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Dynasty player values affected most by day 1 draft results (1 Viewer)

hephner

Footballguy
Which current players took the biggest hits in value as a result of what took place in the draft today? Here's my initial thoughts:

Addai - Clearly D. Brown was brought in to at least be part of a RBBC. How long before Brown is getting the lion's share?

Hightower - I think Wells becomes the workhorse, likely pushing Hightower to the 3rd down back role, and Wells may even steal a lot of the short yardage carries, since he excels there as well. This isn't a surprise though, because many were expecting another RB, like D. Brown, to land here anyway.

Edge - not that he had much value left anyway, but surely, he will be cut now. Will another team even sign him, and if they do, will he serve any more than a backup role?

S. Rice - The Vikes took a chance on Harvin's character issues to add an explosive player to the passing game. And Berrian isn't going anywhere and is just 28 years old, so what does this mean for Rice?

Buckhalter/L. Jordan/Arrington/Torain - The bevy of backs in Denver all took a huge hit when Denver took the dynamic Moreno. I don't see any more than a supporting role for any of these guys now, and two of them may even end up cut.

J. Morgan/J. Hill - Crabtree steps in to become the sure WR1, meaning these two will likely be competing for the #2 slot, on an offense sure to be centered around Gore and Crabtree. Only so much production to go around after that.

Westbrook - McCoy will be the understudy for now, but eventually they will want to get him more involved to see what he can do, not only to keep Westbrook healthy and fresh, but to see when McCoy can take over as his eventual replacement.

B. Edwards - A trade would have boosted his value. A change of scenery and a better passing game would have benefited Braylon greatly. A day two trade is far tougher to pull off than a day one trade, since trading partners have less ammunition now. And now that the Giants and Eagles have already selected WRs in the 1st round, they would seem to be out of the picture. It's looking more and more like Braylong (along with Boldin), may very well end up staying put.

Honorable mentions to Eagles WRs, Giants WRs, and Titans WRs, - with Maclin, Nicks, and Britt in the mix, it could mean fewer opportunities for the other receivers fighting for a significant role. I'm not going to mention Raiders receivers and the DHB pick, only because I think they're mostly terrible anyway.

 
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Donovan McNabb got 2 more play makers and may get even more tomorrow. I'm not sure the Maclin pick hurts Jackson as I think they are the future of that passing game and having Maclin may allow Jackson to focus on being a WR full-time.

Shaun Hill looks like he could be a nice little sleeper as a QB2 with Crabtree joining Brandon Jones and a promising WR in Josh Morgan.

 
Here's a few.

Up:

Matt Stafford - His receivers will include Megatron and Pettigrew.

Calvin Johnson - The Lions drafted a potential franchise QB and Pettigrew should help take some attention away from Megatron

Beanie Wells - should be the immediate starter when pre-draft it looked like he might be in RBBC for a year or two.

Knowshon Moreno - see Beanie.

Brandon Pettigrew - He's playing with Calvin Johnson.

Down:

Donald Brown - Drafted into a RBBC. Addai is pretty young so it may be a RBBC for awhile.

 
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I am not going to downgrade S. Rice much if at all just yet. Harvin is a slot WR who will also play a Chris Johnson type of role. He plays a different position than Rice. More importantly, however, is that I think Harvin has bust written all over him. I wouldn't downgrade anyone that much because of his presence.

Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.

I am not downgrading Westbrook that much for the short term. He will still be the man there for at least another year. However, I like McCoy's long term value as the eventual successor to Westbrook.

Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.

