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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

Jays 3-1 SU with an average of 6.0 ±2.9 runs scored v Doubront at Fenway against an average line of 137 with a ROI of +76.8%. Opposing teams are 3-2 SU in Doubront starts at Fenway this season against an average line of 117.2 with a ROI of +25.6%. Jays are 13-11 SU away this season and 6-3 SU in those away games after a loss. They are 9-7 SU as the road dog this season and 3-0 L3.

Jays 133

 
Current Cardinals players own a collective .299 OBP in 282 plate appearances versus Bronson Arroyo. And Arroyo is 3-0 with an 0.39 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last three games. If Arizona can hang around they can get a win versus the Cards' bullpen and their 21st-ranked 4.11 ERA.

Diamondbacks 182

 
I am back on the under in heat/pacers. 184.5

If George Hill shoots that well again once in the playoffs, if the Heat try Lebron on davie west on defense while sitting ud and opting for battier, if wade shoots 67% again or if the pacers shoot 51%/heat score that much again the paint again in this series...fine take my money.

I'm betting against that. You could too.

 
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I am back on the under in heat/pacers. 184.5

If George Hill shoots that well again once in the playoffs, if the Heat try Lebron on davie west on defense while sitting ud and opting for battier, if wade shoots 67% again or if the pacers shoot 51%/heat score that much again the paint again in this series...fine take my money.

I'm betting against that. You could too.
IN.

 
Hey, so I found out why I have been getting so lucky. I had a bunch of mouse/rat droppings in my garage and on top of my garage fridge, so I had a guy come out and do a little inspection. Once he got in there and saw all the droppings he was like, "Naw man you don't have rodents, you just have a ton of geckos. Those are gecko droppings. Geckos have a number of stories and traditions associated with them. Most often they are considered to be a sign of good luck and a symbol of keeping one eye on the past while focusing the other on the future." So I guess I'm all set.

:thumbup:

 
swirvenirvin said:
tjnc09 said:
I won't be surprised when they go 2-12. It has to happen sooner or later. :shrug:
Yep, no way it could continue to run that hot. On to tomorrow.
what was record yesterday?
Disgusting. ML: 0-5 -7.37u

RL: 0-5 -5u

Totals: 3-1 +1.78u

Totals overall are 38-17 +19.44u.
Can't argue with 38-17. Why bother with sides IF you can keep smashing totals like that? I would forget sides exist and just perfect your totals technique.

 
swirvenirvin said:
tjnc09 said:
I won't be surprised when they go 2-12. It has to happen sooner or later. :shrug:
Yep, no way it could continue to run that hot. On to tomorrow.
what was record yesterday?
Disgusting. ML: 0-5 -7.37u

RL: 0-5 -5u

Totals: 3-1 +1.78u

Totals overall are 38-17 +19.44u.
Can't argue with 38-17. Why bother with sides IF you can keep smashing totals like that? I would forget sides exist and just perfect your totals technique.
I'm not too concerned with yesterday (apologies to anyone who tailed). The Reds pen isn't going to outperform the Nats pen every game and hats off to the Astros for winning. Royals managed to blow a 5-0 lead after the 1st. It's all about volume and making sure I keep track (and which is why I am only doing 1/4u for now and having a stoploss of 20u).

Although, if I had posted my Sunday card on Sunday, the bloodbath yesterday would have been worse. It was some BiffSaw matrix ####. This is what I had:

Model plays:

Oak/Cle o7.5 +111 (win)

NYM/Was o6.5 -117 (win)

Pit/NYY g1 u8.5 -105 (win)

Bal/KC o7 +103 (win)

Sea/Min o7.5 -101 (win)

Mil/CHC u9 -128 (win)

CWS/Hou o9.5 +113 (win)

Tor/Tex u9 +104 (win)

TB/LAA u8 -117 (push)

LAD/AZ u9 -123 (win)

