[DYNASTY] Top 50 RB Rankings (1 Viewer)

[EBF]

Dynasty rankings are tough because you have to find a middle ground between future and current production. Depending on the composition of your team, the value of the players varies. A guy like Tomlinson is extremely valuable to a "win now" team, but less valuable to a rebuilding team. When compiling these rankings, I tried to find a compromise between the two extremes. The reality is that these rankings would vary heavily depending on team context.

GREEN means I think this player is a good value at his ADP.

RED means I think this player is a bad value at his ADP and should be avoided.

1. Adrian Peterson - Durability and workload are concerns, but few can match his upside.

2. Steven Jackson - Young and talented. Physical style of play may shorten career.

3. Marshawn Lynch - Not as dynamic as some of the backs on this list, but looks like he can be a stalwart in your lineup for years to come.

4. Frank Gore - Similar to Lynch.

5. LaDainian Tomlinson - Might be the best back ever to play the game, but he's reaching an age where breakdown may be imminent.

6. Brian Westbrook - Great player. How many years does he have left?

7. Joseph Addai - I'm not quite sold on his talent yet, but he figures to be the starting RB in Indy for at least a couple more years.

8. Maurice Jones-Drew - Has a lot of upside if he can ever break out of the RBBC.

9. Marion Barber - Will produce fringe RB1 stats and may even hit the top 5. Doesn't get enough touches to truly dominate.

10. Clinton Portis - Still going strong after all these years. He's kind of like Edge, but a lot younger.

11. Reggie Bush - Talented despite underwhelming stats. Will continue to play a prominent role in the Saints offense.

12. Rashard Mendenhall - Great situation and pedigree. Lack of top athleticism is a concern.

13. Jonathan Stewart - High ceiling prospect who could be top 5 on this list next year.

14. Larry Johnson - Nice career, but he's almost 29. Draft above Bush, Mendenhall, and Stewart if you're in "win now" mode. Avoid if rebuilding.

15. Willis McGahee - Injuries and dedication are issues. Will produce when healthy and motivated.

16. Laurence Maroney - Like Bush, talented despite marginal production. May need a change of scenery to thrive.

17. Ryan Grant - Nice debut. Needs to show me more before I move him up with the big kids.

18. Michael Turner - Has a real chance to excel if he can get decent help from his supporting cast. The new Rudi?

19. Jamal Lewis - Revived his career in 2007. Probably only good for 1-2 more seasons though.

20. Ronnie Brown - Interesting value play if he can get back to his 2007 form. Inconsistency and injuries scare me.

21. DeAngelo Williams - Even with Stewart on board, Williams remains an intriguing talent who could produce.

22. Darren McFadden - Could be a star. Could be a huge bust. I lean more towards the latter.

23. Ray Rice - Little big man has a lot of the traits needed to excel. May get his chance sooner than expected.

24. Felix Jones - Should be pretty good. Can he develop into a starter at some point? Value hinges on that question.

25. Selvin Young - Stop gap solution or legitimate starter? Hard to say. Value should rise in 2008. Not sure if he's for real though.

26. Chris Johnson - Interesting athlete with upside. Hard to rank due to his unconventional game.

27. Brandon Jacobs - Will probably never be an every down back and has questionable durability. Fine in redraft. Sell high in dynasty.

28. Edgerrin James - Serviceable, but can't have much left in the tank.

29. Thomas Jones - Similar to Edge.

30. Willie Parker - Never been a fan. With Mendenhall on board, we may be seeing the last of Willie as a starter in the NFL.

31. Kevin Smith - Looks like a fraud to me. Will get a chance this year. Has top 15 upside.

32. LenDale White - Was pretty bad in 2007. Could be better if he's in better shape. Could be out of a job if he doesn't improve.

