NixonMask
Footballguy
People overall seemed to appreciate I posted this last week so I am going to post my weekly research again. If nothing else I seem to have the Oakland Raiders wide receivers figured out. For now I have just posted the placeholder template. I'll go back in and update it on Tuesday and Wednesday. Its an evolving process so it'll look a little different this week. In addition to showing the defensive splits against the pass on the right and the left, the first number in parenthesis after the team name is the overall passer rating allowed. I am also going to post where each defense has allowed passing TDs this year. If a number is in parenthesis that is how many TDs they have allowed in the red zone.
Odds: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
Public Bets: http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart
Atlanta (100.4) [Left 29 (115.1)] / [Right 31 (91)] at Tampa Bay (101.1) [Left 21 (87.2)] / [Right 13 (89)]
Atlanta Falcons
QB Passer Rating on the road: 112.9
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 98.1
Total passing TDs allowed: 19
Short left: 5 (5)
Short middle: 3 (3)
Short right: 8 (7)
Deep left: 3
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Atlanta allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Right: 52
Atlanta Falcons WRs that match up well or poorly against the Tampa Bay defense:
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are particularly weak short over the middle and everywhere deep, but especially over the middle. Julio Jones has seen the most targets short over the middle, about twice as many as Mohamed Sanu and the Tight Ends combined. All three see about 25% of their total targets short over the middle. The wide receivers that see the largest percentage of their targets deep are Julio Jones and Taylor Gabriel
Tampa Bay
QB Passer Rating at home: 81
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 97.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 14
Short left: 0
Short middle: 6 (4)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left: 3 (1)
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1
Locations where Tampa Bay allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 138
Deep Middle: 138
Tampa Bay WRs that match up well or poorly against the Atlanta defense:
The Atlanta Falcons allow a passer rating of between 97 and 100 everywhere except deep right, where they allow a passer rating of 52. 16 of their 19 passing TDs allowed have been short, with a fairly even distribution. Russell Shepard sees 77% of his targets on the left side, with most of them being short left. He has only seen 9 targets the last 3 games though, all 9 of which came in the last two games. Adam Humphries sees 82% of his targets short left and short right. He has only seen 9 targets the last 3 games though. Cameron Brate sees 46% of his targets short right, which is where Falcons allowed the most passing TDs. He has only seen 11 targets the last three games though. Mike Evans has a fairly even target distribution. He is very good on the left side and short over the middle. He is very bad on the right side and deep over the middle. He is the only player on the team that reliably sees any deep targets. He has seen 36 targets the last 3 games.
Jacksonville (102.2) [Left 11 (88.4)] / [Right 22 (125.6)] at Kansas City (87) [Left 15 (95.4)] / [Right 7 (81)]
Jacksonville Jaguars
QB Passer Rating on the road: 91.2
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 126.9
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 3 (2)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 3
Locations where Jacksonville allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 75
Deep Left: 61
Deep Middle: 135
Jacksonville Jaguars WRs that match up well or poorly against the Kansas City defense:
The Kansas City defense is strong against the pass on the right side and average on the left side. They are particularly bad against the pass deep over the middle. They have a fairly even TD distribution allowed this year. Allen Hurns sees targets with a fairly even target distribution, but sees slightly more short right. He has the majority of his success on the right side and deep left.. He has more than twice as many targets deep over the middle than the next player on the team. Allen Robinson has a fairly even target distribution. He does see 43% of his targets on the left side though as opposed to 33% on the left. Over the last 3 weeks he has seen 48% of his targets on the left side. The only place he has had any real success this year is short right. Marquis Lee sees 44% of his targets short left. He has had the most success on the team there. He is fairly bad everywhere else. Julius Thomas sees most of his targets short over the middle.
Kansas City Chiefs
QB Passer Rating at home: 104
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 69.4
Total passing TDs allowed: 13
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 3 (3)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left: 2
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1
Locations where Kansas City allows a passer rating allowed that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Middle: 156
Deep Right: 54
Kansas City Chiefs WRs that match up well or poorly against the Jacksonville defense:
The strength of the Jacksonville defense is short over the middle and deep left. They are weakest on the right and deep over the middle. Jeremy Maclin sees 42% of his targets on the right side as opposed to 27% on the left side. He is best short over the middle and on the right side. He is still below average on the right side though. Tyrek Hill sees a fairly even target distribution short and deep on the left side. 3 of his 4 TDs caught this year have been on the left side. Travis Kelce sees a fairly even target distribution, with almost all of his targets being with 15 yards of the line of scrimmage.
Detroit (115.2) [Left 18 (115)] / [Right 30 (116)] at Minnesota (63.4) [Left 3 (61.7)] / [Right 1 (55.8)]
Detroit Lions
QB Passer Rating on the road: 100.4
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 118.3
Total passing TDs allowed: 19
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 5 (5)
Short right: 8 (8)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 3 (3)
Locations where Detroit allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Middle: 71
Detroit Lions WRs that match up well or poorly against the Minnesota defense:
Minnesota allows a passer rating of 31 or below everywhere deep. They have the bet defense deep against the pass in the NFL by a large margin. They surrender a combined passer rating of 10.2 deep. The Cardinals are the next best team at 44.5. The one place they are fairly weak against the pass is over the middle within 15 yards. The only players that consistently see passes short over the middle are Theo Riddick and Aquan Boldin. Marvin Jones is the only player to consistently see targets deep.
Minnesota Vikings
QB Passer Rating at home: 114.6
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 63
Total passing TDs allowed: 6
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Minnesota allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 116
Minnesota Vikings WRs that match up well or poorly against the Detroit defense:
The weakness of the Detroit defense is on the right side within 15 yards and deep on the left side. The only player to consistently see targets deep on the left side is Adam Thielen, but still only a little over 1 a game on average. The Lions have allowed 8 TDs this year on the right side within 15 yards. Stefon Diggs sees 42% of his targets on the right side within 15 yards.
Philadelphia (81.9) [Left 5 (87.1)] / [Right 10 (74.8)] at New York Giants (81.6) [Left 24 (91)] / [Right 11 (72.4)]
Philadelphia Eagles
QB Passer Rating on the road: 93.1
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 95.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 9
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 2 (1)
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Philadelphia allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
None
Philadelphia Eagles WRs that match up well or poorly against the New York defense:
The New York Giants are weakest against the pass on the left side and over the middle beyond 15 yards. No player on the Giants consistently sees deep targets anywhere except Odell Beckham deep on the left side. The Philadelphia Eagles have allowed 5 of their 8 targets on the left side. 50% of Odell Beckhams targets are on the left side compared to only 23% on the right side.
