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[DYNASTY] The Rookie 100 Index (1 Viewer)

Bloom

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NOTE: Click on the players name to link to the latest news on them.

1. Cadillac Williams RB, TB VALUE RISING

Caddy is far and away the best rookie and is probably among the top 10 RBs to have for dynasty right now.

2. Ronnie Brown RB, MIA VALUE RISING - up from 2

Brown finally got off the schneid before the bye with a long run and good statistical day in a miami win. Overall, he hasn't look ALL that impressive and Ricky looms, so beware if you're counting on him for this season. Still, long term, he'll get every shot to be the fins feature back.

3. Cedric Benson RB, CHI VALUE FALLING - down from 2

Dont despair if youre a cedric owner, Benson will eventually get a look as the feature back in chicago, even if its not until next year. his signing bonus demands that they see what they have in him. I think this is a great buy low time for him in dynasty leagues.

4. Braylon Edwards WR, CLE VALUE RISING - up from 5

like many of the top WR propsects the last few years, edwards looks ready for prime time and should be nice bye week/injury depth this year and has #1 upside long term.

5. Mike Williams WR, DET VALUE RISING - up from 9

Charles Rogers suspension will give BMW the shot to contribute right now. QB situation in detroit is still a concern, but williams talent is strong enough to offset those concerns long term.

6. Troy Williamson WR, MIN VALUE RISING - UP FROM 12

Burleson's injury opens the door for Williamson to show what he can do earlier than expected. I still want to see an all around game to convince me that he's not lelie part II.

7. Matt Jones WR, JAX VALUE RISING - UP FROM 10

Living up to the hype on his limited touches. Looking more like the future featured WR for jax by the day.

8. JJ Arrington RB, ARI VALUE FALLING - down from 4

Is Arrington a bust? He has certainly looked the part so far. The possibility that shipp gets hurt again, or that arrington just needs some time to adjust is too great to drop him too far on this list. I cant figure out whether its time to buy arrington, or get out while the gettin is good.

9. Frank Gore RB, SF VALUE RISING - up from 11

Gore has looked decent in limited action until last week, and barlow is still barlow. Gore is going to get his shot eventually, and he could really make the most of it. He has showed a good burst and been very slippery going through the hole. I recommend buying Gore if you are looking for long term RB help as long as the price is reasonable.

10. Mark Clayton WR, BAL VALUE FALLING - down from 7

I still love the talent, but the QB woes in baltimore are an issue. It doesnt look like Clarence Moore will be any sort of threat to Clayton long term.

11. Alex D Smith QB, SF VALUE STEADY

Smith gets the keys to the franchise starting this weekend. Dont expect much this year, in fact, he could look horrendous - most rookie QBs do. The line is in bad shape and the D is a sieve - Smith will have one of the toughest assignments of any QB in the league keeping this team afloat.

12. Ryan Moats RB, PHI VALUE FALLING - down from 8

Moats has been inactive, struggling to learn the offense. still, westbrook's negotiations broke down and moats is being groomed to take his role. there's risk here than westbrook convinces the eagles to meet his demands with his excellent play, but I still see success in Moats's future because of his combination of vision, cutting ability, and toughness.

13. Eric Shelton RB, CAR VALUE FALLING - DOWN FROM 6

Things could not have gone much worse for Shelton this preseason. He looked bad, got hurt and put on the IR for an injury that wasnt season ending, and stephen davis is rumbling again. The carolina RB situation is still wide open next year, so Shelton, like Moats, has a lot of speculative value. Unlike Moats, Shelton has not shown anything in game action yet that would lead you to believe that he can cash in if given the opportunity. His value can not get much lower this year, so i would hold him for the time being.

14. Derrick Johnson OLB, KC VALUE RISING up from 21

15. Odell Thurman MLB, CIN VALUE RISING up from 20

Both of these guys look like top 25 LBs for years to come with top 10 upside.

16. Mark Bradley WR, CHI VALUE RISING - up from 19

Bradley has already outplayed his "project" status into the WR2 duties in chicago. in 2-3 years, he will be the primary target in the passing attack in chicago, we'll see how effective it is. Immense talent and upside not far off the WRs in the top 10.

17. Chris Henry WR, CIN VALUE RISING - up from 31

Henry has seen his value increase greatly, leapfrogging Walter and Washington to the #3 WR on the bengals. The passing offense there is robust and should support two starting quality fantasy WR. How long will it take for Henry to pass Housh on the depth chart?

18. Charlie Frye QB, CLE VALUE RISING - up from 25

Dilfer is a fine caretaker QB, but make no mistake, this team is Frye's as soon as he's ready. A decent line, Edwards, Bryant, and a possible return of KWII next year bodes well for this passing offense, and the team seems to be going in the right direction with crennel. buy with confidence.

19. Alvin Pearman RB, JAX VALUE RISING - up from 22

Has officially passed Toefield on the depth chart. Showing good burst and value in the passing game (PPR leagues take notice). A great stash and hold player.

20. Brandon Jacobs RB, NYG VALUE RISING - up from 24

Looks like he'll grow into a duckett-type role in NY. Barber is just so durable, its hard to see jacobs being able to contribute a lot until tiki's wheels fall off. Still an excellent stash and hold RB prospect, which is a premium in dynasty leagues.

21. Ciatrick Fason RB, MIN VALUE FALLING - down from 17

Bennett is out of the picture, but Moore is looking decent. Fason MAY have a shot to win the job next year, but if the vikes continue to struggle, a high draft pick on an RB is a strong possibility. Not enough to playing time to judge his talent yet, but the RB premium and chance Moore gets hurt, giving him playing time, preserves a lot of Fason's value.

22. Alex Smith (TE) TE, TB VALUE FALLING - Down from 15

Smith made a big splash with 2 TDs in his first game as a pro, but has been quiet since then. He's going to be a big part of the tampa passing offense sooner than later. He dropped more because of other players outlooks improving than his degrading.

23. Brandon Jones WR, TEN VALUE RISING - up from 43

Jones has passed Calico on the depth chart and could emerge as a 3rd option in the tenn passing game after the 3-headed TE and Bennett. Congrats if you snagged him based on the preseason hype, it was deserved.

24. Reggie Brown WR, PHI VALUE FALLING - down from 14

Well, TO is showing that he might be worth the aggravation after all, Greg Lewis has lived up to the #2 role he won, and LJ Smith has stepped up, as anticipated. Hard to see Brown being higher than the 3rd option in this passing offense any time soon. Still like him long term, but there's a wait for production, and he doesn't have the upside or opportunity of the WRs above him.

25. Jason Campbell QB, WAS VALUE RISING - up from 29

Ramsey is basically done in washington. Brunell will preside over this ugly, but winning team as long as they are contending, but campbell is a sure thing to have every chance to be the skins long term QB. Has the talent to be a decent fantasy option.

26. Kyle Orton QB, CHI VALUE RISING - UP from 33.

Still the starter, and really has a chance to be successful with the line, running game, defense, and horrendous division he plays in. I dont see fantasy stardom in his future, but he should provide very solid QB depth in large leagues and definitely has trade value.

27. Roddy White WR, ATL VALUE FALLING - down from 23.

Jenkins is certainly not locking down the #1 WR of the future job in atlanta. White may get a shot at it by default, but its really hard to see any Atlanta WR being better than a #3 fantasy option as long as Vick is there.

28. Aaron Rodgers QB, GB VALUE RISING - up from 30

Looking more like Favre's last year as the Pack is self-destructing. The main risk here is that the pack gets in the Leinart derby, but the Boller/Losman situations have shown us that GMs hate giving up on a first round QB.

29. Heath Miller TE, PIT VALUE FALLING - down from 18

Currently getting Bruenered in the steelers offense. Could be rookie growing pains, but its not encouraging that the steelers have not made an effort to call his number. The talent to be a good fantasy option is still intact, but watch out for the steelers slowly making him into a 6th Offensive lineman.

30. Lofa Tatupu MLB, SEA VALUE RISING - UP FROM 34

Basically the starter from day one and improving each week. Should be a stalwart IDP for a long time.

31. Vincent Jackson WR, SD VALUE FALLING - down from 26

Still a great long term prospect at WR, but you'll have to wait a while to see any production from him with McCardell still having some gas in the tank. Also, Gates is the #1 target in this offense, and that's not gonna change. He has been injured so its hard to know where his development is at right now.

32. Marion Barber RB, DAL VALUE FALLING - down from 31

As much as I liked Barber, his outlook is cloudy right now with the emergence of Tyson Thompson, Dallas's bigger version of Willie Parker. Barber has passed Atrain on the depth chart because of his special teams contributions. He's still a decent RB prospect, but he could get lost for a while in Dallas.

