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Yes they are... They're all prob very similar offers, just different codes so that FD/DK know where the user came from to optimize spending efforts. It is obviously much easier to track effectiveness off of the internet.
Lots of "square" people are going to be separated from their deposits to fund the winnings of the big winners and the rake for the sites. I wouldn't say the people who even know FBG exists/post here fall into that category. That is exactly who DK/FD need signing up and depositing, thus the relentless advertising IMO.
Damn... top 1% and that's all you have to show for it?urbanhack said:
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Could have told you this was going to happen.... Normal fantasy was extremely popular but flew under the radar for the most part. Daily fantasy is the Crack cocaine to the powdered cocaine of the fantasy world. Too gaudy and now could bring the whole system crashing down.MattFancy said:
that was the IL lottery's shtick a few years ago "You can't win if you don't play"
The leading contest lawyers in the country from NY spoke for over five years straight at both FSTA conferences each year before DFS was invented. The idea passed their concerns. It only has to be 51% skill to be legal. And it is. It can be proven without a shadow of a doubt that it takes skill to win a salary cap game.
1.3% players are profitable long term, according to a SBJ study over 3 months. Link below:
That is baseball and over a tough stretch of that sport season I believe. Baseball is tough, probably the hardest to win of the three big sports. I have seen numerous people said the variance of baseball is tough to win in.
and right below that it says another survey said 70% lose. I find that number to be more realistic because many play tournaments where only 20% win and the prizes that are very profitable at the very top of the pay scale. If people only played 50/50's, the percentage of profit owners would rise quite a bit.
I think that 70% is self-reporting.
I don't know about the 3-5%. Maybe over the course of a sport season like NFL. That is only about 53%. If so many people are profitable why can't more people do this for a living or a secondary income? The reason is over the course of multiple seasons the percentage drops a lot. Then you factor in how many people are actually good enough to win in multiple sports like NBA, CBB, CFB, boxing/MMA, etc.
True. However, on ESPN radio the code is always 3030. The government is behind all of this.Maurile Tremblay said:
Every man in America must be busy shaving, drinking bud light, driving a ford or chevy truck, and playing DFS.I'm pretty sure I hear 3 shave club ads for every DFS ad.
That 3-5% is probably a lot of people who, like myself, can beat the books for fairly modest amounts, but have to battle getting cut, finding books, etc. Just because you can win consistently doesn't necessarily mean you can just keep scaling up your bet sizes and keep winning exponential amounts.
I played in '12 & '13 and both years I couldn't lose for the first 3 weeks. After that, couldn't even hit on the 50/50's. Didn't play last year and never even thought about it this year.I am in the unfortunate position of nailing (almost) everything I entered, for a 200% return, on my first attempt at DFS. Won money in two freerolls, a satellite, cashed in every tournament, every 50/50 and doubleup, and all my H2H matchups except for a single, $1 contest. Dipped my toe into 22 contests and cashed in 21 with 3 different lineups. Finished in the top 1-2% of all the tourneys. Which only means now I'm so sure of my mad skillz I'm kicking myself for not risking more and now I'll probably blow my whole bankroll in three weeks.
This.. 12 of 13 on my first go. The one I missed was the freeroll where I intentionally put longshots in....I am in the unfortunate position of nailing (almost) everything I entered, for a 200% return, on my first attempt at DFS. Won money in two freerolls, a satellite, cashed in every tournament, every 50/50 and doubleup, and all my H2H matchups except for a single, $1 contest. Dipped my toe into 22 contests and cashed in 21 with 3 different lineups. Finished in the top 1-2% of all the tourneys. Which only means now I'm so sure of my mad skillz I'm kicking myself for not risking more and now I'll probably blow my whole bankroll in three weeks.
Which site are you on?This.. 12 of 13 on my first go. The one I missed was the freeroll where I intentionally put longshots in....I am in the unfortunate position of nailing (almost) everything I entered, for a 200% return, on my first attempt at DFS. Won money in two freerolls, a satellite, cashed in every tournament, every 50/50 and doubleup, and all my H2H matchups except for a single, $1 contest. Dipped my toe into 22 contests and cashed in 21 with 3 different lineups. Finished in the top 1-2% of all the tourneys. Which only means now I'm so sure of my mad skillz I'm kicking myself for not risking more and now I'll probably blow my whole bankroll in three weeks.
The 50/50's seem almost too easy. I think I will stick to those from here out and just build slow.
Also - several of the 50/50s did not fill up, so your odds were better than 50/50 (or whatever).... is this common? For example a 10000 entry $25 contest that paid the top 4500 (if i recall) only had 7000ish enter.
I just wish they would extend this to everyone else. How many times have you been watching a sporting event and seen insurance commercials over the course of your lifetime? There are a bunch of actuaries locked in a closet somewhere to make sure you(or most people) never come out ahead buying insurance as well. Guess I have missed the outrage toward those folks.MattFancy said:
Fan Duel and Yahoo.. Yahoo was full of empty contests.Which site are you on?This.. 12 of 13 on my first go. The one I missed was the freeroll where I intentionally put longshots in....I am in the unfortunate position of nailing (almost) everything I entered, for a 200% return, on my first attempt at DFS. Won money in two freerolls, a satellite, cashed in every tournament, every 50/50 and doubleup, and all my H2H matchups except for a single, $1 contest. Dipped my toe into 22 contests and cashed in 21 with 3 different lineups. Finished in the top 1-2% of all the tourneys. Which only means now I'm so sure of my mad skillz I'm kicking myself for not risking more and now I'll probably blow my whole bankroll in three weeks.
The 50/50's seem almost too easy. I think I will stick to those from here out and just build slow.
Also - several of the 50/50s did not fill up, so your odds were better than 50/50 (or whatever).... is this common? For example a 10000 entry $25 contest that paid the top 4500 (if i recall) only had 7000ish enter.
that's not what actuaries do moron
What is overlay? (I don't gamble outside of $5 weekly football pools so I am not hip to some of these gambling terms.)
So you want DFS to have a similar level of regulation as the insurance industry? You sure about that?
It's when the site guarantees a certain prize fund (let's say $1 million) but the tourney doesn't completely fill. As a result, the site loses money and the entrants odds are now better of winning money since the prize fund was guaranteed.
I got that email too and even though I've never done MLB, I did some research for about 1/2 hour and threw in a lineup that turned my $25 into $60. I was like a point out of $75. Oh well, baseball is very stressful with the negative points and so many freaking innings. My winnings will translate into 3 Chipotle burritos. Unless of course I lose it all in the future.Fanduel had a huge overlay tonight in the 1.5 mil super grand slam so I threw a couple entries in. I should finish ahead, but now I remember why I quit playing daily baseball
Fanduel and DK are the main sites and offer the biggest prizes and are the easiest to use. It is mainstream, other sites have different salaries, rules where good information is harder to find.
Tell that to us poker players who have been waiting a decade for online poker to be regulated....
Seems like everyone, including league owners, are in on this action. It's going to be hard to push it back at this point, so just add sports gambling IMO and educate people that both DFS and sports wagering bear the same amount of financial risk.
I almost threw it away when I saw it. Until I realized the whole magazine isn't just about Draft Kings.