New York Giants
QB Passer Rating at home: 97.8
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 88.9
Total passing TDs allowed: 7
Short left: 1
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 2 (1)
Deep right: 1
Locations where New York allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 51
Deep Middle: 57
New York Giants WRs that match up well or poorly against the Philadelphia defense:
The Philadelphia Eagles are pretty good against the pass everywhere except short left and short middle, where they are average. Dorial Green Beckham has seen the most targets on the left side within 15 yards this year, with 15. 10 of those targets have come after their week 4 bye. Jordan Matthews has seen 49% of his targets on the right side this year compared to 35% on the left side.
Dallas (99.4) [Left 17 (100.7)] / [Right 17 (96)] at Cleveland (110.7) [Left 28 (132)] / [Right 19 (92.6)]
Dallas Cowboys
QB Passer Rating on the road: 113.8
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 89.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 5 (5)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Dallas allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Right: 54
Dallas Cowboys WRs that match up well or poorly against the Cleveland defense:
The Cleveland Browns are above average against the pass on the right side, average against the pass short on the left side and over the middle, and the worst in the league deep left and over the middle. Cole Beasley and Jason Witten see the most passes on the team on the right side. Dez Bryant and Terrance Williams are the receivers that are targets most frequently on the left side and over the middle beyond 15 yards.
Cleveland Browns
QB Passer Rating at home: 75.7
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 87.4
Total passing TDs allowed: 17
Short left: 4 (3)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 4 (1)
Deep middle: 2
Deep right: 2
Locations where Cleveland allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 148
Deep Middle: 149
Deep Right: 74
Cleveland Browns WRs that match up well or poorly against the Dallas defense:
Almost half of the TDs that Dallas has allowed this year have been over the middle within 15 yards. Tyrell Pryor, Gary Barnidge, and Duke Johnson are the only players to be constantly targeted short over the middle. Barnidge is the most targeted, followed by Pryor and then Johnson. Dallas allows a passer rating of 125.1 to TEs this season. Dallas is the 4th ranked defense this year against pass catching backs.
New York Jets (108.8) [Left 19 (86)] / [Right 32 (116.9)] at Miami (96.3) [Left 6 (87.2)] / [Right 6 (78.7)]
New York Jets
QB Passer Rating on the road: 91.1
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 99.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 15
Short left: 1 (1)
Short middle: 4 (4)
Short right: 5 (5)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 3
Locations where New York allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 47
New York Jets WRs that match up well or poorly against the Miami defense:
The Miami defense is strong against the pass on the right side. They are very weak against the pass over the middle. Quincy Enunwa is has seen almost twice as many targets as the next player over the middle. Both Bilaal Powell and Brandon Marshall have seen about half as many short over the middle as Enunwa, and Marshall has seen 1 more target deep. Miami is the #5 ranked defense against pass catching backs.
Miami Dolphins
QB Passer Rating at home: 93.1
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 87.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 10
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 4 (4)
Short right: 2 (1)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1 (1)
Deep right:0
Locations where Miami allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 129
Deep Middle: 138
Miami Dolphins WRs that match up well or poorly against the New York defense:
The Jets have allowed more than 50% of their TDs on the right side this year. Jarvis Landry has seen the most targets short on the right side, followed by DeVantae Parker. The Jets are the #30 ranked defense against pass catching backs this year. Ajayi has only seen about one target a game so far this year, but they are coming out of their bye. In his season year of college he caught 50 passes, he is capable if they decide to target him.
Pittsburgh (93.2) [Left 13 (94.9)] / [Right 20 (90.5)] at Baltimore (97.7) [Left 1 (82.4)] / [Right 12 (108)]
Pittsburgh Steelers
QB Passer Rating on the road: 96.6
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 81.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 8
Short left: 4 (3)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 0
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1
Locations where Pittsburgh allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 54
Deep Middle: 147
Deep Right: 138
Pittsburgh Steelers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Baltimore defense:
The Baltimore defense is vulnerable short over the middle, short on the right side, and deep right. Jesse James has seen the most targets short over the middle with 16, followed by AB with 11 and Bell with 9 this year. Antonio Brown and the Pittsburgh backs have both seen 23 targets short on the right side. Sammy Coates has seen the most targets deep right with 11, that accounts for 48% of the teams targets there.
Baltimore Ravens
QB Passer Rating at home: 91.3
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 99.7
Passing TDs allowed:
Short left: 1 (1)
Short middle: 4 (2)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 2
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 2
Locations where Baltimore allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 69
Deep Middle: 31
Baltimore Ravens WRs that match up well or poorly against the Pittsburgh defense:
The Pittsburgh defense has allowed 4 of their 8 TDs this year on the left side within 15 yards. They are the most vulnerable deep over the middle and deep on the right side. Dennis Pitta has seen more than twice as many targets short on the left side as anyone on the team with 22 on the year. Only 1 of those targets have come in the redzone. Both Breshad Perriman and Mike Wallace have seen about an equal number of targets deep over the middle and deep on the right side. Kamar Aiken sees almost as many. None of the three see many though, about 1.5 a game on average. Unless one or two are out its unpredictable who will get the targets.
New Orleans (95.4) [Left 27 (122.6)] / [Right 5 (67.6)] at San Francisco (97) [Left 7 (89.5)] / [Right 25 (107.2)]
New Orleans Saints
QB Passer Rating on the road: 95.4
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 105.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 9
Short left: 4 (3)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 0
Deep left: 2
Deep middle: 2 (2)
Deep right: 0
Locations where New Orleans allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 133
Deep Middle: 138
Deep Right: 60
New Orleans Saints WRs that match up well or poorly against the San Francisco defense:
The San Francisco defense is strong against the pass over the middle and on the right side within 15 yards. They are average on the left side. They are terrible deep over the middle and deep on the right side. They have allowed 6 TDs on targets beyond 15 yards on the right side. The New Orleans WRs lineup everywhere. Willie Snead sees 52% of his targets short over the middle and short on the right side. Brandin Cooks has seen twice as many targets deep on the right side as the next WR on the Saints.