33. Vernand Morency RB, HOU VALUE FALLING - down from 27

The offense is stuck in the mud and Davis is still the main cog. If Houston ever gets ahead in a game, Morency could get some Change of Pace carries, and there is always Davis's propensity to get banged up, but Morency looks strictly a backup for a while.

34. Kirk Morrison LB, OAK VALUE RISING - up from 37

Already a viable IDP starter. Doesnt have the big play talent of DJ/Thurman or huge tackle # upside of tatupu, but is still a great #3 LB long term with some upside.

35. Barrett Ruud MLB, TB VALUE RISING - UP from 36

still a great IDP prospect, but Quarles resurgence means that youll have to wait until 06 to get production.

36. Cedric Houston RB, NYJ VALUE STEADY

Martin is banged up and looking old. He might have one year left in the tank. Like Fason, there's a risk that the Jets draft an RB in the first next year, but between his hidden upside with the thyroid condition going undiagnosed in college and Blaylock not being an ideal feature back, Houston has a shot and merits holding.

37. Dan Orlovsky QB, DET VALUE RISING - up from 45

I think its safe to say Harrington is probably not turning it around this year. The Lions not rushing out to get a vet QB when Garcia went down shows they have some confidence in Orlovsky. He will get this year to learn the WCO, and vie for the starting job next year. There is some risk that the Lions bring in a Brees/Rivers or other established QB, but Orlovsky's outlook gets better as Harrington's gets worse.

38. Terrence Murphy WR, GB VALUE RISING - up from 52

Fellow rookie Thomas Davis really derailed murphy's season with that huge hit on MNF, but the pack seems real excited about murphy and he should pass ferguson, who has been up and down since getting the starting gig, on the depth chart in 06.

39. Andrew Walter QB, OAK VALUE FALLING - down from 35

Still a real nice long term prospect, but Collins looks to have at least a few years left in the tank. stash and hold.

40. Thomas Davis OLB, CAR VALUE FALLING - dwon from 28

Davis's rookie year has been rocky to say the least. They cant decide where to put him, and he's hasnt been able to get a lot playing time despite injuries at his natural position. Still has tremendous playmaking ability, but looks like a project now, where he seemed like a guy with the ability to step in right away and contribute after the draft.

41. Channing Crowder LB, MIA VALUE FALLING - down from 38

Already getting a lot of playing time on the weak side, but Thomas is a tackle hog in that defense. A real nice LB to have for the future, but doesnt seem to have higher potential than a #3/#4 LB for deep leagues as long as Thomas is around.

42. Jerome Mathis WR/KR, HOU VALUE STEADY

Will start getting worked into the offense this week. #2 WR in houston is as wide open as ever.

43. Adrian McPherson QB, NO VALUE FALLING - down from 40

Brooks has been decent, not nearly as erratic as he was in some stretches last year. Still a nice stash and hold fantasy QB, but years away from contributing.

44. Stefan LeFors QB, CAR VALUE FALLING - down from 40

Still one of my favorite prospects, but like Walter and McPherson, buried for the foreseeable future.

45. Tyson Thompson RB, DAL VALUE RISING - UP FROM 92

Think of him as a bigger Willie Parker. If Julius wasnt a cowboy, he'd be a lot higher. Looks like the NFL scouts screwed up on this one. Thompson is already basically the #2 in dallas, and could displace Willie Parker as the most unlikely fantasy stud of the season if Julius were to go down. Will soar up this list if he holds the #2 job.

46. Alfred Fincher MLB, NO VALUE RISING - up from 46.

Courtney Watson's poor play means Fincher should get a shot to be the MLB in new orleans eventually. Great stash and hold IDP. Great buy low trade target right now.

47. Nick Collins S, GB VALUE RISING - UP FROM 48

Modest IDP numbers so far, but the pack seems committed to letting him grow into the darren sharper role. will only get better with valuable game experience as a rookie. Was thought of as a project, so his outlook has really improved since the draft to be starting this early, but some of that is the poor shape the GB secondary is in.

48. Roscoe Parrish WR, BUF VALUE RISING - up from 49

Parrish is close to being back from his wrist injury - the cast is off. None of the bills backup WRs have done much as the #3 in his absence, so that job looks to be all his. Dont forget, he was wowing observers before the wrist injury. Another sneaky buy low.

49. Courtney Roby WR, TEN VALUE FALLING - down from 42

Been banged up on kick return duty, and has been officially passed by brandon jones. I still like him as a prospect, but seems to be blocked from having any big role for a while by jones and the TEs.

50. Kerry Rhodes S, NYJ VALUE RISING - Up from 59

Already looking like a tackling machine at safety. Should be a firm part of the jets long term plans based on his play thus far.

**** FOLLOWING PLAYERS NOT YET UPDATED *****

44. Demarcus Ware OLB, DAL VALUE RISING - UP FROM 56

Great talent, but you have to temper fantasy expectations because of his position.

The Latest: 8/22 looks incredible, INT, SACK, FF/FR looks to have the playmaking ability to be a good fantasy LB from the dreaded 3-4 OLB slot. bump higher if your league heavily weights sacks.

47. Kevin Burnett LB, DAL VALUE RISING - up from 53

The Latest: 8/18 bradie james could get moved outside - burnett's value would be greatly enhanced by a move inside - out of the nickel package because parcells didnt want to overload him. 3 tackles in his first game.

50. Darren Sproles RB/KR, SD VALUE RISING - up from 52

Like a waterbug, he is dante hall with better hands and more toughness. Still, it's extremely unlikely that he'll be able to be a feature back in the NFL because he's just too small.

The Latest: 8/22 over 100 all purpose yards. worth a roster spot in PPR leagues for sure. 8/14 looked good on receptions, not so good on rushes.

51. Maurice Clarett RB, DEN VALUE FALLING - down from 35

Denver is a great situation, and this is about where the tremendous possible reward balances out the tremendous known risk. not to mention that no denver RB is safe from shanny's itchy trigger finger on RB draft picks. a ranking of 51 is basically a recommendation to not draft him because theres no way he lasts that far - someone will grab him because of name recognition. Buyer beware.

The latest: 8/26 may spend the season on IR

53. Antrel Rolle CB, ARI VALUE RISING - up from 65

Plays CB like a safety. I would rank him as the 3rd surest thing among IDPs in this draft, but CBs have to be truly standout statistically to have any value in dynasty leagues.

The Latest: 8/23 one tackle this weekend. consider him an entrenched starter. 8/17 already named a starter. stud CB in the making could keep rising. 4 tackles and a game saving play.

54. Lance Mitchell MLB, ARI VALUE RISING - UP FROM 59

Talent-wise was rated close to equal to Derrick Johnson before his knee injury. Dropped in the draft because he wasnt all the way back, but was constantly improving as the 04 season went on, and could be the #1 IDP from this draft if he gets all the way back - a true do-everything MLB.

The Latest: 8/23 had a tackle over the weekend. missing practice right now with knee issues.8/18 Green says Mitchell isnt physical enough to start yet - Hayes out for 2-3 months, darling is in his place, but this could give mitchell the chance to get his foot in the door.

55. Lionel Gates RB, BUF VALUE RISING - up from 70

Gates could be the primary backup to willis mcgahee. Gates is a bigger version of Pearman, a "do everything ok, but nothing great" RB - Played with Shelton and Michael Bush in Louisville, so has never carried the load, but seems to have the size and physical style to move the chains. must draft for mcgahee owners.

The Latest: 8/23 7 carries for 36 and a TD late. I think he ends up the backup when the dust settles because of his versatility and power/speed combo. mularkey does want him to run inside more.

56. Marlin Jackson CB, IND VALUE RISING - up from 66.

Like Pool and Rolle, a very solid player who has a low bust risk - and while he should put up good numbers as a cover 2 CB (or possibly FS), only the very best CBs have value in dynasty leagues, so its hard to recommend taking him before decent offensive prospects or quality LB prospects.

The Latest: 8/24 will miss this weekend's game with an injured hip. 8/23 two tackles and keeping up the physical play - held out of monday practice with a hip flexor injury 8/14 3 tackles and another strong physical game. wouldnt be surprised at all to see him start at some point this year.

57. Shawne Merriman OLB, SD VALUE STEADY

The Latest: 8/23 2 tackles and an assist in the 2nd half, including one for a loss and schottenheimer had good things to say about him - still phillips and leber are looking strong so i wouldnt expect much this year. 8/18 back in practice, but so is leber, and he's looking good.

