Arian Foster vs. Mendenhall (1 Viewer)

[Mr. Nice Guy]

Looking for some input on a potential trade I am considering. It is the classic "would you rather" scenario with some trade offs:

League Format: 16 team keeper league. Non-PPR. Start 1 QB (6 pt. passing TDs), 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, K, D/ST. $48 salary cap (benchmarks: Foster = 16.6 pts, Mendenhall 11.0, etc.)

My current keepers would include:

Adrian Peterson

Mendenhall

Calvin Johnson

Michael Crabtree

Dallas Clark

My debate is this:

I have a trade offer on the table where I would send Mendenhall, a 5-11 pick, my 2012 5th, and my 11-11 for Foster. If I do the deal, I won't be able to keep Clark. Instead my keepers would be:

Adrian Peterson

Foster

Calvin Johnson

Michael Crabtree

Toby Gerhart

I like the idea of locking up the Vikes backfield but question losing Dallas in the process. My first pick in the draft is not until 2.14 so I will miss out on drafting Clark if I throw him back in (he will go later 1st / early 2nd).

My gut is telling me that Foster had a career year but will fall from the #1 fantasy back to scoring more in the top 5. I do worry about injury with him as well as the fact of him potentially being a 1 year wonder. But he has so much more explosive upside to go off in a given week. Mendenhall is a little more consistent, but doesn't have the same blow up factor.

Which of the above would you rather have?

Thanks!

 

[wiscstlatlmia]

Looking for some input on a potential trade I am considering. It is the classic "would you rather" scenario with some trade offs:League Format: 16 team keeper league. Non-PPR. Start 1 QB (6 pt. passing TDs), 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, K, D/ST. $48 salary cap (benchmarks: Foster = 16.6 pts, Mendenhall 11.0, etc.)My current keepers would include:Adrian PetersonMendenhallCalvin Johnson Michael CrabtreeDallas ClarkMy debate is this:I have a trade offer on the table where I would send Mendenhall, a 5-11 pick, my 2012 5th, and my 11-11 for Foster. If I do the deal, I won't be able to keep Clark. Instead my keepers would be:Adrian PetersonFosterCalvin Johnson Michael CrabtreeToby GerhartI like the idea of locking up the Vikes backfield but question losing Dallas in the process. My first pick in the draft is not until 2.14 so I will miss out on drafting Clark if I throw him back in (he will go later 1st / early 2nd).My gut is telling me that Foster had a career year but will fall from the #1 fantasy back to scoring more in the top 5. I do worry about injury with him as well as the fact of him potentially being a 1 year wonder. But he has so much more explosive upside to go off in a given week. Mendenhall is a little more consistent, but doesn't have the same blow up factor.Which of the above would you rather have? Thanks!

Hey man, this is a question for the assistant coach part of footballguys.com ... but to answer your question. i think you should keep clark instead of Gerhart and Crabtree. Clark is a solid player regardless and could give a larger advantage in the TE position even if crabtree puts up 1000 yards and is a solid wr2 this year(A wr2 is much easier to find than an elite TE). Not sure why Gerhart would even be thought of as a keeper when you have clark man... ADPFosterCalvinCrabbyClark...sounds like a wonderful combination to me.

 

[Jercules]

Looking for some input on a potential trade I am considering. It is the classic "would you rather" scenario with some trade offs:League Format: 16 team keeper league. Non-PPR. Start 1 QB (6 pt. passing TDs), 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, K, D/ST. $48 salary cap (benchmarks: Foster = 16.6 pts, Mendenhall 11.0, etc.)My current keepers would include:Adrian PetersonMendenhallCalvin Johnson Michael CrabtreeDallas ClarkMy debate is this:I have a trade offer on the table where I would send Mendenhall, a 5-11 pick, my 2012 5th, and my 11-11 for Foster. If I do the deal, I won't be able to keep Clark. Instead my keepers would be:Adrian PetersonFosterCalvin Johnson Michael CrabtreeToby GerhartI like the idea of locking up the Vikes backfield but question losing Dallas in the process. My first pick in the draft is not until 2.14 so I will miss out on drafting Clark if I throw him back in (he will go later 1st / early 2nd).My gut is telling me that Foster had a career year but will fall from the #1 fantasy back to scoring more in the top 5. I do worry about injury with him as well as the fact of him potentially being a 1 year wonder. But he has so much more explosive upside to go off in a given week. Mendenhall is a little more consistent, but doesn't have the same blow up factor.Which of the above would you rather have? Thanks!

