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2025 FBG Subscriber Contest (5 Viewers)

If my ghost team (eliminated in week 10) were still alive, I would be exactly on the cut line this week at 138.10.

A little Boutte last night would have saved my buotte... :wink:
 
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153.55. Welcome Devaughn Vele and Keaton Mitchell. First time either of them have counted for me. Just when I needed them too with JSN not counting for me for the first time (other than his bye week).

Not feeling good about week 14 though, with Bryce Young and Henderson on byes and Mahomes with a tough matchup against Houston.
 
Unofficial future cutlines: No ties affected the future cutlines, (not counting ties that may affect the final cut numbers):

Start 11139
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10026
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 9026
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8127
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6511
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5209
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 4169
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3341
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2339
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1640
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1148
30% Week 11 cut to Number –804
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 563
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 338
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 203 (means the top 22 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)

Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.

- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.

- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
 
Dart 7.7%
Young 16.3%
Maye 26.0%
Purdy 4.1%

That adds to 54.1%. Some teams will have two of those players, but it's safe to assume that half of the remaining field is down a QB this week.

19 teams alive with 4 QBs, none that rostered more than that. Of those 19, one has two off this week, one has three off. The split on zero and one off was about even.

Three QB teams survived at a 3.59% clip vs. 2.88% for two QB teams. That's a little eye opening to me.

One team left that went sole at QB https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102588/week/1 331 attempted the feat. If Allen gets hot, look out
 
We started the week with 10 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant badge offer. The great news is we still have 5 :clap: the bad news is we lost @-OZ- @Church of Iggy Pop @dbc925 @J Rod @JaBoo :cry:

Moving on to week 14 are:
@rzrback77 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/110111/week/1
@Tha Guru - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/109783/week/1
@MikesVikes - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102212/week/1
@formerfourdigit - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/108618/week/1
@jm192 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/106187/week/1

Of note
- formerfourdigit was this week's top dog again with 166.60 (54th)
- Tha Guru was this week's lowest advancing team again, with a score of 142.20 (283rd)

Good luck in week 14!
Also, you only have to finish in the top 250 to be eligible, so I'll be watching.
 
I remember picking the team and having a pretty rough week 14 bye situation (CMC, Henderson, Kittle, McMillan). I told myself that I probably wouldn't make it to week 14 anyways, so why not?

Anyways, here we are!

I badly need London and Benson to play. It would also help if Aaron Jones rested his shoulder this week so Mason can get more run.
 
The details of my 30-man roster's demise:

QB - the 4-headed QB that had been so great suddenly collapsed in spectacular fashion. I had averaged 29.09 points per week from this spot and suddenly with all 4 QB's active landed a paltry 7.75. 3 of my 4 put up their lowest score of the year. All at the same time. Cam Ward's 7.75 counted for the 3rd consecutive week after never contributing before week 11.

RB - This group had finally gained some momentum and put up an average score this week plus contributed to both of my flex scores. Chase Brown counted for the 7th consecutive week and Henderson for the 5th straight. What I thought would be my downfall turned out to be my a strength at the end.

WR - What a debacle this was. JSN, DJ Moore, Keenan Allen & Franklin all fell well short of their average scores. The only positive was that Jalen Coker finally counted for the first time all year meaning that every single player contributed at least once...but to no avail as most of my team decided not to show up. Egbuka's 8.2 pts ended up being my WR2.

TE - The only position to truly outpace my season average thanks to Ertz's 25.6. His score is the only one to break 20 and the high point of his season. I had gone with 4 cheaper options here and the volatility didn't lend itself to much flex help this week. Goedert & Taylor were in the 5's and Terrance Ferguson (0 pts for 3 straight weeks) ended up being a waste of $5 for the season with only 1 meaningless flex score in week 9.

PK - Another debacle similar to my QB's. Grupe got cut, and Loop & Boswell both up up their lowest scores of the year to net me a grand total of 2 points this week, more than 10 points below my weekly average.

TD - Average this week with MIA giving me 8 (season avg of 8.75 prior). Would definitely go with 4 cheap defenses again.
 
Thankfully I don't have to deal with the angst of only missing the cut in Week 10 and wishing that one time thing didn't happen.

Week 10 missed the cut
Week 11 would have missed the cut
Week 12 would have missed the cut
Week 13 would have missed the cut

So...when its time to go, its time to go. Yay.
Same boat basically. Barely missed Week 11. Would have missed Weeks 12 and 13 as well. Back to the drawing board, I guess.
 
Looking grim. No London or Benson. I’ll have a zero for my 2nd flex spot.

