Wigglytuff's Gruff
Footballguy
I feel pretty confident he'll be on my team next year.
Sushinsky issue if his draft goes
1. Bijan Robinson
2. Jahmyr Gibbs
3. Zach Evans
4. Jordan Addison
5. Quentin Johnson or Smith Njigba
6. Sean Tucker
7. does he take WR for his loaded position or draft 5th best RB.
he only hopes Young goes in top 6. I don’t see it in 1 QB league.
1.7 is tough spot in non TE premium or Super Flex league.
I like your top 7, but there is the potential that someone like Kayshon Boutte or Blake Corum rises up draft boards in the pre-draft process to join that mix. I don't necessarily dislike the 1.07, but certainly in early rankings, there is a drop-off after Bijan and Gibbs at RB and the trio of JSN, Addison and Johnson at WR.Sushinsky issue if his draft goes
1. Bijan Robinson -- Should be the top pick in every dynasty league, regardless of format. Robinson may not post elite workout numbers, but he is the best RB prospect since Saquon.
2. Jahmyr Gibbs -- Gibbs is often compared to Alvin Kamara, but he is considerably smaller. If he checks in around 190, that raises some red flags, but Gibbs has elite quickness and receiving ability at the RB position. Gibbs is the easy 1.02 for me.
3. Zach Evans -- It is at least a little concerning that Evans was overtaken by a freshman, even if that freshman was Quinshon Judkins. I personally have Evans below the top receivers in my early rankings, but there are still many things to like about Evans.
4. Jordan Addison -- Addison does not have quite the same ability to separate from defenders as Devonta Smith, but I see some similarities in their games. Like Smith, Addison will be knocked for his slight frame, but his acceleration, route running and hands are elite. There is little separation between this top tier of receivers, and while I favor Jaxon Smith-Njigba slightly over Addison in my early rankings, the difference at this point is negligible.
5. Quentin Johnson or Smith Njigba -- No receiver in this class comes close to Quentin Johnson in terms of measurables. He has the frame and physicality NFL teams covet. He is in this top tier of WRs for me, although I currently have him as WR3 behind JSN and Addison.
6. Sean Tucker -- I love his explosiveness and big-play ability, but Tucker may not add much in the passing game, either as a receiver or as a blocker. If he can develop that element of his game and add a few pounds to his 205 frame, Tucker could be the sleeper back in this draft. Many still have Tucker underrated, but I like that you have him this high in your rankings.
7. does he take WR for his loaded position or draft 5th best RB.
he only hopes Young goes in top 6. I don’t see it in 1 QB league.
1.7 is tough spot in non TE premium or Super Flex league.
Why not trade your 1.07 and one of your depth WRs to move up in the draft? Or just trade one of your WRs for a Serviceable RB before the draft?Sushinsky issue if his draft goes
1. Bijan Robinson
2. Jahmyr Gibbs
3. Zach Evans
4. Jordan Addison
5. Quentin Johnson or Smith Njigba
6. Sean Tucker
7. does he take WR for his loaded position or draft 5th best RB.
he only hopes Young goes in top 6. I don’t see it in 1 QB league.
1.7 is tough spot in non TE premium or Super Flex league.
Yep, this is pretty much how I see it from the 7-spot. If the draft is happening today, I probably clean up the WR that falls and hope for greatness. My league is definitely capable of making some "aspirational" draft decisions, so it's not out of the possibility that someone grabs Bryce in the top 6 or reaches on Mayer out of pure desperation at the TE position.
With Boutee re-joining the top tier of Addison, Johnson, JSN, there's no question that one of those WRs will be there. HIggins is currently the 4th WR in my depth chart with Godwin 5th. Sutton and Alec Pierce behind that, who aren't exactly droppable. Hence, I have no problem passing on goodness at the WR position at 1.7, but if greatness is there, I have to take it and figure out roster balance later.
My gut instinct is that Addison is the most likely to hit big. It's no certainty at his size, but he could get there and should offer a pretty safe floor. Johnston and Boutee have the ceiling, but also have a floor that could disappoint, particularly Boutee. JSN is safe, but I think he's more likely to be very good, rather than great at the next level.
