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Breaking down the Packers passing game (1 Viewer)

jafo

Out of Mind
I was looking over some game logs and noticed a few things that caught my attention. I'm going to focus only on Favre, Driver, and Jennings; as they seem to be the focal point of the passing attack.

Game 1 vs. Chicago (Tough Match up)

Favre - 170 Yards, 0 TDs, 2 INT

Jennings - 1/5, 0 TDs (6 Targets)

Driver - 7/96, 0 TDs (11 Targets)

Granted this was a tough match up as the Bears are giving up only 158.4 passing YPG. Favre was still able to get the ball to Driver, who had a decent game. Jennings didn't do too much in his NFL debut, I'm not even sure if he started the game.

Game 2 vs. New Orleans

Favre - 340 Yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT

Jennings - 6/67, 1 TD (12 Targets)

Driver - 8/153, 0 TDs (10 Targets)

The passing game exploded on a team that is giving up on average 182.2 passing YPG. Not the easiest of match ups but the Packers had no problem here. Jennings became much more involved in the offense this week while Driver had about the same number of targets as Week 1.

Game 3 vs. Detroit (Easy Match up)

Favre - 340 Yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT

Jennings - 3/101, 1 TD (5 targets)

Driver - 3/20, 1 TD (9 targets)

Detroit is about last in the league in passing yards allowed, giving up on average 265.8 YPG. This was an easy match up for the Packers and they took advantage of it. Jennings didn't see as many targets this week, but he didn't seem to need them, after hauling in a 75 Yard TD reception in the 1st Quarter. Driver had about the same number of targets as previous weeks.

Game 4 vs. Philly

Favre - 205 Yards, 0 TDs, 0 INT

Jennings - 5/86, 0 TDs (10 Targets)

Driver - 5/50, 0 TDs (12 Targets)

Philly has allowed 230.0 passing YPG, and the Packers seemed to fall in line with that average. What I'm noticing here is Jennings is starting to get involved as much as Driver in the offense.

Game 5 vs. St. Louis

Favre - 220 Yards, 1 TD, 0 INT

Jennings - 5/105, 1 TD (10 Targets)

Driver - 3/24, 0 TDs (6 Targets)

St. Louis has been average defending the pass, giving up 213.8 YPG. Driver was clearly limited in this game and his targets took a hit. Jennings received the same number of targets as the previous week and posted similar results, while hauling in a 46 yard TD reception.

A look ahead:

Week 6 BYE

Week 7 @ MIA

Week 8 ARI

Week 9 @ BUF

The schedule ahead seems favorable for the passing game. Driver should be healthy coming off the bye week, and I expect Jennings will continue to receive ~10 targets a game. He has clearly become a larger part of the offense (43 Targets), regardless if Driver (48 Targets) has been limited or not.

Looking at the playoff schedule sees a couple favorable match ups.

Week 14 @ SF (defense ranked 26th)

Week 15 DET (defense ranked 28th)

Week 16 MIN (defense ranked 7th)

I think the good move here is to trade for Driver or Jennings, whoever you can get cheaper. I expect them to post similar numbers for the rest of the season, so whoever you can get cheaper I would jump on. I believe that Jennings is becoming the new Javon Walker for the Packers, and I would not be surprised to see him post higher numbers than Driver by the seasons end.

As always, Favre is the wild card. If he can exploit the defense expect to see good numbers from Driver & Jennings for the rest of the year.

 
Nice post. Thanks. I have Driver and Jennings in a dynasty league and I am looking to move Driver. And to be honest, if it was a redraft, I'd probably look to move Driver as well. Jennings sees nearly as many targets, is the main deep threat, and appears to have less injury concerns than driver.

 

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