Donald Driver vs. Chicago - why he may be a great play this week (1 Viewer)

[Wheelhouse]

Last season, Driver had 13 targets vs. CHI in week 13 and 10 targets vs. CHI in week 16.

Week 13: 8 rec, 64 yards, 0 TD - 13 targets

Week 16: 6 rec, 107 yards, 0 TD, 10 targets

Top games (targets) for Driver in 2005

14 vs. ATL

13 vs. CHI

12 vs. CAR

11 vs. BAL

11 vs. MIN

10 vs. CHI

9 vs. PIT

9 vs. MIN

2 of his top 6 games for targets were against Chicago. 5 of his top 8 games for targets were against very good defenses. (CHI, CHI, CAR, BAL, PIT)

He looks like a very solid play this week in my opinon.

 

[Remus]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

 

[TitusIII]

I agree, he should put up some nice garbage time stats, along with a touchdown.

 

[Keys Myaths]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

0 TDs in 2 games seems like a sample size error to me. Touchdowns, it seems, are more randomized than anything else. Some players get them more than others, but predicting the games in which they get them are nearly impossible.Yards receiving seems to be the more statistically significant statistic.

 

[Wheelhouse]

From last year's FBG game recap against Chicago...

Week 13:

Driver was targeted 14 times and caught eight passes, both team highs for the game. He was targeted twice in the red zone, catching one and getting tackled at the two yard line just before Samkon Gado rushed for the Packers’ only touchdown of the game. The other red zone target came on the game’s final drive and was incomplete. Driver was the target of the fourth quarter pass that was thrown to the wrong shoulder and was intercepted by the Bears and returned for a touchdown.

Week 16

Driver nearly tied the game up in the final minutes on a crossing pattern where he beat the first few defenders before being taken down deep in Bears territory. Unfortunately, Favre never got a pass into the end zone to give the Packers another chance to tie the game up. Driver finished with over one hundred yards, but failed to find the end zone against the Bears secondary.

 

[Preachrboy04]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

0 TDs in 2 games seems like a sample size error to me. Touchdowns, it seems, are more randomized than anything else. Some players get them more than others, but predicting the games in which they get them are nearly impossible.Yards receiving seems to be the more statistically significant statistic.

2 games seems a small sample size period. Not that I don't like Driver... just think this analysis is thin.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

7 for 80 is a fine game in my ppr league. I'll take it. I like the # of targets, plus I don't think the Bears D is as good as all that. Favre's gone insane & I think will be winging the ball all over the place. If he throws 35-40 times, it's not out of the question for DD to catch 7 of them.

 

[Remus]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

0 TDs in 2 games seems like a sample size error to me. Touchdowns, it seems, are more randomized than anything else. Some players get them more than others, but predicting the games in which they get them are nearly impossible.Yards receiving seems to be the more statistically significant statistic.

I agree, but it says something about the Chicago defense if a guy can be targeted 13 times in one game and 10 in another and he never touches the endzone. I'm too lazy to look and see who did score for the Packers in those games, but 13 looks for a WR has got to be 2nd only to the starting HB.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

0 TDs in 2 games seems like a sample size error to me. Touchdowns, it seems, are more randomized than anything else. Some players get them more than others, but predicting the games in which they get them are nearly impossible.Yards receiving seems to be the more statistically significant statistic.

I've almost gotten to the point with WRs where I don't consider TDs at all (in fact, that holds true for any position save for a few players). Team Ds are the spot where I don't project them at all.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I dont think people drafted him as their #1 or #2 WR not ot play him week 1

 

[PsychoMan]

i don't ever plan on sitting driver this year. no matter the matchup, he should be a solid #2 WR IMO

 

[Big Score]

Considering Green bay is going to have to pass, as they darn sure ain't gonna ba able to run on Chicago, Driver is a great play this game.

Even better if Favre throws a coupla picks, one of which gets returned for a TD. Then they'll be in catch up mode and pass even more. Favre to Driver all game long.

 

[Gopher State]

Considering Green bay is going to have to pass, as they darn sure ain't gonna ba able to run on Chicago, Driver is a great play this game.

Even better if Favre throws a coupla picks, one of which gets returned for a TD. Then they'll be in catch up mode and pass even more. Favre to Driver all game long.

Very

 

[Keys Myaths]

Considering Green bay is going to have to pass, as they darn sure ain't gonna ba able to run on Chicago, Driver is a great play this game.

