Dynasty: 2013 Rookie Draft Strategy (1 Viewer)

[Concept Coop]

Curious how owners are viewing this draft, and, more specifically, how you are adjusting your strategy. Trading away picks? Hoping to capitalize on the stigma of this class? Have a few guys you like and hoping to snipe them? Swinging for the fences, investing in upside? Relying more on a players situation? Not changing strategy at all? Personally, I am trying to acquire picks in this draft, assuming league-mates are willing to discount. This class won't provide Luck/RG3/Richardson, but not every class does. Outside of that, I think this class will round out nicely and end up being solid. I think 1-2QB, 1-2RB, 3-4WR, 1-2TE will go in the first round. Really, that's not bad. As far as specifics, I'll be more willing to use a mid-1st on a TE, and will be less willing to look a at a QB before mid-2nd. If Geno does go #1 to KC/Reid, that could change. I'll be looking to see how the NFL breaks up the 1st tier of WRs, because right now, I don't feel good about making that call. And at RB, I'll be aiming high (Lacy/hopefully another emerges) or avoiding early and taking who falls.

 

[FunkyTeaParty]

I have the 1.06. My plan has been to snipe Lattimore, but now I am worried he's going to get too much momentum.

 

[EBF]

No different than any other year. Making moves to get into the right positions to get the small handful of players that I actually want. It's a bit premature to know exactly where I need to be because the rookie draft ADP will hinge on things like the combine and the draft itself.

 

[MAC_32]

No different than any other year. Making moves to get into the right positions to get the small handful of players that I actually want. It's a bit premature to know exactly where I need to be because the rookie draft ADP will hinge on things like the combine and the draft itself.

I have the 8th and 12th picks right now, I anticipate liking those spots. Only scenario I see trading up is if I really want Lattimore (likely), he is going in the pick 3-6 range, and there are owners willing to move back. Otherwise, I'm happy to sit back and see what falls. There will be a guy or two that separates and becomes 'worthy' of the #1 and #2 picks by the masses, but I disagree. Picks won't be worth the going rate. Ifyou have a top pick, wait until the rush for a player or two picks up steam then look to move down or back into 2014. If there is a strong enough market for the 8 and 12 picks I will consider moving down or back a year, but that's a discussion for May imho.

 

[Donsmith753]

I think that the value of mid to late 1sts is going to be attractive this year. Shouldn't cost as much as top 5 picks but should still offer similar options.

 

[Concept Coop]

Very small sample size here, but it seems like we all expect the class to be better than it looked a month or two ago.

 

[MAC_32]

Very small sample size here, but it seems like we all expect the class to be better than it looked a month or two ago.

Nah, this is about how I saw it. It's low point was right after the Lattimore injury, that was the time to trade for picks. There will probably be a time to trade them away, but it won't be until close to draft time. This class got a bad rap because of the lack of marquee talent, the depth was always there...depth doesn't get headlines so it was perceived as weak when it really wasn't.

 

[thriftyrocker]

What are people's stance on trading 2013 1sts for 2014 1sts and vice versa? Seems this was a popular strategy a month ago but has died down.

 

[EBF]

What are people's stance on trading 2013 1sts for 2014 1sts and vice versa? Seems this was a popular strategy a month ago but has died down.

The dirty little secret of the 2014 draft is that it doesn't have a slam dunk franchise RB either. I'm high on Seastrunk and Dyer, but to say that either of those guys is a lock first rounder is still a bit of a stretch at this point. The way I see it 2014 is mainly about Lee, Watkins, and Seastrunk, with Dyer as a wild card. If you can get a pick that has a high probability of being in the top 3, I think you'd be wise to do so. But other than that I don't think there's a huge difference. It will end up being a stronger draft through the top 5-6 picks. The depth will be pretty similar though.ETA: Teddy Bridgewater is shaping up to be a true franchise QB prospect and he'll be eligible next year, so if your league values that position then you can also consider him a probable top pick.

 

[FUBAR]

What are people's stance on trading 2013 1sts for 2014 1sts and vice versa? Seems this was a popular strategy a month ago but has died down.

Same as usual. If I can trade a mid-late 2013 1st for what I think should be a high 2014 1st, I do it. I might trade a high 2013 1st for a high 2014 1st but probably not as you just never know when a team will turn it around. In my main league, I own no 1sts and won't look to acquire any. In my rebuild... I'm hoping to trade down a bit.

 

[Xue]

I have a dirty little secret about the 2014 draft as well. Jeremy Hill is draft eligible. ;-)

 

[EBF]

I have a dirty little secret about the 2014 draft as well. Jeremy Hill is draft eligible. ;-)

Wow, didn't know that. That is good news for the 2014 draft. I actually rate Hill above Gurley and Yeldon for now.

