C.Dillon dynasty owners............ (1 Viewer)

[THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA]

Whats C.Dillon outlook for this season?

Bettis type role. Most seem to think they will draft a rook, and i do too....with that being said he will probaly still start if healthy..

Will he be a td monster like S.Davis was last year....

Thats my thinking... maybe 600-800yds 10td's?

what yall think?

 

[aposulli]

Whats C.Dillon outlook for this season?

Bettis type role. Most seem to think they will draft a rook, and i do too....with that being said he will probaly still start if healthy..

Will he be a td monster like S.Davis was last year....

Thats my thinking... maybe 600-800yds 10td's?

what yall think?

As a Dillon owner (in a keeper) and a Pats homer, I pay alot of attn to this guy.Although injuries may be a concern due to wear and tear, I expect 1,000 yards this year. Unless they draft D'Angelo Williams which I don't see them doing.

Yes they will draft a RB, but maybe not until the 3rd round... and nobody besides Mayyybe D.Williams would be seeing a significant amount of the carries next year.

10 TDs is certainly not out of the question, but I'd give him 8-10 just because Brady is so efficient in the redzone, they arent afraid to pass.

So fantasy-wise he should have an average RB2 stats, assuming no PPR.

2007 and beyond is another story...

I woud shy away in dynasty leagues, though he might be underated in redrafts

So I wouldnt call him Bettis, but definitly would call him the 2005 Jamal Lewis in '06 with 8-10 TDs... and as bad as Lewis looked, he had 900 rush yards (only 3 rush TDs)

 

[SoloMatisse]

Dynasty...forget about it. One more solid year is all you can hope for. This is probably his last run with the Pats. I think without a doubt, this year he'll still be the man in NE, but next year Id expect a Mike Andeson situation. Even if NE wins it all again, you remember what happened to Anotwoin Smith....coming off a championship. Its an interesting question as to how much NE will lean on Dillon this year. Id expect they wont try and wear him out. There will be certain games where I think they may. But overall, Id expect them to think 'big picture' and use the committee approach to offer a little more relief than expected. Id think 1000yds and 12TDs is in the ballpark if he plays in 14plus games. But theres almost no point in trading him unless you can get atleast some value for him. Right now, he's probably worth more on your team than he would be in a trade.

 

[THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA]

I agree....most wouldnt trade a 1st rounder for him so im better off with him as my rb2. I am taking that angle....

 

[Boston]

Tough to really put a value on him until the smoke clears from the draft. I can see the Pats doing anything from using their #1 on a RB to not even drafting a RB. Remember, BB won two titles with Antowain at RB and the second one he was coming off a very subpar year where everyone thought they would add another RB but didn't. Therefore while I really hope they bring in a young pair of legs it's not a given like everyone assumes. I do know that they have interviewed a ton of RB prospects so I'd lean in the direction of adding one if I had to guess.

As for Dillon the thing that scares me the most is he did not look good in the games before his injuries (the injuries we know about). If he had I would be a lot more optimistic about him. Since the Pats are incredibly tight-lipped with injury info we'll never know if he went into the season with nagging injuries or not. Yet, one thing is for sure...he didn't run with the same ferocity he did the year before. Granted the O line was really beaten up but he just didn't look like the same guy and anytime a RB is over 30 that has to be a concern.

I'd love to give a better answer but Dillon is just a big mystery right now. I could see anything from 800 to 1400 yards. There's that much of a gap in what he could do. Due to that I'd probably base his value on what they do in the draft. The higher the pick the lesser the value for Dillon and vice versa. There is a good chance that his TD totals will be solid regardless of what happens and that's always a fantasy plus.

 

[weasel3515]

Agree with SoloMatisse, this will probably be his last run with the Pats in a starter role. That said, IF he can stay healthy, I think Dillon will have a bounce-back year from last year's disappointment. Look at the schedule. New England only plays two teams who ranked in the top-10 in rush defense (Denver and Chicago) last year and they get both of them at home. In addition, the Pats get to play 4 games against teams that ranked in the bottom-10 in rush defense (the Jets twice, @ Green Bay and home against Houston week 16-a playoff week in fantasy football). I think that shows a tremendous upside so I'm hoping he'll last until the 3rd round based on last year's injuries so I can grab him.

