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2006 NFL Draft Mock First (1 Viewer)

Bloom

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Here's my latest set of darts - lets see where they land. No Vince Young, No Quinn, No Santonio Holmes No Joe Thomas otherwise juniors were fair game.1 Houston - Reggie Bush, RB, USC - Houston can not pass up the chance to add this possible instant superstar to a sagging franchise. Dom Davis is tradeable with a modest contract for his production level (while healthy), and they can be a nightmare RBBC for the time being if no suitable trade partner is found. The most important factor here is that the Texans owner must sense that the fanbase is getting restless and Bush would be a shot in the arm for the buzz level of this franchise.2 New Orleans - Matt Leinart, QB, USC - Would go perfectly with a move to LA? Either way, the Saints are hurtin at QB, and Adrian McPherson is still too raw to pencil in as QB of the future. Leinart can start from day one and he's proven as much as you can at the college level. He may not wow with his arm or athletic ability, but he just gets the job done.3 New York Jets - D'Brickashaw Ferguson, OT, UVA - Fabini is likely a cap casualty and Ferguson can step right in and be that franchise LT to protect whomever the Jets march out there at QB. At worst, Ferguson will be a top notch smaller, more athletic end - the kind that can hang with speed rushers and work well in space. If he fills out, he can be one of those guys that swallow defensive players whole in addition to the terrific athleticism for a guy his size. Some durability issues, but the upside is unquestioned.4 Green Bay - A.J. Hawk, LB, OSU - I go back and forth on the Pack taking a Williams (Jimmy/Mario) or taking Hawk at this pick. Today, it feels like Hawk. Mario Williams may be the best player available here, and Jimmy Williams fits a greater need, but Hawk brings pure football instincts that are unrivaled on the defensive side of the ball in this draft, and that's something that I think will catch the eye of Jim Bates, who just could be the head coach in Green Bay next year after the excellent job he did bringing that ragtag defense together. 5 San Francisco - Mario Williams, DE, NC State - Williams is not the best fit in a 3-4 D where his pass rush skills would be wasted with the two gap responsibilities of a DE in the 3-4, but he could definitely be lined up like Merriman and Ware to harness his pass rush ability and bring even more to the table that these super rooks with his massive frame. I trust Mike Nolan to be inventive enough to use this physical freak to wreak havoc on the edge. Physically, he's the best DE prospect since Peppers in my book, and he's doing a lot better job of getting that motor going lately.6 Tennessee - Marcus McNeill, OT, Auburn - Tennessee should be in position to take their favorite tackle from McNeill/Winston/Scott/Thomas (if he declares) tier. They are all excellent physical prospects with their own set of questions that will have better answers come draft day. Im slotting McNeill first because he's the got the best raw materials to work with in the Pace/Ogden like frame/athleticism combo - the kind that can cause a solar eclipse. McNeill will need killer instinct and polish to get there, but he's got a shot.7 Oakland - Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon - Ted Washington is almost as old as George at nose tackle. Haloti can pick up where Washington and Sapp are leaving off at this late point in their careers. Jimmy Williams would make sense if Charles Woodson is not a Raider in 2006.8 St. Louis - Jimmy Williams, DB, Virginia Tech - The Rams could use help all over the secondary, and players with williams' size and speed combination don't come along too often. Williams can shown he can handle free safety and cornerback responsibilities. Williams may have to get a little smoother to handle Torry Holt in practice, but he's got a fighting chance against Boldin and Fitzgerald, which is something few corners could say. If he doesn't work out at safety because of a lack of instincts/fluidity, he still projects to be an elite free safety who could have an Ed Reed like impact. 9 Buffalo - Eric Winston, OT, Miami - Mike Williams has officially failed to become the franchise LT the Bills hoped he would be, so it's Winston's turn. His knee will get a good look in the Spring, and if it checks out, he's worth a top 10 pick. Like McNeill, Winston is still raw, but has flashed the kind of size/athleticism combo that is rare among OTs and has a shot at being elite if he can get 100% from the knee injury. 10 Arizona - Omar Jacobs, QB, Bowling Green - I really have no idea if Jacobs is coming out, but i think Arizona will take him here if he does. Jacobs is physically imposing at QB and in 2004, he looked like a future superstar QB. 2005 brought struggles and a shoulder injury, so going back to school could be the better decision for Jacobs to try to go into the draft with momentum and straighten out some mechanics issues. Still, If Young and Quinn return as I project, Jacobs will be facing the possibility of being the #3 QB in 2007 no matter how well he plays instead of being the #2 QB in this class. 11 Detroit - Mattias Kiwanuka, DE, Boston College - Kiwanuka has the length and pure athleticism to have a Javon Kearse/Jason Taylor type impact on the edge of a 4-3 D. James Hall came on at the end of the year, but overall Detroit is hurting at DE. An LB like Greenway would make sense too.12 Cleveland - Rod Wright, DT, Texas - Wright does not have the bulk to play at NT, which is the most pressing need on D in Cleveland, but his penetration and burst in what is still a very large frame will bolster the defense and give the mediocre LBs more opportunities to make plays. 