58. Brodney Pool S, CLE VALUE STEADY

As a natural FS, he wont ever put up huge tackle numbers, but he should be entrenched as a starter for a long term, and is probably the safest bet among IDPs to hit his ceiling after Davis imp.

The Latest: 8/25 back in practice 8/19 crocker told he wont be traded, pool might not contribute much this year

60. Craphonso Thorpe WR, KC VALUE FALLING

If healthy and back to pre-injury form, he'll be the best WR on KC by 2007 - a possible top threat in a prolific passing offense - worth the risk as he has skills to be a true #1 WR.

The Latest: 8/23 didnt show up on the stat sheet over the weekend 8/14 caught 3 balls for 26 yards - two on 3rd down in the preseason game. Having a good camp, but a project who needs to fill out a bit and be able to handle physical play off the line and in his routes.

61. Robert McCune MLB, WAS VALUE STEADY

The future Jeremiah Trotter of the skins defense.

The Latest: 8/23 3 tackles and an assist in the 2nd half - looked solid. With Barrow cut, McCune has an outside shot at the MLB spot. If Arrington is hurt, Marshall could shift to WLB opening a spot for McCune to compete for.

62. Jordan Beck LB, ATL VALUE RISING - UP FROM 76

An incredible athletic talent who dominated at a lower level. Too bad he has Keith Brooking and Ed Hartwell blocking him.

The Latest: 8/26 another impressive performance with 4 tackles and an INT, but sprained his ankle on the return. 8/25 6 tackles and an assist. 8/18 will start in place of injured hartwell this weekend. 8/15 7 solo tackles and defensive player of the game honors vs. baltimore.

63. Goo Wallace ILB, PIT VALUE RISING - UP FROM 78

Fits the steelers ILB profile perfectly. The steelers are more than happy to part with high priced talent when the youngsters come along. If Goo develops well, he should be starting in pittsburgh in a few years.

The Latest: 8/25 two forced fumbles vs. miami :towelwave: 8/15 tackle and an assist in limited action. Wallace is impressing the steelers coaches.

64. Ryan Fitzpatrick QB, STL VALUE RISING - up from 66

Incredibly Smart QB with less than ideal athleticism - Something about Mike Martz and a Harvard QB together is intriguing enough for a 5th round developmental pick. Warner came from a grocery store and the AFL, so imagine what Martz could do with a harvard man.

The Latest: 8/23 one toss for a 78 yd TD. Martz said it was a "significant play in his career" 8/14 2 for 6 for 26 yds, but the main thing is that he didnt look overmatched - something no one would have predicted a few months ago. Challenging Jeff Smoker for the #3 job and still garnering praise from Martz.

65. David Greene QB, SEA VALUE FALLING - DOWN from 53

A Hardnosed winner who oozes intangibles and could get a shot in 2 or 3 years, either for seattle or in a free agency/trade situation. Not exciting, but should be a Dilfer/Fielder style game manager Qb at worst.

The Latest: 8/23 not very impressive in mop up duty - 5/14 for 56 yards. wallace has a stranglehold on the backup job.

66. David Pollack DE/OLB, CIN VALUE STEADY

SLB will not produce big tackle numbers, but with his motor and marvin lewis's defensive mind, I see Pollack producing a lot of big plays on D.

The Latest: 8/23 practicing with first and second team - will line up at SLB in first game this weekend.

67. Roydell Williams WR, TEN VALUE RISING - UP FROM 86

The most polished rookie WR on a team with no one set beyond WR3, Williams could contribute right away. He is a dependable possession WR, a role that neither of the starting WR in tennessee excels at. I see Roydell being a solid Bobby Engram type WR who could put up surprising numbers this year if Calico gets hurt again and Tenn doesnt bring in a vet.

The Latest: 8/23 3 catches for 22, but jones and roby look more likely to make an impact. missed practice on monday. 8/18 has tendonitis in his knee, not expected to be serious. 8/15 made his presence known with a 76 yd TD catch. practicing well - im only down on him because he's a possession WR and will have trouble moving ahead of roby and jones, but this situation could change quickly.

68. Erasmus James DE, MIN VALUE STEADY

Another ranking that people will be unhappy with. I am not sold on this guy's game outside of his pure pass rush moves. His injury history is very checkered. I do admit that he could be a solid DE if he stays healthy and rounds out his game because he will be part of one of the most talented D-lines in the NFL.

The Latest: 8/23 hit the rookie wall during the jets game. lining up some in nickel packages. 8/15 one tackle and one pass defended, played with 2nd team, still needs to get his legs in shape, but should be starting no later than next year.

69. Adam Bergen TE, ARI VALUE STEADY

Small school receiving stud TE (lehigh) who has speed, hands, and toughness and now has a chip on his shoulder from going undrafted. The Cardinals have nothing long term at TE, and are starting an undrafted FA at TE as of right now (eric edwards). dont count bergen out... if reports out of camp are good, ill bump him up as high as the late 30s.

The Latest: 8/5 warner said he likes what bergen has been doing. 8/19 looking like the #1 receiving TE in arizona. 8/14 caught an 18 yd pass vs. the cowboys. Eric Edwards out 2-3 weeks, Bergen practicing with first team.

70. Larry Brackins WR, TB VALUE STEADY

Ponder this: If Brackins had gone to college and played up to his talent level instead of going to the NFL, he likely would have been a very high draft pick next year. definitely worth a flier here.

The Latest: 8/25 2 catches for 19 yards and a holding penalty last week.

71. Jerome Collins TE, STL VALUE STEADY

size/speed/strength freak a la ben watson, but raw at the TE position. Guess what, he was a WR in high school... Antonio Gates, anyone? worth a flier here - "swing for the fences" pick.

The Latest: Roland Williams is actually the starter right now. Long term that TE spot is WIDE open.

72. Kevin Everett TE, BUF VALUE STEADY

A very talented receiving TE who does not have any stiff competition long term for the TE of the future slot in buffalo. Good value pick for patient owners - upside not far off of miller and smith, and ACL tear will make him a forgotten man in your draft. steal him in the 4th/5th.

The Latest:8/19 hanging around camp taking "mental reps" 8/10 Signed. Everett's ACL surgery went well. he's a great value pick in rookie drafts right now.

73. Chad Owens WR/KR, JAX VALUE RISING - UP From 85

The Latest: Continues to really impress in jags camp. could be in the 60s real soon if he keeps this up. Looks to be getting return duty in jacksonville and doing well in receiving drills. a little guy, but impressive thus far.

8/26 4 catches for 50 yards, but also fumbled a punt. 8/25 matt jones will play #3 this weekend, not owens.

74. Bo Scaife TE, TEN VALUE STEADY

Believe it or not, Scaife is close to, if not equal to the TEs above him in terms of receiving talent. He was Vince's Young security blanket at UT and can make tough catches in pressure situations. He also has a lot of trouble staying healthy and Ben Troupe to contend with. If Scaife can find a way to stay healthy, he could be a second day steal, the kind of TE that plays like a WR over the middle.

The Latest: 8/15 caught 2 for 12 in the first preseason game. should make the roster as the 3rd TE.

75. Fred Gibson WR, PIT VALUE FALLING- DOWN FROM 51

Honestly not that far off of Henry and White talent wise, Gibson is an intriguing big play talent who could become a stud WR if he works hard to learn the complete WR game. For now he will be used strictly to stretch the field and will have to work his way up through the ranks in Pittsburgh - Lots of upside, but wont be a factor soon, and could easily be another pinkston.

The Latest: 8/27 apparently the biggest bust of steeler camp.

76. Leroy Hill OLB, SEA VALUE STEADY

A smallish playmaking LB who could land the WLB job in seattle long term. keep an eye on him, he could produce at the same level as the elite IDP prospects in this draft down the line. Watch closely to see if DD Lewis stays healthy, if he doesnt hill could get a shot at the WLB shot this year.

The Latest: 8/15 looked good in the first preseason game with a sack and forced fumble but out of practice for 10 days or so with a knee injury, DD Lewis is hurting - Hill could get a shot - practicing with the first team.

77. Justin Tuck DE, NYG VALUE RISING - UP FROM 83

Will get to learn from strahan and have another up and coming DE, Umeniyora on the other side long term. I like his prospects to be a starting quality DE in start 2 DE leagues.

The Latest: 8/26 may get a chance to start in strahan's absence this weekend. 2 tackles as part of the first team and an INT dropping back into coverage last week. 8/ 15 Struggling and looking like a project. Learning that what worked in college doesnt work in the pros. Dont expect big contributions this year.

