Otis
Footballguy
My GB Righetti about this time last year posted a great analysis of Deshaun Foster which was axed in the great thread purge. The point of the thread was to cut through some of the undeserved hype behind Deshaun Foster.
He is just a guy who, year in and out, despite injuries and non-production, is overhyped.
His injury issues are widely known (and often overlooked), but the point of the thread was that, even injuries aside, Foster's numbers simply weren't that good. The analysis proved that his YPC was very pedestrian and that, statistically, he simply wasn't that good.
I went back to look at the numbers over the past year, since I have this sense somehow that he is, once again, hyped this offseason. I vaguely remembered a couple monster games from Foster at the end of last season that seemingly were inflating his value, but somehow I had a gut feeling that he was again more highly valued than he should be.
Here are Foster's stats on the season last year:
205 for 879(4.3 YPC)/2, 34/372/1
Ultimately, fairly average. But that's not the problem I have with him.
The problem I have is that he was mediocre to just plain bad most of the season. As a fantasy player, he was ineffective outside of THREE -- count them -- THREE games last year.
Those three games? Two monstrous games against the decimated ATL run defense, and one against an equally weak NYG run defense.
Three games, 2 defenses, and, as a result, even considering that inflation, his stats are just "OK."
Yet, once again, people consider him to be this super talented runner with potential to be an absolute stud -- magnified by the fact that two of the biggest games were in January, so they are fresh in everyone's heads all offseason.
I don't understand how people still think this guy is anything special unless they are holding on to his few shining fantasy moments and ignoring the vast majority of his career, replete with injuries and inefficacy.
Factor in the fact that they drafted Deangelo Williams, and I have to think that the only people suggesting that Foster will be good, or won't lose his job this year, are people who already own him in fantasy leagues (dynasty in particular).
The conclusion? Give it up, folks. He's just not that good.
He is just a guy who, year in and out, despite injuries and non-production, is overhyped.
His injury issues are widely known (and often overlooked), but the point of the thread was that, even injuries aside, Foster's numbers simply weren't that good. The analysis proved that his YPC was very pedestrian and that, statistically, he simply wasn't that good.
I went back to look at the numbers over the past year, since I have this sense somehow that he is, once again, hyped this offseason. I vaguely remembered a couple monster games from Foster at the end of last season that seemingly were inflating his value, but somehow I had a gut feeling that he was again more highly valued than he should be.
Here are Foster's stats on the season last year:
205 for 879(4.3 YPC)/2, 34/372/1
Ultimately, fairly average. But that's not the problem I have with him.
The problem I have is that he was mediocre to just plain bad most of the season. As a fantasy player, he was ineffective outside of THREE -- count them -- THREE games last year.
Those three games? Two monstrous games against the decimated ATL run defense, and one against an equally weak NYG run defense.
Three games, 2 defenses, and, as a result, even considering that inflation, his stats are just "OK."
Yet, once again, people consider him to be this super talented runner with potential to be an absolute stud -- magnified by the fact that two of the biggest games were in January, so they are fresh in everyone's heads all offseason.
I don't understand how people still think this guy is anything special unless they are holding on to his few shining fantasy moments and ignoring the vast majority of his career, replete with injuries and inefficacy.
Factor in the fact that they drafted Deangelo Williams, and I have to think that the only people suggesting that Foster will be good, or won't lose his job this year, are people who already own him in fantasy leagues (dynasty in particular).
The conclusion? Give it up, folks. He's just not that good.
Like Gore, Foster generally wasn't his team's starter last year. Stephen Davis was (until his late-season injury), even though Foster outplayed him all year.This year Foster will start, so it is natural to think that his fantasy numbers might improve, same as Gore's probably will.
I think Gore is twice the talent that Foster is and, perhaps more importantly, he plays with far more grit and determination than Deshaun.That said, IF Foster is healthy all year, and IF he doesn't lose his job to a better back (and I think there is one behind him now), then, yes, his numbers necessarily would have to improve. I also might win the lottery tomorrow.
9th to 11th RB???
Couldn't we have said this last year too?
pportunity:
Yep, that makes a difference. Nope, it's not about Gore vs Foster. And I'm not making it that. But the point of that thread was ALSO to point out how awesome a RB Gore is, and he's done far less than Foster has to earn it. Sorry man, but Foster hasn't failed at anything just yet, and there isn't a more talented RB on the Carolina roster. He's battled a few injuries, but they haven't been the nagging muscle pulls or strains. For the first time in his career last year he was given the feature back role at the end of the season, and he put up very, very nice numbers. Like any other back, he needs to stay healthy. But talent and opportunity is all you can hope for, and he's got a lot of both.
