jm192
Footballguy
After the draft each year, we see the value of rookie picks go up. The incoming rookie class is new and shiny. And a lot of times the picks/players seem at least a little overvalued--which can make it hard to find value there.
But the 2nd year guys are different. The shine has had a year to fade. They're a lot easier to trade for.
Each year, I try to target some of these guys as a buy low. It feels a little harder this year, so many guys were really good.
A few thoughts:
1. Etienne. Coming off injury, there are a lot of question marks. He went from a top 5 pick to the end of the 1st round. With Robinson's late season injury, I think he's in a good spot to see a lot of touches. Lawrence threw him the ball a decent bit at Climson. Obviously we'll see how the injury recovery has gone, but if he's good, this is one that could pay off nicely.
2. All the Quarterbacks. Lawrence is probably still costly given how highly regarded he was coming out of college. But I imagine most owners are feeling a little impatient after lackluster seasons from the QB's last year. Sure, some guys are going to hold out to see what they develop into. But they're probably cheaper than they were this time last year.
3. Stevenson. I'm not sure his value has gone down. But I don't think he'll cost what a starting RB goes for. And Harris is set to be a Free Agent after this season. I have little to no confidence the Pats will resign him.
4. Terrace Marshall. I'm not sure which way his career is going to go. Historically disappointing season last year. I had him neck and neck with Bateman in my rankings and took too much Marshall and not enough Bateman. He may turn out to be a bust, and I certainly understand people waiting it out. But he can be had pretty cheaply at this point, and the upside is certainly there.
Love to hear other people's thoughts on good buy low or even sell high's from last year's class.
But the 2nd year guys are different. The shine has had a year to fade. They're a lot easier to trade for.
Each year, I try to target some of these guys as a buy low. It feels a little harder this year, so many guys were really good.
A few thoughts:
1. Etienne. Coming off injury, there are a lot of question marks. He went from a top 5 pick to the end of the 1st round. With Robinson's late season injury, I think he's in a good spot to see a lot of touches. Lawrence threw him the ball a decent bit at Climson. Obviously we'll see how the injury recovery has gone, but if he's good, this is one that could pay off nicely.
2. All the Quarterbacks. Lawrence is probably still costly given how highly regarded he was coming out of college. But I imagine most owners are feeling a little impatient after lackluster seasons from the QB's last year. Sure, some guys are going to hold out to see what they develop into. But they're probably cheaper than they were this time last year.
3. Stevenson. I'm not sure his value has gone down. But I don't think he'll cost what a starting RB goes for. And Harris is set to be a Free Agent after this season. I have little to no confidence the Pats will resign him.
4. Terrace Marshall. I'm not sure which way his career is going to go. Historically disappointing season last year. I had him neck and neck with Bateman in my rankings and took too much Marshall and not enough Bateman. He may turn out to be a bust, and I certainly understand people waiting it out. But he can be had pretty cheaply at this point, and the upside is certainly there.
Love to hear other people's thoughts on good buy low or even sell high's from last year's class.