difference is......we're not PAID for guessingbut you have to realize these guys are just guessing, just like we are.
Guess I don't see your point. Getting paid doesn't make them clairvoyant. It just means they do a lot of homework. Sometimes they're spectacularly wrong. I pay them for their knowledgeable opinions, and the fact that I know there is solid analysis behind it. Sometimes I take their advice and get burned (starting Jamal Lewis) sometimes I ignore their advice and get burned (no benching Chris Johnson). Expecting more than that is expecting more than humans can do.difference is......we're not PAID for guessingbut you have to realize these guys are just guessing, just like we are.
I take it you lost yesterday.difference is......we're not PAID for guessingbut you have to realize these guys are just guessing, just like we are.
Best thing FBG does for me each year is the preseason information and the Draft Dominator. I don't make weekly decisions that often based on the paid content, but rather manage my team based on my gut feel for matchups when I have close calls. The best value I get from the paid content is keeping up with injuries and GTD.The SP adds value by bringing to light situations in cities where I don't closely follow the teams regarding who looks good, who may be dinged up, etc. I've made some good waiver moves based on information in the SP. From what I've seen, you can get a jump on news here before it is widely available.I've been a top contending team across several competitive leagues for years, and some of that success I attribute to FBGs and the SP.
I like the Shark Pool for hearing about players I don't keep up on. The dialogue is much more helpful then seeing just FBG's projections and just numbers. The information I learn in the Shark Pool helps me make my own decisions and as far as FBG's paid stuff goes......it is good, probably the best out there, but I manage my own teams. That's what makes fantasy football fun. Doing it yourself and learning a bit more about other players/teams.
I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.
Not so. An owner can be prepared and up-to-date with latest news, injuries, etc, but luck plays a MAJOR part of FF. We are dealing with unknowns. For example, I considered my team a playoff caliber team and came away on draft day happy with my squad. I made the best possible decisions given the information I had at my disposal. 12 weeks later, I'm a top scoring team in my league but will miss the playoffs because I have a losing record because I have played the highest scoring team for a given week 4 times this season. How can I influence that? I'm not complaining about my BAD luck and you could argue that I should play in a different league setup, but I enjoy playing FF with my college buddies and the camaraderie is more important to me.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
Saying it's skill is the intellectually dishonest way out.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
So you're thinking there's not skill involved?Saying it's skill is the intellectually dishonest way out.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
No. I think anyone who discounts luck in fantasy football is lying to themselves.So you're thinking there's not skill involved?Saying it's skill is the intellectually dishonest way out.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
i'm not a subscriber (i was last year) so i don't see the pointI take it you lost yesterday.difference is......we're not PAID for guessingbut you have to realize these guys are just guessing, just like we are.
I think this is true. Luck is a factor, but not as big a factor as some claim. In my main redraft league it is the group of guys fighting for the trophy each year. There are 4 teams that make the playoffs almost every year, 4 that make the playoffs about half the time and then 4 that hardly ever make the playoffs. The luck factor does get involved from year to year and this year one of the best owners will miss the playoffs. If luck was such a huge factor the same teams would not be twords the top of the league every year.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
The more competitive your league, the more important luck becomes. If you are the only shark in your league, you can easily leverage your skill into success.It depends on your competition.I think this is true. Luck is a factor, but not as big a factor as some claim. In my main redraft league it is the group of guys fighting for the trophy each year. There are 4 teams that make the playoffs almost every year, 4 that make the playoffs about half the time and then 4 that hardly ever make the playoffs. The luck factor does get involved from year to year and this year one of the best owners will miss the playoffs. If luck was such a huge factor the same teams would not be twords the top of the league every year.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
I agree. If skill level is equal then luck does become a bigger factor.The more competitive your league, the more important luck becomes. If you are the only shark in your league, you can easily leverage your skill into success.It depends on your competition.I think this is true. Luck is a factor, but not as big a factor as some claim. In my main redraft league it is the group of guys fighting for the trophy each year. There are 4 teams that make the playoffs almost every year, 4 that make the playoffs about half the time and then 4 that hardly ever make the playoffs. The luck factor does get involved from year to year and this year one of the best owners will miss the playoffs. If luck was such a huge factor the same teams would not be twords the top of the league every year.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
You've got a lot of free time... drink a lot of beer... and use the term signal to noise ratio.You must be a musician of some sort.I don't pay for any FF info. If I have enough time to read/board about it, I don't need to pay for it. Then there are free postings like the email about Peyton Manning and his chances of missing games at the beginning of the season (pretty sure it was sourced from this site) which to me was a great example of pointless overthinking.