78. Carlos Rogers CB, WAS VALUE RISING - UP FROM 94

Very solid CB prospects Still I just dont see CBs outside of the very best holding value in dynasty leagues, so I would pass on him for all but the most speculative offensive prospects - the long longshots.

The Latest: 8/26 had an INT early, but also some lapses last week. should get picked on unmercifully this year and provide good tackle #s. 8/19 may play tonight 8/16 off the PUP list

79. Pac Man Jones CB/KR, TEN VALUE STEADY

Career off to a horrible start, but should get picked on and put up good tackle #s.

The Latest: 8/26 will make his debut this weekend.

80. Mike Nugent K, NYJ VALUE STEADY

A kicker?!?! Nuge kicks for a conservative coach that loves to settle for FGs and you should bump him up if your league has a penalty for misses or bonus for 50+ yarders because he's accurate even from long distance.

The Latest: 8/15 made his first FG attempt as a jet from 40.

81. Matt Cassel QB, NE VALUE STEADY

Go ahead, laugh. You might have laughed if someone said Brady, not Henson was the future star QB at michigan. The Pats brass didnt - they saw something in Brady, and now they see something in Cassel - all picks at this point are guesswork, so ill defer to the pats judgment with this developmental pick.. Cassel was a talented enough athlete to play some TE, so there's some upside here with good coaching.

The Latest: 8/25 7/11 for 69 yds also lost a fumble last weekend 8/15 showed lots of promise, leading 4 scoring drives in the first preseason game. Cassel's arm strength and accuracy has been impressive.

82. OJ Atogwe S, STL VALUE RISING - UP FROM 84

the only safety on st louis's roster that can cover. should be starting soon. a very solid player, but archuleta and the cover 2 defense will keep his tackle numbers modest.

The Latest: 8/25 fighting for the starting FS job 8/15 made a game ending INT and 4 tackles in archuleta's place at FS. Jerome Carter has moved ahead of him on the depth chart.

83. Sean Considine S, PHI VALUE STEADY

Very solid prospect at S who should inherit dawkins job down the line.

The Latest: 8/25 will not play this weekend 8/18 still out with shoulder injury 8/15 missed preseason game. missing practice with a shoulder injury.

84. Josh Bullocks S, SEA VALUE STEADY

Should be in the mix to start at FS for new orleans down the line, but bullocks is more of a ballhawk than a hitter, i dont see much in his fantasy future.

The Latest: 8/26 two tackles and an assist in garbage time last week. 8/19 looks like a backup for this year. 8/15 made some nice stuffs, but also missed some tackles. got time at both safety positions.

85. Donte Nicholson S, TB VALUE FALLING - PREV 73

The best SS in the draft after Thomas Davis. May have to wait a bit for a starting gig if jermaine phillips hits his stride as a player, but nicholson's profile as the classic big hitter SS merits a pick at this point.

The Latest: 8/26 still trying to land the 4th safety spot in a battle with hamza abdullah and kalvin pearson 8/14 limited action in the preseason game, competing for 4th safety spot.

86. Jerome Carter S, STL VALUE FALLING -down from 80

Hard-hitting SS prospect who is currently #1 on the depth chart. will move up a lot if he stays there. I still dont think archuleta will work out at FS, but carter may be good enough to become the SS eventually anyway.

8/25 archuleta back at FS. 8/15 - one tackle and 3 assists in his first preseason game. missed a tackle badly against adrian peterson.

87. Matt Roth OLB/DE, MIA VALUE STEADY

The Latest: 8/26 got a sack in his last game and some PT in the first half. more talk about him as a DE down the line, which would increase his value imo.

88. JR Russell WR, TB NEW ADDITION

Size/Speed combo who presents a big downfield target

The Latest: 8/30 gained a lot of praise from gruden for his good play this weekend.

89. Michael Boley OLB, ATL, NEW ADDITION, VALUE RISING

Fast playmaking OLB who will have to wait for brooking to step aside, but still looks like a good prospect.

8/26 4 tackles, a sack, and a FF and recovery. like beck, blocked, but looks like a good future prospect.

90. Daryl Blackstock OLB, ARI VALUE STEADY

The Latest: Blackstock indicated a willingness to move to WLB if necessary.

Blackstock is blocked by a guy very similar to him in Dansby - its hard to see him landing a long term starting job in arizona. dont get me wrong, i love the talent of these guys, but i just dont see great things in their fantasy future.

8/26 one tackle in 2nd half action last week. 8/15 did not show up on the stat sheet- checking to see if he played vs. the cowboys.

91. Rasheed Marshall WR, SF VALUE STEADY

Worth a look as he has great open field running ability, and SF had enough faith in his ability to develop to use a 5th on him. He'll have jerry sullivan, one of the best WR coaches in the business working with him

The Latest: 8/26 returned a few kicks and a punt last week, and caught a 21 yard pass, but still a long term project . word is that marshall is not ready to contribute at all this year - probably expected. marshall has had some rough spots, but nolan and sullivan are optimistic and QB convert arnaz battle is helping him. good stash and hold guy.

93. Noah Herron RB, PIT VALUE RISING

With Staley and Bettis both having questions, and parker being unproven, herron, who has been practicing exclusively at tailback, could get a shot, goings/droughns style.

8/26 13/36 last week - likely practice squad material. 8/15 13 for 39, 1 catch for -4. didnt look all that great, but neither did parker or haynes for the most part.

94. Damien Nash RB, TEN VALUE FALLING down from 57

The Latest: 8/25 having a horrible camp with injuries and fumble issues. payton has passed him on the depth chart. 8/18 missed practice with back and groin injuries 8/14 jarrett payton looked good. nash's value is in free fall. Looks like Nash will compete with Walter Reyes, Joe Smith, and Jarrett Payton for the #3 RB job. Showing some potential - one to watch in preseason games.

95. Kay Jay Harris RB, MIA VALUE FALLING

A size/speed freak of an RB who is really not inferior to Jacobs talent wise, but went undrafted, and may have contend with ricky williams's return making it hard for him to make the active roster.

The Latest: 8/26 seems to be lost in shuffle in miami, but still a guy to keep on your radar long term 8/15 trying to make the roster, no action in the 2nd preseason game. looked ok catching passes out of the backfield on monday, made a good special teams tackle.

96. Marcus Maxwell WR, SF VALUE STEADY

The Latest: 8/26 practice performance didnt translate to game performance last week. still his tools make him worth watching. 8/15 back in practice. 8/10 missed practice with a heel injury, on crutches. Intriguing size/speed combo player. Playing way better than his draft slot in camp. long term the WR picture in SF is wide open, so he bears watching.

97. Josh Cribbs WR/KR, CLE NEW ADDITION

already looking like an electrifying return man, yet another in the line of QB to WR converts. he ran for 1000 yards as a QB, so you know he can get the job done in the open field.

98. Gerald Sensabuagh S, JAX NEW ADDITION

word is that jacksonville likes what they have in sensabaugh for the future - not as heralded as the safety prospects above him on this list, but look for him to get a shot to start in the next year or two. a good candidate to be this year's Ecoleman/Gwilson if injuries strikesthe jags safeties.

99. Anthony Davis RB, IND VALUE FALLING

extremely productive but short - quentin griffin got a shot, so davis could too, but he's still a longshot and not worth consideration until the late rounds of your draft.

The Latest: 8/26 probably behind carthon and im not sure he'll make the roster. 8/15 the whole RB corps struggled for the colts.

100. Justin Miller CB, NYJ VALUE FALLING - down from 81

8/26 his star is falling - lost his return job and consideration for the nickel back job.