33. Julius Jones - One last shot to prove himself.

34. Earnest Graham - Can help you in 2008. Don't expect anything beyond that.

35. Brandon Jackson - Didn't look special to me coming out college. Still has a chance to make some noise in the future.

36. Kevin Jones - Better player than his career would indicate. Has a chance if he can get healthy,

37. Matt Forte - Will get a shot. Probably won't excel. Looks like a backup caliber talent.

38. Chris Perry - Longshot. Only reason he's ranked this high is because of upside.

39. Fred Taylor - Same as Graham. Seems about due to break down.

40. Rudi Johnson - Has never been a special player. Can't afford to lose a step and remain productive.

41. Ricky Williams - Strictly a short term depth option.

42. Maurice Morris - Maybe he'll surprise us this year. Long term, I don't like his chances.

43. Chester Taylor - Really only has value as a handcuff or if ADP gets hurt.

44. Ladell Betts - Good player. Buried behind a durable star.

45. Tashard Choice - Has a chance to make an impact in the future.

46. Carnell Williams - Moves up this list if he can prove that he's healthy.

47. Pierre Thomas - Might be Deuce's heir apparent. Might be next Marcel Shipp.

48. Tim Hightower - Probably just another hopeless preseason darling. Worth a shot cheap.

49. Ahmad Bradshaw - Showed promise towards the end of the year. RBBC lingers.

50. Justin Fargas - Minimal value unless McFadden flops. Come to think of it, maybe I should move him up.

51. Leon Washington - Had to squeeze him in here somewhere.

COMMENTS:

- It's not by accident that I have so many of the rookies clustered tightly together. These guys are at a point in their careers where they all appear to have a legitimate shot at success. Until we see more of them, we won't know for sure who's a fraud and who's for real. The Ray Rice/Felix Jones/Chris Johnson trio has been problematic for me because they all have strengths, but none of them are flawless. I favor Rice and Jones slightly since they're more prototypical backs. Chris Johnson seems like a riskier pick despite the early buzz.

- I didn't bother to do tiers because I think it would've been really arbitrary. These rankings are best viewed as a general opinion of the player's value rather than an absolute guide about who's more valuable than who. In some leagues I might like MJD more than LT. In other leagues I might like LT. The same can be said for lots of the guys on this list. In general, prospects are better for young teams. Older backs are better for old teams (but old teams also need to keep an eye on the future).

 

[gregjcross]

Dynasty rankings are tough because you have to find a middle ground between future and current production. Depending on the composition of your team, the value of the players varies. A guy like Tomlinson is extremely valuable to a "win now" team, but less valuable to a rebuilding team. When compiling these rankings, I tried to find a compromise between the two extremes. The reality is that these rankings would vary heavily depending on team context.

GREEN means I think this player is a good value at his ADP.

RED means I think this player is a bad value at his ADP and should be avoided.

1. Adrian Peterson - Durability and workload are concerns, but few can match his upside.

2. Steven Jackson - Young and talented. Physical style of play may shorten career.

3. Marshawn Lynch - Not as dynamic as some of the backs on this list, but looks like he can be a stalwart in your lineup for years to come.

4. Frank Gore - Similar to Lynch.

5. LaDainian Tomlinson - Might be the best back ever to play the game, but he's reaching an age where breakdown may be imminent.

6. Brian Westbrook - Great player. How many years does he have left?

7. Joseph Addai - I'm not quite sold on his talent yet, but he figures to be the starting RB in Indy for at least a couple more years.

8. Maurice Jones-Drew - Has a lot of upside if he can ever break out of the RBBC.

9. Marion Barber - Will produce fringe RB1 stats and may even hit the top 5. Doesn't get enough touches to truly dominate.

10. Clinton Portis - Still going strong after all these years. He's kind of like Edge, but a lot younger.

11. Reggie Bush - Talented despite underwhelming stats. Will continue to play a prominent role in the Saints offense.

12. Rashard Mendenhall - Great situation and pedigree. Lack of top athleticism is a concern.

13. Jonathan Stewart - High ceiling prospect who could be top 5 on this list next year.

14. Larry Johnson - Nice career, but he's almost 29. Draft above Bush, Mendenhall, and Stewart if you're in "win now" mode. Avoid if rebuilding.