Even better if Favre throws a coupla picks, one of which gets returned for a TD. Then they'll be in catch up mode and pass even more. Favre to Driver all game long.

It's a pretty good recipe for a decent game.

 

[TheBradyBunch]

You should always play Driver early in the season..while he's still the #1 wr in Green Bay!

 

[Bri]

I think Jennings will have to show he's as good in the regular season as he was in preseason for Driver to do well. I don't like their TEs so much anymore. Driver may feel all alone out there if Jennings struggles. It might be halftime, might be week 3 but I think Jennings is real important to Driver's success

 

[TheBradyBunch]

I think Jennings will have to show he's as good in the regular season as he was in preseason for Driver to do well. I don't like their TEs so much anymore. Driver may feel all alone out there if Jennings struggles. It might be halftime, might be week 3 but I think Jennings is real important to Driver's success

I'm not sure I agree. Driver had 1200 yards last year when Antonio Chatman was the #2 wr (stats-wise). Driver will get his no matter what with the Pack being a pass-happy team. If anything, I think Jennings will cut into Drivers numbers to the point that I can see Driver and Jennings having fairly similar #'s by the end of the season. We'll see...

 

[cracKer]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

Just a quick heads up, but very few wide receivers pick up a TD every game. In fact, only 18 times in history has a receiver averaged a touchdown per game during a full season. I wouldn't worry too much about Driver.

 

[Bri]

I think Jennings will have to show he's as good in the regular season as he was in preseason for Driver to do well. I don't like their TEs so much anymore. Driver may feel all alone out there if Jennings struggles. It might be halftime, might be week 3 but I think Jennings is real important to Driver's success

I'm not sure I agree. Driver had 1200 yards last year when Antonio Chatman was the #2 wr (stats-wise). Driver will get his no matter what with the Pack being a pass-happy team. If anything, I think Jennings will cut into Drivers numbers to the point that I can see Driver and Jennings having fairly similar #'s by the end of the season. We'll see...

fair point

 

[Spiderman]

Donald Driver is a veteran player, and is someone Brett Favre trusts. Did I mention that he's pretty good as well ? Who else is Favre going to throw to, Greg Jennings ? Jennings will have to prove himself over the regular season.

Also, if there is a weakness to the Bears defense, it is that they can be thrown on, however, they also make big plays so teams are usually timid about opening it vs. Chicago. I don't think GB is going to have much success running the ball, but if they're going to have any kind of success, it's going to be through the air and Farve will be looking in Driver's direction all day.

I don't think you can wrong with Driver on your fantasy team...He's a really good player, should rack up at least 1100 yards, and will get around 7-9 TD's.

 

[cws3030]

Considering Green bay is going to have to pass, as they darn sure ain't gonna ba able to run on Chicago, Driver is a great play this game.

Even better if Favre throws a coupla picks, one of which gets returned for a TD. Then they'll be in catch up mode and pass even more. Favre to Driver all game long.

It's a pretty good recipe for a decent game.

It's a pretty good recipe for a decent YEAR

 

[Lemmiwinks]

I still think I'm benching Driver for Rod Smith @ STL.

Nice analysis in this thread though.

 

[SteelerMurf]

You don't bench WRs cause they didn't get a TD vs. that team the year before. Chad Johnson played Pittsburgh 3 times last year and never scored a TD at all. You gonna say that is a bad play??????

Driver is gonna get about 8 TDs this year, you CANNOT predict when those will come, you just can't.

If he gets 7 catches, that is gold........

 

[raidergil]

Thanks for the research, but the key stat for me is the ZERO TD's against Chicago. Driver owners will be lucky to get 80 yds rec, IMO.

Actually Driver has not scored in 7 of the last 8 mtgs with Chicago. I remember hearing such a stat last yr and sitting him for a better option. However, week 1 at home - I'm still playing him.

 

[TheBradyBunch]

fftoday.com's FREE weekly projections, fwiw:

WR

!8-Greg Jennings-5--75--1

32-Donald Driver-6--85--0

 

[chitown wolfpack]

fftoday.com's FREE weekly projections, fwiw:WR!8-Greg Jennings-5--75--132-Donald Driver-6--85--0

there are quite a few option better than driver this week agaisnta tough chicago dhe will defiantely get plenty of looks though