From what I can tell, this site is doing a good job - trying to provide the most VALUE possible. It is more the investment of time on my part (obv. I spend more than $30 or whatever on beer in a week) that makes it not very valuable to me. But I do like the (free!) podcasts a lot.
This messageboard has a pretty high signal-to-noise ratio. I enjoy reading some threads here, though again I'm not a stat-head and don't draw many conclusions from those discussions. Still "interesting." I posted on "Fantasysharks" before and that board is appalling.
Not to hijack, but preparedness is NOT skill. FF is mostly preparedness and luck. Very little authentic skill. When the same guys dominate a league every year, they're the ones who are more prepared and stay on top of things. Poker, on the other hand, is a great deal of skill with knowledge and luck thrown in. I am a lazy man, but I'm not taking the easy way out here. I'm pleased with my success at the game, but I don't pretend it's something more than it is. I enjoy it, so I tend to be more prepared than some people, but less than others. Terrible at poker, though.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
This is where I disagree a bit. I understand your point, but I also think that certain people have a knack for watching what's going on on the football field and knowing which guys have real talent, which situations are going to lend themselves to fantasy boom or bust, which WW gems are flashes in the pan and which are real gold, and which rookies and even college players are going to succeed.Obviously no one is going to be right all the time, but some are going to be right far more than others. Those that are able to watch the games and know which guys to go after and which guys to avoid have a "skill" that the majority don't have. The majority uses box scores to do that stuff.Not to hijack, but preparedness is NOT skill. FF is mostly preparedness and luck. Very little authentic skill. When the same guys dominate a league every year, they're the ones who are more prepared and stay on top of things. Poker, on the other hand, is a great deal of skill with knowledge and luck thrown in. I am a lazy man, but I'm not taking the easy way out here. I'm pleased with my success at the game, but I don't pretend it's something more than it is. I enjoy it, so I tend to be more prepared than some people, but less than others. Terrible at poker, though.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
On point, FBG helps a lot with preparedness. Combine that with luck (or the absence of bad luck) and you'll go far. The forum alone is a great resource because I don't know of a better place to get last-minute information. If someone hears something on a local station...it's here. If someone reports something credible, it's here. And if you have any Patriots, Yudkin is here.
VERYNeil Beaufort Zod said:Not to hijack, but preparedness is NOT skill. FF is mostly preparedness and luck. Very little authentic skill. When the same guys dominate a league every year, they're the ones who are more prepared and stay on top of things. Poker, on the other hand, is a great deal of skill with knowledge and luck thrown in. I am a lazy man, but I'm not taking the easy way out here. I'm pleased with my success at the game, but I don't pretend it's something more than it is. I enjoy it, so I tend to be more prepared than some people, but less than others. Terrible at poker, though.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.
On point, FBG helps a lot with preparedness. Combine that with luck (or the absence of bad luck) and you'll go far. The forum alone is a great resource because I don't know of a better place to get last-minute information. If someone hears something on a local station...it's here. If someone reports something credible, it's here. And if you have any Patriots, Yudkin is here.
As far as the Shark pool goes, its nice to hear different opinions out there but only if they make you think and reconsider your own opinions,not take everything as gospel. The problem is that too many people in the Shark pool consider themselves Sharks.
Luck plays a significant factor in any individual H2H matchup. It plays a lesser factor over the course of a season. Owners that are more prepared for the draft and more informed during the season are frequently ( not always, but frequently ) the ones that make annual appearances in the playoffs, and often go deep. If it was mostly luck, the distribution of owners success would be pretty evenly spread over several years of play. What I've seen usually happen is the same 4 or 5 teams are nearly always in the playoffs, and 1 or 2 of the rest rotate in when they hit it good. Luck has its role, but skill/preparation has as big a role over the long haul.No. I think anyone who discounts luck in fantasy football is lying to themselves.So you're thinking there's not skill involved?Saying it's skill is the intellectually dishonest way out.I pay for 3 things on this website.
1) Draft Dominator
2) Lineup Dominator
3) $35K contest
Fantasy football is luck. I play for fun and try to enjoy it. Sometimes FBG hits a player on the head, sometimes they don't. Sometimes I hit a player on the head, sometimes I don't.
I don't pay for their information and then follow it blindly. I make my own choices and live and die with them.Luck is a factor, just like in Poker, but skill, knowledge and preparation are more important part.
Sure you can lose a first rounder through injury, but you should draft depth.
You should scout the waiver wire. A lot of people give up once they draft or go to the waiver wire only to get emergency help.
You should always be looking to improve your roster, always.
Saying it's luck is the lazy man's easy way out.