If my view of the WRs that might fall to me doesn't change between now and August, I think it's likely that anyone from Charbonnet/Corum/Achane/Miller/Bigsby that gets the draft capital, landing spot, and August drumbeat will win me over if they're available at the 7-spot. I also need to figure out If Evans and Tucker are must-draft selections if they fall. Depending on where I land on Gibbs, it might make sense to try to tempt the 1.2 with a package of Godwin and the 1.7. I'm not sold on him being that much better of a prospect than the other RBs at this point, but he might warrant it.
It's on the table, but sometimes it's easier said than done. The owner @ 1.1 went to ridiculous (tanking) lengths to secure that pick, so I'm pretty sure that there's no reasonable path to Bijan. Maybe Gibbs at the 1.2 is a target, but I'm sure they're also licking their chops. I'm not sure that a 2023 NFL team is handing over their backfield to Gibbs to be a bell cow. I'm kind of expecting him to be a headliner in a two-man show. A lesser version of that is probably on the board at 1.7. Gibbs is definitely the premium pick, but I'm not sure that the separation will be so large that it warrants forking over a Higgins or Godwin to make it happen. However, some package involving those pieces might be in play.Why not trade your 1.07 and one of your depth WRs to move up in the draft? Or just trade one of your WRs for a Serviceable RB before the draft?Sushinsky issue if his draft goes
1. Bijan Robinson
2. Jahmyr Gibbs
3. Zach Evans
4. Jordan Addison
5. Quentin Johnson or Smith Njigba
6. Sean Tucker
7. does he take WR for his loaded position or draft 5th best RB.
he only hopes Young goes in top 6. I don’t see it in 1 QB league.
1.7 is tough spot in non TE premium or Super Flex league.
Yep, this is pretty much how I see it from the 7-spot. If the draft is happening today, I probably clean up the WR that falls and hope for greatness. My league is definitely capable of making some "aspirational" draft decisions, so it's not out of the possibility that someone grabs Bryce in the top 6 or reaches on Mayer out of pure desperation at the TE position.
With Boutee re-joining the top tier of Addison, Johnson, JSN, there's no question that one of those WRs will be there. HIggins is currently the 4th WR in my depth chart with Godwin 5th. Sutton and Alec Pierce behind that, who aren't exactly droppable. Hence, I have no problem passing on goodness at the WR position at 1.7, but if greatness is there, I have to take it and figure out roster balance later.
My gut instinct is that Addison is the most likely to hit big. It's no certainty at his size, but he could get there and should offer a pretty safe floor. Johnston and Boutee have the ceiling, but also have a floor that could disappoint, particularly Boutee. JSN is safe, but I think he's more likely to be very good, rather than great at the next level.
If my view of the WRs that might fall to me doesn't change between now and August, I think it's likely that anyone from Charbonnet/Corum/Achane/Miller/Bigsby that gets the draft capital, landing spot, and August drumbeat will win me over if they're available at the 7-spot. I also need to figure out If Evans and Tucker are must-draft selections if they fall. Depending on where I land on Gibbs, it might make sense to try to tempt the 1.2 with a package of Godwin and the 1.7. I'm not sold on him being that much better of a prospect than the other RBs at this point, but he might warrant it.
Our early draft boards will no doubt change significantly, but great effort. Mine is definitely a work in progress, but it does not look significantly different than yours:Implied 1QB .5 PPR user consensus draft board from KTC:
1. Bijan Robinson rb
2. Gibbs rb
3. Smith-Njigba wr
4. Addison wr
5. Johnston wr
6. Young qb
7. Evans rb
8. Boutte wr
9. Tucker rb
10. Mayer te
11. Downs wr
12. Stroud qb
13. Bigsby rb
14. Corum rb
15. Charbonnet rb
16. Hyatt wr
17. Achane rb
18. Levis qb
19. A. Richardson qb
20. Mims wr
21. Milton rb
22. Gray rb
23. Jarrett wr
24. McLellan rb
25. Darnell Washington te
26. Gilbert te
27. Van Dyke qb
28. Flowers wr
29. Burton wr
30. Rattler qb
31. Bowman rb
32. Parker Washington wr
33. Ainias Smith wr
34. Lloyd rb
I'm not very familiar with KTC, but I believe it's a somewhat accurate portrait of the community consensus from anyone interested enough in draft prospects and devy to visit their website. Kendre Miller, McBride, Chase Brown, Rashee Rice, Vaughn, Jameim Bell, Kraft, Kincaid all appear to be MIA. These are guys I'm at least looking at as potential 2nd or 3rd round rookie draft picks.