[SIZE=small]Pit/NYY u9 -120 g2 (win)[/SIZE]

ML RL:

Oakland -118, -1.5 +141 (win win)

NYY g1 -152, -1.5 +136 (win loss)

St. Louis -110, -1.5 +195 (loss loss) *edit STL was l/l

White Sox +106, -1.5 +150 (loss loss)

Giants -146, -1.5 +151 (win win)

Rockies -133, -1.5 +150 (win win)

LA Angels +117, RL +165 (win win)

Detroit +106, RL +147 (win win)

 
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Here is what I have for today for 1/4u each (obviously all are dependent on original SP listed):

Tigers -147, -1.5 +115, o7.5 +110

Nats +101, -1.5 +210 (played today at 5d), o6.5 +107

Braves/Brewers o6.5 -120

Angels -166, -1.5 +125, o8 +105

Orioles +129, -1.5 +190 (played today at bov), o7.5 +110

A's -106, -1.5 +155, o8 +110

Mariners -109, -1.5 +150

Yankees -158, -1.5 +100 (played today at 5d)

Min/SD o7 +110

Tor/Bos u9.5 -122

Either I'm a stubborn #### or yesterday was really fluky. We will see.

The two I don't like based off of line moves so far are Balt and Hou/LAA under.

 
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[SIZE=11pt]In 10 post season games, Chris Bosh is averaging just 1.9 ppg in the first quarter on just 2.0 shot attempts, which is way down from his 4.9 ppg in the regular season on 3.7 shot attempts. In the regular season in 4 games against Indiana, his numbers were also well below his season averages, scoring 2.5 ppg on 2.8 shots. In game 1 of this series, he missed both of his shots in 8 minutes played to score zero first quarter points.[/SIZE]

[SIZE=11pt]Bosh u 3.5 1Q pts -110[/SIZE]

 
Liriano has really struggled this year and his career stats vs Baltimore are not good. I really don't know why the PIT ML has moved from -130 to -150 unless he is going to pitch like its 2013.

 
Alright... Nickel on Miami -2.5

####### 5dimes works like #### on the ipad... Had to call it in. When I first tried to bet it, it was -2 :kicksrock: just got the shaft.

 
Alright... Nickel on Miami -2.5

####### 5dimes works like #### on the ipad... Had to call it in. When I first tried to bet it, it was -2 :kicksrock: just got the shaft.
It was -2.5 this morning when I played it. C'mon Heat, LETS SHOW PYZZA WHAT TIME IT IS! (do people still say that?)
It was -2 at about 8... ML was -130...

Wouldn't let me bet it, kept refreshing. Was gonna bet the ML which jumped to -145, so I took the -2.5, which was a half point jump. They either win by 2 :bag: or 30

 
I need more outs to do line-shopping, and I'm trying to avoid playing on credit. Other than the usual suspects we always mention (SB, Bovada, 5dimes), can any of you personally recommend a book you're happy with, in terms of good CS and timely payouts?

 
I did a quick thread search and didn't find much. Lumpy mentioned sportsbetting.ag and wagerweb, but both of them took a beating in the online reviews I read.

 
Alright... Nickel on Miami -2.5
Post a screenshot of your ticket, yo. If you're gonna be a regular here, it's a tradition for any play of $500 or more.
From work tomm... On mobile/ipad now
That should give you plenty of time to come up with something.
Read the post from 727... "On ipad, keep refreshing, had to call it in"
When you call in a bet, it's still listed in your online bet history.

 
Alright... Nickel on Miami -2.5
Post a screenshot of your ticket, yo. If you're gonna be a regular here, it's a tradition for any play of $500 or more.
From work tomm... On mobile/ipad now
That should give you plenty of time to come up with something.
Read the post from 727... "On ipad, keep refreshing, had to call it in"
When you call in a bet, it's still listed in your online bet history.
Like I said, I'll post it from my comp tomm... Stop giving me the Doctor Detroit treatment.

 

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