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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

Prop at greek(and a few other places)

Largest lead by either team u13pts -130

Just looking thru the game flow charts for both teams, the games tend to be close no matter what type of game the opponent plays. Game is lined at 3 with a total of 129, this should be a close game. Butler has shown over the last 2 years that they can play with anyone so I don't see Uconn blowing them out and I don't think Butler plays in a way that they'll blow out uconn.

 
Prop at greek(and a few other places)Largest lead by either team u13pts -130Just looking thru the game flow charts for both teams, the games tend to be close no matter what type of game the opponent plays. Game is lined at 3 with a total of 129, this should be a close game. Butler has shown over the last 2 years that they can play with anyone so I don't see Uconn blowing them out and I don't think Butler plays in a way that they'll blow out uconn.
I liked this but it already is at -160 since you posted.
 
Anyone wanna give me 5 guys to bet on to win the Masters? I do 5 bets every year with 100 bucks or so.

Was thinking the following:

Zach Johnson +5000

Geoff Ogilvy +6000

Rory McIlroy +2000

Ricky Barnes +10000

Lee Westwood +2000

Any other opinions based on sportsbook.com odds?

I considered Kaymer at +2000 as well

 
I'm all over UConn -3 tonight.
Rut roh :unsure:
The two things that really stand out to me are...How Walker can score/create his own shot/take over offensively, but also is very comfortable stepping back and focusing on serving assists to his teammates for easy buckets. Butler typically focuses very aggressively on shutting down a certain aspect of their opponents offense, but I think Walker is flexible enough in his skill set to make them pay for whichever aspect of his game they ignore.Secondly, when you expect a close game, take the team that shoots free throws better.Good luck.
 
Prop at greek(and a few other places)Largest lead by either team u13pts -130Just looking thru the game flow charts for both teams, the games tend to be close no matter what type of game the opponent plays. Game is lined at 3 with a total of 129, this should be a close game. Butler has shown over the last 2 years that they can play with anyone so I don't see Uconn blowing them out and I don't think Butler plays in a way that they'll blow out uconn.
I liked this but it already is at -160 since you posted.
About to lose this one....what an awful looking game
 
2010-2011 Recap:

241-203 54.3% +13.95u

Aside from a 5u OSU ML debacle, as well as -5u on NBA plays, it was a very profitable CBB season.

Already looking forward to next year!

But in the mean time, let's grind out some baseball.

 
I'm all over UConn -3 tonight.
Rut roh :unsure:
The two things that really stand out to me are...How Walker can score/create his own shot/take over offensively, but also is very comfortable stepping back and focusing on serving assists to his teammates for easy buckets. Butler typically focuses very aggressively on shutting down a certain aspect of their opponents offense, but I think Walker is flexible enough in his skill set to make them pay for whichever aspect of his game they ignore.Secondly, when you expect a close game, take the team that shoots free throws better.Good luck.
I got Butler when the line opened on Saturday +4 so I had no chance to tail you...which I would have. Oh well, I finished up better than 16 units on the tourney so I can't really complain since NCAA BB is not my thing.
 
That miss by Howard at the end cost me 6,250. :lmao:
Holy ####
I'm trying to figure out how. It didn't affect the game line, 2H line, total or team total. :confused:
I was in one of those box or square pools. Like a super bowl pool. I had 3 and 3 as my numbers. 200 per box, split with a buddy at work. We would have hit the final for 8k and the reverse for 5k.ETA: math fail, really would have been 6,500

 
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That miss by Howard at the end cost me 6,250. :lmao:
Holy ####
I'm trying to figure out how. It didn't affect the game line, 2H line, total or team total. :confused:
I was in one of those box or square pools. Like a super bowl pool. I had 3 and 3 as my numbers. 200 per box, split with a buddy at work. We would have hit the final for 8k and the reverse for 5k.
Oh snap! Condolences.
 
