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2009 Week 2 Suicide/Survivor Pick Strategy (1 Viewer)

It is never a good idea to take the Bengals unless you absolutely have to.

In fact, in several pools I will likely take GB against the Bengals.

 
In theory if you could find the best combination of opponents for the Rams and Lions you only need to plug and play a few with risk. The Chiefs will win a game or two and so will the Bengals.

 
Ariakis said:
In theory if you could find the best combination of opponents for the Rams and Lions you only need to plug and play a few with risk. The Chiefs will win a game or two and so will the Bengals.
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I agree that St Louis is a dog, but Detroit apparently can score at least. I think they'll put up 4 wins, but in all the wrong places.I like the Washington game, but they do get get Kansas City in week 5. Houston goes into Tennessee, who's offense showed nothing against the Jets and couldn't stop the run. The Titans next soft home game is week 14. I'm leaning that way
 
Oh the Humanity said:
Ariakis said:
In theory if you could find the best combination of opponents for the Rams and Lions you only need to plug and play a few with risk. The Chiefs will win a game or two and so will the Bengals.
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I agree that St Louis is a dog, but Detroit apparently can score at least. I think they'll put up 4 wins, but in all the wrong places.I like the Washington game, but they do get get Kansas City in week 5. Houston goes into Tennessee, who's offense showed nothing against the Jets and couldn't stop the run. The Titans next soft home game is week 14. I'm leaning that way
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You can't call it a bad play, but I avoid divisional games if at all possible. Good luck if you go that way.ETA: Tonite's imminent Buffalo win is a perfect example.
 
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PatrickT said:
Oh the Humanity said:
Ariakis said:
In theory if you could find the best combination of opponents for the Rams and Lions you only need to plug and play a few with risk. The Chiefs will win a game or two and so will the Bengals.
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I agree that St Louis is a dog, but Detroit apparently can score at least. I think they'll put up 4 wins, but in all the wrong places.I like the Washington game, but they do get get Kansas City in week 5. Houston goes into Tennessee, who's offense showed nothing against the Jets and couldn't stop the run. The Titans next soft home game is week 14. I'm leaning that way
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You can't call it a bad play, but I avoid divisional games if at all possible. Good luck if you go that way.ETA: Tonite's imminent Buffalo win is a perfect example.
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Then again, Buffalo still has time to shoot themselves in the foot.
 
Anyone considering Buffalo at home over TB?

Heard Bloom say that TB is starting a LB at Safety and that the poor secondary play was the reason why Roy Williams and Miles Austin looked so good in week 1. If those 2 can perform well against that secondary, what will TO and Evans be able to do? :confused:

Also read TB's starting Center is out, and they had to bring in a street guy.

 
gkza said:
Anyone considering Buffalo at home over TB?Heard Bloom say that TB is starting a LB at Safety and that the poor secondary play was the reason why Roy Williams and Miles Austin looked so good in week 1. If those 2 can perform well against that secondary, what will TO and Evans be able to do? :shrug: Also read TB's starting Center is out, and they had to bring in a street guy.
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After a loss like that, I would stay away. That may take a couple of weeks to get over. Living in Buffalo, I try and stay clear of picking these guys. Also, they have a short week this week. I say find another pick. Good luck.Tenn. stands out for me this week. 10 days off, took a loss, want to avoid the 0-2 start, home opener. Not sure, but I would guess some sort of tribute to McNair possible. Maybe some Titan homers could verify this.
 
4x champ said:
gkza said:
Never too early to start...Wow the Bengals really hurt me in a few pools... :shrug:
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Cinncinnatti in week 1?? Now I know why you're starting this thread every week.
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Dude, Im in a $1,000 fee Pool which I won last season. Double elimination Rules of the pool dictate that at the end of the season, if tied (which the pool was) the entrant with the LEAST cumalative wins (spelled out for your benefit --> the most risky selections) is declared winner.So, of course, I could have gone and picked chalk; Dallas or New England. My pool is a little more cerebral. I personally could not call a game on Cinci's schedule that I was comfortable with selecting, save Denver. Select a team that has a good shot to win, but overall, as you have validated, is not that good. But thanks for asking.FYI, I did not start the thread last week.
 
Minny-Detroit is a trap game.

1. It's a division game. Avoid those if at all possible. Overfamiliarity often makes those closer than they look on paper.

2. Minny is on the road.

3. Minny is coached by Brad Childress. His potential boneheaded decisions must be accounted for.

4. Minny's secondary is OK at best. Calvin Johnson could have a big day.

5. Detroit almost beat Minny twice last year, despite the yawning gap in talent.

6. Detroit is due.

Washington over STL is intriguing, but remember that the Rams actually beat the Redskins last year. And the Redskins' offense still looks like it can't get out of its own way.

GB over Cincy makes the most sense to me this week. Vastly superior team with vastly superior defense at home against a lame non-division opponent. That's what you should be looking for in these matchups.

 
Pip said:
Minny-Detroit is a trap game.