13 Baltimore - Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa - Greenway would be a sick addition to the Ravens at WLB with his size/speed combo and ability to make plays all over the field. DT is also a need and possibly even RB depending on how they play the Chester Taylor/Jamal Lewis FA situations.14 Philadelphia - Demeco Ryans, LB, Alabama - The Eagles get little in the way of playmaking from the OLB positions, but Ryans has the grit and focus to make an impact. From a game play standpoint, he's every bit the player that Hawk and Greenway are, but he doesn't have the impressive physical packages they possess. If Philly doesn't address WR in free agency, a WR could be possible here.15 Miami - Michael Huff, DB, Texas - Huff projects to be an excellent free safety or cornerback, like Jimmy Williams he played multiple positions in college. Huff brings big play ability in coverage to the table, and his versatility makes him more useful in a weak secondary. 16 Minnesota - DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis - I was enamored with the Maroney/Vikes combo earlier this season, but I can't justify Maroney going before Williams. Williams *should* go higher, but I don't see RB as a big enough need for most of the teams picking in the top half of the first. The Vikes get a steal and an instant running game in the form of Williams.17 Atlanta - Darnell Bing, S, USC - the middle of the falcons defensive backfield is a mess, with Bryan Scott getting demoted and retreads like Keion Carpenter and Ronnie Heard starting. Bing has the ability to follow in the footsteps of Polamalu and Ronnie Lott if he stays healthy. 18 Kansas City - Claude Wroten, DT, LSU - The Chiefs could use help getting more penetration and Wroten has the explosiveness to shoot the gap in KC's 4-3 scheme. The Chiefs could also make plans for the post-Roaf era with Jonathan Scott, or take a WR.19 Dallas - Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt - Time to start planning for the future in Dallas. I like the foundation of toughness and experience Cutler has. Bledsoe can man the fort for 2006 while Cutler works out the kinks.20 Denver (from Washington) - Laron Landry, S, LSU - Landry doesnt quite have the versatility of Huff and Williams, but he's probably on their level as a FS prospect. John Lynch has had a nice couple of years, but its time to start grooming his replacement.21 San Diego - Jonathan Scott, OT, Texas - It would be a coup for the Chargers to get Scott this late. He projects to have a shot to be as good as the elites, but he lacks the mean streak/motor right now to make that kind of impact. Would be a terrific addition to an ailing line. 22 Tampa Bay - Winston Justice, OT, USC - The Bucs have won this year in spite of their O Line. They definitely need to invest in upgrading the line, whether through the draft or free agency. He works as a blindside protector for southpaw Chris Simms, having experience protecting lefty QB Matt Leinart.23 Carolina - Marcedes Lewis, TE, UCLA - With no true #2 WR in the offense right now, the receiving game needs help in Carolina. Lewis gives them a receiving threat from the TE position, something they sorely lack, and a receiving talent that can make teams pay for double and triple covering Steve Smith.24 New York Giants - Ernie Sims, LB, Fl St - Ernie Sims projects as a terror at WLB in a 4-3 scheme, like another FL ST LB, Derrick Brooks. The Giants could use a player besides Antonio Pierce that can make big plays from the LB position. WLB in a 4-3 is the perfect role to make up for Sims being undersized.25 Pittsburgh - LenDale White, RB, USC- a pick that would make me overjoyed as a steeler fan, he could really get the steeler running game in high gear. a big ben-martin nance reunion also makes sense.26 New England - Laurence Maroney, RB, Minnesota - Scary to think about Maroney anchoring the running game once Dillon gets shelved. Some teams are going to get a steal at RB late in the first.27 Chicago - Vernon Davis, TE, Maryland - Great big target to rip the seams in a defense and be a safety blanket for Grossman/Orton.28 Jacksonville - Tamba Hali, DE, PSU - Reggie Hayward has not made the impact that the Jags hoped for when they signed him to a big deal this offseason. Hali has the motor to take advantage of all the attention Stroud and Henderson can draw in the middle and brings a tenacity and attitude on defense that Jack Del Rio will love.29 Cincinnati - Gabe Watson, DT, Michigan - Watson could provide the heft and gap clogging determination that is lacking in the front line of the Bengals run defense.30 Denver - Derek Hagan, WR, Arizona St - Finally A WR goes off the board! Hagan isn't your typical first round athletic freak of nature WR prospect, but he is as productive as they come and would be a great WR for Rod Smith hand the torch off to, with Lelie running all the deep stuff.31 Seattle - Tye Hill, CB, Clemson - Would contribute right away as a nickel/dime back, and I think push Andre Dyson/Kelly Herndon for a job sooner than people would expect. Lacks ideal size, but coverage abilities to hang with anyone in this draft.32 Indianapolis - Bobby Carpenter, LB, OSU - Im projecting David Thornton to leave for a big payday. Carpenter makes perfect sense as a physical presence at SLB to replace Thornton and he also adds a dimension of pass rush ability from that spot. He also has the same hardnosed attitude as his teammate AJ Hawk and will help solidify the mentality of this fast fierce defense.

