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Dynasty Sell High (1 Viewer)

ADP

Footballguy
Normally I am on the same page with you Anthony, but I have to say I disagree with selling Ray Lewis high right now. He is playing great and has remained fairly healthy all year thus far. He has at least two more top tier seasons in him I think so I think I would wait at least a year, maybe two, to sell him high. As always, love your stuff, but just had to say that. :confused:

 
Gotta agree with ADP. His value was very low a few weeks ago and he was a great buy low candidate then IMO. I'd guess many owners have seen enough over the past few games to not sell him so easily but if you can get him right now I'd add him.

 
I'm not convinced Lewis has two top seasons left, which is why I would be selling (assuming I don't need him this year). That is where people will differ on Lewis, and I did mention I would not blame anyone who did not agree with this. Physical players like Lewis tend to decline sharply when their bodies start falling apart and Lewis has not exactly been a picture of health. I think his value is as high as it will ever be going forward. I don't think he has as much time left as a top level fantasy LB. That is why I think he is a prime sell high. Those who think he has more time left as a stud will want to keep him.

 
I'm not convinced Lewis has two top seasons left, which is why I would be selling (assuming I don't need him this year). That is where people will differ on Lewis, and I did mention I would not blame anyone who did not agree with this. Physical players like Lewis tend to decline sharply when their bodies start falling apart and Lewis has not exactly been a picture of health. I think his value is as high as it will ever be going forward. I don't think he has as much time left as a top level fantasy LB. That is why I think he is a prime sell high. Those who think he has more time left as a stud will want to keep him.
The question is what you would get for him.If I could move him for a comparable player with more left in the tank or a younger guy with big upside I might be inclined.Also bear in mind that Baltimore is 50/50 to re-signing him (Ray Ray) as his deal is up and he will command a HUGE paycheck as it will be his last deal. Should he go elsewhere and be in another scheme who knows if his value stays high - odds are against it.
 
I'm not convinced Lewis has two top seasons left, which is why I would be selling (assuming I don't need him this year). That is where people will differ on Lewis, and I did mention I would not blame anyone who did not agree with this. Physical players like Lewis tend to decline sharply when their bodies start falling apart and Lewis has not exactly been a picture of health. I think his value is as high as it will ever be going forward. I don't think he has as much time left as a top level fantasy LB. That is why I think he is a prime sell high. Those who think he has more time left as a stud will want to keep him.
The question is what you would get for him.If I could move him for a comparable player with more left in the tank or a younger guy with big upside I might be inclined.

Also bear in mind that Baltimore is 50/50 to re-signing him (Ray Ray) as his deal is up and he will command a HUGE paycheck as it will be his last deal. Should he go elsewhere and be in another scheme who knows if his value stays high - odds are against it.
That is the question... I beleive Lewis wants to stay in Baltimore and doubt $$ will be the driving force with him. He's teamed up with the most talented QB and arguably best offense he's ever had in his days in Baltimore. If he feels this team is close to being Super Bowl caliber, I expect he will sacrifice the coin to stay put.

 
The Lewis deal is going to get done. He's playing his best football in years. If a massive breakdown is coming, you can't see it right now. I think it's totally reasonable to expect one more LB1 year and one more LB2 year out of Lewis, after the LB1 season youre getting this year of course. That means I wouldn't sell him now unless you had a surplus of LBs, or you took over a rebuild and you're going to have to chalk up 2009.

 
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The Lewis deal is going to get done. He's playing his best football in years. If a massive breakdown is coming, you can't see it right now. I think it's totally reasonable to expect one more LB1 year and one more LB2 year out of Lewis, after the LB1 season youre getting this year of course. That means I wouldn't sell him now unless you had a surplus of LBs, or you took over a rebuild and you're going to have to chalk up 2009.
Not so fast there, Bloom.This is a HUGE issue here and is often talked about locally.It goes beyond just Ray Ray. If they give him the $ he should get - which will be a big deal - then they can't afford Bart Scott and T-Sizzle. If Suggs and Scott leave that's a problem for the defense, so what do they do? It's a bigger issue than Lewis himself. They likely cannot afford one or two of them. The current thought is that it'd be Suggs and Scott over Ray Ray, which will be a tough pill to swallow on both sides.
 
The Lewis deal is going to get done. He's playing his best football in years. If a massive breakdown is coming, you can't see it right now. I think it's totally reasonable to expect one more LB1 year and one more LB2 year out of Lewis, after the LB1 season youre getting this year of course. That means I wouldn't sell him now unless you had a surplus of LBs, or you took over a rebuild and you're going to have to chalk up 2009.
Not so fast there, Bloom.This is a HUGE issue here and is often talked about locally.It goes beyond just Ray Ray. If they give him the $ he should get - which will be a big deal - then they can't afford Bart Scott and T-Sizzle. If Suggs and Scott leave that's a problem for the defense, so what do they do? It's a bigger issue than Lewis himself. They likely cannot afford one or two of them. The current thought is that it'd be Suggs and Scott over Ray Ray, which will be a tough pill to swallow on both sides.
Disclaimer - I haven't been focusing on this in the press so this is just opinion on my part.If I were the Ravens management I without a doubt will have Suggs as a priority. After that Lewis may be more important to the franchise than Scott is. So we could see that combination retained, Suggs and Lewis.If Lewis leaves as a free agent he could go to a 4-3 defense with 2 strong DT in front of him. That is something that he has said he missed and some of his best years with the Ravens were in this situation. So things might not be all bad for Lewis if he does take that option. He has played well in the hybrid 4-3 3-4 46 Ravens defense which shows his flexibility although not many teams have the talent or scheme that the Ravens do. Lewis is a big part of that talent however.Lewis 33 years old right now and will be 34 before next season starts. He is playing at LB 2 level right now. I see no reason to expect him to play as a LB 1 moving forward. He has great name recognition though so it may be possible to flip him for a younger player like Poz for example.
 
They can sign one and franchise the other, so I would expect Lewis to sign long-term, then Suggs will either be franchised or sign long-term himself.

I just can't imagine Bart Scott being more important than either of the other two above.

My disclaimer is I am not a local so I don't have all of the information. This is just an opinion looking in from the outside.

 

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