which positions ?

ROSTER Rankings are Fantrax from January 2025 I believe.

1. Gunnar Henderson 3B/SS #3 overall #2SS
2. Elly De La Cruz 3B/SS #5 overall #3SS
3. Corbin Carroll OF #14 overall #9OF
4. James Woods OF #22 overall # OF
5. Junior Caminero 3B #35 overall #
6. Wyatt Langford OF #28 overall
7. Jazz Chisholm Jr 3B/OF #33 overall
8. Spencer Strider SP #34 overall
9. Michael Harris II OF #39 overall.
10. Zach Wheeler SP #43 overall
11. Adley Rutschman C #55 overall.
12. Dylan Crews OF #61 overall.
13. Jordan Lawlar SS #64 overall
14. Walker Jenkins OF #67
15. Jose Altuve 2B #78
---- cutoff line.
16. Jordan Westberg 2B/3B #85 overall
17. Chris Sale SP #95
18. Luis Castillo SP #118 (We are a league of friends from WA so lots of Mariners fans =trade value boost)
19. Spencer Schwellenbach SP #120
20. Devin Williams RP #126
21. Triston Casas 1B #140
22. Hunter Brown SP #145
23. Lane Thomas OF #172 (sub)
24. Isaac Paredes 1B 2B 3B #173 (great utility player to fill rosters)
25. Evan Carter OF #194 (Injury season)
26. Francisco Alvarez C #295 (value dropped).
---- non keepers
27. Nathanial Lowe 1B
28. Camilo Doval RP
29. Carlos Estevez RP
30. Luis Severino SP
31. Reynaldo Lopez. SP


Roster balance:
C #2 Rutschman #9 Alvarez
1B #7 Casas
2B #6 Altuve #8Westburg
3B # Gunnar, Elly, Junior Caminero,, Jazz Chisholm, J Westburg, I Paredes.
SS Gunnar, Elly, Junior Caminero? Jordan Lawlar,
OF: CCarroll, JWoods, Langford, Jazz Ch., M Harris II, DCrews, Walker Jenkins
SP: Strider, Wheeler, CSale, Schwellenbacher, L Castillo, HBrown, R. Lopez, L Severino
RP: Devin Williams, C Doval, Estevez,

What are the odds of me getting 1 or 2 back if I have to drop? I think Low.
Prospects Rankings
#1. Roki Sasaki - FA
#2. Dylan Crews - I own.
#3 Roman Anthony- FA
#4 Jasson Dominguez - Owned Other.
#5 Walker Jenkins - I own.
#6 Jordan Lawlar- I own.
#7. Max Clark -Owned Other.
#8 Leodalis DeVries - FA
#9. Charlie Condon -FA
#10. Kristian Campbell FA
#11. Jackson Jobe _FA
#12. Coby Mayo - Owned Other.
FA 13-15
#16. Marcelo Mayer - Owned Other
FA 17-20
#21 Colt Emerson -Owned other.
FA 22-34
#35 Cole Young -Owned other
#42 Ethan Salas- Owned other
#44 Andrew Painter Owned Other
#46 Kumar Rocker -Owned Other.
#63 Harry Ford - Owned Other.

Since my roster is already crowded I will probably forego any prospects other than what I already have. I'll be looking for players that will help me win now in stat categories.

2024 Rankins, record category:
R 1st 19-6-0
H 1st 17-6-2
HR 8th 9-12-4
RBI 6th 13-12-0
SB 1st 22-2-1
CS 12th 5-19-1
BB 2nd 17-7-1
K 10th 10-14-1
TB 1st 18-5-2
E 11th 7-14-4
FCPT 11th 9-16-0
AVG 2nd 16-9
OPS 4th 13-12-0
XBH 1st 17-7-1
DPT 7th 14-10-1

Pitching
ER 8th 11-12-2
HR 2nd 14-6-5
K 8th
ERA 7th
WHIP 5th
QS 4th
SV+H 11th.

*Tried to just keep quality starters. I lost Strider but others stepped up. so my QS was 4th there are teams that could beat me but I can't compete if they have 8-10 quality SPs and not going to try to fight a losing battle.
I ranked 1st or 2nd in based on H2H record
R, H, SB, XBH, TB, BB AVG.
These are likely a strength.
HR, RBI could improve,
OPS DPT might have room for improvement.
 
I know it's a novel to read. But skim through and just pull out the parts that you care about to say who I should keep. I added extra to allow you to ponder specifics or help me understand how things work a little better.
 
POSITIONS:
C. Keep Adley, trade F Alvarez in a Bundle ? C needy league or keep C advantage.
1B: Casas decent but would like to try to upgrade positional talent
2B: Altuve... need to prepare for life after. Do I trade him now or win now? he's got value still and is 34. How long do 2B play?
3B: I'm solid but which player of Elly, Gunnar, Junior, Jazz are true 3B players. Who is expendable.
SS: See 3B situation. Factor is Lawlar etc.
OF: I have a lot of OF. Which ones would you consider moveable. HarrisII? DCrews? Some of the prospects haven't full arrived. But if I get a guy that jack HRs it helps a lot of categories.

SP: Which Pitchers do you like. Strider, Wheeler, CSale, Castillo Schwellenbacher: I think I could move Castillo and CSale. Keep Strider, Wheeler, Schwellenbacher.
RP: Do I keep Devin Williams RP?
Bubble: If I make trades and have space I would keep H. Brown but not over Devin Williams. You always need solid pitchers and he's solid decent. I could see that he would be available for a round or 2 if I dropped him. He's under the radar.

Westburg is NOT Altuve. few are but the age worries me.
If I have to trade for an elite position player who would you target for 1B, 2B
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top