Deranged Hermit
Not cool & Pissed
Alrighty than. Since my RB rankings got decent feedback (the rankings can be found HERE), we're going to give QB's a shot next. Again, this is how I think things will fall when all is said and done at season's end. I would not draft them in this order since some of these QB's are way outside their ADP.
1. Drew Brees
I expect a lot of good things again out of the NO offense. Their Defense still isn't that good which means they still should be in a lot of shootouts. Couple that with the fact that their RB's aren't great runners, well, that bodes well for Brees' numbers.
2. Peyton Manning
Mr. Consistancy. Yes, Harrison is gone, but they still have a ton of weapons at Manning's disposal.
3. Tom Brady
I struggled with this. I'm NOT a fan of taking a chance like this, on a QB no less, just one year removed from surgery. Buyer beware here, you're investing a 2nd on a guy who may well be QB1, but just as easily could be QB10. He'd have to drop to the 4th for me to take him.
4. Donovan McNabb
Big drop in tier here, but McNabb has proven he can stay healthy last season. More importantly though, Kolb has proven he's not even close to being ready. IMO, the sky's the limit here, he's basically in a contract year (the Eagles will decide to extend his contract or not this season), they love to throw, and he got another elite weapon in Maclin. You can get him at QB 7-8, but I think he'll do much better.
5. Aaron Rodgers
Rodgers shut up his critics last year when he put up numbers that, IMO, Farve wouldn't have running the offense. With much the same players again this year, I see no reason why that will change.
6. Matt Schaub
This is the guy that can win you a championship this year. While every other guy will be grabbing QBs in the 2nd to 7th round, you'll bide your time, picking up depth and filling your starting lineup and bang, you'll grab a QB that will be drafted around QB12, but will out play most of the guys picked previously. Injury is a concern, so make sure you get a competent backup (Ryan, Eli, etc).
7. Philip Rivers
Rivers' season last year took many by surprise, but I see him coming close to those numbers this year. I'd have liked to see them improve their WR, but whatever.
8. Ben Rothliberger
I don't see a return to his stats two years ago, but I expect a vast improvement on last year's numbers.
9. Kurt Warner
Most people will scream 'TOO LOW!!!!', but I simply can't see him staying healthy all year again. Add to that the fact that they seem to want to be able to run the ball more with the addition of Wells (who is not a pass catching back) and I see a dip in Warner's stats a bit this year.
10. Matt Ryan
Another QB who will out perform his draft position this year. I see a lot of 3 yard TD plunges that Turner ran in turning to 3 yard dumpoffs to White and Gonzo.
11. Tony Romo
On the flip side of the Schaub/Ryan coin, I see Tony Romo. He'll get drafted too high by some and they'll kick themselves for it. Sure, he'll have some very nice games, but you can't lose a HoF WR (a PIA one though) and not suffer.
12. Carson Palmer
I think he'll be heaving up the ball quite a bit, but the loss of his safety blanket (Housh) can't be discounted. Maybe Coles can fill that void? We'll find out.
13. Matt Hasselbeck
Last year was a fluke, everything that could go wrong in Seattle did. They were ravaged by injuries, but they now start with a clean slate. Hass has a new toy in Housh, and I see Seattle returning to the team it was two years ago, rather than the shell they were last year.
14. Jay Cutler
I'm a Bears fan. They like to run and they have nothing at WR. Cutler will be a fine NFL QB. Fantasy, not so much.
15. David Garrard
I'll take a lot of flak for this, but whatever. I think a lot of people are over-rating him, much like they're over-rating Cutler. Good NFL QB, not so good Fantasy.
Just missing the cut: Matt Cassel, Eli Manning, Kyle Orton
1. Drew Brees
I expect a lot of good things again out of the NO offense. Their Defense still isn't that good which means they still should be in a lot of shootouts. Couple that with the fact that their RB's aren't great runners, well, that bodes well for Brees' numbers.
2. Peyton Manning
Mr. Consistancy. Yes, Harrison is gone, but they still have a ton of weapons at Manning's disposal.
3. Tom Brady
I struggled with this. I'm NOT a fan of taking a chance like this, on a QB no less, just one year removed from surgery. Buyer beware here, you're investing a 2nd on a guy who may well be QB1, but just as easily could be QB10. He'd have to drop to the 4th for me to take him.
4. Donovan McNabb
Big drop in tier here, but McNabb has proven he can stay healthy last season. More importantly though, Kolb has proven he's not even close to being ready. IMO, the sky's the limit here, he's basically in a contract year (the Eagles will decide to extend his contract or not this season), they love to throw, and he got another elite weapon in Maclin. You can get him at QB 7-8, but I think he'll do much better.
5. Aaron Rodgers
Rodgers shut up his critics last year when he put up numbers that, IMO, Farve wouldn't have running the offense. With much the same players again this year, I see no reason why that will change.
6. Matt Schaub
This is the guy that can win you a championship this year. While every other guy will be grabbing QBs in the 2nd to 7th round, you'll bide your time, picking up depth and filling your starting lineup and bang, you'll grab a QB that will be drafted around QB12, but will out play most of the guys picked previously. Injury is a concern, so make sure you get a competent backup (Ryan, Eli, etc).
7. Philip Rivers
Rivers' season last year took many by surprise, but I see him coming close to those numbers this year. I'd have liked to see them improve their WR, but whatever.
8. Ben Rothliberger
I don't see a return to his stats two years ago, but I expect a vast improvement on last year's numbers.
9. Kurt Warner
Most people will scream 'TOO LOW!!!!', but I simply can't see him staying healthy all year again. Add to that the fact that they seem to want to be able to run the ball more with the addition of Wells (who is not a pass catching back) and I see a dip in Warner's stats a bit this year.
10. Matt Ryan
Another QB who will out perform his draft position this year. I see a lot of 3 yard TD plunges that Turner ran in turning to 3 yard dumpoffs to White and Gonzo.
11. Tony Romo
On the flip side of the Schaub/Ryan coin, I see Tony Romo. He'll get drafted too high by some and they'll kick themselves for it. Sure, he'll have some very nice games, but you can't lose a HoF WR (a PIA one though) and not suffer.
12. Carson Palmer
I think he'll be heaving up the ball quite a bit, but the loss of his safety blanket (Housh) can't be discounted. Maybe Coles can fill that void? We'll find out.
13. Matt Hasselbeck
Last year was a fluke, everything that could go wrong in Seattle did. They were ravaged by injuries, but they now start with a clean slate. Hass has a new toy in Housh, and I see Seattle returning to the team it was two years ago, rather than the shell they were last year.
14. Jay Cutler
I'm a Bears fan. They like to run and they have nothing at WR. Cutler will be a fine NFL QB. Fantasy, not so much.
15. David Garrard
I'll take a lot of flak for this, but whatever. I think a lot of people are over-rating him, much like they're over-rating Cutler. Good NFL QB, not so good Fantasy.
Just missing the cut: Matt Cassel, Eli Manning, Kyle Orton