San Francisco 49ers
QB Passer Rating at home: 72.7
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 85.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 15
Short left: 4 (4)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1 (1)
Deep right: 6 (3)
Locations where San Francisco allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 51
Short Right: 76
Deep Middle: 158
Deep Right: 144
San Francisco 49ers WRs that match up well or poorly against the New Orleans defense:
The Saints are very good against the pass on the right side. Jeremy Kerley and Torrey Smith are the only players to reliably receive targets on the right side. Torrey Smith has only seen 1 target on the left side all year. Jeremy Kerley has also seen 17 targets short on the left side and Quinton Patton has seen 18. Torrey Smith has seen the most targets over the middle beyond 15 yards, but still less than 1 per game.
Carolina (101.9) [Left 30 (115.3)] / [Right 16 (82.3)] at Los Angeles (94.9) [Left 32 (111)] / [Right 9 (83.7)]
Carolina Panthers
QB Passer Rating on the road: 84.9
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 118.2
Total passing TDs allowed: 16
Short left: 5 (3)
Short middle: 2 (1)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 3
Deep middle: 2 (1)
Deep right: 2
Locations where Carolina allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 138
Deep Middle: 140
Carolina Panthers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Los Angeles defense:
The strength of the Los Angeles defense against the pass is deep over the middle and on the right side. 7 of the 10 passing TDs they have allowed have been on the left side within 15 yards.. Corey Brown has seen 22 targets on the right side within 15 yards. That accounts for 67% of his targets.THey are weakest against the pass on the left side. Kelvin Benjamin sees the most targets on the left side followed by Greg Olson. Greg Olson has seen 50% of the targets in the red zone within 15 yards with 4, no other player has seen more than 1.
Los Angeles Rams
QB Passer Rating at home: 87.6
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 94.4
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 7 (6)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left:
Deep middle:
Deep right:
Locations where Los Angeles allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Middle: 22 (Yes these numbers are correct)
Deep Right: 12(Yes these numbers are correct)
Los Angeles Rams WRs that match up well or poorly against the Carolina defense:
Carolina is pretty good against the pass on the right side. They are weak against the pass on the left side and over the middle within 15 yards. They are terrible against the pass beyond 15 yards on the left side and over the middle. 8 of the 15 passing TDs they have allowed have been on the right side. Kenny Britt sees 52% of his targets on the right side compared to 38% on the left side. Tavon Austin sees the most targets on the left side within 15 yards. Kenny Britt sees the most targets on the left side beyond 15 yards.
Indianapolis (101.8) [Left 22 (93.2)] / [Right 28 (99)] at Green Bay (104.3) [Left 2 (87.4)] / [Right 18 (116.4)]
Indianapolis Colts
QB Passer Rating on the road: 93.5
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 88.5
Total passing TDs allowed: 14
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 5 (4)
Short right: 4 (3)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 0
Locations where Indianapolis allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 126
Deep Middle: 129
Deep Right: 66
Indianapolis Colts WRs that match up well or poorly against the Green Bay defense:
The Green Bay defense is very weak on over the middle and on the right side beyond 15 yards. They are very good against the pass on the left side beyond 15 yards. 8 of the 13 passing TDs they have allowed this year have been on the right side. TY Hilton has seen 39% of the teams targets over the middle beyond 15 yards. Donte Moncrief in his single game saw 9% of the teams targets on the year there. TY Hilton sees 43% of his targets on the right side compared to 26% on the left side.
Green Bay
QB Passer Rating at home: 98.2
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 90.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 13
Short left: 1 (1)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 2
Deep right: 4 (1)
Locations where Green Bay allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 40
Deep Middle: 139
Deep Right: 146
Green Bay Packers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Indianapolis defense:
12 of the 14 TDs the Colts have allowed this year have been on targets within 15 yards. Devante Adams, Ty Montgomery, Randall Cobb, and Jordy Nelson all see alot of targets short. Jordy Nelson sees proportionally more targets deep than the others. Almost all of Randall Cobbs targets have been short. All of Ty Montgomerys targets have been short. Randall Cobb has seen the most targets over the middle within 15 yards, which is where the Colts have allowed the most TDs.
Tennessee (87.7) [Left 12 (77.9)] / [Right 21 (77)] at San Diego (89.2) [Left 16 (72.4)] / [Right 23 (91.2)]
Tennessee Titans
QB Passer Rating on the road: 103.8
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 74.9
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 0
Short middle: 5 (5)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 0
Locations where Tennessee allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 122
Deep Middle: 132
Right Middle: 34
Tennessee Titans WRs that match up well or poorly against the San Diego defense:
The San Diego defense is weakest against the pass over the middle. DeMarco Murray and Rishard Matthews have seen the most targets short over the middle. Kendall Wright only sees 5% of his targets over the middle this year. The San Diego Chargers allow a passer rating of 106.2 to RBs this year.
San Diego Chargers
QB Passer Rating at home: 101.4
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 79.3
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 3 (2)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 2 (1)
Deep middle: 1 (1)
Deep right: 1
Locations where San Diego allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 110
San Diego Chargers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Tennessee defense:
Tennessee is strong agains the pass on the right side and weakest over the middle. 9 of the 11 passing TDs they have allowed have been over the middle and on the right side within 15 yards. Antonio Gates has seen 17 targets over the middle this year and Hunter Henry has seen 16. Travis Benjamin has seen the most targets on the right side within 15 yards. Travis Benjamin has seen the most targets on the left side within 15 yards as well, but sees an equal percentage on the right and the left side. Tyrell Williams has seen 15 targets on the left side within 15 yards as opposed to 10 on the right. Tyrell Williams has also seen the most targets by a WR over the middle with 15. The Tennessee defense has allowed a passer rating of 107.7 to RBs this year.
Denver (62.8) [Left 8 (82.3)] / [Right 3 (49.7)] at Oakland (97.6) [Left 9 (94)] / [Right 14 (89)]
Denver Broncos
QB Passer Rating on the road: 106.3
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 69.1
Total passing TDs allowed: 6
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 0
Locations where Denver allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
None
Denver Broncos WRs that match up well or poorly against the Oakland Raiders defense:
The Oakland Raiders are most vulnerable over the middle within 15 yards. 11 of the 15 TDs they have allowed this year have been within 15 yards on the left side and over the middle. Emmanuel Sanders and Demarius Thomas have a similar target distribution. Demarius Thomas does see slightly more passes short over the middle. Almost all of Jordan Norwoods targets this year have been on the left side or over the middle within 15 yards, but he only has 2 red zone targets this year. Oakland allows a passer rating of 105.8 on passes thrown to the RB this year.
