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Atomic Punk - Mock Draft (1 Viewer)

Atomic Punk

Footballguy
2009 Atomic Punk Mock Draft

As I do every year, this mock will include projected trades. Sure they are hard to predict and many will say “there is no way in hell that will happen” … whatever … a mock with trades is just a lot more fun. After taking care of Mrs. Punk, this is the best way I could think of to spend my day off. Enjoy and fire away!

1. Detroit – Matt Stafford QB, Georgia

It is hard to argue with the notion that you win in the trenches and also hard to argue that the Lions are exceptionally devoid of talent in the trenches, but you do not pass up a franchise QB when your team has not had one in decades. The Lions have another first round pick to shore up either of their lines and they cannot be that delusional to think they can compete this year.

2. St. Louis Rams – Jason Smith OT, Baylor

The Rams luck out since their biggest need is also the best player available. They badly need to concentrate on the run game. Smith not only has the goods to protect Bulger’s blind side, but also open up holes for Jackson.

3. Kansas City – Aaron Curry LB, Wake Forrest

Another slam dunk pick where BPA meets major need. KC had the worst pass and porous run defense. Curry is not known for his pass rush skills, but his football smarts and overall versatility make this an easy pick for the Chiefs.

4. Seattle – Eugene Monroe OL, Virginia

The Seahawks are not as bad as their record indicates and should compete this year. However they still need to think long term and lock up an anchor at LT. Monroe could easily have gone first overall and is a steal for the Hawks.

5. Cleveland – Michael Crabtree WR, Texas Tech

Call this one a hunch. Mangini may be a “defense first” kind of guy, but it was their offence that really suffered last year. With Winslow traded to the Bucs and Edwards fighting the dropsies, the Browns could use a sure handed WR like Crabtree.

6. Denver – BJ Raji DT, Boston College

(To DEN #6 and #142 / To CIN - #12 and #48)

The Broncos need to give all of their draft attention to their defense since that was obviously their Achilles heel last year. They need to make sure they get their man by jumping ahead of Oakland and Seattle.

7. Green Bay – Andre Smith OT, Alabama

(To GB - #7 / To OAK - #9 and #83)

Green Bay uses the extra third they got from the Jets for Favre and get the OT they desperately need. Smith has some question marks, but game film doesn’t lie.

8. Jacksonville – Chris Wells RB, Ohio St.

Rumors have them interested in Sanchez, but I’m not buying that they have given up on Garrard just yet. This may seem like a strange pick, but we have seen these before and I can’t see a run first team going into the season with Jones-Drew alone. I could also see a trade down another team eyeballing Sanchez (Jets?).

9. Oakland – Jeremy Maclin WR, Missouri

(To OAK - #9 and #83 / To GB - #9)

The first few times I saw Maclin being picked in mocks for the Raiders, I was not all that thrilled as a Raider fan. The more I read about him and see him on film, the more I am getting used to the idea and think it is the right move, especially if they can pick up an extra third from the Pack.

10. San Francisco – Brian Orakpo OLB, Texas

He may be slipping on some boards, but I can see Singletary taking a liking to him and believing that he can turn him into a stud.

11. Buffalo – Everette Brown DE, Florida St.

The Bills are another team that may be tempted to trade down by a team that is high on Sanchez, but I think they will stand pat and improve their poor pass rush.

12. Cincinnati – Peria Jerry DT, Mississippi

(To CIN - #12 and #48 / To DEN #6 and #142)

The Bengals didn’t want to take a chance on Raji and felt confident they would still be able to fill their DT need by moving down and adding another first day pick from the Broncos.

13. Washington – Tyson Jackson DE, LSU

They may have some interest in Sanchez, but I’ll take the front office at their word for now that Campbell is their man. Jackson is a good fit for the Skins defense since they tend to use their ends to occupy blockers rather than pass rush.

14. New York Jets – Mark Sanchez QB, USC

(To NYJ - #14 / To NO - #17 and #76)

The Jets are worried about other teams (TB and Denver) jumping ahead of them and stealing Sanchez. Last year the Jets went for the aged vet in Favre, this year they go in the completely opposite direction and get the one year starter from USC.