15. Willis McGahee - Injuries and dedication are issues. Will produce when healthy and motivated.

16. Laurence Maroney - Like Bush, talented despite marginal production. May need a change of scenery to thrive.

17. Ryan Grant - Nice debut. Needs to show me more before I move him up with the big kids.

18. Michael Turner - Has a real chance to excel if he can get decent help from his supporting cast. The new Rudi?

19. Jamal Lewis - Revived his career in 2007. Probably only good for 1-2 more seasons though.

20. Ronnie Brown - Interesting value play if he can get back to his 2007 form. Inconsistency and injuries scare me.

21. DeAngelo Williams - Even with Stewart on board, Williams remains an intriguing talent who could produce.

22. Darren McFadden - Could be a star. Could be a huge bust. I lean more towards the latter.

23. Ray Rice - Little big man has a lot of the traits needed to excel. May get his chance sooner than expected.

24. Felix Jones - Should be pretty good. Can he develop into a starter at some point? Value hinges on that question.

25. Selvin Young - Stop gap solution or legitimate starter? Hard to say. Value should rise in 2008. Not sure if he's for real though.

26. Chris Johnson - Interesting athlete with upside. Hard to rank due to his unconventional game.

27. Brandon Jacobs - Will probably never be an every down back and has questionable durability. Fine in redraft. Sell high in dynasty.

28. Edgerrin James - Serviceable, but can't have much left in the tank.

29. Thomas Jones - Similar to Edge.

30. Willie Parker - Never been a fan. With Mendenhall on board, we may be seeing the last of Willie as a starter in the NFL.

31. Kevin Smith - Looks like a fraud to me. Will get a chance this year. Has top 15 upside.

32. LenDale White - Was pretty bad in 2007. Could be better if he's in better shape. Could be out of a job if he doesn't improve.

33. Julius Jones - One last shot to prove himself.

34. Earnest Graham - Can help you in 2008. Don't expect anything beyond that.

35. Brandon Jackson - Didn't look special to me coming out college. Still has a chance to make some noise in the future.

36. Kevin Jones - Better player than his career would indicate. Has a chance if he can get healthy,

37. Matt Forte - Will get a shot. Probably won't excel. Looks like a backup caliber talent.

38. Chris Perry - Longshot. Only reason he's ranked this high is because of upside.

39. Fred Taylor - Same as Graham. Seems about due to break down.

40. Rudi Johnson - Has never been a special player. Can't afford to lose a step and remain productive.

41. Ricky Williams - Strictly a short term depth option.

42. Maurice Morris - Maybe he'll surprise us this year. Long term, I don't like his chances.

43. Chester Taylor - Really only has value as a handcuff or if ADP gets hurt.

44. Ladell Betts - Good player. Buried behind a durable star.

45. Tashard Choice - Has a chance to make an impact in the future.

46. Carnell Williams - Moves up this list if he can prove that he's healthy.

47. Pierre Thomas - Might be Deuce's heir apparent. Might be next Marcel Shipp.

48. Tim Hightower - Probably just another hopeless preseason darling. Worth a shot cheap.

49. Ahmad Bradshaw - Showed promise towards the end of the year. RBBC lingers.

50. Justin Fargas - Minimal value unless McFadden flops. Come to think of it, maybe I should move him up.

51. Leon Washington - Had to squeeze him in here somewhere.

COMMENTS:

- It's not by accident that I have so many of the rookies clustered tightly together. These guys are at a point in their careers where they all appear to have a legitimate shot at success. Until we see more of them, we won't know for sure who's a fraud and who's for real. The Ray Rice/Felix Jones/Chris Johnson trio has been problematic for me because they all have strengths, but none of them are flawless. I favor Rice and Jones slightly since they're more prototypical backs. Chris Johnson seems like a riskier pick despite the early buzz.

- I didn't bother to do tiers because I think it would've been really arbitrary. These rankings are best viewed as a general opinion of the player's value rather than an absolute guide about who's more valuable than who. In some leagues I might like MJD more than LT. In other leagues I might like LT. The same can be said for lots of the guys on this list. In general, prospects are better for young teams. Older backs are better for old teams (but old teams also need to keep an eye on the future).

Chris Johnson has scary wheels. But, i have to not let the hype affect things, yet, you watch the Youtube video from his college days, its downright flawlesss for making people miss.

