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In 2016, 2017 and 2018 we had a thread that folks seemed to find valuable so I am starting another version for 2019 - it's a living, ongoing list of potential King Makers - the idea is to be PREEMPTIVE on RBs most likely sitting on the Waiver Wire (depending upon league size, sharks or guppies, etc.). The definition of this thread is generally re-draft.
To paraphrase @TZMarkie from 2016: "This is for re-draft and we are looking for the ones with the best combination of availability, upside and possibility of a big workload. That combination would likely give the average owner the best chance at hitting the "lottery ticket RB" that could change an owners season...The point is, regardless of however you see it, and whatever your league preference and/or breakdown may be, in most cases a typical owner (think redraft with 5-7 bench spots) will only be able to truly "take a shot" on one or two of these guys".
To paraphrase @Dr. Dan from 2019: "A lotto ticket, to me, costs almost nothing, and is easily expendable for the next lotto ticket, but has potential to win you your season. ... Lotto tickets, in my mind, are easily cut from one week to the next."
Candidates for Season Changing RBs for re-draft 2019 ("King Maker"), completely unranked:
[*]BAL - Gus Edwards per @IHEARTFF and @Casting Couch
[*]DAL - Tony Pollard
[*]CLE - Kareem Hunt per @leftcoastheel and agreed by @Long Ball Larry
[*]GB - Jamal Williams per @BobbyLayne - Sep 23/24: He is on all the pro FF sites as a reasonably high FA pickup this week
[*]ARI - Chase Edmonds - quoting @BobbyLayne : "Chase could easily see 150-175 touches even if DJ stays healthy"
[*]PIT - Jaylen Samuels (and FBG Jaylen Samuels page)
[*]LAR - John Kelly
[*]JAX - Ryquell Armstead per @IHEARTFF -
[*]CAR - Reggie Bonnafon
[*]IND - J Wilkins per @Long Ball Larry
[*]LAR - Darrell Henderson - Rams traded up with the Bucs to select Darrell Henderson with the No. 70 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Honorable Mention - (super) losely ranked (by yours truly):
[*]KC - Darrel Williams - got non-trivial touches while Damien Williams was out last week (Sep 22) and McCoy hobbled
[*]NE - Damien Harris - active Sun Sep 22 for the first time this season
[*]NYG - UPDATE OCT 8: "(Jon) Hilliman looks like the next man up for the Giants (but Elijhaa Penny still there as well)" per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]CAR - Jordan Scarlett per @Patrick the Pirate
[*]SEA - CJ Prosise
[*]SEA - Rashaad Penny
[*]DET - Ty Johnson - UPDATE OCT 22: Kerryon Johnson went on IR today
[*]CHI - Mike Davis - UPDATE NOV 12: Cut by CHI - picked up today by CAR
[*]CHI - Ryan Nall per @Iceman03 : "Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams"
[*]LAC - Troymaine Pope
[*]TBB - Dare Ogunbowale -
[*]XXX - CJ Anderson - cut by DET
[*]OAK - Damarea Crockett - per @zamboni
[*]OAK - DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard - suggested by @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]GB - Dexter Williams per @Dr. Dan stating: "If Aaron Jones gets hurt I think Dexter could shine" and agreed upon by @leftcoastheel
[*]OAK - Deandre Washington per @Iceman03 : "Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams"
[*]OAK - Jalen Richard And DeAndre Washington - per @joey
[*]MIN - Mike Boone per @Iceman03 : "Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams"
[*]ATL - Brian Hill
[*]ATL - Ito Smith - UPDATE OCT 8 - "Ito Smith, not Brian Hill, seems to be the cuff." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]BAL - Kenneth Dixon per @zeeshan2 and @JFS171
[*]NYJ - Ty Montgomery suggested by @Tanner9919
[*]NO - Dwayne Washington per @Iceman03 stating Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams
[*]NO - Devine Ozigbo per @Dr. Dan stating: Latavius Murray has a pretty lengthy injury history. I wouldnt expect him to play a complete season. Ozigbo is similar to Murray in terms of the role they would be expected to play in the NO offense (The "Ingram role").