 
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Bloom.....always insightful and a good read.I believe the Cowboys will wait on QB for a another year. They have to build the line first. The pick is J. Scott.......imho.Nice post.

 
16 Minnesota - DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis - I was enamored with the Maroney/Vikes combo earlier this season, but I can't justify Maroney going before Williams. Williams *should* go higher, but I don't see RB as a big enough need for most of the teams picking in the top half of the first. The Vikes get a steal and an instant running game in the form of Williams.

21 San Diego - Jonathan Scott, OT, Texas - It would be a coup for the Chargers to get Scott this late. He projects to have a shot to be as good as the elites, but he lacks the mean streak/motor right now to make that kind of impact. Would be a terrific addition to an ailing line.

25 Pittsburgh - LenDale White, RB, USC- a pick that would make me overjoyed as a steeler fan, he could really get the steeler running game in high gear. a big ben-martin nance reunion also makes sense.

26 New England - Laurence Maroney, RB, Minnesota - Scary to think about Maroney anchoring the running game once Dillon gets shelved. Some teams are going to get a steal at RB late in the first.

28 Jacksonville - Tamba Hali, DE, PSU - Reggie Hayward has not made the impact that the Jags hoped for when they signed him to a big deal this offseason. Hali has the motor to take advantage of all the attention Stroud and Henderson can draw in the middle and brings a tenacity and attitude on defense that Jack Del Rio will love.

31 Seattle - Tye Hill, CB, Clemson - Would contribute right away as a nickel/dime back, and I think push Andre Dyson/Kelly Herndon for a job sooner than people would expect. Lacks ideal size, but coverage abilities to hang with anyone in this draft.
These teams would be getting some very scary talent if the guys you list fall to them IMO.
 
Can't argue with Green Bay's pick. One thing to note. The education of Ahmad Carrol consitues. He actually showed improvement as the year wore on. I don't think the secondary is as big a concern as DE/LB for Green Bay. Just my opinion.

 
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Nice post Bloom. I'm interested by the 49ers taking Williams that high. If Nolan is as creative as you think he COULD be, we Niner fans could be pretty happy. I'm actually pretty excited to see if Bilitnekoff Winer Mike Hass from Oregon St. (WR) slips to SanFran in the 2nd. He's a guy who runs excellent routes and has superb hands. Not a #1 receiver maybe, but with Lloyd and Battle I think Hass would give Smith the kind of receiver crew that Brady enjoys in New England.

 
The Browns could use help on defense to be sure. But they have absolutely ZERO offense. As of right now, after 16 games, they are second-to-last in the NFL in points scored. They are 10th in points allowed.It would be monumentally stupid to draft defense.

 
The Browns could use help on defense to be sure.  But they have absolutely ZERO offense.  As of right now, after 16 games, they are second-to-last in the NFL in points scored.  They are 10th in points allowed.

It would be monumentally stupid to draft defense.
I recently read that they were very excited about Braylon Edwards before he was injured, and Droughns seems pretty solid. This is from the outside looking in, but it seems like they have a decent offensive nucleas forming there.What are the missing ingredients? QB play?

 
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What are the missing ingredients? QB play?
The o-line would seem like the biggest need to me. To be honest I haven't followed them all year, but if last week was any indication they certainly could use some help there.
 
25 Pittsburgh - LenDale White, RB, USC- a pick that would make me overjoyed as a steeler fan, he could really get the steeler running game in high gear. a big ben-martin nance reunion also makes sense.
I agree with you and would love this pick. But I think that's why they don't make it. They tend to beat to a different drummer. Everytime there is someone there who seems to make perfect sense to me they go in another direction. In all fairness, the pick's tend to work out well.
 
The Browns could use help on defense to be sure. But they have absolutely ZERO offense. As of right now, after 16 games, they are second-to-last in the NFL in points scored. They are 10th in points allowed.

It would be monumentally stupid to draft defense.
Where specifically though? OT makes sense here, but thats about it. I think you have a solid set of skill players to build around, and you've spent each of the last two high firsts on offensive players. The front 7 on the defensive side is woeful and an DE that takes up 2 lineman on every play can mask a lot of weaknesses. Wright is the best 3-4 DE type prospect in the draft, and it makes perfect sense for the browns to take him, since they have old man roye and below average mckinley as starters at DE right now. his presence will automatically improve the ILB play because fewer Olineman will get to the second level, and it should free up gaps for the LBs to rush the passer. a top notch DE would create external benefits for the whole defense. I wont argue against an OT pick, but Wright is far from "monumentally stupid".
 
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Very nice job here.....interesting to check back in a few months.Only a few things stand out to me.Omar Jacobs at 10 seems very high.Darnell Bing at 17 is too high too. I'd probably bump up Maroney a bit. I think teams are going to love this guy after the combines. Late season slump against a brutal schedule didn't help his cause, but this guy is a very good NFL type back. Also think LenDale White may just slide to 25. :thumbup: on the analysis.

 
I am surprised by the lack of Ahmad Brooks in round 1.

Nice job overall. :thumbup:
I *almost* put Brooks in. He is a player I am very wary of slotting too high because of his health. He's missing the bowl game and how well he works out will go a long way towards determining whether he cracks the first. D'Qwell Jackson and Abdul Hodge are both blue chipper at ILB, and there's insane talent at OLB. Despite Brooks incredible talent, it may be hard for teams to invest in Brooks over them if they can't fully evaluate Brooks because of health issues. Once I see Brooks healthy, he will crack my first, and probably top 20. Until then, he's on the outside looking in, and maybe as low as 3rd at ILB.
 
Very nice job here.....interesting to check back in a few months.

Only a few things stand out to me.

Omar Jacobs at 10 seems very high.

Darnell Bing at 17 is too high too.