I think he gets as much or more action than Lendale White. We'll see.

 

[I Am Rick James]

Love the list, but you seem to really value rooks. The majority won't be on this list 3 years from now but you are so quick with the anointing oil. 6 out of 9 of your good value pics are rooks so it seems you would like to move them even higher. It's your list, don't hold back.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

I agree, good list but I think you put WAY too much value into the rooks.

You're telling me that right now, in a startup dynasty draft, you would take Ray Rice and Felix Jones over Brandon Jacobs, Thomas Jones, and LenDale White?

You have 5 rookies in the top 30. In any given year, we're lucky to see two or three work out.

 

[EBF]

I agree, good list but I think you put WAY too much value into the rooks.You're telling me that right now, in a startup dynasty draft, you would take Ray Rice and Felix Jones over Brandon Jacobs, Thomas Jones, and LenDale White?

Yea, probably. My thinking is that if you're starting one of those guys then you probably aren't going to win anyway. Might as well gamble on greatness.Some of it depends on your league settings and team composition though. The guys you listed have short term RB2 potential. If that's all you're looking for then they're worth a look. Like I said, this is the problem with making dynasty rankings. Some players have almost no speculative value and a lot of current value whereas others have almost no current value and a lot of speculative value. Which way you lean is a matter of preference as much as anything.

You have 5 rookies in the top 30. In any given year, we're lucky to see two or three work out.

Once the elite players are off the board, I gamble on greatness. You're right that most of those guys won't pan out, but would you rather have a 1-in-4 shot at the next Frank Gore or a 1-in-1 shot at 30 year old Thomas Jones? Some people might favor TJ, but I'd rather aim high and take the gamble at getting a superstar. In general, superstars win leagues. Guys like Thomas Jones just make you mediocre unless you're in a very deep league.

 

[EBF]

Love the list, but you seem to really value rooks. The majority won't be on this list 3 years from now but you are so quick with the anointing oil. 6 out of 9 of your good value pics are rooks so it seems you would like to move them even higher. It's your list, don't hold back.

In FF, I'd rather have a 25% chance at $1 than a 100% chance at 25 cents. It's the same expected value, but in a dynasty league you need studs to keep pace with the best teams in your league. Once the proven studs are off the board, I gamble on the players with the highest chance of becoming studs. That usually means 1st-2nd year prospects. It's not that I expect them all to pan out, but rather that the huge potential payoff warrants the high risk gamble.

 

[I Am Rick James]

Love the list, but you seem to really value rooks. The majority won't be on this list 3 years from now but you are so quick with the anointing oil. 6 out of 9 of your good value pics are rooks so it seems you would like to move them even higher. It's your list, don't hold back.

In FF, I'd rather have a 25% chance at $1 than a 100% chance at 25 cents. It's the same expected value, but in a dynasty league you need studs to keep pace with the best teams in your league. Once the proven studs are off the board, I gamble on the players with the highest chance of becoming studs. That usually means 1st-2nd year prospects. It's not that I expect them all to pan out, but rather that the huge potential payoff warrants the high risk gamble.

Your a risk taker. Me, not so much, but I still like your list.

 

[cstu]

21. DeAngelo Williams - Even with Stewart on board, Williams remains an intriguing talent who could produce.22. Darren McFadden - Could be a star. Could be a huge bust. I lean more towards the latter.

Your dislike of McFadden amazes me.

 

[moderated]

I agree, good list but I think you put WAY too much value into the rooks.You're telling me that right now, in a startup dynasty draft, you would take Ray Rice and Felix Jones over Brandon Jacobs, Thomas Jones, and LenDale White?

Umm, yes, and it would be a no-brainer.Go ahead and try to trade guys like Jacobs/TJ/Lendale for mid-first round rookie picks. Jacobs might get a bite but no way TJ or Lendale would.Taking average old guys like TJ and horrid backs like Lendale over young RB's with solid potential is a bad mistake.Not all draft years are the same, but this one happened to be pretty deep with quality RB talent and many of them are worth more then the bums you mentioned.

