EBF
Footballguy
Here's how I see things unfolding. These aren't my personal rankings. This is just a projection of how the picks will come off in most leagues. I'll keep updating as the picks come in.
1. RB Knowshon Moreno, Broncos
Even with the rise of WRs in PPR, Moreno will still be hard to pass on at the 1.01 spot. He should step in and be Denver's bell cow from day one. If he pans out, he could put up top 10 numbers immediately.
2. WR Michael Crabtree, 49ers
This is a good spot for Crabtree. There's no franchise QB on the roster, but there's also very little competition for targets. I like his chances to develop into a reliable #1 target for the Niners.
3. RB Chris Wells, Cardinals
Wells landed on a good offense where he could conceivably be the starter immediately. Edgerrin James is expendable and Tim Hightower isn't the long term answer. Beanie will get a chance to prove himself here.
4. RB Donald Brown, Colts
Great landing spot for Brown. He'll go between picks 1-4 in most leagues. On the plus side, he was the second back drafted and he landed with a great supporting cast that will give him a good chance to succeed. On the down side, he'll have to compete with Joseph Addai for touches. If you believe in his talent, you have to like this situation.
5. RB LeSean McCoy, Eagles
Is he the next Westbrook or the next Moats? It doesn't matter. He'll be a top 5-6 pick in every league after landing in the perfect situation for his skill set.
6. WR Jeremy Maclin, Eagles
Maclin was widely considered one of the top 2-3 receivers in the draft. He should be given every opportunity to thrive in Philadelphia, where he'll probably replace Reggie Brown in the starting lineup. Having McNabb lobbing bombs to him should help.
7. WR Hakeem Nicks, Giants
This is a great fit for Nicks. Steve Smith is a quality player, but he's more of a complementary type. Nicks can step in and start immediately. If he pans out, he could be putting up 1000+ yard seasons sooner rather than later.
8. WR Percy Harvin, Vikings
Harvin is a dynamic talent who should add another big play dimension to Minnesota's offense. He probably won't start right away, but he can help as a versatile threat on offense and in the return game. If he fulfills his potential then he could be the WR1 here within a couple seasons.
9. WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders
What do you after you draft a bust QB and a bust RB? Add a bust WR. DHB will be given every opportunity to seize the WR1 job in Oakland, but this organization is a disaster and you have to wonder whether Heyward-Bey will be yet another Al Davis workout warrior flop.
10. WR Kenny Britt, Titans
Good spot for Britt. He looks like a bigger bust risk than Maclin/Harvin/Nicks, but he's now the best WR on Tennessee's roster. He has a chance to come in and produce right away.
11. QB Matt Stafford, Lions
I don't have the answer to the Stafford/Sanchez debate, but I'm giving the edge to Stafford because he has two things Sanchez doesn't: experience and an elite WR. Throw it up to Calvin and let him take care of the rest.
12. QB Mark Sanchez, Jets
The Jets paid a huge price to get Sanchez, so you'd better believe they're going to give him every opportunity to become their franchise passer. I don't know if he's up to the task, but he represents a fair gamble once the top RB/WR prospects are gone.
13. WR Brian Robiskie, Browns
There's an immediate starting job available opposite Braylon Edwards. Robiskie could thrive in that role.
14. QB Josh Freeman, Buccaneers
Freeman is another first round QB who will eventually get a chance to be his team's franchise signal caller.
15. TE Brandon Pettigrew, Lions
He might be the second best receiver on Detroit's roster, but TEs aren't coveted in most FF drafts and he doesn't have obvious superstar talent.
16. WR Mohamed Massaquoi, Browns
I believe Massaquoi is a better athlete than Robiskie with a higher ceiling, but he'll probably start out behind him on the depth chart and he'll definitely fall farther in FF drafts.
17. QB Pat White, Dolphins
The Fins just used a 2nd on Chad Henne last year, so there's no guarantee that White will be more than a gadget player here.
1. RB Knowshon Moreno, Broncos
Even with the rise of WRs in PPR, Moreno will still be hard to pass on at the 1.01 spot. He should step in and be Denver's bell cow from day one. If he pans out, he could put up top 10 numbers immediately.
2. WR Michael Crabtree, 49ers
This is a good spot for Crabtree. There's no franchise QB on the roster, but there's also very little competition for targets. I like his chances to develop into a reliable #1 target for the Niners.
3. RB Chris Wells, Cardinals
Wells landed on a good offense where he could conceivably be the starter immediately. Edgerrin James is expendable and Tim Hightower isn't the long term answer. Beanie will get a chance to prove himself here.
4. RB Donald Brown, Colts
Great landing spot for Brown. He'll go between picks 1-4 in most leagues. On the plus side, he was the second back drafted and he landed with a great supporting cast that will give him a good chance to succeed. On the down side, he'll have to compete with Joseph Addai for touches. If you believe in his talent, you have to like this situation.
5. RB LeSean McCoy, Eagles
Is he the next Westbrook or the next Moats? It doesn't matter. He'll be a top 5-6 pick in every league after landing in the perfect situation for his skill set.
6. WR Jeremy Maclin, Eagles
Maclin was widely considered one of the top 2-3 receivers in the draft. He should be given every opportunity to thrive in Philadelphia, where he'll probably replace Reggie Brown in the starting lineup. Having McNabb lobbing bombs to him should help.
7. WR Hakeem Nicks, Giants
This is a great fit for Nicks. Steve Smith is a quality player, but he's more of a complementary type. Nicks can step in and start immediately. If he pans out, he could be putting up 1000+ yard seasons sooner rather than later.
8. WR Percy Harvin, Vikings
Harvin is a dynamic talent who should add another big play dimension to Minnesota's offense. He probably won't start right away, but he can help as a versatile threat on offense and in the return game. If he fulfills his potential then he could be the WR1 here within a couple seasons.
9. WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders
What do you after you draft a bust QB and a bust RB? Add a bust WR. DHB will be given every opportunity to seize the WR1 job in Oakland, but this organization is a disaster and you have to wonder whether Heyward-Bey will be yet another Al Davis workout warrior flop.
10. WR Kenny Britt, Titans
Good spot for Britt. He looks like a bigger bust risk than Maclin/Harvin/Nicks, but he's now the best WR on Tennessee's roster. He has a chance to come in and produce right away.
11. QB Matt Stafford, Lions
I don't have the answer to the Stafford/Sanchez debate, but I'm giving the edge to Stafford because he has two things Sanchez doesn't: experience and an elite WR. Throw it up to Calvin and let him take care of the rest.
12. QB Mark Sanchez, Jets
The Jets paid a huge price to get Sanchez, so you'd better believe they're going to give him every opportunity to become their franchise passer. I don't know if he's up to the task, but he represents a fair gamble once the top RB/WR prospects are gone.
13. WR Brian Robiskie, Browns
There's an immediate starting job available opposite Braylon Edwards. Robiskie could thrive in that role.
14. QB Josh Freeman, Buccaneers
Freeman is another first round QB who will eventually get a chance to be his team's franchise signal caller.
15. TE Brandon Pettigrew, Lions
He might be the second best receiver on Detroit's roster, but TEs aren't coveted in most FF drafts and he doesn't have obvious superstar talent.
16. WR Mohamed Massaquoi, Browns
I believe Massaquoi is a better athlete than Robiskie with a higher ceiling, but he'll probably start out behind him on the depth chart and he'll definitely fall farther in FF drafts.
17. QB Pat White, Dolphins
The Fins just used a 2nd on Chad Henne last year, so there's no guarantee that White will be more than a gadget player here.
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