As I mentioned somewhere else in this thread, on the road, Trevor Simien has thrown for a QBR higher than the the team he is facing has allowed on the season in every game. He has thrown for a passer rating of 75.3 at home this year. He has thrown for a passer rating of 106.3 on the road this year.
Oakland Raiders
QB Passer Rating at home: 105.3
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 126.1
Total passing TDs allowed: 15
Short left: 4 (4)
Short middle: 7 (5)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1 (1)
Locations where Oakland allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 128
Oakland Raiders WRs that match up well or poorly against the Denver defense:
The Denver defense is strong everywhere, but have allowed 4 of their 6 TDs short on the left side and over the middle. Michael Crabtree sees the majority of his targets on the right side. Amari Cooper sees the majority of his passes on the left side. Michael Crabtree is targeted almost exclusively on the right side on the red zone. Amari Cooper and Seth Roberts have both seen 5 targets on the left side in the red zone.
Buffalo (89.3) [Left 4 (71.8)] / [Right 26 (87.5)] at Seattle (82.3) [Left 26 (89.9)] / [Right 2 (75.1)]
Buffalo Bills
QB Passer Rating on the road: 98.3
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 88.2
Total passing TDs allowed: 8
Short left: 0
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 2
Deep right: 2
Locations where Buffalo allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 51
Deep Middle: 147
Buffalo Bills WRs that match up well or poorly against the Seattle defense:
All 5 of the TDs that Seattle have allowed this year have been on the left side. Charles Clay, Robert Woods, and Marquise Goodwin have all seen roughly an equal number of targets on the left side and on the right side. Woods has has seen the most on the left side, followed by Clay and Goodwin. Very helpful stuff.
Seattle Seahawks
QB Passer Rating at home: 96.9
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 83.6
Total passing TDs allowed: 5
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 0
Short right: 0
Deep left: 3 (1)
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Seattle allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 108
Deep Middle: 47
Deep Right: 48
Seattle Seahawks WRs that match up well or poorly against the Buffalo defense:
The Buffalo Bills defense is weakest against the pass over the middle and deep on the right side. 7 of their 8 TDs allowed have been on the right side or over the middle. Jimmy Graham has seen more than twice as many targets as the next player over the middle within 15 yards, and also has seen the most targets deep over the middle. Doug Baldwin sees the most targets on the right side. Jermaine Kearse sees the majority of his targets on the left side.
Pro Football Focus WR/CB matchups with an advantage of .40 or greater:
Julio Jones +.62 Vernon Hargreaves
Kelvin Benjamin +.61 Troy Hill
Tyreek Hill +.53 Davon House
Jarvis Landry +.51 Darrelle Revis
Odell Beckham +.50 Nolan Carroll
WRs facing the 20 worst PFF graded CBs:
Kelvin Benjamin - Troy Hill (38.7)
Tyreek Hill - Davon House (39.9)
Phillip Dorsett - Demetri Goodson (42.1)
Torrey Smith - Delvin Breaux (42.8)
Julio Jones - Vernon Hargreaves (45.3)
Odell Beckham - Nolan Carroll (46.8)
Quinton Patton - Ken Crawley (46.8)
Tavon Austin - Robert McClain (47.3)
Ted Ginn - E.J. Gaines (47.6)
Allen Hurns - Steven Nelson (48)
Jordan Norwood - D.J. Hayden (48.6)
Allen Robinson - Phillip Gaines (49.6)
Jarvis Landry - Darrelle Revis (49.6)
Mohamed Sanu - Jude Adjei-Barimah (49.7)
DeVantae Adams - Patrick Robinson (50.6)
Cordarelle Patterson - Quandre Diggs (50.7)
DeVante Parker - Buster Skrine (50.8)
Jermaine Kearse - Stephon Gilmore (53.2)
Mike Wallace - Artie Burns (56)
Amari Cooper - Bradley Roby (57.4)
Partial list of WRs with 40 times significantly faster than the CB expected to cover them:
Julio Jones (4.34) - Vernon Hargreaves III (4.5)
Antonio Brown (4.18) - Jimmy Smith (4.42)
Donte Moncrief (4.4) - LaDarius Gunter (4.64)
Mike Wallace (4.33) - Artie Burns (4.5)
Cordarrelle Patterson (4.37) - Quandre Diggs (4.5)
Ted Ginn (4.28) - E.J. Gaines (4.51)
Kenny Stills (4.38) - Marcus Williams (4.57)
Tavon Austin (4.25) - Robert McClain (4.51)
WRs significantly taller than the CB expected to cover them:
Kelvin Benjamin 6'5" - Troy Hill 5'11"
Julio Jones 6'3" - Vernon Hargreaves 5'10"
Terrelle Pryor 6'4" - Anthony Brown 5'11"
Allen Hurns 6'3" - Steven Nelson 5'11"
DeVantae Parker 6'3" - Buster Skrine 5'11"
Cordarelle Patterson 6'2" - Quandry Diggs 5'9"
Dorial Green Beckham 6'5" - Janoris Jenkins 5'10"
Mike Evans 6'5" - Desmond Trufant 6'0"
Players the target maps like:
Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, Mike Evans, Marquis Lee, Allen Hurns (GPP), Anquan Boldin, Stefan Diggs, Odell Beckham, Dorial Green Beckham, Dez Bryant (Terrance Williams if Dez doesnt play), Tyrell Pryor, Gary Barnidge, Quincy Enunwa, Jarvis Landry, Jay Ajayi, Antonio Brown, LeVeon Bell, Sammy Coates, Brandin Cooks, Jeremy Kerley, Jimmy Graham, Kelvin Benjamin, Greg Olson, TY Hilton, Donte Moncrief, DeVante Adams, Ty Mongomery, Randall Cobb, Rishard Matthews, DeMarco Murray, Melvin Gordon, San Diego TEs.
