Alexander or Bush (1 Viewer)

[cstu]

I pasted this from another thread, but this is pretty much my top 12-15 RB's.(dynasty of course):

1.LT

2.SJax

3.Bush

4.LJ

5.Gore

6.Addai

7.RBrown

8.Maroney

9.Peterson®

10.Westbrook

11.Jones-Drew

12.Parker

Mcgahee,Portis, and DWilliams would be close.

You are way too high on the young backs - how many guys flame out after a couple years? That you don't even have Portis in your top 12 is mind-boggling.

Thank you.Peterson over Westbrook and Portis is nothing short of ridiculous.

It very well may end up that way, but when i try to gauge each players production over the next 5-7 years, i cant help but to feel Peterson will have the better totals.

Gauging a dynasty rank 7 years out is a bit extreme for my taste,Unless you are focused solely on winning your 2014 league championship,

not to mention injury concerns for Peterson.

I have more of a medium term look towards my dynasty rankings.

Not solely, but i certainly take it into account. I dont want to win just one year, i want to win all of them.

A lot depends on roster sizes, but I think there's plenty of room on most rosters for older RB's and developmental guys that will be starters in a couple years.

 

[Burning Sensation]

I pasted this from another thread, but this is pretty much my top 12-15 RB's.(dynasty of course):

1.LT

2.SJax

3.Bush

4.LJ

5.Gore

6.Addai

7.RBrown

8.Maroney

9.Peterson®

10.Westbrook

11.Jones-Drew

12.Parker

Mcgahee,Portis, and DWilliams would be close.

You are way too high on the young backs - how many guys flame out after a couple years? That you don't even have Portis in your top 12 is mind-boggling.

Thank you.Peterson over Westbrook and Portis is nothing short of ridiculous.

It very well may end up that way, but when i try to gauge each players production over the next 5-7 years, i cant help but to feel Peterson will have the better totals.

Gauging a dynasty rank 7 years out is a bit extreme for my taste,Unless you are focused solely on winning your 2014 league championship,

not to mention injury concerns for Peterson.

I have more of a medium term look towards my dynasty rankings.

Not solely, but i certainly take it into account. I dont want to win just one year, i want to win all of them.

A lot depends on roster sizes, but I think there's plenty of room on most rosters for older RB's and developmental guys that will be starters in a couple years.

Please explain? Who can i develop on my bench to replace Alexander while he plummets into worthlessness?

 

[ILUVBEER99]

Some people are always going to make the mistake of drafting the 29-30 yr old RB's high in dynasties, nothing good can come from it since your passing up much younger top notch talent in the 1st/2nd rounds of drafts.

Years ago i asked those who were drafting Faulk/Holmes in the 1st round of startup dynasties to post their teams in a few years and i'd almost guarantee their teams suck now, not just because of that one mistake, but because someone with that approach in a dynasty is likely to make many more boneheaded mistakes as well.

 

[Burning Sensation]

Some people are always going to make the mistake of drafting the 29-30 yr old RB's high in dynasties, nothing good can come from it since your passing up much younger top notch talent in the 1st/2nd rounds of drafts.Years ago i asked those who were drafting Faulk/Holmes in the 1st round of startup dynasties to post their teams in a few years and i'd almost guarantee their teams suck now, not just because of that one mistake, but because someone with that approach in a dynasty is likely to make many more boneheaded mistakes as well.

I drew the 1.3 pick in a Zealots league last year. The exact spot i did NOT want to be in. The top 3 were pretty obvious last year(LT,SA, and LJ). Like i feared, i was sitting at 1.3 with LT and LJ off the board. I tried for 24 hours to trade the pick because i was not taking Alexander. Right before i was going to pick SJax, i got an offer for more than i would have asked for to move down 2 spots, and still got Jackson.Besides bragging, my point is had i not got that trade offer last minute, i would have been ridiculed, much like i have been in this thread, for taking SJax over SA. Ultimately, and in this case sooner than later, my team would be in bad shape had i taken SA where i was "supposed to".I dont want a guy after he has put up his best seasons, i want him during his best seasons.

 

[EBF]

Some people are always going to make the mistake of drafting the 29-30 yr old RB's high in dynasties, nothing good can come from it since your passing up much younger top notch talent in the 1st/2nd rounds of drafts.Years ago i asked those who were drafting Faulk/Holmes in the 1st round of startup dynasties to post their teams in a few years and i'd almost guarantee their teams suck now, not just because of that one mistake, but because someone with that approach in a dynasty is likely to make many more boneheaded mistakes as well.

I drew the 1.3 pick in a Zealots league last year. The exact spot i did NOT want to be in. The top 3 were pretty obvious last year(LT,SA, and LJ). Like i feared, i was sitting at 1.3 with LT and LJ off the board. I tried for 24 hours to trade the pick because i was not taking Alexander. Right before i was going to pick SJax, i got an offer for more than i would have asked for to move down 2 spots, and still got Jackson.Besides bragging, my point is had i not got that trade offer last minute, i would have been ridiculed, much like i have been in this thread, for taking SJax over SA. Ultimately, and in this case sooner than later, my team would be in bad shape had i taken SA where i was "supposed to".I dont want a guy after he has put up his best seasons, i want him during his best seasons.

The 1-2 greeat years theory just doesn't hold much weight with me. I think my ranking of Alexander would be closer to Couch Potato's 18 than Pasquino's 5. I agree that teams who draft these kind of players in the first few rounds almost inevitably suffer for it. The real problem with an old guy is not only that his play might fall off, but also that his trade value will plummet like a rock if he shows the slightest hints of wearing down (and even if he doesn't). On the flipside, even if a guy like Cadillac Williams or Joseph Addai doesn't put up a monster season, he'll probably still carry significant trade value in 2008. Hope springs eternal when it comes to highly-drafted young players. And while the on field performance of your players is ultimately more important than their on paper trade value, but I'd still argue that using your first round pick on a 30 year old RB is a losing play. This is also why I think you have to rank guys like Andre Johnson and Lee Evans over Marvin Harrison. The value of 4-10 potential good-to-great years is greater than the value of 3-4 probable good-to-great years.