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2008 $35,000 Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

Moved up to 28th in the power rankings... not sure what it means but it makes me happy.

Rankings

Name Power QB RB WR TE PK TD UQ

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Entry 101636 2918 603 551 1005 360 251 146 19.72 (8664)

2. Entry 104733 2915 545 619 982 302 225 240 21.91 (9837)

3. Entry 101814 2909 603 679 969 246 219 192 20.27 (9091)

4. Entry 105931 2905 603 678 887 313 218 205 20.01 (8899)

5. Entry 102266 2895 545 669 945 323 220 191 20.58 (9307)

6. Entry 100870 2892 551 587 986 329 245 191 21.08 (9559)

7. Entry 106635 2889 603 720 965 180 213 206 22.00 (9865)

8. Entry 103523 2889 539 656 901 337 217 236 18.59 (7520)

9. Entry 107895 2882 603 578 928 345 234 192 19.89 (8809)

10. Entry 103590 2878 603 603 912 331 209 216 22.00 (9864)

11. Entry 105156 2877 545 588 996 304 221 221 21.22 (9617)

12. Entry 107473 2876 545 715 926 290 219 179 22.22 (9899)

13. Entry 102083 2875 603 604 904 331 238 192 18.07 (6939)

14. Entry 100958 2871 603 456 992 375 227 216 21.45 (9703)

15. Entry 102699 2868 603 593 904 347 202 216 19.17 (8146)

16. Entry 101552 2864 574 679 873 332 205 199 20.21 (9044)

17. Entry 105089 2859 545 662 902 331 212 204 20.20 (9029)

18. Entry 101504 2858 544 710 950 232 213 207 19.89 (8808)

19. Entry 102709 2857 544 667 1025 235 225 159 18.37 (7276)

20. Entry 104054 2854 539 623 993 258 248 192 20.49 (9256)

21. Entry 107626 2854 516 708 848 358 217 204 19.81 (8743)

22. Entry 102729 2853 603 601 924 278 225 221 20.46 (9236)

23. Entry 107542 2853 544 506 1081 386 163 172 20.18 (9014)

24. Entry 107369 2853 603 779 886 192 180 210 21.88 (9833)

25. Entry 100059 2849 544 696 963 261 191 192 18.89 (7854)

26. Entry 103830 2849 545 589 963 308 222 221 22.07 (9881)

27. Entry 101396 2849 466 668 926 358 211 216 21.75 (9797)

28. Entry 106236 2848 547 613 1060 246 180 199 22.06 (9879) <== ME!!!!

I think my 4 defensive team approach is going to pay huge dividends!

QB - Jay Cutler - 14

QB - Matt Schaub - 13

QB - Kurt Warner - 5

RB - Clinton Portis - 33

RB - Michael Turner - 28

RB - Ricky Williams - 8

RB - Ray Rice - 4

RB - Steve Slaton - 1

WR - Terrell Owens - 36

WR - Calvin Johnson - 25

WR - Brandon Marshall - 23

WR - Jerricho Cotchery - 23

WR - Kevin Walter - 6

WR - Courtney Taylor - 3

TE - Zach Miller - 15

TE - Anthony Fasano - 3

PK - Mike Nugent - 1

PK - Matt Prater - 1

TD - Buffalo Bills - 3

TD - Houston Texans - 2

TD - New Orleans Saints - 2

TD - San Francisco 49ers - 1

 
I'm number 35? Really? I guess that was 5 minutes well spent.

Second RB is my biggest concern.

Entry 102847

This entry is still alive.