 
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quick stab at placing some IDPs:DJ and Thomas Davis at 23 and 24 between miller and white.Ruud and Thurman at 32 and 33(includes DJ and Davis) between Alex Smith TE and Houstonall 4 of those LB should inherit high tackle positions in their defenses eventually, and Davis and DJ should see the field right away. I like Davis just fine as a SS too, but i am assuming he'll move to LB, and be a great one.Morrison, Tatupu, and Crowder deserve some consideration, but i like the bigger risk/reward of the offensive guys in the 30s, than the more modest risk/reward of these ILBs.of course, more IDPs than this will go in your top 40, i just think there are a lot intriguing prospects on the offensive side that i would take before anything except near sure things on the defensive side.

 
on the outside looking in:Gibson - pinkston IIPearman/Gates/Herron - career backupsHenry - crowded WR corps and a headcase to bootJones/RWilliams/Roby - hard to know who will emerge long term in that situationSproles/Parrish/Davis - too smallJacobs - one dimensional

 
Quick thoughts:- I'd take Williams over Brown, but I expect Brown to be the most frequent pick at 1.01. Almost everyone is on board with him. I have my concerns. - I like Mark Clayton, but I think you overrate him as a fantasy prospect. Baltimore is not a good situation for a guy who looks like a prototypical #2. Clayton does have a chance to be a #1 eventually, but his lack of ideal physical measurables is a concern for me. If you're a WR under 6' then you'd better have blazing speed. Clayton has good speed, but he's not on the level of someone like Lee Evans. I think he's a good player, but I perceive his ceiling as being too low to warrant the #6 pick. - I would never take Eric Shelton over Mike Williams. It's tough to pass up that kind of talent for a relatively marginal RB. - I wouldn't take Alex Smith at #5. QBs are a total crapshoot and Smith doesn't have the deep arm that the best fantasy QBs in today's game possess. - I'd knock Campbell and Frye down about ten spots. I think Campbell is a bust in waiting and I don't think anyone in the world will take Frye over some of the RBs and WRs you have listed after him.- Matt Jones and Troy Williamson should go in the 6-12 range. - I think Frank Gore is a scrub. I wouldn't draft him in the first 25 picks. - Someone is going to gamble on the second tier RBs earlier than you expect. I've been involved with enough rookie drafts to know that Charlie Frye is highly unlikely to go before Ryan Moats and Maurice Clarett.- Bump up Heath Miller. He'll go in the first rounds of some drafts. - Roddy White should be higher. - I think Rodgers is going to fall in a lot of drafts. It's tough to take a guy in the first round when you pretty much know that he won't play a down for you in 2005.

 
Quick thoughts:

- I'd take Williams over Brown, but I expect Brown to be the most frequent pick at 1.01. Almost everyone is on board with him. I have my concerns.

- I like Mark Clayton, but I think you overrate him as a fantasy prospect. Baltimore is not a good situation for a guy who looks like a prototypical #2. Clayton does have a chance to be a #1 eventually, but his lack of ideal physical measurables is a concern for me. If you're a WR under 6' then you'd better have blazing speed. Clayton has good speed, but he's not on the level of someone like Lee Evans. I think he's a good player, but I perceive his ceiling as being too low to warrant the #6 pick.

- I would never take Eric Shelton over Mike Williams. It's tough to pass up that kind of talent for a relatively marginal RB.

- I wouldn't take Alex Smith at #5. QBs are a total crapshoot and Smith doesn't have the deep arm that the best fantasy QBs in today's game possess.

- I'd knock Campbell and Frye down about ten spots. I think Campbell is a bust in waiting and I don't think anyone in the world will take Frye over some of the RBs and WRs you have listed after him.

- Matt Jones and Troy Williamson should go in the 6-12 range.

- I think Frank Gore is a scrub. I wouldn't draft him in the first 25 picks.

- Someone is going to gamble on the second tier RBs earlier than you expect. I've been involved with enough rookie drafts to know that Charlie Frye is highly unlikely to go before Ryan Moats and Maurice Clarett.

- Bump up Heath Miller. He'll go in the first rounds of some drafts.

- Roddy White should be higher.

- I think Rodgers is going to fall in a lot of drafts. It's tough to take a guy in the first round when you pretty much know that he won't play a down for you in 2005.
these are all good criticisms. this top 40 is my personal top 40, not necessarily what i think will happen in dynasty rookie drafts.some responses:

I rank Clayton high based on my zero risk comment more than his upside. i agree that other WRs may have a higher upside, but i feel certain clayton will reach his.

I know I have Shelton very high, but i think its a perfect marriage.

I think Smith's running ability makes up his lack of arm strength.

We differ on Gore, Campbell and White - i think Gore and Campbell will be good pros, and i think White will be a bust.

No love for Frye? He should start by the beginning of the 06 season at the latest and has a great WR corps to work with including edwards who he gets to grow with right away - they could easily click and become a nice combo.

I am down on Williamson more than most, the Lelie comparison just stuck in my head, and he will never more than a fantasy #2 WR because of his unwillingness to make the tough catches.

Matt Jones may move up my board with some time to reflect... but still no higher than 10.

I agree that moats and clarett go higher than where i rank them in most drafts.

Miller has two strikes against him - run first offense and the mark bruener debacle, he'll go way before where i have him ranked.

If people are passing on rodgers because they think he's a bust, thats fair. if they are passing because he wont play this year, then they dont understand the point of dynasty rookie drafts... you are drafting the players entire career.

 
I think Smith's running ability makes up his lack of arm strength.
Maybe he can be another Steve Young, but I don't know if it's worth the risk at #5. He doesn't exactly have a Rice to throw to right now, although that could change.
No love for Frye? He should start by the beginning of the 06 season at the latest and has a great WR corps to work with including edwards who he gets to grow with right away - they could easily click and become a nice combo.
JP Losman was a first round pick last year. He was obviously chosen as the heir to Bledsoe's job. He still fell to the 20-25 range of most rookie drafts. Why should it be any different for Frye?
Miller has two strikes against him - run first offense and the mark bruener debacle, he'll go way before where i have him ranked.
I can't think of a better fit than Pittsburgh. Roethlisberger is a great young QB and Miller will be a prime goal line target. Even if Pittsburgh remains a running team, there's plenty of room for 800 yards and 7 scores from the TE. See Atlanta in 2004 and Baltimore in 2002 and 2003 for examples of TEs excelling in poor passing attacks. For the record, I think Pittsburgh will move towards being a balanced offense as Roethlisberger goes. It would be foolish to waste his talents.

If people are passing on rodgers because they think he's a bust, thats fair. if they are passing because he wont play this year, then they dont understand the point of dynasty rookie drafts... you are drafting the players entire career.
I agree 100%. However, look at Philip Rivers last year. He was chosen higher than Rodgers and he only went in the 10-15 range in most rookie drafts. It takes a lot of courage to use a top 10 pick on a QB, especially if he'll be backup for at least one season.
 
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Losman in the 20s and Rivers in the 10-15 range last year was because the tremendous talent crop of talent at QB,WR, and RB - there arent nearly as many cant miss guys this year as there were last year, one of the best skill player classes in a long time.Atlanta 2004, Baltimore 2002-2003, what do these have in common?No good WR to throw to.

 
Good stuff, Bloom.I think youre a little too low on Williamson. I'm not the biggest fan of his either, but I can't think of a better team for him to play for, given his skill set, than Minnesota. I don't think they're going to be asking him to run fancy routes or make the tough catch over the middle; he'll be the dedicated deep threat opposite Burleson. I'd be comfortable taking him in the mid-to-late 1st if I needed a WR.

 
I think there's a good chance Frye will get to start a couple to few games late this season and I think he'll probably get to start a game before Rodgers and Campbell do (barring injury of course). Trent Dilfer is pretty bad and he's getting old now, too. The Browns had a nice draft that should kickstart their rebuilding process, but even a die hard Browns fan would admit it's unlikely they contend for the playoffs this year. The Browns QB situation is kind of similar to what Dallas had last year, only with Cleveland you have a team more likely to be out of playoff contention sooner.That said, I still wouldn't take Frye in the top 20 rookie picks, but I could see him being the #2 QB on many rookie draft boards.

 
i guess im higher on Rodgers-Frye-Campbell than most. It has more to do my reservations about the players i put in the teens:Williamson: one-dimensionalJones: still a major risk, and not impressed with his attitudeGore: Barlow could still pan outMorency/Fason/Barber/Moats: I see morency in an RBBC with DDavis long term, Fason *could* emerge in minnesota, but they are getting to be like shanny with the RB fetish, and Julius Jones could block Barber for a long time...I do like Reggie Brown in Philly and Bradley in Chicago, but I also subscribe to drugrunners theory for dynasty rookie picks, and devalue WRs with middling upside accordingly.I still love the talent of the RBs i listed above, but i think investing in a solid commodity - a young future starting QB - is a better use of the 10-12 pick, unless you are set at QB long term - then take your pick of the intriguing WR/RB talents.

 
I keep waffling on Mark Clayton. He's clearly not a #1 body but he could be the next Derrick Mason, a #1 in a #2 body. He appears that good at running routes and catching the ball. Guess who will be teaching him? Derrick Mason.What he lacks in top end speed he appears to make up for in suddenness and short area quickness. However, people said the same about Peter Warrick during the draft. With his size, even if he develops into a team's #1, I worry about his red zone opportunities as well (plus, add Heap to the red zone mix). Of course, none of this is even mentioning that he's with the run-oriented Ravens.Edited to add: Agreeing with EBF, actual rookie drafts will put a few of the RBs in Rd 1 and the QBs lower, right or not.