 

[DropKick]

Curious how owners are viewing this draft, and, more specifically, how you are adjusting your strategy. Trading away picks? Hoping to capitalize on the stigma of this class? Have a few guys you like and hoping to snipe them? Swinging for the fences, investing in upside? Relying more on a players situation? Not changing strategy at all? Personally, I am trying to acquire picks in this draft, assuming league-mates are willing to discount. This class won't provide Luck/RG3/Richardson, but not every class does. Outside of that, I think this class will round out nicely and end up being solid. I think 1-2QB, 1-2RB, 3-4WR, 1-2TE will go in the first round. Really, that's not bad. As far as specifics, I'll be more willing to use a mid-1st on a TE, and will be less willing to look a at a QB before mid-2nd. If Geno does go #1 to KC/Reid, that could change. I'll be looking to see how the NFL breaks up the 1st tier of WRs, because right now, I don't feel good about making that call. And at RB, I'll be aiming high (Lacy/hopefully another emerges) or avoiding early and taking who falls.

Our thinking sounds similar. I think the best value may come from TE and I'm leaning toward that position in the bottom half of the round.

 

[Xue]

I have a dirty little secret about the 2014 draft as well. Jeremy Hill is draft eligible. ;-)

Wow, didn't know that. That is good news for the 2014 draft. I actually rate Hill above Gurley and Yeldon for now.

http://www.ibtimes.com/sportsnet/lsu-tigers-news-jeremy-hill-who-their-breakout-running-back-855204He's a 2011 HS recruit/graduate. Took a year off to deal with legal issue.

 

[Andrew74]

I had 2 mid 1st round 2013 picks and used them to upgrade some positions (e.g., Brees) before the playiffs this year and/or added to trades to get 2014 1st from teams I perceive to be weak. I have the 2.07 and hope to land a TE or WR this year. Other than that I am doing nothing for '13. I have 3 2014 1st which I hope to use to land one or more of the elite prospects when the time comes via their slots or trading up.

 

[MAC_32]

What are people's stance on trading 2013 1sts for 2014 1sts and vice versa? Seems this was a popular strategy a month ago but has died down.

I have picks 8 and 12, I will be exploring that option in May. I had pick #7 in 2011 (didn't like options) and traded it for a 2nd rounder + a #1 in 2012. I was able to use the extra 1 to trade up for Richardson. Definitely considering that route again, but, depends who falls to picks 8 and 12 and if there's a trade market for the pick. I want guys I feel good about becoming top 15 RB's, top 20 WR's, and top 10 TE's/QB's in round 1. If I don't see them I will trade out.

 

[GeeYouknit]

I don't have a strategy per se, but I'm trying to trade up for a RB or 2 in this class because I feel there a few good buys in this class. RB is the only position I need help at depth with so going for an earlier pick than my 1.09 I feel is a necessity.In my opinion there are a lot of players in this draft that will be good bargains for NFL teams that have a good all around skillset but not outstanding at anything in particular (a Doug Martin example seems appropriate, said the same things when he came out) so I am going for picks as well, and just hoping to hit.

 

[Fly]

What are people's stance on trading 2013 1sts for 2014 1sts and vice versa? Seems this was a popular strategy a month ago but has died down.

The dirty little secret of the 2014 draft is that it doesn't have a slam dunk franchise RB either. I'm high on Seastrunk and Dyer, but to say that either of those guys is a lock first rounder is still a bit of a stretch at this point. The way I see it 2014 is mainly about Lee, Watkins, and Seastrunk, with Dyer as a wild card. If you can get a pick that has a high probability of being in the top 3, I think you'd be wise to do so. But other than that I don't think there's a huge difference.

It will end up being a stronger draft through the top 5-6 picks. The depth will be pretty similar though.

ETA: Teddy Bridgewater is shaping up to be a true franchise QB prospect and he'll be eligible next year, so if your league values that position then you can also consider him a probable top pick.

McCarron and Murray might have quite a bit of hype built up at this time next year as well.

 

[Xue]

What are people's stance on trading 2013 1sts for 2014 1sts and vice versa? Seems this was a popular strategy a month ago but has died down.

The dirty little secret of the 2014 draft is that it doesn't have a slam dunk franchise RB either. I'm high on Seastrunk and Dyer, but to say that either of those guys is a lock first rounder is still a bit of a stretch at this point. The way I see it 2014 is mainly about Lee, Watkins, and Seastrunk, with Dyer as a wild card. If you can get a pick that has a high probability of being in the top 3, I think you'd be wise to do so. But other than that I don't think there's a huge difference.

It will end up being a stronger draft through the top 5-6 picks. The depth will be pretty similar though.

ETA: Teddy Bridgewater is shaping up to be a true franchise QB prospect and he'll be eligible next year, so if your league values that position then you can also consider him a probable top pick.

McCarron and Murray might have quite a bit of hype built up at this time next year as well.

Those two are nowhere close to Bridgewater.McCarron is overrated. Bryn Renner (UNC) is probably a better prospect who is very similar to McCarron.