QB: Lawrence/Love
RB: ETN/Mason (Jones playing)
WR: Egbuka/Sutton
Flex: Hollywood Brown/Zero
TE: Chig
K: Mcpherson/Boswell
Def: GB/Arizona

Need some mega performances
 
Thankfully I don't have to deal with the angst of only missing the cut in Week 10 and wishing that one time thing didn't happen.

Week 10 missed the cut
Week 11 would have missed the cut
Week 12 would have missed the cut
Week 13 would have missed the cut

So...when its time to go, its time to go. Yay.
Same boat basically. Barely missed Week 11. Would have missed Weeks 12 and 13 as well. Back to the drawing board, I guess.
I just don't want to know ... it would make me cry to know that a SINGLE simple different player selection would have advanced me and potentially still be alive....
I know I barely missed Week 10 ... Just don't have the courage to look ...
 
Thankfully I don't have to deal with the angst of only missing the cut in Week 10 and wishing that one time thing didn't happen.

Week 10 missed the cut
Week 11 would have missed the cut
Week 12 would have missed the cut
Week 13 would have missed the cut

So...when its time to go, its time to go. Yay.
Same boat basically. Barely missed Week 11. Would have missed Weeks 12 and 13 as well. Back to the drawing board, I guess.
I just don't want to know ... it would make me cry to know that a SINGLE simple different player selection would have advanced me and potentially still be alive....
I know I barely missed Week 10 ... Just don't have the courage to look ...
If you had advanced you would have been cut the following week by 3 pts.
 
Thankfully I don't have to deal with the angst of only missing the cut in Week 10 and wishing that one time thing didn't happen.

Week 10 missed the cut
Week 11 would have missed the cut
Week 12 would have missed the cut
Week 13 would have missed the cut

So...when its time to go, its time to go. Yay.
Same boat basically. Barely missed Week 11. Would have missed Weeks 12 and 13 as well. Back to the drawing board, I guess.
I just don't want to know ... it would make me cry to know that a SINGLE simple different player selection would have advanced me and potentially still be alive....
I know I barely missed Week 10 ... Just don't have the courage to look ...
If you had advanced you would have been cut the following week by 3 pts.
That is reassuring!!
 
still alive… wow. This might be the end for me. My team doesn’t really have studs. But getting a free subscription after a decade of Contests would be cool. Guess tinkering on the last day paid off.

 
Projected for 132 this week. Hopefully enough to make the top 225 even if I don't advance.

I realize it doesn't make any difference, but glad to have 3 crappy bullets to fill in low scores on Monday night.
 
Looks like my roster is allergic to the end this week.

Likes like my survival comes down to Patty Mahommie not blowing chunks in primetime.
 
You're about 5 below, but you still have hope
QB - Mahomes counting after 21.25 (likely)
RB - Monangai counting after 7.6 (not likely unless TD)
WR - Keenan/Kirk/Hollywood/Dotson counting after 4.1/7.2/8.4 (very likely)
TE - Kelce counting after 10.2 (likely)
 
You're about 5 below, but you still have hope
QB - Mahomes counting after 21.25 (likely)
RB - Monangai counting after 7.6 (not likely unless TD)
WR - Keenan/Kirk/Hollywood/Dotson counting after 4.1/7.2/8.4 (very likely)
TE - Kelce counting after 10.2 (likely)
Hope...just wish they did have to clear 6 and 7 to count.
 
I've got 134.35 with only Woody Marks (-3.5) left. About 20 points above the cutoff with the Sunday night and MNF games still to come. Not loving my chances of getting to the final endgame but it's been a fun ride regardless. Here's hoping Woody goes off.
 
still alive… wow. This might be the end for me. My team doesn’t really have studs. But getting a free subscription after a decade of Contests would be cool. Guess tinkering on the last day paid off.


Wow. I made it… first time in over a decade of this contest.
Same here. I've been entering this contest since the beginning. First time I've made it this far.
 
Based on some spot checking of teams near the line... Biggest Threats:Keenan Allen, Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers Defense. If the Chargers do poorly, the number shouldn't move too much.
 
How 'bout a career night from Ka'imi Fairbairn and that big, fat leg of his?

Well, that didn't happen; came up .5 from impacting my weekly tally.

One last bullet in the gun: Keenan Allen

Just a few short years ago (and a couple of months), my guy KA logged an 18/215, plus a TD pass in a win @ Vikings... later that same year, he notched an 11/175/2 vs Lions.

I'm going down swinging, damn it!!!
 

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