 
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I keep waffling on Mark Clayton. He's clearly not a #1 body but he could be the next Derrick Mason, a #1 in a #2 body. He appears that good at running routes and catching the ball. Guess who will be teaching him? Derrick Mason.

What he lacks in top end speed he appears to make up for in suddenness and short area quickness. However, people said the same about Peter Warrick during the draft. With his size, even if he develops into a team's #1, I worry about his red zone opportunities as well (plus, add Heap to the red zone mix). Of course, none of this is even mentioning that he's with the run-oriented Ravens.

Edited to add: Agreeing with EBF, actual rookie drafts will put a few of the RBs in Rd 1 and the QBs lower, right or not.
I think you're dead on about Clayton. Some people think he's the next Marvin Harrison, but as far as I can tell they aren't that similar. Clayton is a guy who makes the short to intermediate catches and picks up yards after the catch. Harrison is a guy who can get downfield and hit the home run.
 
I keep waffling on Mark Clayton. He's clearly not a #1 body but he could be the next Derrick Mason, a #1 in a #2 body. He appears that good at running routes and catching the ball. Guess who will be teaching him? Derrick Mason.

What he lacks in top end speed he appears to make up for in suddenness and short area quickness. However, people said the same about Peter Warrick during the draft. With his size, even if he develops into a team's #1, I worry about his red zone opportunities as well (plus, add Heap to the red zone mix). Of course, none of this is even mentioning that he's with the run-oriented Ravens.

Edited to add: Agreeing with EBF, actual rookie drafts will put a few of the RBs in Rd 1 and the QBs lower, right or not.
I think you're dead on about Clayton. Some people think he's the next Marvin Harrison, but as far as I can tell they aren't that similar. Clayton is a guy who makes the short to intermediate catches and picks up yards after the catch. Harrison is a guy who can get downfield and hit the home run.
Clayton is no more the next Marvin than he is the next big bust. FWIW, Evans isn't Marvin either.

I like Frye enough to have just taken him as the #10 rookie pick, where we can start 1-2 QBs. I picked him as the 2nd QB, ahead of Rodgers, 5 picks after Smith. Personally, I like Frye as much as Smith, so he's the value IMO.

 
I'm going to post a new top 24 sometime next week. I've realized that I overrated and underrated several guys while making my top 12 list. I'm no longer content with those rankings, but I'm confident that I can finally produce a satisfactory list now that I've analyzed the draft and carefully reviewed the players.

 
I'm going to post a new top 24 sometime next week. I've realized that I overrated and underrated several guys while making my top 12 list. I'm no longer content with those rankings, but I'm confident that I can finally produce a satisfactory list now that I've analyzed the draft and carefully reviewed the players.
Maybe you should post it before the Z30 rookie draft starts..... :whistle: :Thesearentthedroidsyourelookingfor:

 
As always Bloom, you put out some of the best rookie analysis there is, keep it up. Here are a few of my points after reading the posts:Williamson - I don't think he's anything near Randy Moss with the exception of speed. I personally think he's the fourth best dynasty WR in in the upcoming drafts behind Claytyon, Williams and Edwards. However, one cannot ignore the situation he's in and opportunity to produce. I don't see how he's out of the top 7 picks.A. Smith - Unless you are in a 2 QB start league, which I am, I don't see how Smith comes off the board before a WR. I see him at the end of round 1 in 1 QB start leagues and around pick 6 in 2 QB start leagues.The top 3 are very hard to decide between. I think an arguement can be made for any of them #1 overall. I don't think there has been a draft where it was so tough to decide the top one or two picks. It seems like most years there is a clear cut RB who has the talent and situation above the other two. Although Brown has the superior starting situation, the talent around him is less than the other two and some would argue that Brown's talent is less then both Williams and Benson. It is a tough choice. I still have not made up my mind but would lean toward this as the top three: Brown, Williams, and Benson; however as the holder of the #2 pick in my rookie draft, that could change.Shelton - Bloom, I must say that I am becoming convinced of Eric Shelton. The only thing that is holding me up right now is Foster. He's the wild card in Carolina. Davis may play this year but is not there long term and Goings is a nice player but doesn't bring to the table what the others do. I'm considering moving to the end of round one in a deal and taking Shelton or Mike Williams with that pick.

 
As always Bloom, you put out some of the best rookie analysis there is, keep it up. Here are a few of my points after reading the posts:

Williamson - I don't think he's anything near Randy Moss with the exception of speed. I personally think he's the fourth best dynasty WR in in the upcoming drafts behind Claytyon, Williams and Edwards. However, one cannot ignore the situation he's in and opportunity to produce. I don't see how he's out of the top 7 picks.

A. Smith - Unless you are in a 2 QB start league, which I am, I don't see how Smith comes off the board before a WR. I see him at the end of round 1 in 1 QB start leagues and around pick 6 in 2 QB start leagues.

The top 3 are very hard to decide between. I think an arguement can be made for any of them #1 overall. I don't think there has been a draft where it was so tough to decide the top one or two picks. It seems like most years there is a clear cut RB who has the talent and situation above the other two. Although Brown has the superior starting situation, the talent around him is less than the other two and some would argue that Brown's talent is less then both Williams and Benson. It is a tough choice. I still have not made up my mind but would lean toward this as the top three: Brown, Williams, and Benson; however as the holder of the #2 pick in my rookie draft, that could change.

Shelton - Bloom, I must say that I am becoming convinced of Eric Shelton. The only thing that is holding me up right now is Foster. He's the wild card in Carolina. Davis may play this year but is not there long term and Goings is a nice player but doesn't bring to the table what the others do. I'm considering moving to the end of round one in a deal and taking Shelton or Mike Williams with that pick.
Williamson's rating i stand by. you cant just assume that the one-dimensional WR learns the whole game, and have to adjust for that risk. Ive knocked smith down a little - explanation in the pick. after more thought i realized that a QB has to be a real threat to break the top 5 to be worth a first round dynasty pick because of the large 2nd tier.

Shelton should go in the top 10 of every dynasty draft. with their impressive defense and commitment to the running game, i could see double digit TD seasons becoming routine for him. I have decided to put gore ahead of him, only because Gore could be an everydown back, while shelton probably will not see the field on 3rd downs.

 
two guys who conspicuously do not appear on my list:chris henry, WR, CIN - character risk is too big and WR class is too deep.brandon jacobs, RB, NYG - Hard to see him ever getting more than 150 carries unless the gints totally change their offensive philosophy.

 
Pearman/Gates/Herron - career backups
23. Pearman

Pearman was quietly very good at virginia last year, and only one year removed from an ACL tear. He can do everything well, and i think stands just as good a chance as Jones and Toefield to emerge if Fred's knee is balky. The more i think about Pearman, the more I like - Taylor should not be a factor by 07 and Pearman has hidden upside because of the ongoing ACL recovery - if Taylor's knee is still a problem in july, put Pearman in your top 15.
???? confusing, yes? Career backup or successor? I still think he has Greg Jones to contend with. I know, moved to FB, but Jones should regain more of his speed this year. Why Pearman over Jones in the event Taylor is injured?QBs.

High marks for Campbell, but poor team. Low marks for Orlovsky, but great supporting cast. Personally, I think I'd switch the two, IF you believe Harrington is done.

No love for McPherson?

 
Pearman/Gates/Herron - career backups
23. Pearman

Pearman was quietly very good at virginia last year, and only one year removed from an ACL tear. He can do everything well, and i think stands just as good a chance as Jones and Toefield to emerge if Fred's knee is balky. The more i think about Pearman, the more I like - Taylor should not be a factor by 07 and Pearman has hidden upside because of the ongoing ACL recovery - if Taylor's knee is still a problem in july, put Pearman in your top 15.
???? confusing, yes? Career backup or successor? I still think he has Greg Jones to contend with. I know, moved to FB, but Jones should regain more of his speed this year. Why Pearman over Jones in the event Taylor is injured?QBs.

High marks for Campbell, but poor team. Low marks for Orlovsky, but great supporting cast. Personally, I think I'd switch the two, IF you believe Harrington is done.

No love for McPherson?
My thinking on Pearman has changed with some time to think, I was way too hasty with my "career backup" label - here's how i arrived at bumping him up in the top 241) Taylor's knee - Huge opportunity in jacksonville opening up if taylor's not ready for the start of the season.

2) Pearman's competitors - Toefield has shown very little, Jones is now a FB and will be a situational guy, Wimbush could emerge with a good camp, but I think Pearman is the guy best suited to take over.

