2018 MLB Regular Season Thread! Current thread batting average: .420 (1 Viewer)

[Limp Ditka]

Love it. 

 

[jamny]

Nice to see Duda HR for the Rays in his first game. Good guy and I hope he does well for them.

 

[Eephus]

The Mets should be an active player during the off-season.  They have Reyes, Granderson and others coming off the books.  They're the Mets so health will be the determining factor. 

I'm going to wait to see what what they can get for Addison Reed before assessing the Ramos trade. 

 

[Encyclopedia Brown]

Sonny Gray's start for tomorrow has been cancelled--tentatively re-scheduled for Monday. 

 

[Hilts]

Price 'apologizes' by telling Eck "Just show your face"

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Melky to KC. 

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Hosmer, Cain, Moustakas, Escobar, and Melky are all UFA next year, as is Vargas. Will be an interesting offseason.

 

[Limp Ditka]

Price 'apologizes' by telling Eck "Just show your face"

Hope he blows out his right elbow too 

 

[Encyclopedia Brown]

Chris Christie was in Milwaukee for the Cubs/Brewers game, and got into it with a Cubs fan. Christie told the guy off while keeping a death grip on his nachos.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/30/chris-christie-cradles-nachos-during-faceoff-with-cubs-fan/?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=NYPTwitter&utm_medium=SocialFlow&sr_share=twitter

 

[Limp Ditka]

Lucroy to Rockies

 

[Eephus]

Chris Christie was in Milwaukee for the Cubs/Brewers game, and got into it with a Cubs fan. Christie told the guy off while keeping a death grip on his nachos.

http://nypost.com/2017/07/30/chris-christie-cradles-nachos-during-faceoff-with-cubs-fan/?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=NYPTwitter&utm_medium=SocialFlow&sr_share=twitter

Take it to the fat ### forum

 

[Eephus]

Lucroy to Rockies

The Rangers got 1.0 WAR out of him during his stay in Arlington.  I still think it was a good proactive move by Texas to improve their team last year but it looks bad in retrospect because they didn't even win a playoff game.  Lewis Brinson could make it look worse going forward.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

The Rangers got 1.0 WAR out of him during his stay in Arlington.  I still think it was a good proactive move by Texas to improve their team last year but it looks bad in retrospect because they didn't even win a playoff game.  Lewis Brinson could make it look worse going forward.

Rangers are a horrific outfit. 

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'll never get "intentionally walking the potential winning run" shtick. 

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Cubs trade Candelario and a young SS (Paredes) for Alex Avila and Justin Wilson. 

 

[Good Posting Judge]

beltre

 

[Encyclopedia Brown]

I'll never get "intentionally walking the potential winning run" shtick. 

Choosing to face a cold rookie catcher taking his first major league AB is not a terrible strategy. And Farmer was so late on the pitch that he barely made contact. A fluke.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Choosing to face a cold rookie catcher making taking his first major league AB is not a terrible strategy. And Farmer was so late on the pitch that he barely made contact. A fluke.

According to Fangraphs, LA's win probability went from 26.6% to 31.8% by walking Turner. Sure Turner's less preferable than Farmer in terms of the damage that he can do, but the threat the extra base-runner represented was obviously a bigger threat.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Also note: Strickland issued an IBB to bellinger in the 8th: Seager on 2nd, two out, to face Forsythe. That increased LA's win percentage from 24.6% to 26.8%.

To be fair, LA IBB'ed Belt in the 9th to face Hernandez: runner on 3rd, two out. That decreased LA's win probability from 51.2% to 49.6%. IBB's are dumb!

 

[E-Z Glider]

Japanese baseball seems fun!

 

[Eephus]

Also note: Strickland issued an IBB to bellinger in the 8th: Seager on 2nd, two out, to face Forsythe. That increased LA's win percentage from 24.6% to 26.8%.

To be fair, LA IBB'ed Belt in the 9th to face Hernandez: runner on 3rd, two out. That decreased LA's win probability from 51.2% to 49.6%. IBB's are dumb!

Bringing Strickland into the game increased the Dodgers' win probability

 

[Gally]

Also note: Strickland issued an IBB to bellinger in the 8th: Seager on 2nd, two out, to face Forsythe. That increased LA's win percentage from 24.6% to 26.8%.

To be fair, LA IBB'ed Belt in the 9th to face Hernandez: runner on 3rd, two out. That decreased LA's win probability from 51.2% to 49.6%. IBB's are dumb!

IBB's are not dumb.  They have a purpose for matchup and situation.  The right play was to walk Turner - an all-star having a great year with power to end the game with one swing and the history of doing it before.  I would walk him all day every day in that situation to get to a guy that had never had a MLB at bat. 