 

[LBH]

you were right to include Leon Washington. If he gets the opputunity his upside is huge. Hard to say what the Jets will do at RB in 09 and beyond, but my opinion is that he has the talent to be a Westbrook, Tiki type player

 

[FreeBaGeL]

You have 5 rookies in the top 30. In any given year, we're lucky to see two or three work out.

Once the elite players are off the board, I gamble on greatness. You're right that most of those guys won't pan out, but would you rather have a 1-in-4 shot at the next Frank Gore or a 1-in-1 shot at 30 year old Thomas Jones? Some people might favor TJ, but I'd rather aim high and take the gamble at getting a superstar. In general, superstars win leagues. Guys like Thomas Jones just make you mediocre unless you're in a very deep league.

I 100% agree with you that superstars win championships in fantasy football. But you can only take that to a certain extreme. That doesn't mean that you draft every player on your team for their upside and their upside alone.Part of it is that the chances of one of those guys becoming the next Frank Gore is WAY less than the 25% you're quoting. I just don't see the potential for guys like Rice to ever be anywhere close to a top 5 back like some rookies we've seen before. You should be picking one or two of those guys that you see potential stardom in, not be willing to take a swing at every single one of them just because they hold the title of rookie RB.You are absolutely right though, dynasty rankings are tough to do and tough to critique because a player's value changes so much based on what a team is picking them as, so this argument is kind of moot.I heartily disagree that a team starting a guy like TJ, Edge, or Lendale can't win though. I wouldn't want to be caught starting them in a vaccum, but if a team is starting studs like AD, Moss, and Edwards elsewhere then at RB2 having a guy that can just perform well is all you need (which is really the type of teams these guys would end up on in a draft). There's also the flex position to consider, which any of those guys would be GREAT in.

Not all draft years are the same, but this one happened to be pretty deep with quality RB talent and many of them are worth more then the bums you mentioned.

Funny how, aside from the rare awful year, we here this pretty much EVERY single year.

 

[EBF]

you were right to include Leon Washington. If he gets the opputunity his upside is huge. Hard to say what the Jets will do at RB in 09 and beyond, but my opinion is that he has the talent to be a Westbrook, Tiki type player

I like him. I never seem to end up with him on my teams, but I like him.

 

[EBF]

I heartily disagree that a team starting a guy like TJ, Edge, or Lendale can't win though. I wouldn't want to be caught starting them in a vaccum, but if a team is starting studs like AD, Moss, and Edwards elsewhere then at RB2 having a guy that can just perform well is all you need (which is really the type of teams these guys would end up on in a draft).

That's where context comes into play. Obviously if you already have AD, Moss, and Edwards then you can consider going with a safer play at RB2 instead of swinging for the fences. That said, I've been playing dynasty for a while and it seems like there's usually 1-2 teams that build monster squads over the years. Right now in my oldest PPR dynasty someone has Romo, S-Jax, Bush, MJD, Chr. Johnson, Edwards, Marshall, Bowe, Ro. Williams, and Cooley. This is the type of team you have to be able to compete with in a dynasty league.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

I heartily disagree that a team starting a guy like TJ, Edge, or Lendale can't win though. I wouldn't want to be caught starting them in a vaccum, but if a team is starting studs like AD, Moss, and Edwards elsewhere then at RB2 having a guy that can just perform well is all you need (which is really the type of teams these guys would end up on in a draft).

That's where context comes into play. Obviously if you already have AD, Moss, and Edwards then you can consider going with a safer play at RB2 instead of swinging for the fences. That said, I've been playing dynasty for a while and it seems like there's usually 1-2 teams that build monster squads over the years. Right now in my oldest PPR dynasty someone has Romo, S-Jax, Bush, MJD, Chr. Johnson, Edwards, Marshall, Bowe, Ro. Williams, and Cooley. This is the type of team you have to be able to compete with in a dynasty league.

See sig

 

[Ron_Mexico]

lots of silly things here.

Kevin Jones in front of Matt Forte in a dynasty is just laughable.

Thanks for taking the time, EBF.

 

[EBF]

lots of silly things here.Kevin Jones in front of Matt Forte in a dynasty is just laughable.Thanks for taking the time, EBF.