1 2

-------------------------------------------

Jay Cutler $14 27.85 41.10

Matt Schaub $13 20.50 0.00

Kurt Warner $5 15.45 36.05

Adrian Peterson $53 17.90 20.00

DeAngelo Williams $15 9.50 3.00

Ricky Williams $8 5.90 3.40

Ray Rice $4 9.80 0.00

Ahmad Bradshaw $4 0.00 19.50

Calvin Johnson $25 17.70 30.90

Brandon Marshall $23 0.00 40.60

Steve Smith $23 0.00 0.00

Kevin Walter $6 13.10 0.00

Steve Smith $5 3.50 3.90

DeSean Jackson $4 16.60 17.00

Dwayne Jarrett $2 5.60 0.00

Kellen Winslow Jr $28 18.20 16.00

Robert Royal $2 20.20 0.00

Dustin Keller $2 0.00 3.40

John Kasay $2 20.00 11.00

Mike Nugent $1 2.00 0.00

Minnesota Vikings $8 0.00 6.00

Buffalo Bills $3 15.00 6.00

-------------------------------------------

TOTAL 176.35 206.00

CUTOFF 112.85 132.60

 
365, like days in a year. :lmao:

TE is my weakness right now, Crumpler just isn't getting it done and Fasano might be a 1 week wonder.

I do get Smith back now, so things are looking good.

 
Would it be reasonable to say that for a player who was predicted to score 300 FP for the year (18.75/gm), who scored 30 points in game 1 and 20 points in game 2, would only be expected to score 250 more points for the year?
Definitely not. A player who was projected at 18.75 points per game for the year, who scored 30 and 20 in the first two weeks, would be projected to score 262.5 (that's 14 x 18.75) more points in the rest of the year, plus or minus whatever adjustments David and Bob deem necessary due to changes in his situation or revisions to the original 18.75 figure (probably plus in this case). Take Willie Parker. In PPR, he was projected before the year at 200 points (12.5 per game). He's scored 42 in the first two weeks, and his forward projections have him at 198 (a little over 14 per game) for the rest of the year.
 
365, like days in a year. :lmao:TE is my weakness right now, Crumpler just isn't getting it done and Fasano might be a 1 week wonder. I do get Smith back now, so things are looking good.
:confused: I don't think Fasano will be a one week wonder. Parcels brought him over from Dallas for a reason.
 
Would it be reasonable to say that for a player who was predicted to score 300 FP for the year (18.75/gm), who scored 30 points in game 1 and 20 points in game 2, would only be expected to score 250 more points for the year?
Definitely not. A player who was projected at 18.75 points per game for the year, who scored 30 and 20 in the first two weeks, would be projected to score 262.5 (that's 14 x 18.75) more points in the rest of the year, plus or minus whatever adjustments David and Bob deem necessary due to changes in his situation or revisions to the original 18.75 figure (probably plus in this case). Take Willie Parker. In PPR, he was projected before the year at 200 points (12.5 per game). He's scored 42 in the first two weeks, and his forward projections have him at 198 (a little over 14 per game) for the rest of the year.
Doug, can you answer a hijack question? Is it possible to estimate the "kick" a team gets when it gets an injured player back? Example: In my case, Coleston was my WR2, and my ranking is 1004. The week that Coleston resumes play, how much value does that add to a ranking?
 
Would it be reasonable to say that for a player who was predicted to score 300 FP for the year (18.75/gm), who scored 30 points in game 1 and 20 points in game 2, would only be expected to score 250 more points for the year?
Definitely not. A player who was projected at 18.75 points per game for the year, who scored 30 and 20 in the first two weeks, would be projected to score 262.5 (that's 14 x 18.75) more points in the rest of the year, plus or minus whatever adjustments David and Bob deem necessary due to changes in his situation or revisions to the original 18.75 figure (probably plus in this case).

Take Willie Parker. In PPR, he was projected before the year at 200 points (12.5 per game). He's scored 42 in the first two weeks, and his forward projections have him at 198 (a little over 14 per game) for the rest of the year.
Doug, can you answer a hijack question? Is it possible to estimate the "kick" a team gets when it gets an injured player back? Example: In my case, Coleston was my WR2, and my ranking is 1004. The week that Coleston resumes play, how much value does that add to a ranking?
Well, that depends on who your other WRs are. If you have Owens, Calvin Johnson, Fitzgerald, and Marshall, then Colston's return isn't going to bump you much at all. If your next-best WRs are Hines Ward and Donte Stallworth, it'll be a much bigger effect.So I'll just pick a Colston team at random and run through it. You can modfiy the calculations to your own situation.