Some quick takeaways:
*would love to see Evans at 1.7, regardless of losing the job to Judkins
*Boutee might get a boost now that he's back in, this was pulled from a greater Devy list
*top half of the 2nd round looks like a great spot to add RB depth, maybe the 2nd round as a whole depending on how you feel about Miller, McBride, and Brown
*for a chance at a potential cheat code QB, sign me up for A-Rich at the 2.7 in a 1QB
Fusue @DevyEusuf
Every P5 RB who declared after three years with the following thresholds (career averages):
EPA Per play - 0.19
Receiving Yards per Team Pass Attempt - 0.40
Rushing Yards per game - 70
Bijan Robinson, Zach Evans, Devon Achane, Deuce Vaughn in good company.
Fusue @DevyEusuf
Every P5 RB who declared after three years with the following thresholds (career averages):
EPA Per play - 0.19
Receiving Yards per Team Pass Attempt - 0.40
Rushing Yards per game - 70
Bijan Robinson, Zach Evans, Devon Achane, Deuce Vaughn in good company.
I saw a rumor on twitter that he as well as a couple other players, and some staff were involved in a "sex party" and were caught. Not like an assault type thing, to be clear. But still inappropriate for staff to be involved in obv. Someone was allegedly already dismissed, and they told Boutte he wasnt playing the bowl game and he should re consider entering the draft. Im assuming they were insinuating future punishments, either for him or the program.Anyone have any inside info on Boutte? Very odd career at LSU and this staying at school/now declaring seemed to come out of nowhere...gonna be really interesting to watch whether his stock rises or falls during this process.
thats fascinating and kind of bullish for Boutte. testing will be interesting for him.Seems more likely that Boutte had a bad season because his QB Jayden Daniels is a run first, barely pass type player that he didn't get on with, it looked like Daniels would enter the draft so he decided to stay put and try and increase his stock with the next QB up, and when Daniels decided to return to LSU he did a U-turn to get away from him.
Thankfully the author saying Stroud to Detroit was WAY off on his 2022 mock draft. That would be a disaster for the Lions.
I had been thinking this way until the CFB playoff game. Before that Stroud seemed like another Goff - a really good arm that wilted under any pressure. But Stroud showed more moxie in that one game last week than Goff has shown in his 8 year career. I'd like him in Detroit.Thankfully the author saying Stroud to Detroit was WAY off on his 2022 mock draft. That would be a disaster for the Lions.
I had been thinking this way until the CFB playoff game. Before that Stroud seemed like another Goff - a really good arm that wilted under any pressure. But Stroud showed more moxie in that one game last week than Goff has shown in his 8 year career. I'd like him in Detroit.Thankfully the author saying Stroud to Detroit was WAY off on his 2022 mock draft. That would be a disaster for the Lions.
I would be ticked pink if Levis went #1 and the Colts moved up for Bryce Young.
NFL Rookie Watch
Jacob Infante @jacobinfante
Drop rates for top WR prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft:
• Kayshon Boutte: 13.8%
• Quentin Johnston: 8.5%
• Marvin Mims: 7.9%
• Rashee Rice: 7.8%
• Jalin Hyatt: 6.7%
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 4.8% (2021)
• Zay Flowers: 4.4%
• Jordan Addison: 3.1%
• Josh Downs: 2%
Downs is underrated.Jacob Infante @jacobinfante
Drop rates for top WR prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft:
• Kayshon Boutte: 13.8%
• Quentin Johnston: 8.5%
• Marvin Mims: 7.9%
• Rashee Rice: 7.8%
• Jalin Hyatt: 6.7%
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 4.8% (2021)
• Zay Flowers: 4.4%
• Jordan Addison: 3.1%
• Josh Downs: 2%