swirvenirvin
Footballguy
SWWWWWWWWWWWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEP
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
stupid Romo not throwing a pick and me only going 0.5u on the unofficial Swirve plays barely made it a winning night
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
If it's at all helpful, Williams is visible at the end of the highlight package on ESPN's front page.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
BG +7 -120
The underdog in the MAC Championship is 11-3-2 ATS since 1998 (5-0-1 L6).
ARZ +14½ -110
The underdog in the P12 Championship is 3-0 ATS. Also - and this applies to BG and OHST as well - since 2011 the underdog in the championship is 3-3 SU and 6-0 ATS when they won SU in the previous meeting. They were all close games as the three SU losses came by margins of 3,3,6. The total in this game is going to be a hot item, but make a mental note that most of the scoring in the three P12 Championships occurred in the 1Q/1H:
date 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q20111202 28 24 21 720121130 21 10 10 1020131207 21 21 3 7avg 23 18 11 8+/- 4 7 9 2So in the P12 Championship it might be a good idea to bet the 1Q/1H over and follow that with the 2H under.
LTCH 350
LTCH +11 -110
Since 2008 the underdog in the CUSA Championship is 4-2 SU and ATS. This might be good for a 1Q/1H bet as well because in the four wins the underdog was either leading or tied at the end of the 1Q, and leading or tied in three of those four games at the half. Sagarin made this game LTCH +5, so someone's line is way off as well.
OHST 170
OHST +4½ -110
The underdog in the B10 Championship is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. OHST is 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS as the conference underdog since 2009 and 6-0 SU in those games lined ≤ 7.5.
The underdog in the MAC Championship is 11-3-2 ATS since 1998 (5-0-1 L6).
ARZ +14½ -110
The underdog in the P12 Championship is 3-0 ATS. Also - and this applies to BG and OHST as well - since 2011 the underdog in the championship is 3-3 SU and 6-0 ATS when they won SU in the previous meeting. They were all close games as the three SU losses came by margins of 3,3,6. The total in this game is going to be a hot item, but make a mental note that most of the scoring in the three P12 Championships occurred in the 1Q/1H:
date 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q20111202 28 24 21 720121130 21 10 10 1020131207 21 21 3 7avg 23 18 11 8+/- 4 7 9 2So in the P12 Championship it might be a good idea to bet the 1Q/1H over and follow that with the 2H under.
LTCH 350
LTCH +11 -110
Since 2008 the underdog in the CUSA Championship is 4-2 SU and ATS. This might be good for a 1Q/1H bet as well because in the four wins the underdog was either leading or tied at the end of the 1Q, and leading or tied in three of those four games at the half. Sagarin made this game LTCH +5, so someone's line is way off as well.
OHST 170
OHST +4½ -110
The underdog in the B10 Championship is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. OHST is 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS as the conference underdog since 2009 and 6-0 SU in those games lined ≤ 7.5.
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Frostillicus
Footballguy
10pt/7pt teaser
Wager
Wager
- 12/5/2014 7:00 PM College Basketball 826 Kentucky* -4½ vs Texas
- 12/5/2014 7:00 PM College Basketball 829 Providence* +3 vs Boston College
- 12/5/2014 7:00 PM College Basketball 832 Pittsburgh U* -½ vs Duquesne
- 12/5/2014 7:00 PM College Basketball 834 SMU* +2 vs Wyoming
- 12/5/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder* -5½ vs Philadelphia 76ers
- 12/5/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 815 Houston Rockets* +½ vs Minnesota Timberwolves
- 12/5/2014 9:00 PM College Football 108 Oregon* -5 vs Arizona U
- 12/6/2014 12:00 PM College Football 110 Connecticut* -2 vs SMU
- 12/6/2014 12:00 PM College Football 111 Iowa State* +44 vs TCU
- 12/6/2014 12:00 PM College Football 122 Marshall* -1 vs Louisiana Tech
- 12/6/2014 4:00 PM College Football 124 Alabama* -4½ vs Missouri
- 12/7/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 162 New Orleans Saints* -½ vs Carolina Panthers
- 12/7/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 164 Detroit Lions* -½ vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 12/7/2014 4:05 PM NFL Football 170 Denver Broncos* pk vs Buffalo Bills
- 12/8/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 180 Green Bay Packers* -3 vs Atlanta Falcons
Frostillicus
Footballguy
I mean look at all those extra points they're giving me. On any game I choose. Free money, imo.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Providence is the weak link. shoudn't have included that one.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
unless they win
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
You get the first 14 right and then Aaron Rodgers gets hurt and the Packers only win by 1 on a last-minute TD by Roddy White?
