probably gonna have to grab SD fairly early (ADP 125) which defeats (at least somewhat) the idea behind defense by committee.SD and IND
ADPs are unreliable for defenses IMO. There are so many different types of DEF/ST scoring systems that I really have not been able to feel comfortable with any team's ADP. SD was the 9th DEF taken in my league and IND went undrafted.probably gonna have to grab SD fairly early (ADP 125) which defeats (at least somewhat) the idea behind defense by committee.SD and IND
I actually like the Chargers D this year to bounce back nicely.Consensus on defense by committee teams seems to be Green Bay and Arizona. Very nice combined schedule.ADPs are unreliable for defenses IMO. There are so many different types of DEF/ST scoring systems that I really have not been able to feel comfortable with any team's ADP. SD was the 9th DEF taken in my league and IND went undrafted.probably gonna have to grab SD fairly early (ADP 125) which defeats (at least somewhat) the idea behind defense by committee.SD and IND
That was only a brief portion of the full article. Every year FBGs comes out with every possible DBC combination. For those of us in dynasty leagues where GB & AZ are already gone, it would be nice to see the full article.I believe the article said that the two best to combine are GB & AZ
Thanks for the info.This is at least the third if not fourth or fifth question/"new" thread about thisAs said before in several places - the entire article is due early next week
Not really going out on a limb here, but I look for Washington to improve with Haynesworth. They weren't really slouches before, and they have a good chance to be starter quality IMOAnybody have any defenses that they think will surprise this season?
I was targeting them also, but they got snatched up last round (slow, online draft).Now I'm trying to decide between grabbing TN with my next pick or taking Chris Henry and gambling that a decent D will still be there next round.My plan A in all of my leagues is to use San Diego as my base D, rotate in waiver wire D's as needed. All depends on if they fall far enough though.
This is a tough year for good guesswork in term of defenses. There are 22 teams with new coordinators. I would take a look at the handful of teams with defensive oreinted head coaches (especially those with aggressive back grounds) and are talking about running the ball more. San Francisco, Rams and Jets come to mind as team which you should at least be considering based on the criteria above.Anybody have any defenses that they think will surprise this season?
I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?
I think those taking the Packer defense are going to be very disappointed. They are moving to a 3-4 defense. According to Fantasy Outsiders it typically takes 4-5 games into the season for things to click for a team making such a change. Add to that that GB doesn't have the Linemen or Linebackers for a 3-4. There has been talk that Kampman has been frustrated with the change to the 3-4 during OTA's and camp. I suspect he is unhappy because the new scheme isn't going to allow him to do what he does best.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?
I think those taking the Packer defense are going to be very disappointed. They are moving to a 3-4 defense. According to Fantasy Outsiders it typically takes 4-5 games into the season for things to click for a team making such a change. Add to that that GB doesn't have the Linemen or Linebackers for a 3-4. There has been talk that Jared Allen has been frustrated with the change to the 3-4 during OTA's and camp. I suspect Allen is unhappy because the new scheme isn't going to allow him to do what he does best.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?
Pats are my 3rd ranked defense after the Giants and Ravens. So I'm high on them.Anyone else like the Patriots defense this year? I think the offense will be on the field a lot and will have the lead which will allow the D to be aggressive.
Oops meant Kampman, thanks.I think those taking the Packer defense are going to be very disappointed. They are moving to a 3-4 defense. According to Fantasy Outsiders it typically takes 4-5 games into the season for things to click for a team making such a change. Add to that that GB doesn't have the Linemen or Linebackers for a 3-4. There has been talk that Jared Allen has been frustrated with the change to the 3-4 during OTA's and camp. I suspect Allen is unhappy because the new scheme isn't going to allow him to do what he does best.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?Do you mean Kampman? Kampman has warmed up to the idea and shown improvement everyday. The Packer's defense looked good in their first preseason game (albeit Cleveland) with only a minimum amount of the defensive playbook. Dom Capers and his coaching staff are doing a tremendous job so far of introducing the new scheme. Don't overlook the Packers D.