15. Houston – Malcolm Jenkins CB/S, Ohio St.

The Texans need help all through their back seven and Jenkins should be considered a steal at the mid way point of the first round.

16. San Diego – Michael Oher OT, Mississippi

Hard not to give the Chargers Rey Maualuga, but they really need to get back to basics, which mean the run game and basic pass protection.

17. New Orleans – Clay Matthews LB, USC

(To NO - #17 and #76 / To NYJ - #14)

The Saints have not had decent LB play for some time and are choosing pedigree and intangibles over other highly skilled players at LB and CB.

18. Denver – Rey Maualuga LB, USC

If things fall this way, this draft could not have worked out any better for the Broncos. This would give them the much needed infusion of talent up the middle of their defense.

19. Arizona – Knowshon Moreno RB, Georgia

(To ARI - #19 / To TB - #31 and #63)

Arizona has to believe they are pretty close being in the Super Bowl and all, but they need to improve their running game if they intend on making it back.

20. Detroit – Brian Cushing LB, USC

The Lions really couldn’t screw this up, especially with Millen gone, but I think they would get their biggest bang for the buck with an improvement at LB.

21. New England – Aaron Maybin DE/OLB, Penn State

(To NE - #21 / To PHI - #47 and #58)

The Patriots like to maneuver up and down the draft board for the players they want and they are targeting certain players to shore up their back seven.

22. Minnesota – Alphonso Smith CB, Wake Forrest

Minny doesn’t have a lot of holes in their roster, but needs depth. Smith is a playmaker on defense, something the Vikes can use in the defensive backfield.

23. New England – James Laurinaitis LB, Ohio State

Teamed up with Mayo, this can be a fantastic inside linebacker duo. Linebackers back to back may be strange but there is a definite need.

24. Cincinnati – Eben Britton OT, Arizona

(To CIN - #24 / To ATL - #38 and #70)

The Bengals need help on the o-line almost as bad as any other team in the league and can afford to make the move with the extra pick obtained from the Broncos.

25. Miami – Vontae Davis CB, Illinois

The Dolphins cold use some help at WR and Harvin and Heyward-Bey are options, but I just can’t see Parcells pulling the trigger on a wideout.

26. Baltimore – Conner Barwin OLB/DE

Maybe a bit of a reach, but he seems to be a hot commodity and rising up a lot of draft boards.

27. Indianapolis – Ziggy Hood DT, Missouri

Many mocks have the colts going wide receiver, and that is a distinct possibility, but I think they need to keep trying to shore up the middle of the defense.

28. Philadelphia – Donald Brown RB, UConn

I know, I know, the Eagles don’t draft skill players in the first round. I think they cannot afford not to this year.

29. New York Giants – Darrius Heyward-Bey WR, Maryland

With Shockey, Burress and Toomer all long gone, the Giants need to add some playmakers on offense.

30. Tennessee - Brandon Pettigrew TE, Oklahoma State

Wide receiver is also a possibility, but the Titans rely on the tight end more than most. With Scaife a free agent, Crumpler is not the answer long term.

31. Tampa Bay – Josh Freeman QB, Kansas State

(To TB - #31 and #63 / To ARI - #19)

The Bucs trade down and still get their QB of the future and an additional pick.

32. Pittsburgh – Robert Ayers DE, Tennessee

Almost went for Mack, but some depth at DE is needed.

 
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7. Green Bay – Andre Smith OT, Alabama

(To GB - #9 / To OAK - #9 and #83)

Green Bay uses the extra third they got from the Jets for Favre and get the OT they desperately need. Smith has some question marks, but game film doesn’t lie.

I don't see Ted trading a 3rd to do this. That's too high.

After the Browns passed on Orakpo I think he would wait to see if he falls. Trading picks to him is like giving his children away. :confused:

 
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I realize that Thompson's tendency is to not trade up, and in fact, trade down, but the way this draft unfolds the top two tackles are off the board early. With the Jaguars in desperate need of an OT also, I think he makes the move to get the guy he needs and is rumored to be interested in.