Players the target maps do not like:
Tyreek Hill, Jordan Matthews, Cole Beasley, Jason Witten, Willie Snead, Torrey Smith, Jermaine Kearse, Michael Crabtree
Odds: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
Public Bets: http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart
Atlanta (100.4) [Left 29 (115.1)] / [Right 31 (91)] at Tampa Bay (101.1) [Left 21 (87.2)] / [Right 13 (89)]
Atlanta Falcons
QB Passer Rating on the road: 112.9
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 98.1
Total passing TDs allowed: 19
Short left: 5 (5)
Short middle: 3 (3)
Short right: 8 (7)
Deep left: 3
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Atlanta allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Right: 52
Atlanta Falcons WRs that match up well or poorly against the Tampa Bay defense:
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are particularly weak short over the middle and everywhere deep, but especially over the middle. Julio Jones has seen the most targets short over the middle, about twice as many as Mohamed Sanu and the Tight Ends combined. All three see about 25% of their total targets short over the middle. The wide receivers that see the largest percentage of their targets deep are Julio Jones and Taylor Gabriel
Tampa Bay
QB Passer Rating at home: 81
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 97.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 14
Short left: 0
Short middle: 6 (4)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left: 3 (1)
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1
Locations where Tampa Bay allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 138
Deep Middle: 138
Tampa Bay WRs that match up well or poorly against the Atlanta defense:
The Atlanta Falcons allow a passer rating of between 97 and 100 everywhere except deep right, where they allow a passer rating of 52. 16 of their 19 passing TDs allowed have been short, with a fairly even distribution. Russell Shepard sees 77% of his targets on the left side, with most of them being short left. He has only seen 9 targets the last 3 games though, all 9 of which came in the last two games. Adam Humphries sees 82% of his targets short left and short right. He has only seen 9 targets the last 3 games though. Cameron Brate sees 46% of his targets short right, which is where Falcons allowed the most passing TDs. He has only seen 11 targets the last three games though. Mike Evans has a fairly even target distribution. He is very good on the left side and short over the middle. He is very bad on the right side and deep over the middle. He is the only player on the team that reliably sees any deep targets. He has seen 36 targets the last 3 games.
Jacksonville (102.2) [Left 11 (88.4)] / [Right 22 (125.6)] at Kansas City (87) [Left 15 (95.4)] / [Right 7 (81)]
Jacksonville Jaguars
QB Passer Rating on the road: 91.2
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 126.9
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 3 (2)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 3
Locations where Jacksonville allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 75
Deep Left: 61
Deep Middle: 135
Jacksonville Jaguars WRs that match up well or poorly against the Kansas City defense:
The Kansas City defense is strong against the pass on the right side and average on the left side. They are particularly bad against the pass deep over the middle. They have a fairly even TD distribution allowed this year. Allen Hurns sees targets with a fairly even target distribution, but sees slightly more short right. He has the majority of his success on the right side and deep left.. He has more than twice as many targets deep over the middle than the next player on the team. Allen Robinson has a fairly even target distribution. He does see 43% of his targets on the left side though as opposed to 33% on the left. Over the last 3 weeks he has seen 48% of his targets on the left side. The only place he has had any real success this year is short right. Marquis Lee sees 44% of his targets short left. He has had the most success on the team there. He is fairly bad everywhere else. Julius Thomas sees most of his targets short over the middle.
Kansas City Chiefs
QB Passer Rating at home: 104
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 69.4
Total passing TDs allowed: 13
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 3 (3)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left: 2
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1
Locations where Kansas City allows a passer rating allowed that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Middle: 156
Deep Right: 54
Kansas City Chiefs WRs that match up well or poorly against the Jacksonville defense:
The strength of the Jacksonville defense is short over the middle and deep left. They are weakest on the right and deep over the middle. Jeremy Maclin sees 42% of his targets on the right side as opposed to 27% on the left side. He is best short over the middle and on the right side. He is still below average on the right side though. Tyrek Hill sees a fairly even target distribution short and deep on the left side. 3 of his 4 TDs caught this year have been on the left side. Travis Kelce sees a fairly even target distribution, with almost all of his targets being with 15 yards of the line of scrimmage.
Detroit (115.2) [Left 18 (115)] / [Right 30 (116)] at Minnesota (63.4) [Left 3 (61.7)] / [Right 1 (55.8)]
Detroit Lions
QB Passer Rating on the road: 100.4
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 118.3
Total passing TDs allowed: 19
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 5 (5)
Short right: 8 (8)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 3 (3)
Locations where Detroit allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Middle: 71
Detroit Lions WRs that match up well or poorly against the Minnesota defense:
Minnesota allows a passer rating of 31 or below everywhere deep. They have the bet defense deep against the pass in the NFL by a large margin. They surrender a combined passer rating of 10.2 deep. The Cardinals are the next best team at 44.5. The one place they are fairly weak against the pass is over the middle within 15 yards. The only players that consistently see passes short over the middle are Theo Riddick and Aquan Boldin. Marvin Jones is the only player to consistently see targets deep.
Minnesota Vikings
QB Passer Rating at home: 114.6
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 63
Total passing TDs allowed: 6
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Minnesota allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 116
Minnesota Vikings WRs that match up well or poorly against the Detroit defense:
The weakness of the Detroit defense is on the right side within 15 yards and deep on the left side. The only player to consistently see targets deep on the left side is Adam Thielen, but still only a little over 1 a game on average. The Lions have allowed 8 TDs this year on the right side within 15 yards. Stefon Diggs sees 42% of his targets on the right side within 15 yards.
Philadelphia (81.9) [Left 5 (87.1)] / [Right 10 (74.8)] at New York Giants (81.6) [Left 24 (91)] / [Right 11 (72.4)]
Philadelphia Eagles
QB Passer Rating on the road: 93.1
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 95.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 9
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 2 (1)
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Philadelphia allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
None
Philadelphia Eagles WRs that match up well or poorly against the New York defense:
The New York Giants are weakest against the pass on the left side and over the middle beyond 15 yards. No player on the Giants consistently sees deep targets anywhere except Odell Beckham deep on the left side. The Philadelphia Eagles have allowed 5 of their 8 targets on the left side. 50% of Odell Beckhams targets are on the left side compared to only 23% on the right side.
New York Giants
QB Passer Rating at home: 97.8
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 88.9
Total passing TDs allowed: 7
Short left: 1
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 2 (1)
Deep right: 1
Locations where New York allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 51
Deep Middle: 57
New York Giants WRs that match up well or poorly against the Philadelphia defense:
The Philadelphia Eagles are pretty good against the pass everywhere except short left and short middle, where they are average. Dorial Green Beckham has seen the most targets on the left side within 15 yards this year, with 15. 10 of those targets have come after their week 4 bye. Jordan Matthews has seen 49% of his targets on the right side this year compared to 35% on the left side.