I'd probably bump up Maroney a bit. I think teams are going to love this guy after the combines. Late season slump against a brutal schedule didn't help his cause, but this guy is a very good NFL type back. Also think LenDale White may just slide to 25.

:thumbup: on the analysis.
I think Maroney may well go 5th among RBs behind Bush, WIlliams, White, and (possibly) the other Bush.Colin

 
25  Pittsburgh - LenDale White, RB, USC- a pick that would make me overjoyed as a steeler fan, he could really get the steeler running game in high gear. a big ben-martin nance reunion also makes sense.
I agree with you and would love this pick. But I think that's why they don't make it. They tend to beat to a different drummer. Everytime there is someone there who seems to make perfect sense to me they go in another direction. In all fairness, the pick's tend to work out well.
Not sure that's true always. It seems like a lot of people were predicting they would take Miller last year a long while before they draft day.
 
Very nice job here.....interesting to check back in a few months.

Only a few things stand out to me.

Omar Jacobs at 10 seems very high.

Darnell Bing at 17 is too high too. 

I'd probably bump up Maroney a bit.  I think teams are going to love this guy after the combines.  Late season slump against a brutal schedule didn't help his cause, but this guy is a very good NFL type back.  Also think LenDale White may just slide to 25. 

:thumbup: on the analysis.
I think Maroney may well go 5th among RBs behind Bush, WIlliams, White, and (possibly) the other Bush.Colin
We shall see Colin, we shall see. For now, I'll just say I think I strongly disagree.
 
Very nice job here.....interesting to check back in a few months.

Only a few things stand out to me.

Omar Jacobs at 10 seems very high.

Darnell Bing at 17 is too high too.

I'd probably bump up Maroney a bit. I think teams are going to love this guy after the combines. Late season slump against a brutal schedule didn't help his cause, but this guy is a very good NFL type back. Also think LenDale White may just slide to 25.

:thumbup: on the analysis.
I know Jacobs isnt the 10th, or even 20th best prospect in the draft overall, but he would be the 2nd best QB, and certainly better than recent late firsts like Losman, Boller, and Ramsey as a prospect as long as his shoulder checks out. I think Arizona would want him bad enough to him there.Bing is one of my pet guys that I see rising as draft day approaches. I think any team looking SS has to consider him in the first because he has rare upside at the position.

Every time i mock the first, i want to put the RBs higher, but thats just the way it goes. Steven jackson and Kevin Jones lasted longer than a lot of people expected in 04. last year was just an aberration because there were few true blue chippers and 3 of them happened to be RBs.

 
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I know you're a steeler fan and all, but how do you see them drafting another RB? I'd like to see them draft a DE.

 
I know you're a steeler fan and all, but how do you see them drafting another RB? I'd like to see them draft a DE.
I don't know if there's a 3-4 DE type overwhelming enough to take in the first. Maybe a guy like Bunkley or Wroten, but Im not sure either lasts til 25. Smith was a 4th round pick and kimo was an unheralded FA pickup, so I trust our ability to find someone later.I am very worried about our RB situation. Bettis is done, Staley wasn't good enough to see the field much this year - what a waste - Parker is good as a compliment to a power back, but he can't carry the load and wear down defenses. Haynes is an FA and a role player at best. This year's RB class is very top heavy, and White is exactly the kind of north-south runner we need.

 
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Very nice job here.....interesting to check back in a few months.

Only a few things stand out to me.

Omar Jacobs at 10 seems very high.

Darnell Bing at 17 is too high too. 

I'd probably bump up Maroney a bit.  I think teams are going to love this guy after the combines.  Late season slump against a brutal schedule didn't help his cause, but this guy is a very good NFL type back.  Also think LenDale White may just slide to 25. 

:thumbup: on the analysis.
I think Maroney may well go 5th among RBs behind Bush, WIlliams, White, and (possibly) the other Bush.Colin
We shall see Colin, we shall see. For now, I'll just say I think I strongly disagree.
:thumbsup: Fine by me. I think that the other players have a little more room to impressin workouts/combines than Maroney. I like all 5 of them actually, significantly more than the group from last year (where I was primarily high on Williams and Brown). I am interested to see what dynamic develops in regard w/ regad to FA signings in conjunction with the draft. There are potentally 5 RBs that could be selected in the first 50 picks this year, and there is virtually no chance that 3 will command top-5 $$$ like last season. Considering Edge, SA, Jamal Lewis, Travis Henry, Priest Holmes, and a handful of other RBs can be considered "unsettled", I'll be interested to see just how depressed the market for FA RBs gets.

 
Nice job Bloom.I think you're right on with the Miami pick at #15. Huff is exactly the type of player that Saban wants in his secondary. With that said, Miami is going to be very tempted to take Jay Cultler at 15 if he's available.

 
Nice job Bloom.

I think you're right on with the Miami pick at #15. Huff is exactly the type of player that Saban wants in his secondary. With that said, Miami is going to be very tempted to take Jay Cultler at 15 if he's available.
Ive slotted Cutler there in my last two mocks, so im right there with you. I like Cutler more than most and see him having a rise in stock as the draft approaches to settle somewhere in the teens or early 20s.
 
With the Jags having nothing to play for at all this week, they'll likely treat this as a bye of sorts to get ready for the playoffs.Therefore, I predict the Titans to beat the Jags and ROYALY screw up this draft order prediction. Titans would fall to around 10/11. OT is the pick at either spot, though.I also predict that Houston beats SF.