3) Pearman's ACL recovery - My career backup initial label was based on pearman's performance last year... steady, competent, but not special. However, the more i thought about the 2 year out of ACL surgery factor, the more i realized that Pearman has upside that is untapped - the book on him is that he has good cutting ability, good vision and patience, and generally finds ways to get extra yards. the negative is that he's not particularly fast or strong... two things that will only get better as the knee does.

4) the DDavis/MMoore factor - two fourth rounders who came out with the reputation of being very solid all around RBs but not outstanding pure runners. Once they got on the field, their coaches realized that they are too solid to leave on the bench - Pearman sounds very similar - being an extremely productive RB despite not having take it to the house speed or an ideal NFL RB build.

to sum up - pearman is only going to get better, and there should be an opportunity for a young RB to emerge in jacksonville in the next year or two - guys like him have been sticking on the field because they are steady, if unspectacular producers. Definitely worth a late 2nd round pick.

Campbell is still an easy pick before Orlovsky because Campbell has running ability and is much less of a project than orlovsky - orlovsky has a much larger bust risk, and his team didnt invest nearly as much in him as washington did in campbell. with campbell you have a guy who is almost guaranteed to get his 2-3 year shot, with orlovsky, there's no telling what will happen. if his development is slow and harrington continues to suck, then detroit may well draft a QB in the first next year.

McPherson is tough to pick earlier than the 3rd round because so many teams passed on him - I would say that the character risks are greater than we thought for that kind of freefall, and that the fall could also speak to mcpherson's coachability. He's a pure speculative pick, and they are the hardest to rank - Jones, Clarett, and McPherson rankings totally depend on how important upside and risk aversion are to you.

 
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Interesting that you put Collins in there as the 3rd TE. I like his skills, but they also have Joel Dressen there and he was generally a little higher ranked than Collins. Plus, they don't use the TE alot. I like Adam Bergen at ARI as the 3rd TE. I think he will show that the lower competition in college is not a concern and that Denny will like to use the TE.

 
brandon jacobs, RB, NYG - Hard to see him ever getting more than 150 carries unless the gints totally change their offensive philosophy.
I'm hesitant to consider him a top prospect just based upon his size. He is built more like a tight end than a RB and don't think he's got the ideal measurables to be anything more than a goalline back. I can't remember the last RB I heard of that was 6'-4" as the ideal height is typically somewhere between 5'-10" and 6'-0" for a tailback or they have a tendency to be too upright and easy to tackle. The shorter stocky guys seem to have much less upright running styles than the tall guys. Granted, I haven't ever seen the guy play and haven't heard anybody else mention this concern, but that is just something that jumped out at me when I saw his measureables.
 
Interesting that you put Collins in there as the 3rd TE. I like his skills, but they also have Joel Dressen there and he was generally a little higher ranked than Collins. Plus, they don't use the TE alot. I like Adam Bergen at ARI as the 3rd TE. I think he will show that the lower competition in college is not a concern and that Denny will like to use the TE.
These rankings are for dynasty, and Collins's long term upside is the highest of any of the TEs, miller included. that alone gets him in the top 3 TEs.
 
Pearman/Gates/Herron - career backups
23. Pearman

Pearman was quietly very good at virginia last year, and only one year removed from an ACL tear. He can do everything well, and i think stands just as good a chance as Jones and Toefield to emerge if Fred's knee is balky. The more i think about Pearman, the more I like - Taylor should not be a factor by 07 and Pearman has hidden upside because of the ongoing ACL recovery - if Taylor's knee is still a problem in july, put Pearman in your top 15.
???? confusing, yes? Career backup or successor? I still think he has Greg Jones to contend with. I know, moved to FB, but Jones should regain more of his speed this year. Why Pearman over Jones in the event Taylor is injured?QBs.

High marks for Campbell, but poor team. Low marks for Orlovsky, but great supporting cast. Personally, I think I'd switch the two, IF you believe Harrington is done.

No love for McPherson?
My thinking on Pearman has changed with some time to think, I was way too hasty with my "career backup" label - here's how i arrived at bumping him up in the top 241) Taylor's knee - Huge opportunity in jacksonville opening up if taylor's not ready for the start of the season.

2) Pearman's competitors - Toefield has shown very little, Jones is now a FB and will be a situational guy, Wimbush could emerge with a good camp, but I think Pearman is the guy best suited to take over.

3) Pearman's ACL recovery - My career backup initial label was based on pearman's performance last year... steady, competent, but not special. However, the more i thought about the 2 year out of ACL surgery factor, the more i realized that Pearman has upside that is untapped - the book on him is that he has good cutting ability, good vision and patience, and generally finds ways to get extra yards. the negative is that he's not particularly fast or strong... two things that will only get better as the knee does.

4) the DDavis/MMoore factor - two fourth rounders who came out with the reputation of being very solid all around RBs but not outstanding pure runners. Once they got on the field, their coaches realized that they are too solid to leave on the bench - Pearman sounds very similar - being an extremely productive RB despite not having take it to the house speed or an ideal NFL RB build.

to sum up - pearman is only going to get better, and there should be an opportunity for a young RB to emerge in jacksonville in the next year or two - guys like him have been sticking on the field because they are steady, if unspectacular producers. Definitely worth a late 2nd round pick.

Campbell is still an easy pick before Orlovsky because Campbell has running ability and is much less of a project than orlovsky - orlovsky has a much larger bust risk, and his team didnt invest nearly as much in him as washington did in campbell. with campbell you have a guy who is almost guaranteed to get his 2-3 year shot, with orlovsky, there's no telling what will happen. if his development is slow and harrington continues to suck, then detroit may well draft a QB in the first next year.

McPherson is tough to pick earlier than the 3rd round because so many teams passed on him - I would say that the character risks are greater than we thought for that kind of freefall, and that the fall could also speak to mcpherson's coachability. He's a pure speculative pick, and they are the hardest to rank - Jones, Clarett, and McPherson rankings totally depend on how important upside and risk aversion are to you.
In one league I had hoped to get Pearman at pick 21(2.07) until this week.I had him targeted early 3rd round before the NFL draft and them bumped him up to the mid/late 2nd after he was selected by the Jags.Lately he has been getting Shelton/Gore hype on alot of FF outlets because of the Taylor knee injury concerns.As most dynasty drafts are RB driven,I see him now entering the early to mid 2nd round for drafts that not taken place yet.I like his long term upside and he reminds me of another UVA alum Tiki Barber.
 
I think the people who pigeonhole Williamson as a one-trick pony are being a bit short-sighted and are hurting themselves on this one. I know the Texans were very, very high on him way before the net-community considered him a top-15 talent. From what I could gather, they didn't have much in a divide in opinion over his potential amongst their football people. Just second-hand accounts from trusted people, but I'd take him over the straight line running, easy to hit Shelton and the injury-prone Gore.

 
I think the people who pigeonhole Williamson as a one-trick pony are being a bit short-sighted and are hurting themselves on this one. I know the Texans were very, very high on him way before the net-community considered him a top-15 talent. From what I could gather, they didn't have much in a divide in opinion over his potential amongst their football people. Just second-hand accounts from trusted people, but I'd take him over the straight line running, easy to hit Shelton and the injury-prone Gore.
the key word there is potential. if im going to spend a first rounder on potential, ill always take the RB over the WR.
 
Well, he was what he was in College, so you can't point to production. My point is that they felt his development as a legit NFL wide out would work out well enough to desire him at the top of the draft. Just take it fwiw.

 
Interesting that you put Collins in there as the 3rd TE. I like his skills, but they also have Joel Dressen there and he was generally a little higher ranked than Collins. Plus, they don't use the TE alot. I like Adam Bergen at ARI as the 3rd TE. I think he will show that the lower competition in college is not a concern and that Denny will like to use the TE.
These rankings are for dynasty, and Collins's long term upside is the highest of any of the TEs, miller included. that alone gets him in the top 3 TEs.
Wow, you really think so? I wasn't that impressed with him in school. Guess we'll see. Great stuff though! :thumbup:

 
Interesting that you put Collins in there as the 3rd TE. I like his skills, but they also have Joel Dressen there and he was generally a little higher ranked than Collins. Plus, they don't use the TE alot. I like Adam Bergen at ARI as the 3rd TE. I think he will show that the lower competition in college is not a concern and that Denny will like to use the TE.
These rankings are for dynasty, and Collins's long term upside is the highest of any of the TEs, miller included. that alone gets him in the top 3 TEs.
Wow, you really think so? I wasn't that impressed with him in school. Guess we'll see. Great stuff though! :thumbup:
remember that last year was his first and only year at TE...
 
