Chad and Housh with Carson? (1 Viewer)

[GoodyBucs]

I have a dilemma about my roster.

I have Carson Palmer as my QB. My WR are Steve Smith, Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmanzedah.

My fear is having two Bengals in the starting lineup with their own QB. If the Bengals struggle then my team will struggle.

as anyone had experience with a situation like this? I am thinking of trading Chad to solve the problem....

 

[Harry Beanbag]

I have a dilemma about my roster. I have Carson Palmer as my QB. My WR are Steve Smith, Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmanzedah. My fear is having two Bengals in the starting lineup with their own QB. If the Bengals struggle then my team will struggle. as anyone had experience with a situation like this? I am thinking of trading Chad to solve the problem....

Fantasy football is a lot like investing in your 401K. Diversify your portfolio. Too many eggs in one basket is a big problem. Unless you expect the Bengals to put up 50 points every week and go 13-3 this season you need to unload some guys. Case in point, a guy in our keeper league learned this lesson the hard way. He had Tony Romo, T.O. and Terry Glenn. He is drafting second next month.

 

[John Mamula]

I have a dilemma about my roster. I have Carson Palmer as my QB. My WR are Steve Smith, Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmanzedah. My fear is having two Bengals in the starting lineup with their own QB. If the Bengals struggle then my team will struggle. as anyone had experience with a situation like this? I am thinking of trading Chad to solve the problem....

Fantasy football is a lot like investing in your 401K. Diversify your portfolio. Too many eggs in one basket is a big problem. Unless you expect the Bengals to put up 50 points every week and go 13-3 this season you need to unload some guys. Case in point, a guy in our keeper league learned this lesson the hard way. He had Tony Romo, T.O. and Terry Glenn. He is drafting second next month.

It doesn't matter what team your guys are on. If you project that the best players on your team are on the same team, that is all that matters.I don't think too many people would worry about having a starting lineup that consisted of Addai, Manning, Harrison, and Wayne.Trading one of the top QBs just to "diversify" is not the smartest choice in the world if what you get back in the trade does not match Palmer himself.If you want to trade Palmer, fine, but do it because you are getting a good trade, not that TJ and Chad are on your team.

 

[Pied Piper]

I have a dilemma about my roster. I have Carson Palmer as my QB. My WR are Steve Smith, Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmanzedah. My fear is having two Bengals in the starting lineup with their own QB. If the Bengals struggle then my team will struggle. as anyone had experience with a situation like this? I am thinking of trading Chad to solve the problem....

Fantasy football is a lot like investing in your 401K. Diversify your portfolio. Too many eggs in one basket is a big problem. Unless you expect the Bengals to put up 50 points every week and go 13-3 this season you need to unload some guys. Case in point, a guy in our keeper league learned this lesson the hard way. He had Tony Romo, T.O. and Terry Glenn. He is drafting second next month.

It doesn't matter what team your guys are on. If you project that the best players on your team are on the same team, that is all that matters.I don't think too many people would worry about having a starting lineup that consisted of Addai, Manning, Harrison, and Wayne.Trading one of the top QBs just to "diversify" is not the smartest choice in the world if what you get back in the trade does not match Palmer himself.If you want to trade Palmer, fine, but do it because you are getting a good trade, not that TJ and Chad are on your team.

 

[gump]

I second Joffer's opinion...I have a germaine story to show why:

Last year I had the #7 pick...had Steven Jackson ranked higher than Rudi Johnson.

I had Holt as my #2 WR...and I also had Bulger higher than most projections. Therefore, I was almost positive that I was drafting Holt in the 2nd round...and pretty confident that Bulger would fall to me later than I had him forecasted.

Therefore...I chose to draft Johnson over Jackson because I was afraid of loading up on 1 team. This was mostly because I was scared of what 1 key injury may do to an entire offense.

Next thing you know...St Louis loses a big OL, and Jackson follows that with an offensive explosion.

Bottom line...I would have won my league last year instead of finishing 3rd if I had drafted the guy I had ranked higher.

(I believe Dodds has also written an article about this.)

 

[Buddy Ball 2K3]

I have no problem loading up on talent from one team, as long as its a very good offensive team.

I sure wouldnt complain about having two or three players from the Colts, Bengals, Rams, Chargers or Eagles.

 

[tomarken]

I have a dilemma about my roster.

I have Carson Palmer as my QB. My WR are Steve Smith, Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmanzedah.

My fear is having two Bengals in the starting lineup with their own QB. If the Bengals struggle then my team will struggle.

as anyone had experience with a situation like this? I am thinking of trading Chad to solve the problem....

Fantasy football is a lot like investing in your 401K. Diversify your portfolio. Too many eggs in one basket is a big problem. Unless you expect the Bengals to put up 50 points every week and go 13-3 this season you need to unload some guys. Case in point, a guy in our keeper league learned this lesson the hard way. He had Tony Romo, T.O. and Terry Glenn. He is drafting second next month.

It doesn't matter what team your guys are on. If you project that the best players on your team are on the same team, that is all that matters.