Random Colston team

In order of forward projections (with double weight on week 3), the WRs on that team are:

Bowe - 212.5

S Moss - 177.1

Bry Johnson - 161.3

Colston - 152.7

Jenkins - 107.3

Lloyd - 93.8

Hester - 86.6

So his WR power rating is 212.5 + 177.1 + 161.3 + .75*152.7 + .5*107.3 + .25*93.8 =~ 743

Let's say Colston were to make a miraculous recovery and be back to full strength tomorrow. Then we could pencil him in for, say, 230ish points as a forward projection, which would give us this:

Colston - 230

Bowe - 212.5

S Moss - 177.1

Bry Johnson - 161.3

Jenkins - 107.3

Lloyd - 93.8

Hester - 86.6

WR power = 230 + 212.5 + 177.1 + .75*161.3 + .5*107.3 + .25*93.8 =~ 818

That's a bump of 75 points.

That random team happened to be ranked number 7357. Adding 75 points would move them up to about #5630. BUT WAIT! All the other Colston owners, of which there are quite a few, get a bump too. Brees owners also probably get a slight bump. Patten/Meachem owners take a small hit. I'd guess this guy would move up to about #6000 or so.

 
That's a bump of 75 points. That random team happened to be ranked number 7357. Adding 75 points would move them up to about #5630. BUT WAIT! All the other Colston owners, of which there are quite a few, get a bump too. Brees owners also probably get a slight bump. Patten/Meachem owners take a small hit. I'd guess this guy would move up to about #6000 or so.
Thanks. Back of the envelope says #1000 would get bumped to around #350 with a 64 point gain....that's what I was looking for.My WRs are Fitzgerald, Colston, Marshall, Harrison, Reggie Williams, K Walter.
 
Thanks to some hard work by Organized Chaos, we are able to now make a "semi-live" current cutoff point estimation on his website. This is not an estimate of where the final cut will end up (although I may play a bit with the FBG projections to see where they would predict it at prior to Sunday), rather a calculation of what score you would need to advance if no more scoring were to occur. Basically this is what Drinen does early Monday morning, but I will try to update it a few times on Sunday and also during the game on MNF to see where things are moving.

Good luck to everyone!

 
1 alive entry with L White/R Brown combo - good start to the week

Entry 112062

This entry is still alive.

1 2

-------------------------------------------

Derek Anderson $19 14.10 6.90

Trent Edwards $11 16.65 17.85

Ronnie Brown $34 6.60 11.40

Reggie Bush $33 26.30 12.60

LenDale White $23 10.00 11.90

Julius Jones $19 7.20 21.60

Ladell Betts $6 1.60 4.30

Ray Rice $4 9.80 0.00

Nate Burleson $18 17.00 0.00

Reggie Brown $15 0.00 0.00

Santana Moss $14 14.70 32.10

Vincent Jackson $11 13.70 13.30

Justin McCareins $5 0.00 2.90

Michael Clayton $5 0.00 1.60

Antwaan Randle El $4 14.30 9.30

Mario Manningham $2 0.00 0.00

Greg Olsen $10 6.60 3.70

Leonard Pope $5 2.00 3.00

David Akers $3 8.00 16.00

Robbie Gould $2 11.00 5.00

Seattle Seahawks $4 1.00 16.00

Philadelphia Eagles $3 4.00 10.00

-------------------------------------------

TOTAL 134.25 154.35

CUTOFF 112.85 132.60

 
This isnt directed at anyone in particular, but can we stop posting full rosters at this point? Same for posting your weekly score after the Turk releases the cut number for the week, posting your team's power ranking, or posting your unique players. Drinen has made all this information available to everyone and, chances are, each of us is the only person who cares about our team.