 
:thumbsup: Fine by me. I think that the other players have a little more room to impressin workouts/combines than Maroney.
Didn't Maroney run a 4.4 flat at Minnesota's pro day last year? Seems he should be plenty impressive at the combines...
 
The Browns could use help on defense to be sure.  But they have absolutely ZERO offense.  As of right now, after 16 games, they are second-to-last in the NFL in points scored.  They are 10th in points allowed.

It would be monumentally stupid to draft defense.
Where specifically though? OT makes sense here, but thats about it. I think you have a solid set of skill players to build around, and you've spent each of the last two high firsts on offensive players. The front 7 on the defensive side is woeful and an DE that takes up 2 lineman on every play can mask a lot of weaknesses. Wright is the best 3-4 DE type prospect in the draft, and it makes perfect sense for the browns to take him, since they have old man roye and below average mckinley as starters at DE right now. his presence will automatically improve the ILB play because fewer Olineman will get to the second level, and it should free up gaps for the LBs to rush the passer. a top notch DE would create external benefits for the whole defense. I wont argue against an OT pick, but Wright is far from "monumentally stupid".
great stuff man I agree with this take
 
Nice job Bloom :thumbup:A couple of thoughts...1) Omar Jacobs isn't coming out and, if he does, I don't think he's going that high. Scouts Inc., NFL Draft Scout and Kiper all say Jacobs is heading back for another year b/c it's the difference of potentially playing his way into top 10 contention in '06 versus being a late 1st rounder or lower this year2) I think Vernon Davis will go much higher than where you have him slotted, if his measurables are as good as they're touted...he will be a top 15 pick given the value of versatile TEs in today's NFL3) Elvis Dumervil will be a first round pick...with the NFL putting such a premium on speed rushers, Dumervil is too technically skilled and productive to not work his way into the 1st round. If Jason Babin made it into the 1st round, Dumervil will IMHO.

 
Another solid effort that makes me say hmmmmm.Not just in Bloom's mocks, but in every mock I have seen, Minnesota is drafting an RB in the first round. I never questioned the idea, because it always seems like a solid pick and good value when I read these mocks. But Minney QBs have been sacked 54 times this season, and the running backs have had very little to work with. On top of that, I remember reading article after article this preseason about how bad the 0-line was looking. It has improved as the Vikings have played better, but I won't be surprised to see Minny take the best available OL in the first round.

 
Nice job Bloom :thumbup:

A couple of thoughts...

1) Omar Jacobs isn't coming out and, if he does, I don't think he's going that high. Scouts Inc., NFL Draft Scout and Kiper all say Jacobs is heading back for another year b/c it's the difference of potentially playing his way into top 10 contention in '06 versus being a late 1st rounder or lower this year

2) I think Vernon Davis will go much higher than where you have him slotted, if his measurables are as good as they're touted...he will be a top 15 pick given the value of versatile TEs in today's NFL

3) Elvis Dumervil will be a first round pick...with the NFL putting such a premium on speed rushers, Dumervil is too technically skilled and productive to not work his way into the 1st round. If Jason Babin made it into the 1st round, Dumervil will IMHO.
fair enough on jacobs - I really cant get a handle on where to slot him because of the QB inflation factor. I think he should go back, and could get into the top 10 next despite Quinn and Young's presence if he plays like he did in 04.Davis, Pope, and Lewis are all excellent prospects, but there are a lot of blue chip players in this draft, and like the top RBs besides Bush, I could see them slipping past where they normally would go in a class with less depth.

Dumervil was in the first in my last mock. I agree completely about elite speed rushers being able to crack the first even if they offer little else.

The real problem with mocking this draft is that there a too many players that grade out to being first rounders. Every time I do it i leave at least 4 or 5 guys out that I want in there - such as Gilles, Zemaitis, Nance, Hodge, Jackson, Bunkley. That doesnt even include the players whose stocks are sure to rise with good workouts and all star game performances.

 
Nice job Bloom :thumbup:

A couple of thoughts...

1) Omar Jacobs isn't coming out and, if he does, I don't think he's going that high. Scouts Inc., NFL Draft Scout and Kiper all say Jacobs is heading back for another year b/c it's the difference of potentially playing his way into top 10 contention in '06 versus being a late 1st rounder or lower this year

2) I think Vernon Davis will go much higher than where you have him slotted, if his measurables are as good as they're touted...he will be a top 15 pick given the value of versatile TEs in today's NFL

3) Elvis Dumervil will be a first round pick...with the NFL putting such a premium on speed rushers, Dumervil is too technically skilled and productive to not work his way into the 1st round. If Jason Babin made it into the 1st round, Dumervil will IMHO.
fair enough on jacobs - I really cant get a handle on where to slot him because of the QB inflation factor. I think he should go back, and could get into the top 10 next despite Quinn and Young's presence if he plays like he did in 04.Davis, Pope, and Lewis are all excellent prospects, but there are a lot of blue chip players in this draft, and like the top RBs besides Bush, I could see them slipping past where they normally would go in a class with less depth.

Dumervil was in the first in my last mock. I agree completely about elite speed rushers being able to crack the first even if they offer little else.