I don't think too many people would worry about having a starting lineup that consisted of Addai, Manning, Harrison, and Wayne.

Trading one of the top QBs just to "diversify" is not the smartest choice in the world if what you get back in the trade does not match Palmer himself.

If you want to trade Palmer, fine, but do it because you are getting a good trade, not that TJ and Chad are on your team.

I don't think Palmer, CJ, and Housh care that they're all on your fantasy team. They're going to put up the same stats whether they're on your roster or not. So if you project them to have good stats, that's all that matters.

 

[JerseyPaul]

I think the answer depends on your league rules. With multiple players from 1 team you will have spectacular days when that team does well and bad days when the team is off. Let's say your average ppg is 100. You will have games at 120, 130 and games at 70,80.

If the league is total points, having multiple players from 1 team is irrelevant.

If the regular season has a total point road to the playoffs, your risk is a bad game during the playoffs.

If it is a total head-to-head league, you can expect 3 or 4 bad games while you hugely dominate the other games. Will 3 or 4 losses make the playoffs in your structure?

In 1 high stakes league a couple of years ago an Indy heavy team lost in the 2nd round of the playoffs.

So I think there are multiple answers to the question. In general, if you can diversify without weakening your team, it's a good thing to do.

 

[John Mamula]

I think the answer depends on your league rules. With multiple players from 1 team you will have spectacular days when that team does well and bad days when the team is off. Let's say your average ppg is 100. You will have games at 120, 130 and games at 70,80. If the league is total points, having multiple players from 1 team is irrelevant.If the regular season has a total point road to the playoffs, your risk is a bad game during the playoffs.If it is a total head-to-head league, you can expect 3 or 4 bad games while you hugely dominate the other games. Will 3 or 4 losses make the playoffs in your structure?In 1 high stakes league a couple of years ago an Indy heavy team lost in the 2nd round of the playoffs. So I think there are multiple answers to the question. In general, if you can diversify without weakening your team, it's a good thing to do.

Are you sure about this?

 

[Keith Lewis]

I have a similiar situation, not something I consider a problem though.

Manning

Chad Johnson

Marvin Harrison

Reggie Wayne

Having Reggie Wayne as my WR # 3 I'm not going to complain. Just like I wouldn't complain with the Palmer, Smith, CJ, Housh, who wouldn't want Chad Johnson as their WR #2 and TJ Housh as their WR #3.

In another league I have Devery Henderson/Brandon Jones as my WR # 3. In another I have Cotchery as my #3. I'd take Housh or Wayne over them any day of the week.

 

[JerseyPaul]

Pretty sure.

Manning is somewhat of an exception as he is very, very consistent. Last year he averaged 25.6 fp/g. His bad games were 11,13,14,15. Harrison averaged 17.7 fp/g (ppr) and in those 4 games he had 0,2,8,13 fpts respectively. The first 3 games would probably be losses (weeks 10, 5, 1) and the last one you would still be 14 points behind the average for your guys from those 2 players.

Brees, the number 2 last year, is probably a better example. Not counting week 17, he averaged 23 fp/g. His bad games were 7,8,9,10,11,12 fp/g. In all the rest he scored at least 22 fp/g. Hard to get a handle on his receivers as they were in and out with injuries.

Let's do 1 more. Bulger averaged 20.8 fp/g. His bad games were 15,11,10,2,1 fp/g. In those 5 games Holt scored 5,6,7,9 and 8 respectively while overall he had an average of 16 fp/g

So clearly when your QB has a bad day, his WR1 is likely to have a bad day. If you have both his WR1 and his WR2, your squad has very little chance to make up for the lost points. In the STL case, you're looking at 5 potential losses if you had QB, WR1 and WR2. In the Indy case, 3 or 4.

If you had Bulger plus Steve Smith instead of Holt, a big day by Smith could offset the bad Bulger day. Of course the risk is that both Bulger and Smith have bad days. That's a lower level risk because one performance will not influence the other.

So yes, I'm pretty sure.

 

[gump]

Let's do 1 more. Bulger averaged 20.8 fp/g. His bad games were 15,11,10,2,1 fp/g. In those 5 games Holt scored 5,6,7,9 and 8 respectively while overall he had an average of 16 fp/gSo clearly when your QB has a bad day, his WR1 is likely to have a bad day. If you have both his WR1 and his WR2, your squad has very little chance to make up for the lost points.

But in the meantime, Jackson averaged 19 pts/ in those games in my league.I agree that a QB/WR/WR combo though is much more dangerous than a QB/RB/WR from the same team.

 

[bigfishboy]

As others have said, your variability will be high. If you are comfortable with that, then keep your players. If you get a good deal for one of them, jump on it.

I have Palmer, Rudi, Chad and TJ in a keeper league. I am comfortable that I will be making the playoffs. There is a team I expect to meet in the playoffs which has Manning, Tomlinson, Alexander, Steve Smith, and Holt. I am hoping that that is one on the high weeks for the Bengals.

BTW, the Bengals have a great schedule for the fantasy playoffs.