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2025 FBG Stock Contest (1 Viewer)

Andrew74

Andrew74

Footballguy
Welcome to the 21st annual FBG Stock Contest!

Real-Time Tracking Spreadsheet

The Rules

Pick one stock that you think can appreciate the most (EXCLUDING DIVIDENDS) in 2025. Starting stock price must be $5 or greater.

We'll take entries through Wednesday, January 1st; must be posted by midnight board time. Baseline will be close of market on 12/31/24, regardless of when the pick was submitted.

Foreign stocks okay if traded on US exchange (i.e.ADRs)

ETFs are not allowed. Only common stock.

NO Shorts (includes short ETFs)

No duplicates; FCFS

Please also consider sharing some thoughts/info on the stock.

Optional Bonus Question - Guess where the S&P 500 will finish the year. (I am not worrying about duplicates for this).

Archive of Prior Contests:
2005 (jamny's original thread is missing)
2006 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/217834-one-stock-to-own-in-2006/
2007 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/298787-pick-one-stock-to-own-for-2007/
2008 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/375154-pick-one-stock-to-own-for-2008/#entry7956907
2009 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/450752-stock-market-contest-2009/
2010 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/514513-2010-stock-market-contest/
2011 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/579791-2011-stock-picking-and-sp-prognostication-contest/
2012 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/629954-2012-stock-picking-and-sp-prognostication-contest/
2013 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/674015-2013-9th-annual-stock-contest-results-in-post-249/
2014 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/702284-2014-stock-contest-for-guderianresults-in-post-379/
2015 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/723689-2015-stock-contest/
2016 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/738992-2016-stock-contest/
2017 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/752605-2017-stock-contest/
2018 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/764309-2018-stock-contest/
2019 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/773378-2019-stock-contest
2020 https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/782985-2020-fbg-stock-contest/
2021 https://forums.footballguys.com/topic/791631-2021-fbg-stock-contest/
2022 https://forums.footballguys.com/threads/2022-fbg-stock-contest.802184/
2023 https://forums.footballguys.com/threads/2023-fbg-stock-contest.807373/
2024 https://forums.footballguys.com/threads/2024-fbg-stock-contest.811607/

Historical Winners

Historical Data

2012

1st - FFNinja (154%)
2nd - Sammy 3469 (134%)
3rd - QuizGuy (100%)
S&P 500 - GibbyGarcia (3.57)

2013

1st - Andrew74 (449.20%)
2nd - Clawyer (336.00%)
3rd - cosjobs (156.60%)
S&P 500 - cosjobs (119.04)

2014

1st - General Malaise (224.07%)
2nd - BeTheMatch (216%)
3rd - stubby (154.59%)
S&P 500 - stubby (8.90)

2015

1st - Drifter (127.85%)
2nd - BeTheMatch (81.73%)
3rd - Bonfire (78.18%)
S&P 500 - jamny (6.06)

2016

1st - South Jersey (1618.18%)
2nd - Vladimir (147.89%)
3rd - pecorino (94.83%)
S&P 500 - Andrew74 (3.83)

2019

1st - metoo (386.72%)
2nd - The Man With No Name (172.32%)
3rd - NREC34 (135.40%)
S&P 500 - ragincajun (48.61)

2018

1st - kevzilla (93.28%)
2nd - Rattle and Hum (90.66%)
3rd - pecorino (74.62%)
S&P 500 - Ignoramus (159.15)

2019

1st - Ted Lange as Your Bartender (337.01%)
2nd - Rattle and Hum (217.24%)
3rd - eoMMan (131.96%)
S&P 500 - Andrew74 (153.78)

2020

1st - chet (439%)
2nd - Bonfire (209.87%)
3rd - Majesco (93.94%)
S&P 500 - GoBirds (741.94)

2021

1st - Andrew74 (381.70%)
2nd - Bonfire (142.35%)
3rd - Desert_Power (93.07)
S&P 500 - The Man With No Name (70.94)

2022
1st - Andrew74 (18.30%)
2nd - Bonfire (8.66%)
3rd - Freak Show (-4.52%)
S&P 500 - BassNBrew (560.50)

2023
1st - pmedina (497.78%)
2nd - Nathan R. Jessup (391.44%)
3rd - KGB (317.61)
S&P 500 - ghostguy123 (319.83%)

2024
1st - McBokonon (360.58%)
2nd - jwb (340.48%)
3rd - stbugs (103.08%)
S&P 500 - The Man With No Name (162.63)
 
Last edited:
I’ll kick it off with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Basically a tech play on a company that has really trailed over the last year. May not have the juice needed to win, but I expect a decent return.

S&P 500: 6,535
 
I'll say that Luminar will get bought out this year and be an easy double: LAZR. The S&P registers the extra-diabolical 6666 by year end.
 
I forget who selected PLTR here last year, but :thanks: Palantir and Cava (HODL had a better return but I made more in CAVA) were quite nice for the year.

ETA: @jwb - thanks! :moneybag:

Let’s roll with RXRX, recursion pharmaceuticals.

S&P 500 to end the year down to 5555
 
You dance with the girl you brought - gimme PLTR one more time. It's had a sweet run this year, so that type of growth may be off the table because of the P/E, but then again they were saying that when it was in the 30's too.

S&P 6750
 
$UNH they’re too big to fail and I think the new administration will look favorably on the big insurers. Stock is down because of the assassination and the public’s reaction, but that’ll fade and fall out of the news cycle.
 
Looks like the major pencil companies are either private or trade on another country's exchange.

Want to make sure I have a choice in though I may change in the next week but right now I will go with IP.
S and P prediction 4420.69

-QG
 
QuizGuy66 said:
Looks like the major pencil companies are either private or trade on another country's exchange.

Want to make sure I have a choice in though I may change in the next week but right now I will go with IP.
S and P prediction 4420.69

-QG
Click to expand...
Zoinks. Were you in an altered state of consciousness when making this post? 30% decline in the S&P? Pencils?
 
Will go with the same pick as last year. I think I was just a year early - IOVA

Bonus pick under $5 is AUTL

Have a great year all - with stocks and life 🙏
 
QuizGuy66 said:
Looks like the major pencil companies are either private or trade on another country's exchange.

Want to make sure I have a choice in though I may change in the next week but right now I will go with IP.
S and P prediction 4420.69

-QG
Click to expand...

Still couldn't find a good pencil company. I'm trying to figure out the right stock that will be resilient enough for what's to come. One thought is precious metals. The other is basically resources or consumer goods that are basically mandatory to live. IP was a play based on its 1930s performance but that ended up being because it was a sneaky defense stock (somebody had to make all those fuses for example). Anyway I cast around for a water stock that led me to VMI. I'm going to change that to my official pick. (Wanted to go with a silver stock GATO because it's fun to say but decided against that). Stocks like McDonald's and Flowers Foods were in the mix too but I won't do that. I thought about VALE as a precious metals sort of play.

Considered revising my S and P prediction to the slightly more optimistic 4694.20 but will keep that number where I have it.

So there you go.

Stock Pick: VMI (Valmont Industries Inc).

S and P 500: 4420.69

-QG
 
I am going to be lazy and put the year end value of VMI here for my own reference. I see it is 306.67.

Much more confident in my S&P pick tbh - I think the one time I finished top 3 was back when we were allowed to options and I bet against a company that went out of business (thus 100%)

-QG
 
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