Interesting that you put Collins in there as the 3rd TE. I like his skills, but they also have Joel Dressen there and he was generally a little higher ranked than Collins. Plus, they don't use the TE alot. I like Adam Bergen at ARI as the 3rd TE. I think he will show that the lower competition in college is not a concern and that Denny will like to use the TE.
These rankings are for dynasty, and Collins's long term upside is the highest of any of the TEs, miller included. that alone gets him in the top 3 TEs.
Wow, you really think so? I wasn't that impressed with him in school. Guess we'll see. Great stuff though! :thumbup:
remember that last year was his first and only year at TE...
Oh yeah, I mean he has the possibilities and upside. But I guess I'm more of a "hedged" upside person where I want to see more of it before I commit. Good point though.
 
Interesting that you put Collins in there as the 3rd TE. I like his skills, but they also have Joel Dressen there and he was generally a little higher ranked than Collins. Plus, they don't use the TE alot. I like Adam Bergen at ARI as the 3rd TE. I think he will show that the lower competition in college is not a concern and that Denny will like to use the TE.
These rankings are for dynasty, and Collins's long term upside is the highest of any of the TEs, miller included. that alone gets him in the top 3 TEs.
Wow, you really think so? I wasn't that impressed with him in school. Guess we'll see. Great stuff though! :thumbup:
Read This
 
I think the people who pigeonhole Williamson as a one-trick pony are being a bit short-sighted and are hurting themselves on this one.  I know the Texans were very, very high on him way before the net-community considered him a top-15 talent.  From what I could gather, they didn't have much in a divide in opinion over his potential amongst their football people.  Just second-hand accounts from trusted people, but I'd take him over the straight line running, easy to hit Shelton and the injury-prone Gore.
the key word there is potential. if im going to spend a first rounder on potential, ill always take the RB over the WR.
Bloom-Analysis of White based on Vick not throwing a great deep ball and go routes is not correct. Vick actually throws one of the great deep balls in the league. Beleive it or not its the short/ medium stuff he has had to harness.

 
31. Nash

One Chris Brown injury away from getting a look in tennessee IF he can make the team. has the build and running style to succeed in the NFL, like clarett a major character risk. still the RB scarcity means he merits a pick here. Good insurance for brown owners here. Watch to see who out of Reyes, Nash, and Charles wins the primary backup job to chris brown and rank them here.
As I understand it, Nash criticized the coach’s play calling after a game and was suspended for one game. He is asked about it in ever interview. Has he done other things that make him a character risk?
 
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31. Nash

One Chris Brown injury away from getting a look in tennessee IF he can make the team. has the build and running style to succeed in the NFL, like clarett a major character risk. still the RB scarcity means he merits a pick here. Good insurance for brown owners here. Watch to see who out of Reyes, Nash, and Charles wins the primary backup job to chris brown and rank them here.
As I understand it, Nash criticized the coach’s play calling after a game and was suspended for one game. He is asked about it in ever interview. Has he done other things that make him a character risk?
You are forgetting one. Payton. He is doing quite well in NFL Europe. J.Payton, Ams (TEN) 62 410 6.6 53 5 (6 games splitting series with another back)

Not too shabby.

 
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31. Nash

One Chris Brown injury away from getting a look in tennessee IF he can make the team. has the build and running style to succeed in the NFL, like clarett a major character risk. still the RB scarcity means he merits a pick here. Good insurance for brown owners here. Watch to see who out of Reyes, Nash, and Anthony wins the primary backup job to chris brown and rank them here.
As I understand it, Nash criticized the coach’s play calling after a game and was suspended for one game. He is asked about it in ever interview. Has he done other things that make him a character risk?
there was enough flak around the whole incident to brand Nash a character risk - he did end up quitting the team before he declared for the draft. He seems to be past it, and the titans seem to believe he is - I didnt even expect him to get drafted, so that shows some faith in him, although reyes or anthony could beat him out, and it will be an open competition.
 
bloom in my opinion this is the most informativethread going right now. is there any way you can keep this up til august?in a deep keeper league i have the #9 and #10 pick so this information is exactly what i'm looking for.i think the wild cards in this rookie draft are the 5-7 rbs. everyone knows who the top 4 rbs are but after that, who knows?

 
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Warming up to Chris Henry?  :thumbup:
well its very encouraging to hear that his two role models on the team like him and vouched for him. honestly, i thought that his attitude problem was enough to completely stay away from him - seeing that only cincy was a serious suitor confirms my worries, but at the same time, he couldnt be in a better place - a place where he's wanted and has a guy in chad johnson to look up to that has attitude but has harnessed it into results. if there's any situation that henry could emerge a somewhat mature focused football player, this is it.
 
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this needs to be on page one.it's great stuff. i'll put my top 30-35 on offense, and top 25 on defense in an edit after this weekend. since my draft is this weekend, and some of the guys are on these boards.but if anyone has a draft coming up, this is a must read. nicely done bloom.

 
Here are my Top-Whatever dynasty rankings on defense...DL:1. Erasmus James2. Marcus Spears3. Luis Castillo (assuming he plays DE in the Chargers' 3-4)4. Matt Roth (assuming he stays at DE in the Dolphins' hybrid 4-3 / 3-4)5. Justin TuckLB:1. Derrick Johnson2. Barrett Rudd3. Kevin Burnett4. Channing Crowder5. Odell Thurman6. Lofa TatupuDB:1. Thomas Davis2. Marlin Jackson3. Brodney Pool4. Josh Bullocks5. Oshiomogho AtogweYou're 100% correct...Merriman (SD), Ware (DAL), Pollack (CIN) and D Cody (BALT) did not make my list. Why?? Despite being amazing players/athletes, all four will be pass-rushing SLB's for their team. I challenge anyone to find a pass-rushing SLB with consistent, top-tier scoring. :boxing: You can't do it...it can't be done...don't try it. <I'm waiting for a response referencing Lawrence Taylor>With that being said...if the Chargers switch to a 4-3 in the future, Merriman would immediately challenge (and maybe surpass) James for the #1 billing. I would say the same with both Ware and Pollack, but I truly do not think they'll ever have the size to play DE in the NFL. If the Ravens boot Weaver inside and make Cody a staple across from Suggs, he would leap-frog Castillo as the #3 horse.On a side note, rookie CB's like Pac Man Jones, Atrel Rolle, Carlos Rogers and maybe Justin Miller should post amazing numbers for '05. If you're in a "must win now" mode, take a gamble on these rookies...opposing QB's will surely do the same for a year or two.

 
Here are my Top-Whatever dynasty rankings on defense...

DL:

1. Erasmus James

2. Marcus Spears

3. Luis Castillo (assuming he plays DE in the Chargers' 3-4)

4. Matt Roth (assuming he stays at DE in the Dolphins' hybrid 4-3 / 3-4)

5. Justin Tuck

LB:

1. Derrick Johnson

2. Barrett Rudd

3. Kevin Burnett

4. Channing Crowder

5. Odell Thurman

6. Lofa Tatupu

DB:

1. Thomas Davis

2. Marlin Jackson

3. Brodney Pool

4. Josh Bullocks

5. Oshiomogho Atogwe

You're 100% correct...Merriman (SD), Ware (DAL), Pollack (CIN) and D Cody (BALT) did not make my list. Why?? Despite being amazing players/athletes, all four will be pass-rushing SLB's for their team. I challenge anyone to find a pass-rushing SLB with consistent, top-tier scoring. :boxing: You can't do it...it can't be done...don't try it. <I'm waiting for a response referencing Lawrence Taylor>

With that being said...if the Chargers switch to a 4-3 in the future, Merriman would immediately challenge (and maybe surpass) James for the #1 billing. I would say the same with both Ware and Pollack, but I truly do not think they'll ever have the size to play DE in the NFL. If the Ravens boot Weaver inside and make Cody a staple across from Suggs, he would leap-frog Castillo as the #3 horse.

On a side note, rookie CB's like Pac Man Jones, Atrel Rolle, Carlos Rogers and maybe Justin Miller should post amazing numbers for '05. If you're in a "must win now" mode, take a gamble on these rookies...opposing QB's will surely do the same for a year or two.
1. Parcells expects Ware to line up roughly 15-20 plays a game at DE in the 4-3, then put him at OLB in the 3-4. In the event that Ware qualifies as a DL in your league, he is VERY valuable.2. David Pollack isn't on your list. However, Pasquerelli (sp?) said in his most recent tip-sheet that Marvin Lewis will be using Pollack at OLB as well. WHile this might have been an oversight, he seemed pretty clear about it.

Colin

 

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