 
Here's a few.Up:Matt Stafford - His receivers will include Megatron and Pettigrew.Calvin Johnson - The Lions drafted a potential franchise QB and Pettigrew should help take some attention away from MegatronBeanie Wells - should be the immediate starter when pre-draft it looked like he might be in RBBC for a year or two.Knowshon Moreno - see Beanie.Brandon Pettigrew - He's playing with Calvin Johnson.Down:Donald Brown - Drafted into a RBBC. Addai is pretty young so it may be a RBBC for awhile.
Kevin Smith - Pettigrew to block for himGarrard - Sleeper last year getting line ugrades
 
Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.
I think that's a little too strong for Addai, obviously Brown hurts his value, but he's still a decent RB who will get his. I'd be kinda surprised if Brown came in and won the starting job there. He'll contribute, but Addai should still see 200+ touches if healthy(including goal line work I'd guess) Addai won't ever hit his 2007 peak again, but I think he's still a solid RB3.Agree on Hightower, although I didn't think he had much value before they took Wells. He has next to none now.Agree on MJD, I'd have a very hard time not taking MJD #1 overall in any format right now.
 
Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.
I think that's a little too strong for Addai, obviously Brown hurts his value, but he's still a decent RB who will get his. I'd be kinda surprised if Brown came in and won the starting job there. He'll contribute, but Addai should still see 200+ touches if healthy(including goal line work I'd guess) Addai won't ever hit his 2007 peak again, but I think he's still a solid RB3.Agree on Hightower, although I didn't think he had much value before they took Wells. He has next to none now.Agree on MJD, I'd have a very hard time not taking MJD #1 overall in any format right now.
I might be being a little reactionary with regards to Addai right now, but I am a Big East follower and I think Brown is more talented than Addai and will eventually (sooner rather than later) push him into the background.
 
Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.

Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.
I think that's a little too strong for Addai, obviously Brown hurts his value, but he's still a decent RB who will get his. I'd be kinda surprised if Brown came in and won the starting job there. He'll contribute, but Addai should still see 200+ touches if healthy(including goal line work I'd guess) Addai won't ever hit his 2007 peak again, but I think he's still a solid RB3.Agree on Hightower, although I didn't think he had much value before they took Wells. He has next to none now.

Agree on MJD, I'd have a very hard time not taking MJD #1 overall in any format right now.
:own3d:
 
I am not going to downgrade S. Rice much if at all just yet. Harvin is a slot WR who will also play a Chris Johnson type of role. He plays a different position than Rice. More importantly, however, is that I think Harvin has bust written all over him. I wouldn't downgrade anyone that much because of his presence.Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.I am not downgrading Westbrook that much for the short term. He will still be the man there for at least another year. However, I like McCoy's long term value as the eventual successor to Westbrook.Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.
:own3d: I agree with this. I would also add Kevin Curtis to those whose value has taken a hit. DeSean Jackson's value also takes a bit of a hit, but not much. I think Maclin will wind up being the #1 WR in PHI with Jackson as #2 or 1b. McNabb's value goes up. PHI added 2 very good players to the offense. All McNabb needs to do is stay healthy and PHI's offense is going to be very dangerous.
 
Donovan McNabb got 2 more play makers and may get even more tomorrow. I'm not sure the Maclin pick hurts Jackson as I think they are the future of that passing game and having Maclin may allow Jackson to focus on being a WR full-time.Shaun Hill looks like he could be a nice little sleeper as a QB2 with Crabtree joining Brandon Jones and a promising WR in Josh Morgan.
I think Jackson is a better return man than Maclin and they should keep back there to return punts.
 
Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.

Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.
I think that's a little too strong for Addai, obviously Brown hurts his value, but he's still a decent RB who will get his. I'd be kinda surprised if Brown came in and won the starting job there. He'll contribute, but Addai should still see 200+ touches if healthy(including goal line work I'd guess) Addai won't ever hit his 2007 peak again, but I think he's still a solid RB3.Agree on Hightower, although I didn't think he had much value before they took Wells. He has next to none now.

Agree on MJD, I'd have a very hard time not taking MJD #1 overall in any format right now.
:confused:
Why is that funny? MJD could easily be the best fantasy player for the next several years. In ppr I'd take him over anyone.
 
Addai and Hightower take the biggest hits so far IMO. Both of them have very little value left now.

