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Best draft slot? 8,9,11 or 12...12 team league (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Efritch4
- Start date
Borden
Footballguy
I'm sure it's different for everyone and switches every year but for me I always want the ends or as close to it as possible. For this question, I'd want 12th then 11th and so on.
I've found that usually I get at least one of the two picks is value and the other you don't miss out on guys as much because you're thinking "oh my guy will make it back to me". You just go get the guy you want with that second pick. The two other things I like are 1) You can pay more attention to who and how everyone else is drafting because you aren't constantly having to get your next pick ready. 2) You can be the one that sparks a run on a position easier.
I've found that usually I get at least one of the two picks is value and the other you don't miss out on guys as much because you're thinking "oh my guy will make it back to me". You just go get the guy you want with that second pick. The two other things I like are 1) You can pay more attention to who and how everyone else is drafting because you aren't constantly having to get your next pick ready. 2) You can be the one that sparks a run on a position easier.
fightingillini
Footballguy
I agree in many years.....but not this year.
My preference is 9,8,12,11. IMO, the 11 is the worst spot on the grid. You miss out on the top 5 RBs (DJ, Bell, Elliott, Gordon, McCoy) and the top 5 WRs (Brown, OBJ, Julio, Evans, Green). What do you do at 11? Take Ajayi? Freeman? Nelson? Thomas? Hilton? I hate having to pick from one of those for my 1st round pick.
In general, it depends on your tiers. For me, I have DJ, Bell and Zeke in tier 1, McCoy and Gordon in tier 2, and Brown, OBJ, Julio, Evans, and Green in WR tier 1. I have about 5 RBs in RB tier 3, and about 6 WRs in WR tier 2. So at 11 you get zero value. Picking 8 or 9 guarantees of the top 10 players and you won't lose value in round 2.
Borden
Footballguy
Not to get too specific on this but McCoy was a 3rd round pick last year. He had the second highest TDs of his career last year and vaulted up to a top 5 RB this year. He had 1600+ yards and 14 TDs. This year he has a new coaching staff and is 29 years old. Freeman had 1500+ and 13 TDs last year. The year before Freeman had 1600+ and 14 TDs.
I bring this up only to say that I think there should be at least 11 in those top tiers. I almost every draft one of "your" guys will make it to you. At least in what I've found. So I'd take Freeman (or whoever falls) as my value pick and then Gurley as my reach pick but I don't expect anyone to else to take Gurley here.
Logically, "why not take the 8 spot and get Evans and Gurley at a better value?" Just because I feel I'm giving up to much advantage later in the draft. There's tier breaks all over the draft and I've found that trying to position my self draft spot for those breaks always goes wrong. I end up getting caught chasing runs or going with rankings to get "value" and end up missing out on my guy.
I bring this up only to say that I think there should be at least 11 in those top tiers. I almost every draft one of "your" guys will make it to you. At least in what I've found. So I'd take Freeman (or whoever falls) as my value pick and then Gurley as my reach pick but I don't expect anyone to else to take Gurley here.
Logically, "why not take the 8 spot and get Evans and Gurley at a better value?" Just because I feel I'm giving up to much advantage later in the draft. There's tier breaks all over the draft and I've found that trying to position my self draft spot for those breaks always goes wrong. I end up getting caught chasing runs or going with rankings to get "value" and end up missing out on my guy.
I always prefer to be on the end. I hate being in the middle as I can plan picks better and follow the draft better to see trends and get ahead of things. I find my teams are a lot more complimentary when I am on an end because I can plan the picks better. When I get stuck in the middle every pick is by itself and doesn't seem to be put together as well.
For your specific question it comes down to your target player. If you have a tier of 8 and really want one of those guys then I would go with 8 but if you have a tier of 7 or less or more than 8 or 9 then I would go later starting at 12 and working backwards.
In then end it really doesn't matter. Get in a spot you are most comfortable with based on your tiers and roll with it.
For your specific question it comes down to your target player. If you have a tier of 8 and really want one of those guys then I would go with 8 but if you have a tier of 7 or less or more than 8 or 9 then I would go later starting at 12 and working backwards.
In then end it really doesn't matter. Get in a spot you are most comfortable with based on your tiers and roll with it.