It's almost impossible to make dynasty RB rankings that are going to satisfy everyone. There's just too much uncertainty and too many differences in style for it to all come out clean and pretty. I think a healthy Kevin Jones is better than Matt Forte. I view KJ as a starting caliber NFL talent when he's at 100%. I think Forte is a nice player, but better suited to a backup role. The player I always compare his talent to is Chris Brown.

 

[Anthony Borbely]

lots of silly things here.Kevin Jones in front of Matt Forte in a dynasty is just laughable.Thanks for taking the time, EBF.

It's almost impossible to make dynasty RB rankings that are going to satisfy everyone. There's just too much uncertainty and too many differences in style for it to all come out clean and pretty. I think a healthy Kevin Jones is better than Matt Forte. I view KJ as a starting caliber NFL talent when he's at 100%. I think Forte is a nice player, but better suited to a backup role. The player I always compare his talent to is Chris Brown.

 

[fsufan]

how far do you look out(years) in dynasty? With the NFL of today I only look 2 years out, maybe 3 years with some players, to much unknowns and change. with that LT is your #2 dynasty RB, #1 if someone is looking to win now.

 

[moderated]

Funny how, aside from the rare awful year, we here this pretty much EVERY single year.

Not from reputable sources. This was widely viewed as a very strong RB class. I've been around for awhile, and there are tons of weak RB classes and they are touted as weak by these same sources.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Funny how, aside from the rare awful year, we here this pretty much EVERY single year.

Not from reputable sources. This was widely viewed as a very strong RB class. I've been around for awhile, and there are tons of weak RB classes and they are touted as weak by these same sources.

Without going back and looking through their articles to specifically find one that suits your cause, what are some of the places you would consider a reputable source?

 

[moderated]

Funny how, aside from the rare awful year, we here this pretty much EVERY single year.

Not from reputable sources. This was widely viewed as a very strong RB class. I've been around for awhile, and there are tons of weak RB classes and they are touted as weak by these same sources.

Without going back and looking through their articles to specifically find one that suits your cause, what are some of the places you would consider a reputable source?

I forget the guys names, but they are some of the more popular people in scouting, i think one's name is Gil Brandt or something, and many others ex scouts/player personal who now work more in the media realm.Basically this was viewed as an abnormally strong RB class, i don't really think you'll find any argument from people who paid attention pre-draft to things.

 

[EBF]

how far do you look out(years) in dynasty? With the NFL of today I only look 2 years out, maybe 3 years with some players, to much unknowns and change. with that LT is your #2 dynasty RB, #1 if someone is looking to win now.

There were also five RBs drafted in the first round this year, which is a very high number. 2006 gave us Bush, Maroney, Williams, and Addai. Those guys all still carry significant FF value. There will probably be 2-3 eventual busts out of this year's first round RBs, but there will also be some legitimate players in that group. The guys I have ranked inside the top 25 were all first round picks with the exception of Ray Rice, the only second tier back who I think has strong long term starting potential.

 

[Ron_Mexico]

lots of silly things here.Kevin Jones in front of Matt Forte in a dynasty is just laughable.Thanks for taking the time, EBF.

It's almost impossible to make dynasty RB rankings that are going to satisfy everyone. There's just too much uncertainty and too many differences in style for it to all come out clean and pretty. I think a healthy Kevin Jones is better than Matt Forte. I view KJ as a starting caliber NFL talent when he's at 100%. I think Forte is a nice player, but better suited to a backup role. The player I always compare his talent to is Chris Brown.

I know Anthony has been a Kevin Jones apologist for years now. The ranking makes zero sense to me.As I have said the past two years KJs best days are behind him.It proves true year in and year out.Kevin Jones is the past and Matt Forte is the future, and to have Kevin Jones aheadof Forte in a dynasty ranking is extremely shortsighted, imo.I say this with all due respect because I respect the hell out of both EBF and Anthony,but I couldn't disagree more.If I were to offer Kevin Jones straight up for Matt Forte in any of my 5 dynasties,I would be laughed out of the league..

