As a Seahawk fan, I am hoping that the Seahawks offense can reproduce what Cleveland was able to put together against Cincy last week. So I looked back at Cincy's 2004 season when they had the shootout with Cleveland to see what happend in the games following the shootout.
2004 week 12 against Clevelend (Won 58-48) then allowed (in the next four games):
26 (W against BAL)
35 (L against NE)
33 (L against BUF)
22 (W against NYG)
Avg. 29 pts/gm
While they allowed a lot of points in those games it wasn't 40+ points, but then I noticed another interesting thing...Since the 2004 season, Cincy has had exactly one game per season that they allowed 40+ points. Here are those games and what happened the weeks following those games.
2005 week 11 against IND (Lost 37-45) then allowed
29 (W against BAL)
31 (W against PIT)
20 (W against CLE)
17 (W against DET)
Avg 24 pts/gm
2006 week 10 against SD (Lost 41-49) then allowed
16 (W against NO)
0 (W against CLE)
7 (W against BAL)
10 (W against OAK)
Avg 8 pts/gm
So it seem that Cincy has one game per year that they just absolutely stink it up on defense. Some other interesting things in this analysis
- The defensive lapse has usually come towards the end of the season (week 12,11,10 and now 2).
- Cincy has beaten Baltimore each year after the defensive lapse. This year they beat Baltimore the week before the defensive lapse
- Last year after giving up 49 points to SD, they really clamped down the following weeks. Granted most of those wins were against poor offenses, but giving up 16 points to NO last year was impressive (one of the lowest offensive outputs for NO last year).
I don't think there's any conclusive evidence as to how the Seahawks will do against Cincy, but I don't think it's going to be another 40s-40s shootout. Cincy seems to be getting better at recovering from their bad losses and I am guessing Seahawks will put up around 24 points today.
2004 week 12 against Clevelend (Won 58-48) then allowed (in the next four games):
26 (W against BAL)
35 (L against NE)
33 (L against BUF)
22 (W against NYG)
Avg. 29 pts/gm
While they allowed a lot of points in those games it wasn't 40+ points, but then I noticed another interesting thing...Since the 2004 season, Cincy has had exactly one game per season that they allowed 40+ points. Here are those games and what happened the weeks following those games.
2005 week 11 against IND (Lost 37-45) then allowed
29 (W against BAL)
31 (W against PIT)
20 (W against CLE)
17 (W against DET)
Avg 24 pts/gm
2006 week 10 against SD (Lost 41-49) then allowed
16 (W against NO)
0 (W against CLE)
7 (W against BAL)
10 (W against OAK)
Avg 8 pts/gm
So it seem that Cincy has one game per year that they just absolutely stink it up on defense. Some other interesting things in this analysis
- The defensive lapse has usually come towards the end of the season (week 12,11,10 and now 2).
- Cincy has beaten Baltimore each year after the defensive lapse. This year they beat Baltimore the week before the defensive lapse
- Last year after giving up 49 points to SD, they really clamped down the following weeks. Granted most of those wins were against poor offenses, but giving up 16 points to NO last year was impressive (one of the lowest offensive outputs for NO last year).
I don't think there's any conclusive evidence as to how the Seahawks will do against Cincy, but I don't think it's going to be another 40s-40s shootout. Cincy seems to be getting better at recovering from their bad losses and I am guessing Seahawks will put up around 24 points today.