Win probability factors in runners on base and not necessarily the specific player coming up to bat.  It bases all calculations on statistical probabilities of runners on X bases with a batter hitting XXX against a XHP.  It doesn't take into account the human player aspect.  Some guys are clutch.  Some are not and some you don't know.  IBB's will always decrease the win probability because you are putting another runner on base.  But in real life it doesn't necessarily mean it's the wrong thing to do.   

 

[shadyridr]

Red Sox get Addison Reed for 3 prospects

Astros get Francisco Liriano

 

[Hilts]

The Cubs have given a 2016 WS ring to Bartman. 

 

[Limp Ditka]

Jeffers back to Brewers

 

[Limp Ditka]

The Cubs have given a 2016 WS ring to Bartman. 

Not sure if they could have done it without him.

 

[MattFancy]

The Orioles are going to screw this up and not make any deals today

 

[shadyridr]

The Orioles are going to screw this up and not make any deals today

Supposedly close to dealing Britton to the Astros

 

[MattFancy]

Supposedly close to dealing Britton to the Astros

I'll believe it when I see it

 

[shadyridr]

I'll believe it when I see it

The Yankees and A's have been close on Sonny Gray for weeks now.

 

[Eephus]

The Cubs have given a 2016 WS ring to Bartman. 

When does Alex Gonzalez get his?

 

[Limp Ditka]

Adam Rosales to the Dbacks to try and help fill that Owings hole

 

[Wrigley]

Not sure if they could have done it without him.

Think I deserve one before him 

 

[Limp Ditka]

YES says Gray to Yanks done

 

[Wrigley]

Hopefully that'll kick off some other deals.   FTR,  I hope the White Sox trade Limp Ditka's fandom to the Padres for some churros.

Mmmmm churros 

 

[shadyridr]

YES says Gray to Yanks done

A's getting back Fowler, Mateo, & Kaprellian

That's not a lot to give up and two guys are both huge injury risks

So much for Florial being in the deal.

 

[shadyridr]

Who knows if Fowler ever plays again. Mateo is nothing special IMO. Kaprellian has had tons of arm issues. I think Beane got rooked IMO.

 

[shadyridr]

Perhaps the new Moneyball hidden formula is guys with debilitating injuries?

 

[Limp Ditka]

Mmmmm churros 

Unless they're fruit filled. Those are nasty.

Speaking of fruit filled, FDAS, you're the worst.

 

[shadyridr]

The fact the Yankees didnt have to give up Florial or Adams or Sheffield makes this a slam dunk.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

The fact the Yankees didnt have to give up Florial or Adams or Sheffield makes this a slam dunk.

You know the guy they got back is Sonny Gray right? 

 

[shadyridr]

You know the guy they got back is Sonny Gray right? 

Yanks have a huge hole in their rotation now and for the next two years. Gray is a solid #2 type who fits the Yankees needs perfectly without giving up the farm.

 

[shadyridr]

Indians get Joe Smith

 

[MattFancy]

The Yankees and A's have been close on Sonny Gray for weeks now.

Well that got done. Now to see if the Orioles can work out something. I doubt it.

 

[Limp Ditka]

Billy Beane doing his best to make me right in my assertion that while how you do you're job might make for a good story, it doesn't mean you're good at that job.

 

[Limp Ditka]

Billy Beane 'Here Brian, why don't you take a little international spending money too?'

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Yanks have a huge hole in their rotation now and for the next two years. Gray is a solid #2 type who fits the Yankees needs perfectly without giving up the farm.

3 of your top 10 prospects including Mateo who was ranked ahead of Judge and Sanchez going into last year. Gray wasn't cheap. 

 

[Eephus]

The A's have struggled under serious payroll constraints and have had their share of injuries but they haven't done a good job with drafting and development.  Gray has probably been the best in-house player the Oaklands have had in the post-Moneyball era.

 

[shadyridr]

3 of your top 10 prospects including Mateo who was ranked ahead of Judge and Sanchez going into last year. Gray wasn't cheap. 

Mateo has lost a lot of luster the last two years and is a bit of a head case. Plus there is no room for him. Yanks liked Florial better. Fowler & Kaprellian both have great potential no doubt BUT Fowler suffered a gruesome injury. Who knows if he'll ever be the same. Kap will be missing his 2nd year in a row. His injury risk is far great that Gray's

 

[Limp Ditka]

The A's have struggled under serious payroll constraints and have had their share of injuries but they haven't done a good job with drafting and development.  Gray has probably been the best in-house player the Oaklands have had in the post-Moneyball era.

And lets be honest, he inherited the mindset of 'moenyball' from Alderson and ran with it. Not like it was his original thought as it dates back to James / SABR

He also inherited at least 2, if not all 3 of the the big 3 arms

And the clubhouse was steroid riddled (Tejada / Giambi)