Dallas (99.4) [Left 17 (100.7)] / [Right 17 (96)] at Cleveland (110.7) [Left 28 (132)] / [Right 19 (92.6)]
Dallas Cowboys
QB Passer Rating on the road: 113.8
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 89.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 5 (5)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Dallas allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Right: 54
Dallas Cowboys WRs that match up well or poorly against the Cleveland defense:
The Cleveland Browns are above average against the pass on the right side, average against the pass short on the left side and over the middle, and the worst in the league deep left and over the middle. Cole Beasley and Jason Witten see the most passes on the team on the right side. Dez Bryant and Terrance Williams are the receivers that are targets most frequently on the left side and over the middle beyond 15 yards.
Cleveland Browns
QB Passer Rating at home: 75.7
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 87.4
Total passing TDs allowed: 17
Short left: 4 (3)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 4 (1)
Deep middle: 2
Deep right: 2
Locations where Cleveland allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 148
Deep Middle: 149
Deep Right: 74
Cleveland Browns WRs that match up well or poorly against the Dallas defense:
Almost half of the TDs that Dallas has allowed this year have been over the middle within 15 yards. Tyrell Pryor, Gary Barnidge, and Duke Johnson are the only players to be constantly targeted short over the middle. Barnidge is the most targeted, followed by Pryor and then Johnson. Dallas allows a passer rating of 125.1 to TEs this season. Dallas is the 4th ranked defense this year against pass catching backs.
New York Jets (108.8) [Left 19 (86)] / [Right 32 (116.9)] at Miami (96.3) [Left 6 (87.2)] / [Right 6 (78.7)]
New York Jets
QB Passer Rating on the road: 91.1
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 99.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 15
Short left: 1 (1)
Short middle: 4 (4)
Short right: 5 (5)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 3
Locations where New York allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 47
New York Jets WRs that match up well or poorly against the Miami defense:
The Miami defense is strong against the pass on the right side. They are very weak against the pass over the middle. Quincy Enunwa is has seen almost twice as many targets as the next player over the middle. Both Bilaal Powell and Brandon Marshall have seen about half as many short over the middle as Enunwa, and Marshall has seen 1 more target deep. Miami is the #5 ranked defense against pass catching backs.
Miami Dolphins
QB Passer Rating at home: 93.1
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 87.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 10
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 4 (4)
Short right: 2 (1)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1 (1)
Deep right:0
Locations where Miami allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 129
Deep Middle: 138
Miami Dolphins WRs that match up well or poorly against the New York defense:
The Jets have allowed more than 50% of their TDs on the right side this year. Jarvis Landry has seen the most targets short on the right side, followed by DeVantae Parker. The Jets are the #30 ranked defense against pass catching backs this year. Ajayi has only seen about one target a game so far this year, but they are coming out of their bye. In his season year of college he caught 50 passes, he is capable if they decide to target him.
Pittsburgh (93.2) [Left 13 (94.9)] / [Right 20 (90.5)] at Baltimore (97.7) [Left 1 (82.4)] / [Right 12 (108)]
Pittsburgh Steelers
QB Passer Rating on the road: 96.6
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 81.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 8
Short left: 4 (3)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 0
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1
Locations where Pittsburgh allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 54
Deep Middle: 147
Deep Right: 138
Pittsburgh Steelers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Baltimore defense:
The Baltimore defense is vulnerable short over the middle, short on the right side, and deep right. Jesse James has seen the most targets short over the middle with 16, followed by AB with 11 and Bell with 9 this year. Antonio Brown and the Pittsburgh backs have both seen 23 targets short on the right side. Sammy Coates has seen the most targets deep right with 11, that accounts for 48% of the teams targets there.
Baltimore Ravens
QB Passer Rating at home: 91.3
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 99.7
Passing TDs allowed:
Short left: 1 (1)
Short middle: 4 (2)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 2
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 2
Locations where Baltimore allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 69
Deep Middle: 31
Baltimore Ravens WRs that match up well or poorly against the Pittsburgh defense:
The Pittsburgh defense has allowed 4 of their 8 TDs this year on the left side within 15 yards. They are the most vulnerable deep over the middle and deep on the right side. Dennis Pitta has seen more than twice as many targets short on the left side as anyone on the team with 22 on the year. Only 1 of those targets have come in the redzone. Both Breshad Perriman and Mike Wallace have seen about an equal number of targets deep over the middle and deep on the right side. Kamar Aiken sees almost as many. None of the three see many though, about 1.5 a game on average. Unless one or two are out its unpredictable who will get the targets.
New Orleans (95.4) [Left 27 (122.6)] / [Right 5 (67.6)] at San Francisco (97) [Left 7 (89.5)] / [Right 25 (107.2)]
New Orleans Saints
QB Passer Rating on the road: 95.4
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 105.8
Total passing TDs allowed: 9
Short left: 4 (3)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 0
Deep left: 2
Deep middle: 2 (2)
Deep right: 0
Locations where New Orleans allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 133
Deep Middle: 138
Deep Right: 60
New Orleans Saints WRs that match up well or poorly against the San Francisco defense:
The San Francisco defense is strong against the pass over the middle and on the right side within 15 yards. They are average on the left side. They are terrible deep over the middle and deep on the right side. They have allowed 6 TDs on targets beyond 15 yards on the right side. The New Orleans WRs lineup everywhere. Willie Snead sees 52% of his targets short over the middle and short on the right side. Brandin Cooks has seen twice as many targets deep on the right side as the next WR on the Saints.
San Francisco 49ers
QB Passer Rating at home: 72.7
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 85.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 15
Short left: 4 (4)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1 (1)
Deep right: 6 (3)
Locations where San Francisco allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 51
Short Right: 76
Deep Middle: 158
Deep Right: 144
San Francisco 49ers WRs that match up well or poorly against the New Orleans defense:
The Saints are very good against the pass on the right side. Jeremy Kerley and Torrey Smith are the only players to reliably receive targets on the right side. Torrey Smith has only seen 1 target on the left side all year. Jeremy Kerley has also seen 17 targets short on the left side and Quinton Patton has seen 18. Torrey Smith has seen the most targets over the middle beyond 15 yards, but still less than 1 per game.
