Personally I think anyone who rates Addai over White is insane, especially for dynasty.
I respectfully disagree. I think Addai is a more attractive option than White in a dynasty league for the following reasons:1. Addai has a better QB in Manning. Not to trash Vince but it's certainly going to take some time before Young becomes that good. And, there is going to be a QB change coming up which could always affect a RB's performance.
2. Addai has a better O-Line. Even with the addition of Mawae Ten still has a ways to go to become a solid force up front.
3. Addai has better WR's. Harrison, Wayne, Stokely, Clark. A much more talented and experienced core that is already working well together. It's going to take time for Ten to develop that kind of Chemistry.
4. Addai has a better defense. The Colts have really made strides on D which will help keep the ball in the hands of their offense moreso than Ten.
5. Addai is a more talented back in the pro game at this point. Better pass blocker, better receiver out of the backfield, and a shiftier runner. Not that White is a poor RB. It's just that he's not as good as Joseph in those areas yet.
6. Addai is healthy at this point. White may or may not still be affected, in some way, by the hammy.
7. Addai has less competition at this point. It's pretty much Joseph and Rhodes. Mungro is in the mix but I don't think either he, or Rhodes are a big a factor in the running game for Indy as Brown and Henry are for Ten.
8. Addai, due to his style of running, could be said to have a longer shelf life then White. White is a power runner and is a little heavy. Addai has more speed. Not that White isn't shifty, it's just that his style and lack of pure speed will cause more big hits.
Just my two cents.
well reasoned post, though i'd take exception with a few points...2 - maybe IND does have better OL... that wouldn't be saying a lot... fantasy index broke down how poor IND was in short yardage... imo, addai does have advantage of being in IND, but it has more to with giant holes the formidable spread offense creates.
5 - you said more talented but i think what you meant is more complete? barry sanders wasn't a complete RB as far as i know... he wasn't known for his blitz pickup... does that make addai more talented... or more complete? though it is ridiculous to compare white to sanders (i'm not), but just to illustrate point, nobody would rather have addai than barry sanders because he is better blocker & receiver. as to your original point, white was far more accomplished as a runner than addai, it really isn't even close. addai is faster, but lots of fast RBs have failed. he has a little wiggle, but looks more like a one cut guy & not particularly elusive. the highlights i saw were the least impressive by far of all the top graded RB prospects... he would run straight ahead & get tackled after 5-10 yards... i don't know if i saw a single long run. white led the nation in TDs & has been almost universally praised for his nifty feet for a big man (even his detractors for the most part are smart enough to not dis his accomplishments on the field)... i have seen film where white is a very effective blocker, so not sure where the notion comes from that he will be a liability... it is likely that addai is better (he played FB as a freshman), but that doesn't mean that white can't be good enough. i have no doubt addai is better catching the ball out of the backfield (also played WR at LSU), but eddie george had a great career at TEN, & white has been compared to him... george didn't exactly have faulk/westbrook-like hands, but had a fine career nonetheless.
6 - as to the health, this is a dynasty league, we have to look deeper than past few months. are we really worried about a pulled hammy that by all accounts is already healed, 2-3-4-5 years from now? its not like he blew out an ACL... looking back again to college (what else can we do), addai had a MUCH more checkered past in injury department while at LSU.
7 - debateable whether addai has less competition... rhodes is about as likely to hold off addai & make this a RBBC as brown is in TEN... and this is again a dynasty question... how many think brown & henry will be long term obstacle to white starting beyond this year... or even on the team?
8 - running style... many have commented on addai's upright style, which could translate to absorbing more punishing hits than white, who has nice lean (and is built to absorb punishment better)... you did note yourself that white is shifty, so he is decidedly not like straight ahead, stiff, upright big backs like earl campbell & christian okoye that were done early... again, just look at who was injured more in college, & had the more debilitating injuries.
* one last thought experiment to think over... IF addai had run a 4.6 at the COMBINE, would he have even come close to sniffing the first round & starting gig with colts? i know, i know, he DID run a 4.4, but my point is, speed seems to be a big part of the attraction. if it weren't for that, he didn't show exceptional run skills or elusiveness to stand out on film, which worries me about his OVERALL skills & talent level.
all that said, it is possible addai is better long term... i watched white closely for a long time & am convinced his skills will translate to the NFL... if others haven't seen him as much, i could see why they would be more concerned with the red flags. my concern with addai (like many) is that he is not special & is an interim, stopgap solution... its nice that he blocks & catches, but if he is a liability as a runner they will find a better runner they can coach up in the other departments... thats what other teams do... they don't look for mediocre runners that can block & catch well & coach them up as runners. i realize blocking is especially important to colts to protect manning, but it won't be enough to overcome & compensate if he has deficiencies as a runner.