It's that time: Whither C.C.?
Dennis Manoloff
Cleveland Plain Dealer
June 24, 2008
Baseball general managers are always on the spot, never more so than with the trade deadline approaching. Decisions at the deadline can help set a team's course for years.
Trying to figure out what to do at the July 31 deadline - particularly when a big-name player is involved - becomes a multilayered process.
Indians General Manager Mark Shapiro can attest. He went through it in 2002 with Bartolo Colon and is in it again with C.C. Sabathia.
Here is a capsule look at what Shapiro must consider as he contemplates whether to move Sabathia, the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner and potential free agent, at the end of the season.
First, assuming the preferred option is to keep Sabathia: Is it a certainty the Indians will not be able to re-sign him?
This requires a study of the market and grasp of the team's payroll, budget and projected revenues.
Are Sabathia's demands definitely beyond what the Indians can/want to meet - length of contract being almost as important as total dollars? Will Sabathia accept a hometown discount? If so, how much?
If it is determined that retaining Sabathia will not happen, Shapiro needs to decide whether to let him walk for draft-pick compensation or trade him. That depends largely on how the Indians are doing.
Shapiro must determine if his 2008 club has a shot at the Central Division or wild card with Sabathia pitching every fifth day. If the Indians have underachieved to date, can they turn it around in time, especially as several key players come back from injury?
Assuming the answer is the Indians are not a playoff team, Shapiro must get the word out that Sabathia is available. Before fielding offers, though, Shapiro needs to determine whether his club is in rebuild or reload mode.
If it's the former, his search could tilt toward prospects. If it's the latter, his search likely will target major-leaguers or prospects ready to make an impact now.
Shapiro already has been through a rebuild, which he triggered in the summer of 2002 with the trade of Colon one month before the nonwaiver deadline. He has given no indication he wants to do it again. The fan base no doubt would be restless and annoyed if he did.
Once Shapiro has a handle on the experience level of the players he wants and the holes he would like to fill, he can entertain offers. Shapiro will need to decide whether to trade within the American League, thereby risking having to face Sabathia in the regular season and postseason.
Shapiro will need to dissect the rosters of, and dispatch scouts to, every team that wants in on the Sabathia sweepstakes. The list of potential suitors should not be too long, though, given that deep pockets will be required to sign him. A team that simply wants to rent him won't be willing to part with as much as a team willing to lock him up.
Two criteria in identifying players: major-league service time and contract status. The players Shapiro wants presumably need to fit into the Indians' budget.
Then Shapiro needs to decide how he wants to play the sweepstakes. Does he want to pit one team against the other, or simply jump at the chance when the right group of players is presented?
Shapiro also must decide what other Indians, or minor-leaguers, he wants to part with, because teams in the market for a four-star talent typically ask for complementary pieces to compensate for numbers moving in the other direction.