Carolina (101.9) [Left 30 (115.3)] / [Right 16 (82.3)] at Los Angeles (94.9) [Left 32 (111)] / [Right 9 (83.7)]
Carolina Panthers
QB Passer Rating on the road: 84.9
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 118.2
Total passing TDs allowed: 16
Short left: 5 (3)
Short middle: 2 (1)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 3
Deep middle: 2 (1)
Deep right: 2
Locations where Carolina allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 138
Deep Middle: 140
Carolina Panthers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Los Angeles defense:
The strength of the Los Angeles defense against the pass is deep over the middle and on the right side. 7 of the 10 passing TDs they have allowed have been on the left side within 15 yards.. Corey Brown has seen 22 targets on the right side within 15 yards. That accounts for 67% of his targets.THey are weakest against the pass on the left side. Kelvin Benjamin sees the most targets on the left side followed by Greg Olson. Greg Olson has seen 50% of the targets in the red zone within 15 yards with 4, no other player has seen more than 1.
Los Angeles Rams
QB Passer Rating at home: 87.6
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 94.4
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 7 (6)
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 3 (3)
Deep left:
Deep middle:
Deep right:
Locations where Los Angeles allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Middle: 22 (Yes these numbers are correct)
Deep Right: 12(Yes these numbers are correct)
Los Angeles Rams WRs that match up well or poorly against the Carolina defense:
Carolina is pretty good against the pass on the right side. They are weak against the pass on the left side and over the middle within 15 yards. They are terrible against the pass beyond 15 yards on the left side and over the middle. 8 of the 15 passing TDs they have allowed have been on the right side. Kenny Britt sees 52% of his targets on the right side compared to 38% on the left side. Tavon Austin sees the most targets on the left side within 15 yards. Kenny Britt sees the most targets on the left side beyond 15 yards.
Indianapolis (101.8) [Left 22 (93.2)] / [Right 28 (99)] at Green Bay (104.3) [Left 2 (87.4)] / [Right 18 (116.4)]
Indianapolis Colts
QB Passer Rating on the road: 93.5
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 88.5
Total passing TDs allowed: 14
Short left: 3 (3)
Short middle: 5 (4)
Short right: 4 (3)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 0
Locations where Indianapolis allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 126
Deep Middle: 129
Deep Right: 66
Indianapolis Colts WRs that match up well or poorly against the Green Bay defense:
The Green Bay defense is very weak on over the middle and on the right side beyond 15 yards. They are very good against the pass on the left side beyond 15 yards. 8 of the 13 passing TDs they have allowed this year have been on the right side. TY Hilton has seen 39% of the teams targets over the middle beyond 15 yards. Donte Moncrief in his single game saw 9% of the teams targets on the year there. TY Hilton sees 43% of his targets on the right side compared to 26% on the left side.
Green Bay
QB Passer Rating at home: 98.2
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 90.7
Total passing TDs allowed: 13
Short left: 1 (1)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 2
Deep right: 4 (1)
Locations where Green Bay allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 40
Deep Middle: 139
Deep Right: 146
Green Bay Packers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Indianapolis defense:
12 of the 14 TDs the Colts have allowed this year have been on targets within 15 yards. Devante Adams, Ty Montgomery, Randall Cobb, and Jordy Nelson all see alot of targets short. Jordy Nelson sees proportionally more targets deep than the others. Almost all of Randall Cobbs targets have been short. All of Ty Montgomerys targets have been short. Randall Cobb has seen the most targets over the middle within 15 yards, which is where the Colts have allowed the most TDs.
Tennessee (87.7) [Left 12 (77.9)] / [Right 21 (77)] at San Diego (89.2) [Left 16 (72.4)] / [Right 23 (91.2)]
Tennessee Titans
QB Passer Rating on the road: 103.8
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 74.9
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 0
Short middle: 5 (5)
Short right: 4 (4)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 0
Locations where Tennessee allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 122
Deep Middle: 132
Right Middle: 34
Tennessee Titans WRs that match up well or poorly against the San Diego defense:
The San Diego defense is weakest against the pass over the middle. DeMarco Murray and Rishard Matthews have seen the most targets short over the middle. Kendall Wright only sees 5% of his targets over the middle this year. The San Diego Chargers allow a passer rating of 106.2 to RBs this year.
San Diego Chargers
QB Passer Rating at home: 101.4
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 79.3
Total passing TDs allowed: 11
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 3 (2)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 2 (1)
Deep middle: 1 (1)
Deep right: 1
Locations where San Diego allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 110
San Diego Chargers WRs that match up well or poorly against the Tennessee defense:
Tennessee is strong agains the pass on the right side and weakest over the middle. 9 of the 11 passing TDs they have allowed have been over the middle and on the right side within 15 yards. Antonio Gates has seen 17 targets over the middle this year and Hunter Henry has seen 16. Travis Benjamin has seen the most targets on the right side within 15 yards. Travis Benjamin has seen the most targets on the left side within 15 yards as well, but sees an equal percentage on the right and the left side. Tyrell Williams has seen 15 targets on the left side within 15 yards as opposed to 10 on the right. Tyrell Williams has also seen the most targets by a WR over the middle with 15. The Tennessee defense has allowed a passer rating of 107.7 to RBs this year.
Denver (62.8) [Left 8 (82.3)] / [Right 3 (49.7)] at Oakland (97.6) [Left 9 (94)] / [Right 14 (89)]
Denver Broncos
QB Passer Rating on the road: 106.3
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 69.1
Total passing TDs allowed: 6
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 2 (2)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 0
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 0
Locations where Denver allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
None
Denver Broncos WRs that match up well or poorly against the Oakland Raiders defense:
The Oakland Raiders are most vulnerable over the middle within 15 yards. 11 of the 15 TDs they have allowed this year have been within 15 yards on the left side and over the middle. Emmanuel Sanders and Demarius Thomas have a similar target distribution. Demarius Thomas does see slightly more passes short over the middle. Almost all of Jordan Norwoods targets this year have been on the left side or over the middle within 15 yards, but he only has 2 red zone targets this year. Oakland allows a passer rating of 105.8 on passes thrown to the RB this year.