 

[trader jake]

I agree....most wouldnt trade a 1st rounder for him so im better off with him as my rb2. I am taking that angle....

depends on the team in question. if the team is ready to win now and is in need of a startable RB for the 06' season they would be foolish not to trade their 1st round pick to add dillon (this assumes that their pick is a low 1st rounder this season or expected lower 1st in 07')you might be able to add that pick for him and if your team isn't a win now team (or really stacked at RB) i'd see this as a nice win-win swap

 

[Big Score]

I'm thinking the wheels are falling off.

For years he was the only good thing in Cincy. They rode him hard & put him up wet.

That last year in Cincy we started seeing the wear & tear taking it's toll with him missing a lot of games.

Then he had a fairly injury free 1st season in N.E., but still missed a couple of games.

Last year more injuries.

Age, high mileage, his type running style = The End is Nigh

 

[Sinrman]

Been trying to unload Dillon in the remaining few leagues I have him. He still has some value, but he continues to diminish each year, and continues to drastically go down. If it hasn't already hit that level where you cannot get rid of him for anything more than a crap pick, you may as well hang on to him and ride him into the ground...

 

[MU Seminole]

Even with the injuries (wasn't he banged all season even before missing games) he finished with 12 rushing TDs and 13 total TDs in 11 games, averaging about 80 total yards per game. That's really pretty good and I'll happily take that from my RB2.

I do expect NE to take a RB but most mocks I've seen don't have it in Rd 1. I'd see a timeshare with Dillon starting (especially early in the season) and getting the red zone looks and bulk of the work.

I expect him to be an OK RB2 in '06 but not much more. I don't expect much in '07 and beyond. I totally agree with others that in dynasty he's more valuable on your team than in a trade.

 

[CommuterMan]

Just picked him up tonight (5.10) in a new dynasty league draft. I think the value is about right and hopefully I'll get 2+ years from him...

 

[Ron_Mexico]

I was happy to unload him. He's got little left in the tank.

He doesn't hit the holes with the power he used to,

and more importantly, he can no longer beat defenders

to the outside. Unfortunately, the sun is setting on Corey Dillon.

 

[cracKer]

he continues to diminish each year, and continues to drastically go down.

Continues? Just two years ago he posted career highs across the board. It's obvious that you (and many) think that he'll continue to diminish this year, but he's coming off of a single bad season.

 

[Sinrman]

he continues to diminish each year, and continues to drastically go down.

Continues? Just two years ago he posted career highs across the board. It's obvious that you (and many) think that he'll continue to diminish this year, but he's coming off of a single bad season.

He'll also be 32 in October. Two out of the last three years he's not been able to finish the full season, so injuries are a concern. As a fantasy owner, I'm worried. Does he hold some value still? Sure -- hence why I said that if you can't get anything decent for him, to just hold on to him and ride him into the ground. But his value IS going down with each and every season. In a redraft league, he wouldn't be a bad pickup in the mid-rounds. Keeper leagues, maybe a tad later, with you likely to not keep him for the next season. And dynasty leagues, I would think his value is a lot less, since he likely doesn't have much more time. I am surprised Commuter Man picked him at 5.10 in one league, since he himself prays that he gets 2+ years out of him. But hey, to each his/her own!

 

[Baracuda]

At best he's a Stephen Davis type for 2 years. At worst he's Antowan Smith now. I would say that NOW is the time to trade Dillon provided that you can get a talented younger player back. It might already be too late though as his perceived value is slipping. I packaged Vick and Dillon for Carson Palmer with that in mind.

 

[Big Score]

he continues to diminish each year, and continues to drastically go down.

Continues? Just two years ago he posted career highs across the board. It's obvious that you (and many) think that he'll continue to diminish this year, but he's coming off of a single bad season.

I'd say yes, continues to diminish. Just three years ago he posted career lows across the board.

Here's how I look at Dillon. Over his last three years, he's only had one good season and he's now 32.

Not the recipe for success, that I'm looking for.