 
Atomic Punk said:
2009 Atomic Punk Mock Draft

6. Denver – BJ Raji DT, Boston College

(To DEN #6 and #142 / To CIN - #12 and #48)

The Broncos need to give all of their draft attention to their defense since that was obviously their Achilles heel last year. They need to make sure they get their man by jumping ahead of Oakland and Seattle.
I haven't seen a lot of mocks predicting Raji to the Raiders. Raiders have many needs so I guess it is possible. And by jumping ahead of Seattle - you must mean Green Bay.
 
I like the fact that you are predicting trades, but in my opinion, there's no way there will be that many trades in the 1st round alone

 
I like your out of the box thinking. I can't stand it when people start saying negative things about one's opinions on a mock because NONE OF US KNOW WHAT THE HELL OUR TEAMS ARE THINKING!!!!!

Every year I think I have a good handle on how the top 15 will look and every year I am shocked how wrong I am.

 
Atomic Punk said:
2009 Atomic Punk Mock Draft

6. Denver – BJ Raji DT, Boston College

(To DEN #6 and #142 / To CIN - #12 and #48)

The Broncos need to give all of their draft attention to their defense since that was obviously their Achilles heel last year. They need to make sure they get their man by jumping ahead of Oakland and Seattle.
I haven't seen a lot of mocks predicting Raji to the Raiders. Raiders have many needs so I guess it is possible. And by jumping ahead of Seattle - you must mean Green Bay.
They are out there. DT is a bigger need, potentially, than OT. Beyond the WRs, I would say Raji or Orakpo are the most likely.Agree that's a lot of trades in the first.

 
Atomic Punk said:
2009 Atomic Punk Mock Draft

6. Denver – BJ Raji DT, Boston College

(To DEN #6 and #142 / To CIN - #12 and #48)

The Broncos need to give all of their draft attention to their defense since that was obviously their Achilles heel last year. They need to make sure they get their man by jumping ahead of Oakland and Seattle.
I haven't seen a lot of mocks predicting Raji to the Raiders. Raiders have many needs so I guess it is possible. And by jumping ahead of Seattle - you must mean Green Bay.
The Raiders need help at DT badly IMO, but you are correct that I should have said Green Bay instead of Seattle.
 
Atomic Punk said:
2009 Atomic Punk Mock Draft

6. Denver – BJ Raji DT, Boston College

(To DEN #6 and #142 / To CIN - #12 and #48)

The Broncos need to give all of their draft attention to their defense since that was obviously their Achilles heel last year. They need to make sure they get their man by jumping ahead of Oakland and Seattle.
I haven't seen a lot of mocks predicting Raji to the Raiders. Raiders have many needs so I guess it is possible. And by jumping ahead of Seattle - you must mean Green Bay.
They are out there. DT is a bigger need, potentially, than OT. Beyond the WRs, I would say Raji or Orakpo are the most likely.Agree that's a lot of trades in the first.
I agree that it it may be 1 or 2 too many trades, but I believe there are an average of 4-6 trades in the first round per year so the six I predeicted here are only on the outer edge of the "norm".As for the Raiders, I don't see them going OT anymore now that they signed Barnes and are very high on Mario Henderson. If they don't go WR, you can bet that they will likely go DT or DE.

 
I like the Bengals trade back... but since they just signed Tank Johnson, they don't have a need or roster spot for Jerry.

 
I like your out of the box thinking. I can't stand it when people start saying negative things about one's opinions on a mock because NONE OF US KNOW WHAT THE HELL OUR TEAMS ARE THINKING!!!!!Every year I think I have a good handle on how the top 15 will look and every year I am shocked how wrong I am.
We may not know who he'll pick but do know he needs a lot of players to move to the 3-4.I know Thompson is looking for more picks not fewer. He went through hell over the Favre fiasco. He's not giving that pick away to move 2 spots. He did a nice job in this mock but that trade doesn't work for most of us Packer fans.
 