[*]CIN - Samaje Perine per @IHEARTFF - UPDATE: cut by WAS, signed by CIN
[*]BUF - TJ Yeldon per @BobbyLayne
[*]SEA - Travis Homer per @strong
[*]SF - Raheem Mostert per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]CIN - Giovani Bernard - per @Patrick the Pirate and @Ilov80s
[*]WAS - Adrian Peterson - per @Ilov80s
[*]DET - Paul Perkins? per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]SF - Jeffery Wilson
[*]NE - Burkhead
[*]RB Jay Ajayi nearing NFL return? (Sep. 25th) per @Faust
[*]NYG - Jon Hilliman - per @bluer6 (Hillman) is an American football running back for the New York Giants of the National Football League. He played college football at Rutgers and Boston College and was signed by the New York Giants as an undrafted free agent in 2019.
Former Candidates ("Too Late") List - the "cat is out of the bag" on these and probably no longer qualify as Lotto Tickets (probably no longer on the WW in most leagues), but I'm referencing them instead of outright deleting them for completeness - this is a "cast a wide net" thread and who knows, in some of the millions of leagues he might still be available - stranger things have happened.
[*]LAC - Austin Ekeler per @Craig_MiamiFL
[*]LAC - Justin Jackson
[*]BUF - Singletary - per @BobbyLayne
[*]BUF - Frank Gore - with Singletary injured, Gore gets the starts
[*]HOU - Duke Johnson - Lamar Miller has a possible torn ACL - UPDATE: HOU signed Carlos Hyde
[*]HOU - Carlos Hyde - added Hyde here despite getting zero love on this thread as he is running fairly well and getting touches but is most likely rostered by now (Sep. 20)
[*]SF - Matt Breida per @Mongidig with @Tanner9919 agreeing
[*]NO - Latavius Murray per @-X- also, @yoman states "I don't think Murray is by any means a great back but he is in an ideal situation with one of the best rushing offense in the NFL and I doubt they want to run Kamara to the ground I think he will be a solid flex play unless there is an injury to Kamara"
[*]LAR - Malcom Brown - Sep. 14: The cat would seem to be out of the bag on Brown but I'm leaving him here for now in case he's still, inexplicably, available in (shallow) leagues.
[*]TBB - Ronald Jones - I'm adding him here as he should already have been rostered but who knows? Getting descent love on the podcasts.
[*]HOU - Carlos Hyde - traded from KC to HOU - UPDATE: (Sep 23/24) moved him to the Former List as he should be rostered by now...
[*]MIA - per @4th&inches siting rumors that MIA will trade Drake
Thoughts? Opinions?
P.S. I want to give a shout out to @SameSongNDance for starting this annual tradition back in 2016!
P.S.S. I want to give a shout out to @Mr. Irrelevant on his excellent thread 2017 Trends that could repeat in 2018. Could you please write one for 2019?
And I thank the following past contributors (not mentioned earlier): @Stompin' Tom Connors @Buck Bradcanon @davearm @Football Jones @Long Ball Larry @The Dude @bicycle_seat_sniffer @Ilov80s @Ted Lange as your Bartender @4th and Inches @zamboni @cloppbeast @MindBomb @hardcoredx @IHEARTFF ...if you were a contributor in the past and I left your name out I apologize.
In 2016, 2017 and 2018 we had a thread that folks seemed to find valuable so I am starting another version for 2019 - it's a living, ongoing list of potential King Makers - the idea is to be PREEMPTIVE on RBs most likely sitting on the Waiver Wire (depending upon league size, sharks or guppies, etc.). The definition of this thread is generally re-draft.
To paraphrase @TZMarkie from 2016: "This is for re-draft and we are looking for the ones with the best combination of availability, upside and possibility of a big workload. That combination would likely give the average owner the best chance at hitting the "lottery ticket RB" that could change an owners season...The point is, regardless of however you see it, and whatever your league preference and/or breakdown may be, in most cases a typical owner (think redraft with 5-7 bench spots) will only be able to truly "take a shot" on one or two of these guys".
To paraphrase @Dr. Dan from 2019: "A lotto ticket, to me, costs almost nothing, and is easily expendable for the next lotto ticket, but has potential to win you your season. ... Lotto tickets, in my mind, are easily cut from one week to the next."