 

[Burning Sensation]

lots of silly things here.Kevin Jones in front of Matt Forte in a dynasty is just laughable.Thanks for taking the time, EBF.

It's almost impossible to make dynasty RB rankings that are going to satisfy everyone. There's just too much uncertainty and too many differences in style for it to all come out clean and pretty. I think a healthy Kevin Jones is better than Matt Forte. I view KJ as a starting caliber NFL talent when he's at 100%. I think Forte is a nice player, but better suited to a backup role. The player I always compare his talent to is Chris Brown.

I know Anthony has been a Kevin Jones apologist for years now. The ranking makes zero sense to me.As I have said the past two years KJs best days are behind him.It proves true year in and year out.Kevin Jones is the past and Matt Forte is the future, and to have Kevin Jones aheadof Forte in a dynasty ranking is extremely shortsighted, imo.I say this with all due respect because I respect the hell out of both EBF and Anthony,but I couldn't disagree more.If I were to offer Kevin Jones straight up for Matt Forte in any of my 5 dynasties,I would be laughed out of the league..

Considering EBF's statement that he would rather have 25% chance at a $1.00 than a 100% chance at .25 cents, which ifully agree with, i am suprised he has KJ ranked ahead of Forte. EBF or AB, would you trade Forte straight up for KJ?Also, Chris Brown seems like a fair comparison to Forte, but if Chris Brown wasnt as fragile as he is, he could have very well been a top 15 dynasty back. As a matter of fact i think he was considered that after his first year or two.

 

[Anthony Borbely]

EBF or AB, would you trade Forte straight up for KJ?

Of course I wouldn't. The value of the players dictates what I would do regarding a trade. Forte's value is much higher right now. This was a good question. I do not let my personal opinion of players cloud my judgment of value. I think KJ's talent is vastly underrated because his injuries overshadow everything. I don't blame anyone for not wanting him based on his injuries. But in all honesty, I think a healthy Kevin Jones >>>>> Matt Forte. I don't want to turn this into another KJ thread, but I wanted to make the point about letting value dictate what you offer/accept regarding a trade. Do not let your opinion cause you to overpay when value says otherwise.

 

[Anthony Borbely]

Ranking players is not easy and if you have 20 people doing it, you will get 20 different opinions. And guess what? None of them are wrong. It's what we believe. Just look at EBF's rankings...then go look at MoP's rankings...then look at the FBG staff's rankings. There are variances all over the place for practically every player. It's not an exact science and never will be. Dynasty rankings are even harder because you predict now and down the road. Everyone does it different.

I remember last year...in a couple of drafts, I took a rookie RB named Adrian Peterson in late round 2 and people told me I was crazy. I had him ranked higher than anyone on the FBG staff. Now, just as soon as I think I know everything, I had Randy Moss ranked in the 20's, the lowest of the staff. I was calling people crazy for thinking he would do anything.

If we could predict the future, we would not be here, we would be in Vegas.

 

[EBF]

EBF or AB, would you trade Forte straight up for KJ?

Of course I wouldn't. The value of the players dictates what I would do regarding a trade. Forte's value is much higher right now. This was a good question. I do not let my personal opinion of players cloud my judgment of value. I think KJ's talent is vastly underrated because his injuries overshadow everything. I don't blame anyone for not wanting him based on his injuries. But in all honesty, I think a healthy Kevin Jones >>>>> Matt Forte. I don't want to turn this into another KJ thread, but I wanted to make the point about letting value dictate what you offer/accept regarding a trade. Do not let your opinion cause you to overpay when value says otherwise.

This. The answer to the initial question is that I would never acquire Matt Forte at his current value whereas I would gladly take Kevin Jones at his current cost. Exploiting gaps in actual value and perceived value is the name of the trading game.

 

[NeverEnough]

Gore @ 4? No.

 

[EBF]

Gore @ 4? No.

Might be a bit too high, but he belongs somewhere in the 4-8 range. If you're thinking short term then LT and Westbrook offer a higher ceiling. If you're looking for value over 3-4 years then I think Gore belongs in the elite second tier with Addai, Lynch, and MJD.