rzrback77 said:
(n the road again, going back to arkansa to see about my dad. PMs on the phone are a challenge, but since i have two, i will assume that dpeease has timed out and i am up.Donald Lee TE Packersplease PM next for me.
Soon after I made my last pick and looked at my cheatsheet notes...I kicked myself and remembered, oh yeah, I was going to take Lee. :lmao:
Mock drafts w/ trades are always my favorite to look at. It's so hard to predict trades, but they are fun to play around with...In regards to yours, Atomic, there's a few things I like and a few I don't see happening:1) Don't see GB trading up, like others say2) I like the gutsy call of Cleveland nabbing Crabtree. You're dead on that the concern with Edwards and his "dropsies" and the trading of Winslow means their passing game is almost nil. They need another weapon, and Crabtree would be huge. Not sure I see it happening, but I think it makes perfect sense.3) ARGH, every draft seems to have Stafford at #1. I REALLY hope my Lions don't grab him. He's decent, and I REALLY hope I'm wrong about him, but it won't matter if you have Manning or Brady there. They would get absolutely KILLED behind that horrendous line. We have got to start now with rebuilding that line. And why not the top OT in the draft?4) I don't see Jax taking Wells. I think they are willing to give MJD a chance to be "the guy" and they'll have Greg Jones and others spell him this year. I DO see them taking a defensive linemen though. Their defense was poor last year. Losing Stroud and others hurt them more than they think...5) I could see Denver jumping up to take a defensive player like that. They might have to give up more than that though to move to #6 though.6) If Sanchez lasts up until Washington's pick, I don't see the Redskins passing on him. I don't see the Jets getting to him...7) Picking San Diego's, I think, will be one of the hardest to predict this year. They have a lot of great talent on that team, and trying to nail their achillie's heel is tough to figure out. I'm thinking defensive line is what they need. But people are all over the place with what they'll go with. Being an LT owner in my main league, I hope you're right about Oher! Many have them taking Moreno though..8) I can definitely see Detroit taking the best available LB with #20. I suppose Cushing could be that guy...9) Don't see NE trading up like that. And they would need to give up more than that to get the #21 pick.10) Don't see Freeman dropping all the way to #31, and Tampa being lucky enough to trade down AND still nab him... would be funny to watch though!
 
I like your out of the box thinking. I can't stand it when people start saying negative things about one's opinions on a mock because NONE OF US KNOW WHAT THE HELL OUR TEAMS ARE THINKING!!!!!Every year I think I have a good handle on how the top 15 will look and every year I am shocked how wrong I am.
We may not know who he'll pick but do know he needs a lot of players to move to the 3-4.I know Thompson is looking for more picks not fewer. He went through hell over the Favre fiasco. He's not giving that pick away to move 2 spots. He did a nice job in this mock but that trade doesn't work for most of us Packer fans.
Fair enough. I had a tough time with the GB pick and their shift to a 3-4. I have also heard some talk about their interest in Smith at OT and I do not believe Smith would pass by JAX. I suppose they may try to drop and take a pass rushing OLB and then one of the second tier OT later at the bottom of round one or top of round two.
 
rzrback77 said:
(n the road again, going back to arkansa to see about my dad. PMs on the phone are a challenge, but since i have two, i will assume that dpeease has timed out and i am up.Donald Lee TE Packersplease PM next for me.
Soon after I made my last pick and looked at my cheatsheet notes...I kicked myself and remembered, oh yeah, I was going to take Lee. :shrug:
Mock drafts w/ trades are always my favorite to look at. It's so hard to predict trades, but they are fun to play around with...In regards to yours, Atomic, there's a few things I like and a few I don't see happening:1) Don't see GB trading up, like others say2) I like the gutsy call of Cleveland nabbing Crabtree. You're dead on that the concern with Edwards and his "dropsies" and the trading of Winslow means their passing game is almost nil. They need another weapon, and Crabtree would be huge. Not sure I see it happening, but I think it makes perfect sense.3) ARGH, every draft seems to have Stafford at #1. I REALLY hope my Lions don't grab him. He's decent, and I REALLY hope I'm wrong about him, but it won't matter if you have Manning or Brady there. They would get absolutely KILLED behind that horrendous line. We have got to start now with rebuilding that line. And why not the top OT in the draft?4) I don't see Jax taking Wells. I think they are willing to give MJD a chance to be "the guy" and they'll have Greg Jones and others spell him this year. I DO see them taking a defensive linemen though. Their defense was poor last year. Losing Stroud and others hurt them more than they think...5) I could see Denver jumping up to take a defensive player like that. They might have to give up more than that though to move to #6 though.6) If Sanchez lasts up until Washington's pick, I don't see the Redskins passing on him. I don't see the Jets getting to him...7) Picking San Diego's, I think, will be one of the hardest to predict this year. They have a lot of great talent on that team, and trying to nail their achillie's heel is tough to figure out. I'm thinking defensive line is what they need. But people are all over the place with what they'll go with. Being an LT owner in my main league, I hope you're right about Oher! Many have them taking Moreno though..8) I can definitely see Detroit taking the best available LB with #20. I suppose Cushing could be that guy...9) Don't see NE trading up like that. And they would need to give up more than that to get the #21 pick.10) Don't see Freeman dropping all the way to #31, and Tampa being lucky enough to trade down AND still nab him... would be funny to watch though!
Thanks for the comments. I actually like the Jaguars pick of Wells and could actually see it happening given their tendencies and lack of RB depth. I also agree that Det would be better served going in another direction short term, but long term I think they really need to fill that long standing void at QB.BTW ... All of the trades meet the scrutiny of the trade value chart. That doesn't mean they are all possible, but I think they are at least realistic.
 