 
Then what else are we going to post about in this thread?
I cant recall any discussions being sparked by someone posting their score from the past week on a Thursday. Posting it on Sunday afternoon/evening and Monday is a different story as it helps us try to get an idea where the cut might be.
If you don't like reading them Skip them but that is the purpose of this thread - to compare teams and chart yours against others.
 
Then what else are we going to post about in this thread?
I cant recall any discussions being sparked by someone posting their score from the past week on a Thursday. Posting it on Sunday afternoon/evening and Monday is a different story as it helps us try to get an idea where the cut might be.
If you don't like reading them Skip them but that is the purpose of this thread - to compare teams and chart yours against others.
Id rather read one post about strategy than 20 where people only crow about their teams, but apparently Im the only one.
 
Then what else are we going to post about in this thread?
I cant recall any discussions being sparked by someone posting their score from the past week on a Thursday. Posting it on Sunday afternoon/evening and Monday is a different story as it helps us try to get an idea where the cut might be.
If you don't like reading them Skip them but that is the purpose of this thread - to compare teams and chart yours against others.
Id rather read one post about strategy than 20 where people only crow about their teams, but apparently Im the only one.
It's a freaking best ball contest. There are no decisions, therefore no strategy, at this point.Go troll another thread.
 
To answer the question, yes the intent was to do it after each set of games. It is a manual entry, and also only based on a portion of the contest entries (but based on the entire live population at OC's site). It will not be 100% accurate, but I hope to hit it within 5 points or so. Since it is input manually, it may get delayed some weeks, but I will try to update things when I can. What I see as the biggest benefit is that we can watch the relative cut rise on MNF, so people get an idea how things are looking. I am busy until about 10:00 on Mondays, but I intend on giving more frequent updates during that game. If OC can think of how to automate the process that would be great, but we currently can't do that.

 
To answer the question, yes the intent was to do it after each set of games. It is a manual entry, and also only based on a portion of the contest entries (but based on the entire live population at OC's site). It will not be 100% accurate, but I hope to hit it within 5 points or so. Since it is input manually, it may get delayed some weeks, but I will try to update things when I can. What I see as the biggest benefit is that we can watch the relative cut rise on MNF, so people get an idea how things are looking. I am busy until about 10:00 on Mondays, but I intend on giving more frequent updates during that game. If OC can think of how to automate the process that would be great, but we currently can't do that.
:own3d:Thanks for the response CT. And thanks to both you and OC for the work youre putting in.
 
182.6 + Cotchery (-8).

Should be safe for this week, but I'm praying the Westbrook injury isn't serious or I'm probably finished.

 
147 with a projected cutoff of 115 from fantasy star. Owens, Lee and Jennings going at the moment and I think that's it. Should be safe this week.

 
Cutler

Slaton

MB III

Ricky

Marshall

Gaffney

St Smith

Fasano

K.Brown

Philly

I have about 175 and still have Cotchery tomorrow night...see you next week boys.

 
Based on the team sample at fantasy star, the SNF cut line is currently at 123. Personally, I think that is high, based on the scoring in my home league. The fact that high value guys like Fasano and Slayton had some nice games though could explain the number. We'll see what the Turk has to say in the morning!

 
At 160 even with Vincent Jackson (-10.9) and NY Jets D/ST (-3.0) still to go. See you all in week 4, let the bye weeks begin.

 
I wish we could find out what player those that get cut each week had in common.

I think many TO owners this week are the ones who might be the highest.

 
I wish we could find out what player those that get cut each week had in common.I think many TO owners this week are the ones who might be the highest.
Westbrook owners who didn't build the rest of their team well will make up some of this week's cuts.
 
124.2 w/ Gates (8.2), Cotchery (5.3), and Kaeding (10) left. I'm confident. Calvin/TO production was a bit disappointing.

 

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