Not sure if it's really possible since he was already very highly ranked, but I think MJD gets upgraded. They committed to him financially and then really solidified the o-line in JAX.
I think that's a little too strong for Addai, obviously Brown hurts his value, but he's still a decent RB who will get his. I'd be kinda surprised if Brown came in and won the starting job there. He'll contribute, but Addai should still see 200+ touches if healthy(including goal line work I'd guess) Addai won't ever hit his 2007 peak again, but I think he's still a solid RB3.Agree on Hightower, although I didn't think he had much value before they took Wells. He has next to none now.

Agree on MJD, I'd have a very hard time not taking MJD #1 overall in any format right now.
:lmao:
Why is that funny? MJD could easily be the best fantasy player for the next several years. In ppr I'd take him over anyone.
The team itself is 4th in the division. They will try and commit to the run with Drew but their D is heading south and the rest of the division is now better than them. They can't throw because they don't have a QB. Teams will stack the line on Drew. He will get his but he's not the #1 FFL RB.
 
I am not going to downgrade S. Rice much if at all just yet. Harvin is a slot WR who will also play a Chris Johnson type of role. He plays a different position than Rice. More importantly, however, is that I think Harvin has bust written all over him. I wouldn't downgrade anyone that much because of his presence.
Harvin may have "bust" written all over him.But Sidney Rice already has a headstart in a chase for that label.This DEFINITELY hurts Sidney Rice.With other holes to fill, Minnesota spent their top pick on a WR,and in the process gave a huge vote of no confidence to Sidney Rice, imo.
 
With JAGS passing on Crabtree, looks like Mike Walker's value remains the same. Holt is old, Mike Thomas the 3rd rounder should be the WR2 in Jags for the future.

 
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Value up as of now:

Steve Slaton - no high pick spent on a complimentary player.

Cedric Benson - Looks like Cincy is comfortable with Benson as the lead dog.

Jamal Lewis - only has a year, maybe 2 left, but seems like he gets the nod as a starting RB for at least one more season.

 
I think Steve Slaton is a big winner here, Andre Brown just went to NYG. If the Texans don't draft either Jennings or Peerman then Slaton should have lots of carries coming his way.

 
Matty Hasselback: If the Seahawks didn't have other glaring needs, it would of been the ideal spot for Sanchez (getting the 2-3 years sitting behind a vet). As is, if he's physically good again, I think we're looking at another Top 12 season from him. Some very nice weapons on offense

Julius Jones: Expected a little competition, but looks in line for 200+ carries this year. Would be quite weird if he broke out in Year 6 in the league like his brother.

Shaun Hill: Finally getting the shot he deserves in my opinion. O'Sullivan experiment was an absolute joke by Martz as Hill showed he was the best in that offense too. Alex Smith's injuries may have physically taken the toll on an arm that couldn't afford to lose anything.

 
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I think Steve Slaton is a big winner here, Andre Brown just went to NYG. If the Texans don't draft either Jennings or Peerman then Slaton should have lots of carries coming his way.
Jennings scares me the most out of all the guys they could have had quite honestly.......If he doesn't end up in Houston SS is golden again this season................
 
With JAGS passing on Crabtree, looks like Mike Walker's value remains the same. Holt is old, Mike Thomas the 3rd rounder should be the WR2 in Jags for the future.
Don't get ahead of yourself, they just drafted Jarrett Dilliard.
 
If the lineman that Green Bay comes in and can play right away, as well as the recent FB they drafted. Ryan Grant's stock should be slightly higher than it was before the draft. If he can come back healthy with nothing lagging from it, he could be a sneaky, as of right now, second round pick in drafts.

 
How about Avery and Burton in St. Louis? With Holt gone these two guys are clearly the future at WR and the team didn't draft another Wr through the fourth round. They will both have a good opportunity.

 
How about Avery and Burton in St. Louis? With Holt gone these two guys are clearly the future at WR and the team didn't draft another Wr through the fourth round. They will both have a good opportunity.
Add Laurent Robinson to this conversation.I think it will be an open battle between Laurent and Burton for the #2 slot.
 