Candidates for Season Changing RBs for re-draft 2019 ("King Maker"), completely unranked:
- MIN - Alexander Mattison - NOV02 UPDATE: wanted to move this guy to the Too Late list as he is most likely rostered but in the Oct 29 On the Couch, Bloom's guest Rich Hribar stated that he believes that the #1 RB to target as a King Maker going forward in this season is Mattison, pending a (God forbid) D Cook injury - based on usage, opportunity and workload - so I'm leaving him here
- BAL - Justice Hill - has been getting HUGE love on this thread - at the beginning of the season -
@TZMarkie wrote on SEPT 25: "JUSTICE HILL is the ultimate end-of-bench lottery ticket."
- HOWEVER...
UPDATE: @wickster33 wrote (Oct 30) : "Is Justice Hill dead to us now? I realize his usage has slipped to near nothingness, but he is still the dynamic guy we all saw in preseason. I realize he needs an Ingram injury to sniff the field and still would have to contend with Gus, but is it really time to take him off the lottery list?"
UPDATE: @Statorama wrote (Oct 30) : "I bailed in my short bench league. Had a choice between Hill and K Hunt. It seems like a lot of the points Ingram gets are inside the 5, and IMO that's not Hill's game. I had visions of them using Hill in a Sproles type role, but I'm just not getting the vibe that will materialize in the near future. Just too many hurdles for him to jump over for my tastes. He'd be more attractive if Gus Edwards was out of the picture, but it's also disheartening that he's playing second fiddle to Gus Edwards. At the end of the day, if I really wanted a piece of the BAL backfield I don't think it would take a great deal to pry Ingram away."
- UPDATE: @yoman wrote (Oct 30) : "Hill is definitely a player to keep in the periphery to see if his role increases but is not someone who is a must stash. I own Ingram and he sits on my bench most weeks so I think you are spot on with your above analysis."
[*]BAL - Gus Edwards per @IHEARTFF and @Casting Couch
[*]DAL - Tony Pollard
UPDATE NOV 02: Mentioned as a possible Season Changer by Bloom and guests in this week's podcasts
[*]CLE - Kareem Hunt per @leftcoastheel and agreed by @Long Ball Larry
[*]GB - Jamal Williams per @BobbyLayne - Sep 23/24: He is on all the pro FF sites as a reasonably high FA pickup this week
UPDATE OCT 3: carried off the field Sep 26 on a stretcher
- UPDATE OCT 8: "Tra Carson brought in to spell Aaron Jones in GB, but that will likely change when Jamaal Williams is healed." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
- UPDATE: Carson cut and lands in Detroit
- UPDATE NOV 2: has had 2 decent games in a row with limited usage (scored in both)
[*]ARI - Chase Edmonds - quoting @BobbyLayne : "Chase could easily see 150-175 touches even if DJ stays healthy"
- NOV02 UPDATE: injured, and Johnson in front of him is injured, ARI traded for Drake who started on Halloween
[*]PIT - Jaylen Samuels (and FBG Jaylen Samuels page)
UPDATE OCT 8: Samuels had knee surgery - expected out 1 month
- UPDATE OCT 27: "Samuels close to full health"
- UPDATE NOV 02: Conner injured, Snell injured - could be the Man this weekend
[*]LAR - John Kelly
[*]JAX - Ryquell Armstead per @IHEARTFF -
UPDATE per @Hot Sauce Guy - A. Blue cut, making Armstead the clear backup to Fournette -
- UPDATE (Sep 23/24) all the podcasts are saying that JAX cannot block
- UPDATE NOV 02: Mentioned as a possible Season Changer by Bloom and guests in this week's podcasts
[*]CAR - Reggie Bonnafon
UPDATE OCT 8: "I think Reggie Bonnafon may have leap-frogged Jordan Scarlett as the backup to own in CAR." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
- UPDATE NOV 02: Mentioned as a possible Season Changer by Bloom and guests in this week's podcasts
[*]IND - J Wilkins per @Long Ball Larry
UPDATE NOV 02: Mentioned as a possible Season Changer by Bloom and guests in this week's podcasts - so I added him to the King Maker List
[*]LAR - Darrell Henderson - Rams traded up with the Bucs to select Darrell Henderson with the No. 70 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Honorable Mention - (super) losely ranked (by yours truly):
- MIA - Patrick Laird
- DET - Bo Scarbrough per @Chaka
- IND - Jonathan Williams
- PHI - Miles Sanders per @themeistersinger
- DET - Mckissic per @SoBeDad
- KCC - Darwin Thompson
quoting @BobbyLayne : "Thompson was Waldman and Hollman’s 2nd best RB in the class if you listen to film guys. Great balance"
- Five Things to Know about Darwin Thompson
- Darwin Thompson Highlights