The real problem with mocking this draft is that there a too many players that grade out to being first rounders. Every time I do it i leave at least 4 or 5 guys out that I want in there - such as Gilles, Zemaitis, Nance, Hodge, Jackson, Bunkley. That doesnt even include the players whose stocks are sure to rise with good workouts and all star game performances.
Absolutely right re: 1st round grades...at this time of year there are always too many 1st round prospects to fit the mock. But obviously injuries, sub par bowl games, sub par Pro Days and the combine will help thin out the crop a bit. :thumbup:

 
Another solid effort that makes me say hmmmmm.

Not just in Bloom's mocks, but in every mock I have seen, Minnesota is drafting an RB in the first round. I never questioned the idea, because it always seems like a solid pick and good value when I read these mocks. But Minney QBs have been sacked 54 times this season, and the running backs have had very little to work with. On top of that, I remember reading article after article this preseason about how bad the 0-line was looking. It has improved as the Vikings have played better, but I won't be surprised to see Minny take the best available OL in the first round.
an RT would make sense. I think they will be picking too early to take an interior lineman. I wouldnt argue with a pick of Jonathan Scott, but the chance to have Moore in his natural role and establish a true running game to ease Culpepper back in seems like too much to pass up. Williams truly is at or at worst very close to Benson/Brown/Williams level as an RB prospect, and getting him at 16 is larceny.
 
21 San Diego - Jonathan Scott, OT, Texas - It would be a coup for the Chargers to get Scott this late. He projects to have a shot to be as good as the elites, but he lacks the mean streak/motor right now to make that kind of impact. Would be a terrific addition to an ailing line.
Assuming for the moment that this is the Chargers first pick (I think there's at least a 50/50 shot they get a high 1st rounder in a Brees/Rivers deal), you're right on track. The Bolts weak areas are OL and the defensive backfield. If there is a difference maker at corner or safety available, AJ may go that direction, but otherwise the OL will be top priority.Nice mock Bloom. :thumbup:

 
21 San Diego - Jonathan Scott, OT, Texas - It would be a coup for the Chargers to get Scott this late. He projects to have a shot to be as good as the elites, but he lacks the mean streak/motor right now to make that kind of impact. Would be a terrific addition to an ailing line.
Assuming for the moment that this is the Chargers first pick (I think there's at least a 50/50 shot they get a high 1st rounder in a Brees/Rivers deal), you're right on track. The Bolts weak areas are OL and the defensive backfield. If there is a difference maker at corner or safety available, AJ may go that direction, but otherwise the OL will be top priority.Nice mock Bloom. :thumbup:
Interesting you bring this up because I heard today that the Lions are one of the teams interested in Rivers. The question is, what will they give up for him. I don't think he's worth a top ten first round pick at this point straight up. He's had two years to sit and if he was better, he'd be playing. No one knows and hasn't seen him play in virtually two years. I could see a team willing to trade a second rounder or if the chargers wanted to trade up and swap firsts or something like that. I don't see teams giving up first rounders for Rivers unless it's a later round pick, but those teams likely have QBs. It seems more likely that the Chargers will take a 2nd rounder and a later pick or trade up as I suggested. That way it seems to be a win-win for both teams as they unload the contract and can sign Brees to a long-term deal.

Didn't mean to hijack the thread Bloom, but I think this is a deal that will affect the draft come April and it seemed relevant. I can't see the Chargers holding onto both QBs with the salaries they'll have to pay.

 
Bloom, good read as always.Some thoughts about Dallas. I have a very high regard for Cutler. I really do. But I seriously doubt Dallas goes that way as long as Parcells is coach. As we have discussed in previous threads, they are much more likely to go OLine or OLB. Dumervil might make an interesting bookend to Ware.

 
The Jets pick.... If Bradway stays, they don't go for an O lineman at 3, even if it is D'Brick. Adrian Jones is Bradway's man at LT, whether we like it or not. I see Mario Williams there to replace the soon to be departed Abraham, or possibly AJ Hawk. A trade down is a possibilty here, as far down as 12 or so.... if they think they can still get the BC DE Kiwa. Trying to rebuild ala Chicago with playmakers on defense.... then to the O line needs in the second and third rounds, although they could go CB in there somewhere, with the likely departure of Law. Look for Collins to compete with the cripple for the starting QB spot.

 
Great stuff, Bloom. :thumbup: I was talking to a friend today about Denver's needs for next year, and the three that I mentioned were FS, WR, and an interior offensive lineman.With Tom Nalen getting up there in age, I think they will start looking for his replacement. I think there's a chance they move Hamilton to center, but regardless, they are going to need a center or guard in the next couple years. Was just wondering if there are any interior O lineman who may be worthy of a late first round pick and look like good fits for Denver's scheme (the smaller atheltic type)?

 
The Browns could use help on defense to be sure. But they have absolutely ZERO offense. As of right now, after 16 games, they are second-to-last in the NFL in points scored. They are 10th in points allowed.

