He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
Chris Simms was horrible. Now he has a rookie QB. His OL has been plagued by injuries. It doesn't look like he's gonna have the best season. Think KJ last year. I don't see any TB players having a great year. That being said he still has tremendous dynasty value.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
This excellent thread from the offseason convinced me to stay away from Caddy this year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
This is accurate.Chris Simms was horrible. Now he has a rookie QB. His OL has been plagued by injuries. It doesn't look like he's gonna have the best season. Think KJ last year. I don't see any TB players having a great year. That being said he still has tremendous dynasty value.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
As per that asenine 20 carry --> 8-0 stat, quit posting it. I've seen it a half dozen times on this forum, and it's still a flawed and misleading stat.All it shows is that when the Bucs win they can run the ball. This is true for pretty much any NFL team on a given Sunday. Teams rush more when they are leading, and that means more 4th quarter carries, which means a higher likelihood of breaking 20 attempts.Just because you have X and Y doesn't mean X causes Y. Wins are the result of outscoring opponents, as are more rushing attempts (killing the clock in garbage time).When my grass gets watered (X), the number of accidents on the interstate quadruples (Y). Does that mean if I quit watering my grass that I can single-handedly quarter the number of interstate accidents (X --> Y)? Or does it mean that my grass gets watered because it rains, and the roads are harder to traverse in inclement weather, e.g. rain (Z --> X, Y)?Don't ever assume that because two things look related that one causes the other.IIRC, the Bucs are 8-0 when Caddy get 20 carries. problem is its hard to give a guy 20 carries when the OLine cant get you more than 2.0 YPC. He's a top talent, you can see it when he;s on the field despite an awful team. I think the Kj comparisions are fair at this point. Good rookie year, awful team/season in year two, bounce back in year 3... at least I hope so as owners of both in a keeper.
At the expense of turning it into an AC matter, I would think again.I am thinking about starting Caddy over Rudi this week
That's funny, I'm planning to start Addai over Caddy, but I'm still waiting to see how Addai's injury looks on Sunday.Even though Caddy has had good games against NO in the past, I can see NO getting an early lead on Tampa which might lead to Caddy getting a small number of carries.I dunno, I hope last week was the aberation because of weather and score. I was going to bench him this week for Addai but I'll give the #11 overall pick one more shot.BTW; this bad season hopefully means Caddy will fall to the late 2nd round in 2007.....
I really think caddy rolls this week and TB wins this game outright. Take these things into consideration.It took a bad punt coverage runback for NO to squeak one out at home, on grad's first start of his carreer.Since then Bgrad has been good. And has beat some pretty decent teams(in those games, caddy has been good)Tough place to play on the road last week against one of the better defenses in the league and they kept the game close.NO is not a very good football team and playing on the road, I think TB steals this one and caddy leads them. I seriously am looking for 75 - 100 and a touchThat's funny, I'm planning to start Addai over Caddy, but I'm still waiting to see how Addai's injury looks on Sunday.Even though Caddy has had good games against NO in the past, I can see NO getting an early lead on Tampa which might lead to Caddy getting a small number of carries.I dunno, I hope last week was the aberation because of weather and score. I was going to bench him this week for Addai but I'll give the #11 overall pick one more shot.BTW; this bad season hopefully means Caddy will fall to the late 2nd round in 2007.....
Funny, in one of my leagues I had the #4 pick (took rudi). I got Caddy in the late 2nd round. Too bad it's a redraft.BTW; this bad season hopefully means Caddy will fall to the late 2nd round in 2007.....
Wouldn't say NEVER EVER - LT seems to be doing fine with Rivers at QB. But in most cases I would agree.WillieNEVER EVER spend a high draft choice on someone who has a rookie/inexperience or terrible QB. Mcgahee is a perfect example. Looks at his stats with Bledsoe and then after Bledsoe. You can't run the ball with 8 men in the box
Indeed, but you can't compare anyone with LT. He put up big numbers with Doug Flutie, an unproven Drew Brees, and now Rivers. He's in a class by himself.The KJ and McGahee comparisons are much more relevant.Wouldn't say NEVER EVER - LT seems to be doing fine with Rivers at QB. But in most cases I would agree.WillieNEVER EVER spend a high draft choice on someone who has a rookie/inexperience or terrible QB. Mcgahee is a perfect example. Looks at his stats with Bledsoe and then after Bledsoe. You can't run the ball with 8 men in the box
exactly... correlation is not causation. if i cheered because my team won the superbowl, that does not mean my team will win the superbowl every time i cheer. i haven't looked at the gamelogs, but it seems more likely that caddy is getting those 20 carries in games where TB has the lead and is merely running out the clock (which perhaps sheds some light on the 2.0 YPC).in fantasy football, managers and experts blindly grope around for stray facts that help them rationalize sit/starts, add/drops, etc... but often string those facts together with a bad (or even fallacious) arguments. stats are particularly tricky... is the raider's pass defense really that good? or just statisically so. all stats require interpretation and oversight... and for that, it's far better to listen to the impression of some homers than to some "expert" who doesn't really follow the team.that being said, what do the TB homers think about caddy?As per that asenine 20 carry --> 8-0 stat, quit posting it. I've seen it a half dozen times on this forum, and it's still a flawed and misleading stat.Just because you have X and Y doesn't mean X causes Y. Wins are the result of outscoring opponents, as are more rushing attempts (killing the clock in garbage time).IIRC, the Bucs are 8-0 when Caddy get 20 carries. problem is its hard to give a guy 20 carries when the OLine cant get you more than 2.0 YPC.