- Waldman on Darwin Thompson and Pass Protection
- Andy Reid's early September comment on Darwin Thompson
[*]KC - Darrel Williams - got non-trivial touches while Damien Williams was out last week (Sep 22) and McCoy hobbled
[*]NE - Damien Harris - active Sun Sep 22 for the first time this season
UPDATE OCT 6 - Harris inactive again
- UPDATE OCT 8: "Brandon Bolden may have leap-frogged Damien Harris as the guy behind the other three backs (Michel, White, Rex)." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
- UPDATE OCT 8: "I would bet that Bolden is only seeing offensive snaps while White and Michel are both healthy because he is a special teams standout. If Michael or White were to go down Harris could leapfrog Bolden, with Bolden staying mostly on ST's. " per @ConnSKINS26
- UPDATE OCT 20TH: it was Harris, not Bolden who went in after Michel went out with an injury
[*]NYG - UPDATE OCT 8: "(Jon) Hilliman looks like the next man up for the Giants (but Elijhaa Penny still there as well)" per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]CAR - Jordan Scarlett per @Patrick the Pirate
CAR - UPDATE OCT 8: "I think Reggie Bonnafon may have leap-frogged Jordan Scarlett as the backup to own in CAR." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]SEA - CJ Prosise
[*]SEA - Rashaad Penny
[*]DET - Ty Johnson - UPDATE OCT 22: Kerryon Johnson went on IR today
per @Football Jones "wouldn't be surprising if he passes CJ at some point" <-- UPDATE: apparently so since DET cut CJ Anderson
- and @Snorkelson "I like ty Johnson if kerryon goes down over cjanderson"
- per @BobbyLayne "He's a nice satellite back who is quicker then a Tesla, but ain’t no way he’s passing Kerryon - but he has value in his current role even with a healthy KJ"
- UPDATE NOV 02: it was Tre Carson, claimed off of the GBP Practice Squad, not Ty who got the start and the lion's share
[*]CHI - Mike Davis - UPDATE NOV 12: Cut by CHI - picked up today by CAR
[*]CHI - Ryan Nall per @Iceman03 : "Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams"
[*]LAC - Troymaine Pope
[*]TBB - Dare Ogunbowale -
quoting @Dr. Dan "Arians' offense involves 80-100+ targets to his RBs"
- per @SoBeDad "Dare Ogunbowale as a 3rd down back. He looked good against Miami and Ronald Jones still hasn't done anything. Barber is JAG."
[*]XXX - CJ Anderson - cut by DET
[*]OAK - Damarea Crockett - per @zamboni
@EBF states: "I think there's a chance that Crockett is the best back on the (HOU) roster, but I can imagine it taking half a season for him to plant his flag"
- @socrates states: "I agree. It may take an injury or lack of production from Duke to thrust Crockett into a starting role."
- And HOU has added Carlos Hyde
- Crockett cut by HOU - signed by OAK to practice squad
[*]OAK - DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard - suggested by @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]GB - Dexter Williams per @Dr. Dan stating: "If Aaron Jones gets hurt I think Dexter could shine" and agreed upon by @leftcoastheel
UPDATE OCT 8: "Tra Carson brought in to spell Aaron Jones in GB, but that will likely change when Jamaal Williams is healed." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
- UPDATE NOV 02: Tra Carson claimed by DET before last Sunday's games and started
[*]OAK - Deandre Washington per @Iceman03 : "Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams"
[*]OAK - Jalen Richard And DeAndre Washington - per @joey
[*]MIN - Mike Boone per @Iceman03 : "Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams"
[*]ATL - Brian Hill
overtakes Ito Smith per @leftcoastheel
- per @leftcoastheel "measurables aren't outstanding, but he is a good player generating some buzz in the preseason. Also, great offense, and incumbents with big question marks"
- UPDATE NOV 12: Ito Smith on IR - D Freeman has an injured foot - out for "probably" 2 weeks
[*]ATL - Ito Smith - UPDATE OCT 8 - "Ito Smith, not Brian Hill, seems to be the cuff." per @Stompin' Tom Connors
UPDATE NOV 12: Ito Smith on IR
[*]BAL - Kenneth Dixon per @zeeshan2 and @JFS171
[*]NYJ - Ty Montgomery suggested by @Tanner9919
[*]NO - Dwayne Washington per @Iceman03 stating Bit on the deeper end here but a lot of athleticism with running teams
[*]NO - Devine Ozigbo per @Dr. Dan stating: Latavius Murray has a pretty lengthy injury history. I wouldnt expect him to play a complete season. Ozigbo is similar to Murray in terms of the role they would be expected to play in the NO offense (The "Ingram role").