It would be monumentally stupid to draft defense.
Where specifically though? OT makes sense here, but thats about it. I think you have a solid set of skill players to build around, and you've spent each of the last two high firsts on offensive players. The front 7 on the defensive side is woeful and an DE that takes up 2 lineman on every play can mask a lot of weaknesses. Wright is the best 3-4 DE type prospect in the draft, and it makes perfect sense for the browns to take him, since they have old man roye and below average mckinley as starters at DE right now. his presence will automatically improve the ILB play because fewer Olineman will get to the second level, and it should free up gaps for the LBs to rush the passer. a top notch DE would create external benefits for the whole defense. I wont argue against an OT pick, but Wright is far from "monumentally stupid".
Yes OL makes great sense. Ideally they find one or two people for the OL in the draft and sign some more. The Browns also have no proven WRs at this point. The best cure for any defensive issues right now is to build an offense that can take at least a little pressure off of that unit. Wright is monumentally stupid because they are 10th in points allowed and 31st in points scored. There is no pressing need on defense when you are 10th in points allowed. If you want to upgrade a productive unit like that, the place to do it is in free agency or trades. The priority, the draft picks, should be mostly on the offensive side of the ball.Looking at that mock draft, the Browns best move here is to trade down in the first to be in better position for someone on the OL. Pick up some draft choices in the process. THAT would be great because the Browns need picks.

 
Nice job Bloom :thumbup:

A couple of thoughts...

1) Omar Jacobs isn't coming out and, if he does, I don't think he's going that high. Scouts Inc., NFL Draft Scout and Kiper all say Jacobs is heading back for another year b/c it's the difference of potentially playing his way into top 10 contention in '06 versus being a late 1st rounder or lower this year

2) I think Vernon Davis will go much higher than where you have him slotted, if his measurables are as good as they're touted...he will be a top 15 pick given the value of versatile TEs in today's NFL

3) Elvis Dumervil will be a first round pick...with the NFL putting such a premium on speed rushers, Dumervil is too technically skilled and productive to not work his way into the 1st round. If Jason Babin made it into the 1st round, Dumervil will IMHO.
I'd like to comment on this post.#1 - agree

#2 - also agree

#3 is where I wanted to comment.

Dumervil has had an insane year. But I'm not sold on him definately being a first round pick. You make a Babin comparison and that is a good one. However, it takes a special type defensive need, and a moronic GM to draft Babin in the first round. He IS one of the biggest busts I've seen. The Texans gave up huge to move up and grab a pure speed rusher, and he has done nothing in the NFL. He is overmatched by larger, more athletic offensive lineman. I think a team would have to need a speed rusher, a specialty defensive lineman to reach with Dumervil this high. He strikes me as a Babin or a KGB type guy and not a first round pick.

Was also thinking about this thread a bit last night and Colin nailed something on the head in a previous post. There are going to be a cropful of free agent running backs this offseason. Teams are going to want these guys first and foremost before drafting an unproved running back, so I may think a few of these guys (Maroney, White, Bush (Lousville)) may get knocked down some more.

Lastly, I heard something about D'Brickshaw Ferguson last night about how scouts aren't perceiving him nearly as good as Gallery or even Gross from recent drafts. I think he may drop and I think Jonathon Scott from UT may rise.

 
The Browns could use help on defense to be sure.  But they have absolutely ZERO offense.  As of right now, after 16 games, they are second-to-last in the NFL in points scored.  They are 10th in points allowed.

It would be monumentally stupid to draft defense.
Where specifically though? OT makes sense here, but thats about it. I think you have a solid set of skill players to build around, and you've spent each of the last two high firsts on offensive players. The front 7 on the defensive side is woeful and an DE that takes up 2 lineman on every play can mask a lot of weaknesses. Wright is the best 3-4 DE type prospect in the draft, and it makes perfect sense for the browns to take him, since they have old man roye and below average mckinley as starters at DE right now. his presence will automatically improve the ILB play because fewer Olineman will get to the second level, and it should free up gaps for the LBs to rush the passer. a top notch DE would create external benefits for the whole defense. I wont argue against an OT pick, but Wright is far from "monumentally stupid".
Yes OL makes great sense. Ideally they find one or two people for the OL in the draft and sign some more. The Browns also have no proven WRs at this point. The best cure for any defensive issues right now is to build an offense that can take at least a little pressure off of that unit. Wright is monumentally stupid because they are 10th in points allowed and 31st in points scored. There is no pressing need on defense when you are 10th in points allowed. If you want to upgrade a productive unit like that, the place to do it is in free agency or trades. The priority, the draft picks, should be mostly on the offensive side of the ball.Looking at that mock draft, the Browns best move here is to trade down in the first to be in better position for someone on the OL. Pick up some draft choices in the process. THAT would be great because the Browns need picks.
The browns need talent on both sides of the ballIf Wright brings more to the table at that draft position than an OT would, then go with wright. This is supposedly a deep draft for O-Line positions, right?

what would be wrong with helping to shore up the line play on both sides of the ball with this draft?

Trading down is obvious for a team that just needs more talented players, but trading down isn't always an option

 
I don't see the Eagles drafting a DB. I know they went against the grain when they drafted DB-DB-DB a few years back, but they have 3 young guys - 2 of whom made the Pro Bowl last year. They need help at the following spots: WR-DL-OL. The system doesn't emphasize LB, so that's not as important. The OL is aging, and the loss of Simon exposed the needs at DT. WR is well documented as a problem.I see Seattle as likely to go for a DB or a RB if Alexander leaves. They may go OL if Hutch leaves, but it wouldn't shock me to see an OL in round 1, and come back DB round 2.

