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ADP for Neil Rackers in 2006? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter gbill2004
- Start date
Bears_Man2
Footballguy
SkyRattlers
Anti-aliai
Rackers faded down the stretch and only finished as the #1 kicker in 2 out of 4 of my leagues. Why pump Rackers up when Feely had a just as good, if not better, season?
KnowledgeReignsSupreme
Footballguy
In a rush to, for once, prove themselves right, all the Manning 1.01 drafters take Rackers 1.01 in 2006.
Mike Herman
Footballguy
Over the past decade and a half, twelve teams have scored 140+ kicking points in a season. That includes Rackers and Feely this year. How did the previous ten fare in their follow-up year? They averaged 108 points (ranging from 91 to 124). Most recently, Vinatieri went from 141 two years ago to 100 this year.Rackers ADP next year will be too high.
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Okay, but to counter that, Rackers is such a weapon with his 50+ yard range. Doesn't that make him a consistent kicker stud next year as well? Did those other kickers have Rackers range? And unless Arizonas offense improves considerable next year, won't Rackers put up similar numbers again? The only reason Rackers slowed down at the end of this season, as one posted noted above, is because he got injured.
LOL! I wouldn't waste my time on any kicker, but the fact is that Rackers won many FF games single handedly this past season, and I thinks its important to determine if its a "shark move" to draft him next year, maybe earlier than one would typically draft a kicker...if he can win 2-4 games himself, thats big.
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Keys Myaths
Pokerguy
It's not.He wasn't even the best kicker this year.
Kickers' sucess in FF is not determined based off of how good they are, how strong their leg is, etc...
It's *solely* based on opportunities. Early in the year, Arizona could NOT score, but were always on the opponents' 30 or closer.
Therefore, Rackers got a TON of opportunities. That's all. And...it's nearly impossible to predict opportunities...and during the season, opportunities are all about matchups, so the 'shark' (I hate that word) move is to play the matchups all year long with different kickers.
Plus, even at the end of the year, kickers' scoring is so close, that even if you KNEW who would finish first, it's not a big enough advantage to warrant an early pick still.
So, to answer your question, the 'shark' (ugh) move is to leave kickers alone.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
"Too high" is the nimber that came to me right away, too. Despite the "don't draft a kicker high" thing, there's the whole reversion to the mean thing. Ask anyone who took Manning in the first round.
dickey moe
Fingerpicker
Piece of advice -- don't even think about drafting your kicker until the day of your draft.
Good advice here. In many leagues, drafting him any earlier than that would be against the rules.
Red Apples
Footballguy
somebody should lock all these kicking threads.
dickey moe
Fingerpicker
Touche'Good advice here. In many leagues, drafting him any earlier than that would be against the rules.
SSOG
Moderator
Fun stat for you guys. Guess how many kickers have finished in the top 10 in scoring for 3 or more consecutive years?Answer: Jason Elam. JUST Jason Elam.Prior to this season, I used to point out that Ryan Longwell had 3 straight top-10 seasons, David Akers had 6 straight top-10 seasons, and Elam had 8 straight top-10 seasons. These three guys were the closest thing to a "sure thing" that the NFL had to offer... and two of the three missed the top-10 this year.When drafting kickers, I have long maintained that Jason Elam should always be the first fantasy kicker taken. After that, throw some darts at a board in the final few rounds.By the way, with Gary Kubiak gone next season, it's very possible that next year, Jason Elam proves that even THAT much isn't true.