Atomic Punk said:
21. New England – Aaron Maybin DE/OLB, Penn State

(To NE - #21 / To PHI - #47 and #58)

The Patriots like to maneuver up and down the draft board for the players they want and they are targeting certain players to shore up their back seven.

23. New England – James Laurinaitis LB, Ohio State

Teamed up with Mayo, this can be a fantastic inside linebacker duo. Linebackers back to back may be strange but there is a definite need.
And they keep the #34? Wow.
 
Atomic Punk said:
21. New England – Aaron Maybin DE/OLB, Penn State

(To NE - #21 / To PHI - #47 and #58)

The Patriots like to maneuver up and down the draft board for the players they want and they are targeting certain players to shore up their back seven.

23. New England – James Laurinaitis LB, Ohio State

Teamed up with Mayo, this can be a fantastic inside linebacker duo. Linebackers back to back may be strange but there is a definite need.
And they keep the #34? Wow.
I suppose they may have to throw in a 5th round pick too since the #21 is worth 800 and the #47 and #58 are worth 750. Another option would be for them to trade the #34 and #58 and obtain a 5th rounder back from Philly to even it out.This type of exceptional trading is why many hate the Patriots. :P

 
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I like your out of the box thinking. I can't stand it when people start saying negative things about one's opinions on a mock because NONE OF US KNOW WHAT THE HELL OUR TEAMS ARE THINKING!!!!!Every year I think I have a good handle on how the top 15 will look and every year I am shocked how wrong I am.
We may not know who he'll pick but do know he needs a lot of players to move to the 3-4.I know Thompson is looking for more picks not fewer. He went through hell over the Favre fiasco. He's not giving that pick away to move 2 spots. He did a nice job in this mock but that trade doesn't work for most of us Packer fans.
Fair enough. I had a tough time with the GB pick and their shift to a 3-4. I have also heard some talk about their interest in Smith at OT and I do not believe Smith would pass by JAX. I suppose they may try to drop and take a pass rushing OLB and then one of the second tier OT later at the bottom of round one or top of round two.
Word out of GB is they won't pass on Raji if he's there. They don't like FSU DE's so Brown would be a no. They may grab a NT later and grab DE's and OLB's in the first couple of rounds. I think they'll trade down a few spots unless someone great falls. Several mocks have them grabbing an OT later maybe Kropog. They seem to like Orakpo, Tyson Jackson and Clay Matthews, but picking players Ted likes is hard. It's easier to guess they won't trade a 3rd rounder because Ted treasures draft picks. Guessing who Ted will pick is harder than guessing he won't trade a 3rd rounder to move up a few spots. I know the trade chart is sometimes used but they don't like FA and need more picks if anything.As for Jax I like them using Greg Jones this year. This is a good mock for comments because you have so many trades.
 
