With the talk about Maye struggling vs better competition, just curious if someone has similar data on Josh Allen, Mahomes, or Herbert did in college? Just wondering hasn't there been several other QBs who just got a lot better in the pros than what they showed in college?
Mahomes was carrying an awful Texas Tech team. They lived and died 100% on him. He had some truly rough INT games due to that, which is arguably what made him fall to #10, but his top WRs were Keke Coutee and Jonathan Giles. Mahomes last season they played 3 ranked teams and went 0-3 in those games, though the defense gave up 45+ in all 3 games. Mahomes played well in 2 of those games, including the famous 66-59 shootout loss against Mayfield and the Sooners.
Josh Allen never really faced any tough competition at Wyoming. Oddly, Allen wasn't much of a rusher in college, so I'll take that as Wyoming having a pretty bad play caller, especially as there was no NFL talent around him.
Herbert had little around him skill position wise despite playing in the PAC-12. The only guy who has been an NFL player is Juwan Johnson. Herbert didn't play very well against tougher competition. He played 4 top-25 teams and had 1 good game in that stretch, though Oregon went 3-1 in those games anyway.
Drake Maye probably was a better player in college than any of those guys. He also had a lot more to work with talent wise, as Tez Walker is a likely day 2 pick, and Josh Downs looked pretty good as a rookie. That said, he certainly played worse in games against good teams.
For comparisons sake, Zach Wilson had little to throw to, but a good OL and Tyler Allgeier to hand off to, and he played well against tougher competition, so its debatable how much college performance matters, vs tools and intangibles.