With JAGS passing on Crabtree, looks like Mike Walker's value remains the same. Holt is old, Mike Thomas the 3rd rounder should be the WR2 in Jags for the future.
Don't get ahead of yourself, they just drafted Jarrett Dilliard.
Dillard and Thomas are smallish type WRs, and i wont be surprised if Holt is done, that we would see a Walker-Dillard starter combo in Jaxsonville.
 
With JAGS passing on Crabtree, looks like Mike Walker's value remains the same. Holt is old, Mike Thomas the 3rd rounder should be the WR2 in Jags for the future.
Don't get ahead of yourself, they just drafted Jarrett Dilliard.
Dillard and Thomas are smallish type WRs, and i wont be surprised if Holt is done, that we would see a Walker-Dillard starter combo in Jaxsonville.
I think Holt will be starting for JAX in 2009.
 
How about Avery and Burton in St. Louis? With Holt gone these two guys are clearly the future at WR and the team didn't draft another Wr through the fourth round. They will both have a good opportunity.
Add Laurent Robinson to this conversation.I think it will be an open battle between Laurent and Burton for the #2 slot.
If healthy (both have trouble with that) Robinson should win that battle easily, and I hate to say that because I'm a UK homer.
 
With JAGS passing on Crabtree, looks like Mike Walker's value remains the same. Holt is old, Mike Thomas the 3rd rounder should be the WR2 in Jags for the future.
Don't get ahead of yourself, they just drafted Jarrett Dilliard.
Dillard and Thomas are smallish type WRs, and i wont be surprised if Holt is done, that we would see a Walker-Dillard starter combo in Jaxsonville.
I think Holt will be starting for JAX in 2009.
yes, he will. just referring to 2010 and beyond.
 
With JAGS passing on Crabtree, looks like Mike Walker's value remains the same. Holt is old, Mike Thomas the 3rd rounder should be the WR2 in Jags for the future.
Don't get ahead of yourself, they just drafted Jarrett Dilliard.
Dillard and Thomas are smallish type WRs, and i wont be surprised if Holt is done, that we would see a Walker-Dillard starter combo in Jaxsonville.
I think Holt will be starting for JAX in 2009.
yes, he will. just referring to 2010 and beyond.
Holt is 32, Thats really not that old for a WR last time I checked :yes: I think his demise is greatly exaggerated, Rams were so bad last year I'll give him a free pass. I do know he is great value in a startup dynasty draft.
 
Shonn Green and Leon Washington will be thunder and lightening RBBC for the Jets. Thomas Jones might last a season if he chooses to show up for camp.

 
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How about Avery and Burton in St. Louis? With Holt gone these two guys are clearly the future at WR and the team didn't draft another Wr through the fourth round. They will both have a good opportunity.
This could also mean a real opportunity for Laurent Robinson.
 
I'm a Slaton guy, but they could get a Gartrell Johnson in the 5th. Ain't out of the woods yet.
I'm sure they'll draft a RB, but I don't think there's going to be any major threat to Slaton.
I agree, anyone they bring in at this time won'tbe a huge threat to Slaton.
looks like the Texans are waiting for a veteran type RB to get released, like an LJ, Edge or any of the Denver RBs like Lamont Jordan, etc etc.
 
How about Avery and Burton in St. Louis? With Holt gone these two guys are clearly the future at WR and the team didn't draft another Wr through the fourth round. They will both have a good opportunity.
Add Laurent Robinson to this conversation.I think it will be an open battle between Laurent and Burton for the #2 slot.
If healthy (both have trouble with that) Robinson should win that battle easily, and I hate to say that because I'm a UK homer.
Burton was getting the coaches' raves from training camp and preseason more so than Avery. I think only another injury can hold him back. Robinson is a cast-off from Atlanta--that doesn't inspire alot of faith in me. I see him as someone that St. Louis wanted to get for depth since they must have known that they would not be drafting a high profile WR in draft.
 