I actually spent about a couple hours comparing this. Excluding all the defenses that could go in the top 10, I looked for combinations of those remaining vs teams that do not have high powered offenses.What I found is that the best combination with 16 weeks of the regular season covered is Bengals and Redskins. The only problem with that is both of those teams have the same bye week. After that, the next three best combos are Bengals & Browns, Browns & Packers, or Packers & Raiders.Schedule of these combinations posted below:Bengals & Redskins1: Cin vs Den2: Was vs StL3: Was at Det4: Cin at Cle or Was vs TB5: Cin at Bal6: Was vs KC7: Cin vs Chi8: both teams on bye9: Cin vs Bal10: Was vs Den11: Cin at Oak12: Cin vs Cle13: Cin vs Det14: Was at Oak15: Was vs NYG16: Cin vs KC17: Cin at NYJBengals & Browns1: Cin vs Den2: Cle at Den3: Cle at Bal4: Cin at Cle5: Cin at Bal6: Cin vs Hou or Cle at Pit 7: Cin vs Chi8: Cle at Chi9: Cin at Bal10: Cle vs Bal11: Cin at Oak or Cle at Det12: Cin vs Cle13: Cin vs Det14: Cin at Min or Cle vs Pit 15: Cle at KC16: Cin vs KC or Cle vs Oak17: Cin at NYJBrowns & Packers1: GB vs Chi 2: Cle at Den 3: GB at StL or Cle at Bal 4: Cle vs Cin or GB vs Min 5: Cle at Buf 6: GB vs Det 7: GB at Cle 8: Cle at Chi 9: GB at TB 10: Cle vs Bal 11: Cle at Det 12: GB at Det 13: GB at Bal 14: GB at Chi 15: Cle at KC 16: Cle vs Oak 17: Cle vs Jax Packers & Raiders 1: GB vs Chi2: Oak at KC3: GB at StL or Oak vs Den4: GB at Min or Oak at Hou5: Oak at NYG6: GB vs Det7: GB at Cle8: GB vs Min9: GB at TB10: Oak vs KC11: GB vs SF12: GB at Det13: GB vs Bal14: GB at Chi15: Oak at Den16: Oak at Cle17: Oak vs Bal
I also am a homer and I don't like the defense at all. No pass rush, slow linebackers, and gambling cornerbacks. The tight end is open all day long, and they can't cover the good WRs or defend against accurate passers like Pennington and Brady.Homer Pitch.The DL of the Bills seems to rejuvanted under the watchful eye of Bob Sanders. The pressure the 1st team has put on has been a huge improvement on last season. Kelsey has looked reborn on the LDE. Sanders has a lit a fire under that country boys belly. And a healthy Schobel can't hurt. McKelvin has been a beast in pre season, and adding the ST impact will garner bonus points. The DEF/ ST might take a hit if Roscoe Parrish is traded. But based on the ADP of the Bills, I think they will out perform. (ADP 228) Still have some questions at OLB, but 5th rounder Nic Harris looks to be gaining ground on Keith Ellison, and looks to have made the transition from safety to LB. Just a homers opinion, but I will gladly take them in rounds 16 - 20 of a 14 team league.
They are switching to the 3-4 and need Raji to be a force. They place 6 games against turnover prone QBs Farve, Cutler and Lions QB.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?
Cutler isn't turnover prone (average INT rate, good fumble rate), but agreed on the other two. The Packers have a great schedule this year.They are switching to the 3-4 and need Raji to be a force. They place 6 games against turnover prone QBs Farve, Cutler and Lions QB.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?
I think Cutler turns the ball over when his WRs aren't open, and this year, the Bears WRs are not good enough to get open a lot. Just going off gut feel so I appreciate you giving the numbers.Cutler isn't turnover prone (average INT rate, good fumble rate), but agreed on the other two. The Packers have a great schedule this year.They are switching to the 3-4 and need Raji to be a force. They place 6 games against turnover prone QBs Farve, Cutler and Lions QB.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?
That other guy in the Vikings backfield isn't afraid to turn the ball over either.They are switching to the 3-4 and need Raji to be a force. They place 6 games against turnover prone QBs Farve, Cutler and Lions QB.I like the Packers to break in to the top ten. They were decent last year, and this year they have a new, proven defensive coordinator (Capers) and spent two early picks on defensive players. And their schedule looks pretty easy. Their conference games are against a rookie QB and a couple of veterans who throw a lot of interceptions. Plus they matchup against the NFC West and AFC North.Any other thoughts on a surprise D or 2 for this season?