Liquid Tension said:
Big Score said:
redman said:
Still, it's worth noting that all of the coaches used that bye week to break down every single play they've run this year as part of a reassessment. This led to a more power-based rushing attack against Dallas, and the removal of Archuleta from the lineup in favor of Troy Vincent on defense. They are certainly determined to fix problems right now, so this may be in the same vein.
I'm not sure how further diluting the touches / opportunities of one of their two play makers on offense, is going to fix anything. I can only see it exacerbating the problems of an already impotent offense. I mean why keep telegraphing to D's, what you're doing?
Defenses already have the tell of a pass play to Betts, when he comes in on 3rd & long. Now Gibbs & Saunders want to further tip the offeses hand to opposing D's, by replacing Portis with Duckett on Short Yardage & Goal Line plays?
I wonder what else they can do to make the Skins offense even more predictable?
I agree with your comment that limiting the touches of your best weapon is silly, but having a specialist is not silly and doesn't tip anything off unless you let it do so. For example, the Giants have Jacobs for the same reason that we are talking about Duckett here. On 3rd and short you would expect a run no matter who is back there, but with Jacobs it is even more a "sure" thing, until you play action for an easy gain. The Giants never did anything but hand it to Jacobs and eventually that didn't work so well last year. this year, not only are they using play action more, but they are bringing in Jacobs in throwing downs and other downs as well to mix it up. It has worked real well for them. If you only do one thing every time then you are giving them a "tell" but the coaching needs to mix it up once in awile to be effective. There are also times that with the Giants OL and Jacobs you can make the yard regardless of what the defense knows.Not sure if I confused the message or not, but the point is that having a specialist can only increase your chances of success if used correctly. If it is true that portis is not good on short situations than having Duckett come in is a good thing as you can plow it home or play action once in awhile. Having Betts come in on 3rd down IF HE CATCHES BETTER than Portis is a good thing as long as you run once in awhile and have the ability to pick up a 3rd and 6 running. Not really sure in your example if on 3rd and long bringing in betts tips to the other team you are going to throw though.
Indeed a specialist can increase your chances,
IF the play calling is mixed up.Unfortunately that is not the case so much in Washington.
Now they're going to have one back for obvious passing downs, in Betts. If Betts comes in, it's roughly an 85+% chance that he is going to be the primary read on 3rd & longs.
Another back for Short Yardage & Goal Line plays, in Duckett. It hasn't played out yet, but I'd be willing to bet when Duckett is in, the percentages will be roughly the same as when Betts comes in on passing downs.
And yet another back for the other occasions, in Portis.
I don't know why Saunders is calling such a predictable game this year, but he is. Everytime I've watched the Redskins, I've been able to call the offensive play they're going to run, with an 85+% accuracy rate, just from their down & distance situation & the RB substitution.
If I can peg thir play calling that easily, you
KNOW Defensive Coordinators can.