 
Lastly, I heard something about D'Brickshaw Ferguson last night about how scouts aren't perceiving him nearly as good as Gallery or even Gross from recent drafts. I think he may drop and I think Jonathon Scott from UT may rise.
Yeah, there's some interesting comments surfacing here and there about D'Brick. A story I recently read suggested he was way over-hyped by ONE very respected scout who attended a Virginia game to watch a different player two years ago. "And there before my eyes was a franchise Left Tackle," He reported. D'Brick was flying around knocking everything around, way too fast for DLs, etc. He was playing LT at 265-270 at the time. He had to bulk up. He did to 295. He hasn't been as impressive with the weight on though. Likewise there's rumors he's struggled to maintain the weight and ended this season closer to 285, and he may not be built to carry much more. Dunno.I personally have very little opinion on these things, and have only been able to watch him once. I did not think I was watching a dominant tackle. I remember Pace and Ogden from college all too well. From very limited viewing, I have been more impressed with McNiell and Scott, than Winston and Ferguson, but I think the truth is that this is just a very deep class of very good tackles coming into the NFL.

One thing that could raise Scott in comparison to his peers is that his question marks are intangibles. The others all have physical concerns. D'Brick's size, Winston's knees, McNiell's back... :hophead:

 
Lastly, I heard something about D'Brickshaw Ferguson last night about how scouts aren't perceiving him nearly as good as Gallery or even Gross from recent drafts.  I think he may drop and I think Jonathon Scott from UT may rise.
Yeah, there's some interesting comments surfacing here and there about D'Brick. A story I recently read suggested he was way over-hyped by ONE very respected scout who attended a Virginia game to watch a different player two years ago. "And there before my eyes was a franchise Left Tackle," He reported. D'Brick was flying around knocking everything around, way too fast for DLs, etc. He was playing LT at 265-270 at the time. He had to bulk up. He did to 295. He hasn't been as impressive with the weight on though. Likewise there's rumors he's struggled to maintain the weight and ended this season closer to 285, and he may not be built to carry much more. Dunno.I personally have very little opinion on these things, and have only been able to watch him once. I did not think I was watching a dominant tackle. I remember Pace and Ogden from college all too well. From very limited viewing, I have been more impressed with McNiell and Scott, than Winston and Ferguson, but I think the truth is that this is just a very deep class of very good tackles coming into the NFL.

One thing that could raise Scott in comparison to his peers is that his question marks are intangibles. The others all have physical concerns. D'Brick's size, Winston's knees, McNiell's back... :hophead:
My overall thought has been that none of the OLT have played to the billing that many gave the coming into the year and to some extent still do. While i don't expect a massive free fall because there are fewer OLT with the physical skills than almost any position, I believe that one or two these guys expected to go in the top half of the first round will wind up in the 2nd round based what the film will show. BTW, a LT prospect Daryn Colledge will go against Kiwi this afternoon in whatever they call the Boise State Blue Field Bowl these days. One of the relative few times you will get to see first day prospects battle in a direct head to head.

 
I personally have very little opinion on these things, and have only been able to watch him once. I did not think I was watching a dominant tackle. I remember Pace and Ogden from college all too well. From very limited viewing, I have been more impressed with McNiell and Scott, than Winston and Ferguson, but I think the truth is that this is just a very deep class of very good tackles coming into the NFL.

One thing that could raise Scott in comparison to his peers is that his question marks are intangibles. The others all have physical concerns. D'Brick's size, Winston's knees, McNiell's back... :hophead:
:goodposting: I was just posting what I heard. I remember Pace and Ogden from college too and thought they would be great. I also thought Mandarich would be great too :bag:

 
I see Seattle as likely to go for a DB or a RB if Alexander leaves. They may go OL if Hutch leaves, but it wouldn't shock me to see an OL in round 1, and come back DB round 2.
Remeber, Seattle went OL last year with Spencer. If they go OL again, it would probably depend on not only what happens with Hutch, but Tobeck too (retirement?). If they loose one, I think they could shuffle in Spencer at C or G and still have quality depth. If they loose both, they may need to pick someone up, but I doubt they would go interior OL with their first pick two drafts in a row unless they loose two guys. Plus, I do not know that any interior OL in the draft has a worthy first round grade.Otherwise, if there's a worthy corner, I could certainly see that as an option as Dyston and Herdon have not played up to Lucas' level last year. Obviously, RB if they cannot get SA resigned.

 
I see Seattle as likely to go for a DB or a RB if Alexander leaves. They may go OL if Hutch leaves, but it wouldn't shock me to see an OL in round 1, and come back DB round 2.
Remeber, Seattle went OL last year with Spencer. If they go OL again, it would probably depend on not only what happens with Hutch, but Tobeck too (retirement?). If they loose one, I think they could shuffle in Spencer at C or G and still have quality depth. If they loose both, they may need to pick someone up, but I doubt they would go interior OL with their first pick two drafts in a row unless they loose two guys. Plus, I do not know that any interior OL in the draft has a worthy first round grade.Otherwise, if there's a worthy corner, I could certainly see that as an option as Dyston and Herdon have not played up to Lucas' level last year. Obviously, RB if they cannot get SA resigned.
That's true. Maybe DB in 1 & OL 2 is more likely if they lose both Hutch & Tobeck. Hutch is far more important. I was thinking Spencer may be starting at RG next year.
 

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