I benched him last week... but you would be wise to start him this week at home versus the Saints.He should have a big day. Healthy OL now for a few games, finally getting some continuity on offense, Gradkowski should have a decent game, Defense is getting back on track.that being said, what do the TB homers think about caddy?
town idiotCall me the town idiot, but I just traded Alexander for Caddy and #1 rookie pick in my 1 team keeper league.![]()
wow, bad move.Call me the town idiot, but I just traded Alexander for Caddy and #1 rookie pick in my 1 team keeper league.![]()
Those saying this is horrible are foolish. You never know how that may turn out. I hope you bump this if it's in your favor down the road.Call me the town idiot, but I just traded Alexander for Caddy and #1 rookie pick in my 1 team keeper league.![]()
first, it must be over 20 carries because he got 20 carries for 111 yds against NO week 5 and TB lost 24-21. second i dont think its a tell all stat, although its more telling then your clever analogy would have us think. obviously the contributions of many other players factor in to the outcome of a game. turnovers, bad routes, missed assignments and several other factors also influence the game. what i am saying is running the ball well helps the offense, especially one led by a rookie QB. if a feature back can get 20+ carries its generally a good thing for his teams offense. the more a talented player touches the ball, the more chances that player has to make big plays. my original point is that injuries along the line for TB has made it harder for Caddy to produce and easier for the Bucs to struggle. as a result they get down in the first half (17 to Balt, 11 to Atl, 13 to Car, 11 to NYG) and start to throw more. 20 carries does not always equal a win. 20 carries means TB stayed more dedicated to the run and give themselves a better chance to produce on offense. what person wouldnt want their teams feature back to touch the ball 25+ times? (Cardinals fans aside)This is accurate.Chris Simms was horrible. Now he has a rookie QB. His OL has been plagued by injuries. It doesn't look like he's gonna have the best season. Think KJ last year. I don't see any TB players having a great year. That being said he still has tremendous dynasty value.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??As per that asenine 20 carry --> 8-0 stat, quit posting it. I've seen it a half dozen times on this forum, and it's still a flawed and misleading stat.All it shows is that when the Bucs win they can run the ball. This is true for pretty much any NFL team on a given Sunday. Teams rush more when they are leading, and that means more 4th quarter carries, which means a higher likelihood of breaking 20 attempts.Just because you have X and Y doesn't mean X causes Y. Wins are the result of outscoring opponents, as are more rushing attempts (killing the clock in garbage time).When my grass gets watered (X), the number of accidents on the interstate quadruples (Y). Does that mean if I quit watering my grass that I can single-handedly quarter the number of interstate accidents (X --> Y)? Or does it mean that my grass gets watered because it rains, and the roads are harder to traverse in inclement weather, e.g. rain (Z --> X, Y)?Don't ever assume that because two things look related that one causes the other.IIRC, the Bucs are 8-0 when Caddy get 20 carries. problem is its hard to give a guy 20 carries when the OLine cant get you more than 2.0 YPC. He's a top talent, you can see it when he;s on the field despite an awful team. I think the Kj comparisions are fair at this point. Good rookie year, awful team/season in year two, bounce back in year 3... at least I hope so as owners of both in a keeper.
Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
Scouts Inc evaluation on Williams:- Has exceptional vision and patience for a young back. Really understands cutback angles.Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
He is still overrated, and should not have been RoY.Scouts Inc evaluation on Williams:- Has exceptional vision and patience for a young back. Really understands cutback angles.Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
- Tough between tackles because of vision and burst, but won't push the pile at 212 pounds.
- Adequate-to-good top-end speed.
