Hi Gentleman,
I appreciate Bijan’s invitation to explain my dynasty ranking of Moncrief at #23.
This is a perfect case to illustrate where rankings often fall short. Without the overarching strategy of the ranker, some of these calls look absolutely nuts. So here’s some context. Dynasty is a format where you need to price in future value. If you play dynasty like you play redraft, you’ll eventually end up with a sorry team that is depleted of resources. This is why I don’t take a “win now” approach when playing dynasty. I also don’t take a “3 year window” approach. My approach is to build dynasty teams around the WR position. You’ll see I held true to those principles if you look at my recent team in this
dynasty mock draft. There are a lot of reasons for why that is, but in a nutshell:
- WRs tend to have longer, more productive careers than any other position
- WRs tend to hold their value the best over time
- WRs are the most scare of all the positions (more on positional scarcity here)
Moncrief is one of my favorites. He was drafted highly last year, he has awesome measurables, and he’s next in line to fill the Wayne/Johnson role in the high-powered Colts offense. Don’t get too bogged down in the current situation, because talent will eventually trump situation. This is the time to be buying Moncrief. He’s an Andre Johnson injury or retirement away from being the top WR in that offense. Yes, I think this is true even if Hilton gets extended.
My friend and fellow Footballguy Chad Parsons runs a dynasty website at UTHDynasty.com. He’s got some great stuff over there on taking this approach in dynasty formats. I highly encourage you to subscribe if you want to learn some alternate ways of thinking about playing dynasty. I’ve learned a lot sitting at his feet.
Hope all of you have a great season!