First off, beware: Some putz is going to admonish you for posting this in the wrong forum. As for your question, I'd definitely take the deal. Your league sounds quite complex, but if it's anything like mine you've always got to swing for the fences. What's a 5th round pick really worth, a slightly-more-desirable backup QB? Clark is good but easily replaceable. Even with a good year out of him you can grab a guy off waivers who'll score only marginally less (Marcedes Lewis last year, this year, off the top of my head... Pettigrew).I'd be careful to fall into the 'rankings' trap as well. Foster was #1 by A LOT last year (4 ppg more than Peterson in my standard leagues; I think he was at least 7 ppg better than Mendenhall). You lose sight of that when you consider them only by ranking.In the end, don't overthink, just take the deal.

 

[Jercules]

i think you should keep clark instead of Gerhart and Crabtree.

I'm guessing Foster and Clark would put him over his cap.

 

[sihaokills]

Wrong forum

 

[Mr. Nice Guy]

Thanks for the input and the heads up about the assistant coach forum... this is my first ever post. I appreciate the instruction.

 

[Flying Elvis]

Adrian Peterson

Mendenhall

Calvin Johnson

Michael Crabtree

Dallas Clark

vs.

Adrian Peterson

Foster

Calvin Johnson

Michael Crabtree

Toby Gerhart

Tough call. I like the idea of having 4 top notch starters heading into the draft, but Foster has huge upside. He also has more competition at his position than Mendy. I'd be tempted to stand pat, personally. I don't think Foster will fall off the map like a true one-year wonder but I also don't see him repeating his 2010 dominance. It's just so rare that a guy retains that number one spot for consecutive years like LT of old.

If you release Crabtree would you be able to afford AP / Foster / Calvin / Clark? Crabs is not very dedicated (foot pain in his surgically repaired foot as of yesterday - link from today's email ) - and has huge Qs for his entire offense.

Overall, I like the trade from both sides. I think I'd take the solid 4 starters into the draft and let the other guy keep Foster. Making the trade comes with the added cost of replacing a true stud at TE, which would likely cost a 3rd round pick in a league where teams keep upwards of 6 players each. So you're really paying Mendy / 2011 3rd / 5th / 5th / 11th. (The 5th rd. picks are irrelevant in that format, imo, but still . . . )

Try shopping Dallas Clark around prior to the Foster/Mendy trade, as it could make your decision easier.

 

[Wyld Stallyns]

If you release Crabtree would you be able to afford AP / Foster / Calvin / Clark? Crabs is not very dedicated (foot pain in his surgically repaired foot as of yesterday - link from today's email ) - and has huge Qs for his entire offense.

Great question here.

 

[Flying Elvis]

If you release Crabtree would you be able to afford AP / Foster / Calvin / Clark? Crabs is not very dedicated (foot pain in his surgically repaired foot as of yesterday - link from today's email ) - and has huge Qs for his entire offense.

Great question here.

Thanks. It's an absolute no-brainer if AP / Foster / Calvin / Clark can be kept together. Take the deal, keep only those 4, ?, Profit!

 

[steelcityman]

Me, I would keep

Adrian Peterson

Mendenhall

Calvin Johnson

Michael Crabtree

Dallas Clark

Not 100% sold on Foster. I dont care for Crabtree, but you have him either way you go. Gerhart is useless IMO, even if ADP would get hurt. You have potentially 4 monsters on this team.

Maybe try to get another WR instead of Crabs.