As I mentioned somewhere else in this thread, on the road, Trevor Simien has thrown for a QBR higher than the the team he is facing has allowed on the season in every game. He has thrown for a passer rating of 75.3 at home this year. He has thrown for a passer rating of 106.3 on the road this year.
Oakland Raiders
QB Passer Rating at home: 105.3
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 126.1
Total passing TDs allowed: 15
Short left: 4 (4)
Short middle: 7 (5)
Short right: 1 (1)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 1
Deep right: 1 (1)
Locations where Oakland allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Short Middle: 128
Oakland Raiders WRs that match up well or poorly against the Denver defense:
The Denver defense is strong everywhere, but have allowed 4 of their 6 TDs short on the left side and over the middle. Michael Crabtree sees the majority of his targets on the right side. Amari Cooper sees the majority of his passes on the left side. Michael Crabtree is targeted almost exclusively on the right side on the red zone. Amari Cooper and Seth Roberts have both seen 5 targets on the left side in the red zone.
Buffalo (89.3) [Left 4 (71.8)] / [Right 26 (87.5)] at Seattle (82.3) [Left 26 (89.9)] / [Right 2 (75.1)]
Buffalo Bills
QB Passer Rating on the road: 98.3
QB Passer Rating allowed on the road: 88.2
Total passing TDs allowed: 8
Short left: 0
Short middle: 1 (1)
Short right: 2 (2)
Deep left: 1
Deep middle: 2
Deep right: 2
Locations where Buffalo allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 51
Deep Middle: 147
Buffalo Bills WRs that match up well or poorly against the Seattle defense:
All 5 of the TDs that Seattle have allowed this year have been on the left side. Charles Clay, Robert Woods, and Marquise Goodwin have all seen roughly an equal number of targets on the left side and on the right side. Woods has has seen the most on the left side, followed by Clay and Goodwin. Very helpful stuff.
Seattle Seahawks
QB Passer Rating at home: 96.9
QB Passer Rating allowed at home: 83.6
Total passing TDs allowed: 5
Short left: 2 (2)
Short middle: 0
Short right: 0
Deep left: 3 (1)
Deep middle: 0
Deep right: 0
Locations where Seattle allows a passer rating that is 25% greater or less than their overall average:
Deep Left: 108
Deep Middle: 47
Deep Right: 48
Seattle Seahawks WRs that match up well or poorly against the Buffalo defense:
The Buffalo Bills defense is weakest against the pass over the middle and deep on the right side. 7 of their 8 TDs allowed have been on the right side or over the middle. Jimmy Graham has seen more than twice as many targets as the next player over the middle within 15 yards, and also has seen the most targets deep over the middle. Doug Baldwin sees the most targets on the right side. Jermaine Kearse sees the majority of his targets on the left side.
Pro Football Focus WR/CB matchups with an advantage of .40 or greater:
Julio Jones +.62 Vernon Hargreaves
Kelvin Benjamin +.61 Troy Hill
Tyreek Hill +.53 Davon House
Jarvis Landry +.51 Darrelle Revis
Odell Beckham +.50 Nolan Carroll
WRs facing the 20 worst PFF graded CBs:
Kelvin Benjamin - Troy Hill (38.7)
Tyreek Hill - Davon House (39.9)
Phillip Dorsett - Demetri Goodson (42.1)
Torrey Smith - Delvin Breaux (42.8)
Julio Jones - Vernon Hargreaves (45.3)
Odell Beckham - Nolan Carroll (46.8)
Quinton Patton - Ken Crawley (46.8)
Tavon Austin - Robert McClain (47.3)
Ted Ginn - E.J. Gaines (47.6)
Allen Hurns - Steven Nelson (48)
Jordan Norwood - D.J. Hayden (48.6)
Allen Robinson - Phillip Gaines (49.6)
Jarvis Landry - Darrelle Revis (49.6)
Mohamed Sanu - Jude Adjei-Barimah (49.7)
DeVantae Adams - Patrick Robinson (50.6)
Cordarelle Patterson - Quandre Diggs (50.7)
DeVante Parker - Buster Skrine (50.8)
Jermaine Kearse - Stephon Gilmore (53.2)
Mike Wallace - Artie Burns (56)
Amari Cooper - Bradley Roby (57.4)
Partial list of WRs with 40 times significantly faster than the CB expected to cover them:
Julio Jones (4.34) - Vernon Hargreaves III (4.5)
Antonio Brown (4.18) - Jimmy Smith (4.42)
Donte Moncrief (4.4) - LaDarius Gunter (4.64)
Mike Wallace (4.33) - Artie Burns (4.5)
Cordarrelle Patterson (4.37) - Quandre Diggs (4.5)
Ted Ginn (4.28) - E.J. Gaines (4.51)
Kenny Stills (4.38) - Marcus Williams (4.57)
Tavon Austin (4.25) - Robert McClain (4.51)
WRs significantly taller than the CB expected to cover them:
Kelvin Benjamin 6'5" - Troy Hill 5'11"
Julio Jones 6'3" - Vernon Hargreaves 5'10"
Terrelle Pryor 6'4" - Anthony Brown 5'11"
Allen Hurns 6'3" - Steven Nelson 5'11"
DeVantae Parker 6'3" - Buster Skrine 5'11"
Cordarelle Patterson 6'2" - Quandry Diggs 5'9"
Dorial Green Beckham 6'5" - Janoris Jenkins 5'10"
Mike Evans 6'5" - Desmond Trufant 6'0"
Players the target maps like:
Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, Mike Evans, Marquis Lee, Allen Hurns (GPP), Anquan Boldin, Stefan Diggs, Odell Beckham, Dorial Green Beckham, Dez Bryant (Terrance Williams if Dez doesnt play), Tyrell Pryor, Gary Barnidge, Quincy Enunwa, Jarvis Landry, Jay Ajayi, Antonio Brown, LeVeon Bell, Sammy Coates, Brandin Cooks, Jeremy Kerley, Jimmy Graham, Kelvin Benjamin, Greg Olson, TY Hilton, Donte Moncrief, DeVante Adams, Ty Mongomery, Randall Cobb, Rishard Matthews, DeMarco Murray, Melvin Gordon, San Diego TEs.
Players the target maps do not like:
Tyreek Hill, Jordan Matthews, Cole Beasley, Jason Witten, Willie Snead, Torrey Smith, Jermaine Kearse, Michael Crabtree
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