I like your out of the box thinking. I can't stand it when people start saying negative things about one's opinions on a mock because NONE OF US KNOW WHAT THE HELL OUR TEAMS ARE THINKING!!!!!Every year I think I have a good handle on how the top 15 will look and every year I am shocked how wrong I am.
:thumbup: Nice mock Atomic Punk, love the fact you put yourself out there and have tried to predict trades because they will happen in the first round, I sure you will nail at least one trade.Personally I don't see Green Bay passing on their defensive needs for an OT since the cupboard looks so bare with their move to the 3-4.Love your call on Crabtree to the Browns, that one is making more and more sense to me.I think a Denver trade is almost a certainty, how they make those moves though I really am not sure. Your defensive choices also make a lot of sense to me though if they moved up the ensure they got Sanchez, that wouldn't surprise me either.The Arizona trade up to get ahead of Philly & San Diego makes a lot of sense especially if another RB goes early.Edit to add, I hope your wrong on the Niners pick and they take Michael Oher at 10
 
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Hopefully I have some time to do a version two, as there are a few things that I am second quessing myself about (GB's pick in particular) and I'd also like to complete the second round.

Keep the comments coming. :thumbup:

 
First of all, kudos for trying to predict trades.

If things unfold as you've laid out, I can't see Jax selecting Beanie Wells with their pick. As previously mentioned, I am also of the opinion that they may try to use MJD as the workhorse and not use as much 2 RB workloads as they did with Tayler & MJD. But if they did, I can see them rotating in some combination of Greg Jones, Montel Owens, and Chauncey Washington depending on which players becomes more effective for them.

If Green Bay and Oakland do make that trade so that they exchange positions around Jax and GB takes Andre Smith, I see Jacksonville taking Maclin right ahead of Oakland. I think Oakland takes a huge gamble making that trade because Jax definitely could use the WR. I think Oakland has to draft ahead of Jax if they really want to draft a WR.

As for Arizona, I agree they need help at runningback if they hope to get back to the Superbowl, but if they trade up, I think they'll trade up to get help on the defensive side of the ball. It was the defence that let them down late in the game against the Steelers.

Christopher

 
Jax would go OT I'd think as it's such a big need.

I see KC going OT if they can't trade down over Curry. As he's not an explosive pass rusher he's just not the same PBA as a true bookend OT. The reason for the shotgun formations was as much the horrid OL as for Thigpen. They'll want to protect their new investment and can still got viable LB depth in the 3rd. Ideally they trade down and still get an OT but use the extra pick to move up from the 3rd.

Arizona wouldn't need to trade up to take a RB ... if anything they should trade down.

If Dallas loses Austin and signs Matt Jones they will be in the market to trade up for defense with 11 picks and only wanting to draft maybe 7.

 
I like what you've done here... nice surprises throughout the draft, as undoubtedly there will be a few... as long as Britton is out there, NE would need to give more to PHI than what you have listed

 
Really think Buffalo and Philly make a trade for Jason Peters.
Has there been a lot of noise about this? It makes some sense if the Bills are souring on him, but I didn't think they would give up on him yet.
I've heard rumors of a 1st and a third for Peters. Don't know which first. I don't know if I would do that or not. Maybe counter with a 28th and a 4th. peters seems very immature and injury prone, plus he'll want to be paid big money if he is going to play nice.
 
I don't see the Packers taking an offensive player with their first pick. Perhaps not anywhere in their first three.

I suspect their first pick will be DE or OLB, perhaps DT (although that might be admitting Harrel was a bust, it is still a need moving to 3-4). So I see Raji, Orakpo, or Tyson Jackson at 9.

I then see a CB as one of the other top 3 picks.

An OT in the 2nd or 3rd would not be out of line, as long as ONE of the other picks were a CB.

 
Jax would go OT I'd think as it's such a big need.I see KC going OT if they can't trade down over Curry. As he's not an explosive pass rusher he's just not the same PBA as a true bookend OT. The reason for the shotgun formations was as much the horrid OL as for Thigpen. They'll want to protect their new investment and can still got viable LB depth in the 3rd. Ideally they trade down and still get an OT but use the extra pick to move up from the 3rd.Arizona wouldn't need to trade up to take a RB ... if anything they should trade down.If Dallas loses Austin and signs Matt Jones they will be in the market to trade up for defense with 11 picks and only wanting to draft maybe 7.
The Curry to KC pick seems to be the concensus pick. Although I also picked him in this mock, I don't necessarily disagree with your line of thinking.I hadn't given Dallas much thought since they don't have a first round pick. Do you see them trying to move into the bottom third of the first?
 

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