- Shifty, quick and powerful for size. As tough as it gets, but his lack of size hurts him here.
seems to me Caddys vision and quickness has always been a strong suit.
This is ridiculous. Who else deserved it?j3r3m3y said:He is still overrated, and should not have been RoY.Scouts Inc evaluation on Williams:- Has exceptional vision and patience for a young back. Really understands cutback angles.Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
- Tough between tackles because of vision and burst, but won't push the pile at 212 pounds.
- Adequate-to-good top-end speed.
- Shifty, quick and powerful for size. As tough as it gets, but his lack of size hurts him here.
seems to me Caddys vision and quickness has always been a strong suit.
j3r3m3y said:He is still overrated, and should not have been RoY.Scouts Inc evaluation on Williams:- Has exceptional vision and patience for a young back. Really understands cutback angles.Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
- Tough between tackles because of vision and burst, but won't push the pile at 212 pounds.
- Adequate-to-good top-end speed.
- Shifty, quick and powerful for size. As tough as it gets, but his lack of size hurts him here.
seems to me Caddys vision and quickness has always been a strong suit.
How is Gruden going to fix this when it is Gruden who is having the team throw the ball 79% of the time with a rookie Qb in swirling winds against a defense that has one of the best groups of pass rushing defensive linemen in the league?That is Grudens fault not Carnell Williams. Even Michael Strahan commented about how good Williams is, somewhat relived that the Bucs did not use him more against them.As I've said no one in that offense is producing. No one! Gruden will fix that. I think they need to stick with Gradkowski. I feel as though next year will be much different.
I'm a big Gruden supporter and know that he's not in any danger of losing his job (although the same cannot be said of GM Bruce Allen), but I agree with this. The onus clearly falls on his shoulders. Rookie QB or not, he needs to feed the ball to his best player on offense.It would also help if Galloway wasn't slowing down on his routes every time Gradkowski throws him a deep ball. Like I said though, I expect quite an offensive outing this weekend from the Bucs. Cadillac is in line for a huge game.If Gruden was criticized in the press for not giving Williams the ball against the Giants last week it is well deserved. I would be interested to see those articles. Maybe there is some hope if Gruden will change his play calling.
All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
Ronnie Brown had better YPC and is a better all around RB.j3r3m3y said:He is still overrated, and should not have been RoY.Scouts Inc evaluation on Williams:- Has exceptional vision and patience for a young back. Really understands cutback angles.Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
- Tough between tackles because of vision and burst, but won't push the pile at 212 pounds.
- Adequate-to-good top-end speed.
- Shifty, quick and powerful for size. As tough as it gets, but his lack of size hurts him here.
seems to me Caddys vision and quickness has always been a strong suit.![]()
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The second part is debatable. I don't recall Miami getting to the playoffs with a rookie RB who split time with Ricky for part of the year.Ronnie Brown had better YPC and is a better all around RB.j3r3m3y said:He is still overrated, and should not have been RoY.Scouts Inc evaluation on Williams:- Has exceptional vision and patience for a young back. Really understands cutback angles.Accurate. He does not possess the speed, power, vision, heart of a Frank Gore.He was overrated?And did not deserve ROY last year.All the hype, all the talent? Is there a real reason why he's ####ting the bed so bad?? Even before Simms got hurt he wasn't performing...what's the deal anyway??
- Tough between tackles because of vision and burst, but won't push the pile at 212 pounds.
- Adequate-to-good top-end speed.
- Shifty, quick and powerful for size. As tough as it gets, but his lack of size hurts him here.
seems to me Caddys vision and quickness has always been a strong suit.![]()
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Granted, but I don't recall Caddie being in the top 10 this year.And there is no shame in splitting time with a pro bowl caibur player. Is getting to the playoffs a requirement? Or is that a team accomplishment? Brown was the most impressive rookie last year. Stats are the proof.SproutDaddy said:The second part is debatable. I don't recall Miami getting to the playoffs with a rookie RB who split time with Ricky for part of the year.
I agree with you on all points except that Brown was the most impressive rookie. Caddy isn't getting as much of an opportunity as he did last year because the offense as a whole is horrible. I am pretty sure he hasn't carried 30 times in a game this year. Usually they're playing from behind. Remember how many carries he got in the first 4 games last year. He was pretty much the centerpiece of the offense last year.Granted, but I don't recall Caddie being in the top 10 this year.And there is no shame in splitting time with a pro bowl caibur player. Is getting to the playoffs a requirement? Or is that a team accomplishment? Brown was the most impressive rookie last year. Stats are the proof.SproutDaddy said:The second part is debatable. I don't recall Miami getting to the playoffs with a rookie RB who split time with Ricky for part of the year.