Colt McCoy - #2 QB Good call
John Skelton - #4 QB Better call than most would have thought
Jimmy Clausen - no ranking Not clear yet, but not unreasonable.
Spiller - #5 RB Sounds good.
James Starks - #6 RB Sounds good.
Mike Williams - #1 WR Very good call so far. Dez is probably better long-term, but it's not certain.
Dexter McCluster - #4 WR Not looking good here.
Armanti Edwards - #5 WR Not looking good here.
Demaryius Thomas - no ranking Didn't show anything before a major injury. Not clear yet.
Tony Moeaki - #1 TE Not clear yet, but certainly possible.
Aaron Hernandez - #2 TE Great call.
Jimmy Graham - #3 TE Great call.
Rob Gronkowski - no ranking Major miss so far.
I think these rankings might have been better than the mainstream consensus.
Yup, that was my take as well. If they do another set of rankings this year, I'll be interested to check it out.
Like everyone else, they had some nice calls and some bad ones. What i like most is they went against the grain, and the results were better than most thought they would be.
Hi, fwiw im the guy that wrote them - for better or worse!In doing a google search for last years rankings (i'm on a new PC with no bookmarks) i found this thread so figured i chip in with a couple of things to clarify a few points if i might!
Firstly, space! The original draft was WAY bigger than what was published (circa 20+ pages) and the first thing i had to do was take out anyone that i graded negatively (Clausen amongst them). In fact, were he not so high-profile i wouldnt even have consigned him to an addendum/ footnote/ callitwhatyouwill! Its already still the biggest piece weve had on FS, so the brevity on Clausen was the best i could do. If anyone wants the original three paras on him id be happy to mail it though im not sure after last year anyone would much care as it was about as bad a season as you could hope for out of a rookie QB!
Secondly, it is a dynasty ranking rather than anything to do with ADP, yr1 production or where you should pick them up in dyna drafts (way too many variables for the latter) but rather how they will fare over their careers. As such the guys who have posted that its unclear how inaccurate or accurate they are are right on the money. After next year i'll revisit them and see how it went.
Thirdly, Dwyer ... Reason i said youd be able to pick him up off the WWs with ease is because thats where he'll end up. Redman is far better in just about every department that Dwyer thinks is his forte. Were it not for the fact he ran in that goofy triple option offense he likely wouldnt have gotten drafted at all as his numbers wouldnt have got him noticed at all imho. Too slow to be an RB, too weak to be FB.
Looking back though a year on already some big misses, some big hits and some "unsures" - more hits than misses atm though which is pleasing.
Aside form the post quoted by Tick (summing it up pretty nicely!) other things in there not mentioned:
In addition to the Tick comments
Montario Hardesty - Injury nailed
James Starks - Said hed end up replacing the incumbent
Eric Decker - looking like he'll get his chances over the next year or so - and they wont look back. Hands, routes, catches away from his body, nice radius. Shouldve been drafted higher.
Michael Hoomanawanui - being FF relevant(though with an OC change and legit competition itll be intersting to see how that goes over the next year or so!)
Emmanuel Sanders - being a nice stash in PIT
Early days but looking dead-dead-wrong:
Armanti Edwards - Not looking like he'll make the adjustment. Some dont and atm im afraid to say he has all the "signs" of being one fo them
Dorin Dickerson - Out of Houston where repalcemnts were brought in. I was right to say before pre-season he would try to be AJs understudy rather than a TE (as he did). Wrong to assume he could get there.
Rob Gronkowski - Knew itd be a twin TE set in NE even before they played a snap last year. But 2+2 together and got 5. Worth noting i did say he was an excellent TE and that NE fans should rejoice, but mitigated/ compeltely undone by the fact that i said not for FF purposes.
Too soon to tell:
Tim Tebow - I did say that Bradford was the ONLY blue chip prospect in that years class. New OC, new veteran-loving, run -first HC. Be interesting to see what Denver do in the coming months if things dont get off to a good start.
Jonathan Crompton - I still believe hes got the talent to be an NFL starter, but he better put it together. WAS not the worst career opportunity for him (Beck & Grossman). Hopefully Kyle Shanahan can help him out.
Joe Webb - Wouldnt take much for McNabb to get injured or Ponder to implode.
Ben Tate - liked him as the 3rd best back, but how do you get around a fit Arian.
C.J.Spiller - Took McFadden/Felix a few years to figure out how to run in the NFL. He aint McFadden. He aint Felix. But ill give him another year and off-season first.
Dexter McCluster - Was right about him moving from WR to RB, its just not his thing (running routes starting outside is VERY different to running them out of the backfield), this year will be key for him.
Golden Tate - The off-season hurt him more than most as he can make the highlight cathc but miss his cuts or overrun his routes. Nothing that cant be coached, but its not called the Not For long League for no reason.
David Reed - liked him almost as much as Decker, but hes got competition (Doss who i like as much as i did Decker last year, but the situation isnt great atm) but he'll neeed to stay out of trouble and make his limited play time count this year
I had done one for this year (kinda) ... But im working full time and ive taken over the IDP content with Gary Davenport (formerly of
Football Fantasy Oasis and still of
IDP Manor) so time has been at a real premium for me!
If anyone here does IDP and would like to read last years IDP rankings and this years (it was IDP or offensive rankings - didnt have time for both, sadly) then you can find them here for comparing and contrasting.
2010 IDP Dynasty Rookie Rankings
2011 IDP Dynasty Rookie Rankings
If you need to query any of the rankings, feel free to PM me and ill explain in fuller detail. As i said above space can be a killer, so sometimes brevity is better, but nuances can be a casualty as a consequence and im happy to expand on points made.
Aside from that, i wish you all the VERY Best of luck with all your games this season and hope you get all the results you need on the way to a championship.
James Elvins