The writing was on the wall for Vinatieri heading into last year:
Just like Mike Vanderjagt in 2004, Vinatieri will be the first kicker to go in many fantasy drafts in 2005, based on his career year last year. That might be a fantasy mistake. From a value perspective, that means he’ll go earlier than kickers typically warrant consideration. It is also difficult to put together consecutive high scoring seasons. It would be natural to think that a very good kicker on very good team could easily repeat that, but history suggests otherwise. Since 1991, teams kicking over 140 points in a given year average 109 the following year (high of 124, low of 91). Bill Bellichick has done a great job in New England, but this year may be his most challenging yet. He’ll be shooting for a Super Bowl three-peat, something no team has ever done. He also lost his offensive and defensive coordinators during the offseason. Vinatieri could actually be a risky fantasy pick this year.
linkFor 2006, it appears he'll be in a much better kicker situation... although there is still a long way to go (remainder of free agency, draft, training camps, pre-season) before the start of the 2006 games.
I own Rackers & Vinateri in both of my league, 12 & 14 team dynastys. What if anything should I be able to get, people don't see to want to give anything for a kicker, but I don't want the headache next year deciding who to start all year.
I'm leaning more towards Phil Dawson as being the number 1 kicker next year. He's very accurate and will be on an improving offense. The key with kickers is to find one who's team has a pretty good offense, but not so great that they'll score a TD everytime they reach the red zone.