1. It's a division game. Avoid those if at all possible. Overfamiliarity often makes those closer than they look on paper.

2. Minny is on the road.

3. Minny is coached by Brad Childress. His potential boneheaded decisions must be accounted for.

4. Minny's secondary is OK at best. Calvin Johnson could have a big day.

5. Detroit almost beat Minny twice last year, despite the yawning gap in talent.

6. Detroit is due.

Washington over STL is intriguing, but remember that the Rams actually beat the Redskins last year. And the Redskins' offense still looks like it can't get out of its own way.

GB over Cincy makes the most sense to me this week. Vastly superior team with vastly superior defense at home against a lame non-division opponent. That's what you should be looking for in these matchups.
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this might be the game that knocked me out last year. Still rolling with it for now, but that's food for thought. Other side of the coin is, wasn't that was the game after Linehan was fired? They might've won just off of sheer joy.
 
We lost about 30% of the remaining entrants last year when St. Louis beat Washington. I'll stay away from that one. Looks like GB but I'm not overly excited with that pick.

 
Rebirtha said:
We lost about 30% of the remaining entrants last year when St. Louis beat Washington. I'll stay away from that one. Looks like GB but I'm not overly excited with that pick.
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I think I'm going with Washington.Everybody knows about the loss to StL last year... especially WAS.I think as much doubt as it casts over the game it makes up in motivation to the WAS players.
 
Rounders said:
I've got GB locked and loaded right now.
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I'm leaning GB. But there are a couple of things that have me concerned. First, a short week after playing Monday night. Second, coming off a tough emotional division game with a lot of hard hitting.
 
Going GB and Wash. Took NO and SD last week. I don't like to save teams, I'll just take whatever I think it the easiest pick to make.

I may sub out GB for Minny though

 
Yeah I lost with picking WAS over STL last year, but I'll do it again. It took multiple turnovers by WAS and a last second field goal by STL to pull it off last year, no way they do it again. STL didn't even score an offensive TD in that game and somehow won. Pure luck.

 
are people thinking Wash only because they're playing the Rams who stunk this past week. Because I didn't think the skins looked good at all. I don't want to pick b/w two bad teams if I don't have to.

I like Tenn at home against the Texans.

 
blend said:
are people thinking Wash only because they're playing the Rams who stunk this past week. Because I didn't think the skins looked good at all. I don't want to pick b/w two bad teams if I don't have to.
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I don't think the Redskins are a bad team, but they're a not good one, though they're certainly better than the Rams. I don't put them in the same category as the Bengals, who were inexplicably picked a lot last week.
 
fatness said:
C-Bound said:
Skins and Pack seem to be the only "locks". Ya know...a lock...like the Pats were last night.
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The Skins are not a lock.
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I'll agree with that. They should win but they are the 'skins. Pack is a lock if any team is. I'm taking the locks early just to get a feel for some of these hack teams potential. As we saw, those picking hack (CIN) vs hack (DEN) early, got taken out.
 
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Washington's DBs (particularly CBs) are very bad, and if Fred Smoot misses the game they will be that much worse. Though Washington will probably win, i think it's going to be fairly close and i wont be touching that game.

Early in the season i take the teams who i am most confident are elite teams. I rather put my risk on the Titans in a home opener than anyone else this week.

 
Buffalo is the easy pick. They went toe-to-toe with NE and now get a putrid TB team in western NY. Yes I said putrid. Raheem Morris is a joke, Byron Leftwich is a joke, Caddy is a nice story but not a difference maker, and the switch from cover 2 has rendered the defense useless. Ronde Barber couldn't cover an 80s song.

 
Bengals in week 1? This thread is way too cerebral for me.

I went with the Saints in week1. Most of the guys in my league went with Baltimore.

Week 2? I've been burnt every time I've taken the Redskins in the past... but I can't help myself, I'm taking them again.

 
gkza said:
Anyone considering Buffalo at home over TB?Heard Bloom say that TB is starting a LB at Safety and that the poor secondary play was the reason why Roy Williams and Miles Austin looked so good in week 1. If those 2 can perform well against that secondary, what will TO and Evans be able to do? ;) Also read TB's starting Center is out, and they had to bring in a street guy.
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That LB at S is a former S - Jermaine Philips.
 
awesomeness said:
Washington's DBs (particularly CBs) are very bad, and if Fred Smoot misses the game they will be that much worse. Though Washington will probably win, i think it's going to be fairly close and i wont be touching that game.
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Not to mention the Skins anemic offense will keep the game close.
 
The Washington Redskins have declared DL Anthony Montgomery, OG Chad Rinehart, OT D'Anthony Batiste, C Edwin Williams, CB Fred Smoot, CB Kevin Barnes, DL Renaldo Wynn, LB Robert Henson inactive for Week 2.

Smoot and Barnes out - two of starting 4cbs which leaves D Hall and C Rodgers - anyone still liking Skins as much as they were?

 
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