How about Avery and Burton in St. Louis? With Holt gone these two guys are clearly the future at WR and the team didn't draft another Wr through the fourth round. They will both have a good opportunity.
This could also mean a real opportunity for Laurent Robinson.
kid has a lot of talent. I hope he gets a chance to show it.
:thumbup: Very polished WR on top of that. The new Ram staff got a nice bargain for him.
 
Addai has already been dead to me. After the past 2 seasons I wouldn't claim him on waivers because I might have been tempted to start him in a key game.

 
addai was the one that came immediately to mind for me...

i also think brown has the talent to take control of the job in a year or two... he reminds me a little of westbrook & tiki barber...

agree that nicks, maclin & harvin impact WR value landscape with NYG & PHI, & probably britt in TEN, too... steve smith takes hit with giants... maclin could impact jackson, probably does with curtis... harvin will imo impact rice, & maybe even berrian long term... i definitely wouldn't assume harvin & rice don't play the same position...

garrard gets a boost with addition of monroe (nice value at 1.8) & britton (same in 2nd roun), & addition of holt in free agency & thomas/dillard in draft)...

bulger/hasselbeck would have cratered if sanchez goes to STL or SEA... bulger could have upside... STL is sort of wedded to him for cap reasons at least this year, so i'd expect them to say they are high on him... but they didn't draft one yet... the coaching & leadership & organizational competence could be much high than in the recent past... free agent center jason brown & OT jason brown were nice additions on OL, so he should have more time to throw, & new sceme could have him getting rid of the ball sooner, so that is a nice combo that should positively conspire to keep him more upright, healthy & productive...

culpepper a loser, but his dynasty value not that high to start with... though with linehan, addition of harvin?

freeman is clearly QB of the future (2010?) in TB, but again, not that value of mccown/leftwich/griese was that high to start with... what of josh johnson... TB has like 5-6 QBs... will they want to carry more than one developmental QB?

thomas jones took a hit with addition of shonn green (but he was already a 30+ RB with limited dynasty value)...

westbrook still playing at a high level... if they have a better backup than they have had in the past, it makes it easier to cut him loose in a year or two, as PHI typically does with 30+ year old players, eventually (i've read that novel & know how it ends - everybody over 30 dies in the end)...

wells blows up any value hightower had...

crabtree has to be viewed as a positive for hill... if he retains the job long term... that could be a big if, & this season will be important for him... i suppose maybe josh morgan takes a hit... but maybe it could be good for him... he will never see double teams...

good point about vote of confidence in julius jones... can he do anything with the opp...

mcnabb has to go up with free agent additions of peters & andrews on OL, & maclin/mccoy in draft (as well as TE "dr." cornelius ingram)...

i view it as a positive for stafford that DET added pettigrew to megatron... he will help in run game and as a high percentage, short/intermediate target makes a nice safety valve for the intelligent stafford...

campbell retains value for now in WAS, after skins tried to get cutler & sanchez... it seems they tried hard to replace him, making his future look bleak there long term...

STL WRs... agree robinson to compete with burton for starting WR opposite avery... of course, veteran roster cuts from other teams could figure in the mix later... it sounds like hakeem nicks was targeted... long term, i think avery will be one starter... i think the other starter isn't on the roster yet... the rams rebuild will take a few years, & there were too many holes & not enough picks...

if they had gotten nicks, they wouldn't have gotten lauranaitis, & might have been looking MLB next draft instead of WR...

i hope i am wrong & robinson AND burton are starter quality, but they both could be eventual WR3 types... if interest in nicks is an indication, they may want to look for a bigger, more physical WR to complement avery (move the chains possession-type, better red zone weapon, big plays by breaking tackles & RAC, block in the run game with jackson probable focal point & centerpiece of new offensive scheme of ex-PHI QB coach shurmur, ala westbrook for eagles?)...

 
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