[*]CIN - Samaje Perine per @IHEARTFF - UPDATE: cut by WAS, signed by CIN
[*]BUF - TJ Yeldon per @BobbyLayne
[*]SEA - Travis Homer per @strong
[*]SF - Raheem Mostert per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]CIN - Giovani Bernard - per @Patrick the Pirate and @Ilov80s
[*]WAS - Adrian Peterson - per @Ilov80s
[*]DET - Paul Perkins? per @Stompin' Tom Connors
[*]SF - Jeffery Wilson
[*]NE - Burkhead
[*]RB Jay Ajayi nearing NFL return? (Sep. 25th) per @Faust
[*]NYG - Jon Hilliman - per @bluer6 (Hillman) is an American football running back for the New York Giants of the National Football League. He played college football at Rutgers and Boston College and was signed by the New York Giants as an undrafted free agent in 2019.
Former Candidates ("Too Late") List - the "cat is out of the bag" on these and probably no longer qualify as Lotto Tickets (probably no longer on the WW in most leagues), but I'm referencing them instead of outright deleting them for completeness - this is a "cast a wide net" thread and who knows, in some of the millions of leagues he might still be available - stranger things have happened.
- NYG - Wayne Gallman - UPDATE: (Sep. 24) Barkley out 4-8 weeks with a High Ankle Sprain - Most FF FA podcasts and sites have him as a Top Priority
However, please see this post by Yours Truly Quoting @jm192
[*]LAC - Austin Ekeler per @Craig_MiamiFL
[*]LAC - Justin Jackson
[*]BUF - Singletary - per @BobbyLayne
[*]BUF - Frank Gore - with Singletary injured, Gore gets the starts
[*]HOU - Duke Johnson - Lamar Miller has a possible torn ACL - UPDATE: HOU signed Carlos Hyde
[*]HOU - Carlos Hyde - added Hyde here despite getting zero love on this thread as he is running fairly well and getting touches but is most likely rostered by now (Sep. 20)
[*]SF - Matt Breida per @Mongidig with @Tanner9919 agreeing
[*]NO - Latavius Murray per @-X- also, @yoman states "I don't think Murray is by any means a great back but he is in an ideal situation with one of the best rushing offense in the NFL and I doubt they want to run Kamara to the ground I think he will be a solid flex play unless there is an injury to Kamara"
[*]LAR - Malcom Brown - Sep. 14: The cat would seem to be out of the bag on Brown but I'm leaving him here for now in case he's still, inexplicably, available in (shallow) leagues.
[*]TBB - Ronald Jones - I'm adding him here as he should already have been rostered but who knows? Getting descent love on the podcasts.
[*]HOU - Carlos Hyde - traded from KC to HOU - UPDATE: (Sep 23/24) moved him to the Former List as he should be rostered by now...
[*]MIA - per @4th&inches siting rumors that MIA will trade Drake
UPDATE NOV 12: and they did - to ARZ
Thoughts? Opinions?
P.S. I want to give a shout out to @SameSongNDance for starting this annual tradition back in 2016!
P.S.S. I want to give a shout out to @Mr. Irrelevant on his excellent thread 2017 Trends that could repeat in 2018. Could you please write one for 2019?
And I thank the following past contributors (not mentioned earlier): @Stompin' Tom Connors @Buck Bradcanon @davearm @Football Jones @Long Ball Larry @The Dude @bicycle_seat_sniffer @Ilov80s @Ted Lange as your Bartender @4th and Inches @zamboni @cloppbeast @MindBomb @hardcoredx @IHEARTFF ...if you were a contributor in the past and I left your name out I apologize.
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