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Well yeah, you can nitpick this thing to death but it looks pretty solid. I should probably double up. Maybe triple.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Also I've been horrid on ncaab this year, don't know anything really about ncaaf, nba is a total crap shoot, and nfl never makes sense. Other than that though 
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Dez short half a yard? Love that!!
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
He's no action for me.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
anyone want to fight with bovada so I dont have to?!
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
I'll send them an email later this morning.
Warsteinner
Footballguy
They must have only had that play up for a few minutes. I logged in to tail right after you posted and it was already gone.
jamil
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
i cheked back a couple hours later and was still up, when I got home from work tho it was gone. It had the red lines next to it which they do sometimes on more irregular plays
lumpy19
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
there is some official gamebook or something that shows if a guy played. I dont remeber how to find it though
lumpy19
Footballguy
http://www.nfl.com/liveupdate/gamecenter/56362/CHI_Gamebook.pdf
Lists him in the starting lineup on the very first page and that's it....0 targets
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Peyton Marino
Footballguy
Pro Football Focus has him as playing 43/64 snaps, but not sure I can use that as a source.
ETA: lumpy with the gamebook.
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lumpy19
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Magic Football
FLEX (non-ppr)
Isaiah Crowell (Q)
Jeremy Hill
Andre Williams
Rueben Randle
Sammy Watkins (Q)
Roddy White (Q)
I also have Maclin at WR2 vs Sherman but don't think he's bench-able for any of those WR, do you?
FLEX (non-ppr)
Isaiah Crowell (Q)
Jeremy Hill
Andre Williams
Rueben Randle
Sammy Watkins (Q)
Roddy White (Q)
I also have Maclin at WR2 vs Sherman but don't think he's bench-able for any of those WR, do you?
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Chain I think I'm with you on the dogs tonight
Thinking Under in Pac 10 also, although your 1h/2h split is interesting too
Stanford in a few of those games though right? Might skew the numbers a bit since they play a little different style than most of the PAC10
jamil
Footballguy
Hill and crowell/Williams if crowell doesn't play. Please answer mine TIA.2 rbs .5ppr
McCoy
Mason
Ingram
Rest of rbs don't matter.
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Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
McCoy and Ingram
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Good catch, that is a really good point. Stanford won both of those games and allowed an average of 10.5,3.5,5.0,0.0 points per quarter. And in Oregon's game in 2011, they were up 49-24 going into the 4Q, and I guess didn't need to score in the 4Q and allowed UCLA to score a meaningless TD. It gets easily skewed with the three-game sample. I am playing the 1Q over in that one.
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
so I emailed them the gamebook... they emailed me back:
"Your wager was correctly settled as 'No Action' since Terrence Williams didn't play the game."
Is it worth calling them on this? Why are they so stupid?
"Your wager was correctly settled as 'No Action' since Terrence Williams didn't play the game."
Is it worth calling them on this? Why are they so stupid?
comfortably numb
Footballguy
christ
Does anyone have any experience with had you bet the over it also would have counted as a NO ACTION?
lumpy19
Footballguy
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
Also they sent me a link to the NFL gamecenter that just shows the box score and Williams with 0 catches.
"Hey, why isn't the under a win. Terrance Williams played and had 0 catches, which is less than 2.5."
"It's no action because he didn't have any catches."
Solid logic.
"Hey, why isn't the under a win. Terrance Williams played and had 0 catches, which is less than 2.5."
"It's no action because he didn't have any catches."
Solid logic.
The game book will eventually have snap counts in it. Not sure why they are so bad at this.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
He played 39 snaps (63%) on offense and 1 on special teams according to the game book.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
they fixed mine they must hate you PM
regularguy
Footballguy
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
they fixed mine too finally. it's pretty funny to think this could have been avoided if he had just caught one pass.
regularguy
Footballguy
Is this book a diamond in the rough, if you will?
I didn't have time to line shop yesterday so I'm not sure who all had it.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Since last season, the sandwich game between the same division rival is 8-1-1 O/U. The Seahawks and Eagles are both in that situation. Also, the Seahawks are double-stuf sandwiched between Arizona and San Francisco this week. That has happened four times since 1989 - all stuffed between division rivals. Those teams went 0-4 SU and ATS against an average line of 1.6.
Eagles -1 -110
o48 -110
Eagles -1 -110
o48 -110
lumpy19
Footballguy
No it's a major book but they don't accept methodists, sorry.Is this book a diamond in the rough, if you will?
regularguy
Footballguy
No it's a major book but they don't accept methodists, sorry.Is this book a diamond in the rough, if you will?
They look like good honest people too.
