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Expected Finish versus Projected Finish (1 Viewer)

eighsse2

Footballguy
So, I'm wondering if there is a resource anywhere that shows the average fantasy finish of each positional ranking over the years.

For instance, Saquon Barkley, one would assume will be projected as the consensus RB1 for 2025. But RB1 cannot be the expected value of where he will end up. That would only be the if it were 100% certain that he will finish RB1. It'd be more like (just off the top of my head):

10% RB1
8% RB2
7% RB3
6% RB4
5% RB5
4% RB6
4% RB7
3% RB8
3% RB9
3% RB10
3% RB11
2% RB12
28% RB13-24
14% RB25+

This would give an expected value of something like RB12. Which seems kinda low maybe, but (1) like I said, these numbers are off the top of my head, and (2) these numbers are averaging in the unlikely outcomes where he is injured halfway into the first game and finishes as RB94 or whatever -- you get the idea.

Anyway, long story short, does anyone know of a resource that tracks the history of this?

ETA: ALTERNATIVELY ... Maybe even just the PPR points scored by each ranking on the average. That might be easier to find, and possibly more helpful.
 

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