That miss by Howard at the end cost me 6,250. :lmao:
Holy ####
I'm trying to figure out how. It didn't affect the game line, 2H line, total or team total. :confused:
I was in one of those box or square pools. Like a super bowl pool. I had 3 and 3 as my numbers. 200 per box, split with a buddy at work. We would have hit the final for 8k and the reverse for 5k.ETA: math fail, really would have been 6,500
I was in a similar situation, but no reverse involved. I had 2 and 1. If Walker would have missed that last free throw I would have added 6k to the March winnings.

 
I'm all over UConn -3 tonight.
Rut roh :unsure:
The two things that really stand out to me are...How Walker can score/create his own shot/take over offensively, but also is very comfortable stepping back and focusing on serving assists to his teammates for easy buckets. Butler typically focuses very aggressively on shutting down a certain aspect of their opponents offense, but I think Walker is flexible enough in his skill set to make them pay for whichever aspect of his game they ignore.Secondly, when you expect a close game, take the team that shoots free throws better.Good luck.
I got Butler when the line opened on Saturday +4 so I had no chance to tail you...which I would have. Oh well, I finished up better than 16 units on the tourney so I can't really complain since NCAA BB is not my thing.
Let's do it again next year!
 
2010-2011 Recap:241-203 54.3% +13.95uAside from a 5u OSU ML debacle, as well as -5u on NBA plays, it was a very profitable CBB season.Already looking forward to next year!But in the mean time, let's grind out some baseball.
I didn't really chime in much, but I tailed you quite a bit during the regular season and I appreciate the work you put into it. Definitely helped me out. Still curious if you are using a matchup/statistical formula or judgement calls on each game?
 
2010-2011 Recap:241-203 54.3% +13.95uAside from a 5u OSU ML debacle, as well as -5u on NBA plays, it was a very profitable CBB season.Already looking forward to next year!But in the mean time, let's grind out some baseball.
I didn't really chime in much, but I tailed you quite a bit during the regular season and I appreciate the work you put into it. Definitely helped me out. Still curious if you are using a matchup/statistical formula or judgement calls on each game?
It's probably 95% numbers 5% judgment - and the 5% judgment is whether or not I should be tweaking the numbers.
 
Good stories, enjoying the recaps. My dog/parity theme was money. Since we're gloating I gotta add I played two props besides the UCONN bet. Mack over 2.5 3s. And Lang over 2.5 FTs. The reason I mention is cuz they both hit within like 10 seconds of each other. Mack 2 3's by half, and Lamb hit 2 FTs in the first minute of the 2nd, so I was pretty set. But with less than 2 minutes to go, I was still there, damn it. Then Mack drains one and on the next possession, Kemba's about to get intentionally fouled, when he tosses it to Lamb at the last second. :excited: But he still had to make the first because they were in the 1 and 1, which he did. Good times. :banned:

In the bracket draft I was one of the big losers, which kinda sucks because my strategy was spot on. I was convinced the dogs were the way to go/pick, which I did. I just picked the wrong ones. :bag: That is a great draft, by the way, I'm telling you. WAY better than these overrated, fill out your bracket, take the favorites, boring in the end, never win because some secretary gets lucky drafts. GREAT format which has turned into my favorite March Madness betting thing.

:banned:

 
Running late for work so no write ups. 1-2 yesterday first losing day of the season.

Feeling a little chalky today

Angels -110

Red Sox -155

 
SDG +120

MIL -105

I'll also be playing KC and CLE but I think I'll be able to get better numbers later today

ETA: TB +100

 
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'Garrett said:
'bmj87 said:
2010-2011 Recap:241-203 54.3% +13.95uAside from a 5u OSU ML debacle, as well as -5u on NBA plays, it was a very profitable CBB season.Already looking forward to next year!But in the mean time, let's grind out some baseball.
I didn't really chime in much, but I tailed you quite a bit during the regular season and I appreciate the work you put into it. Definitely helped me out. Still curious if you are using a matchup/statistical formula or judgement calls on each game?
:goodposting: good work bmj and thanks!
 
'Reginald Cornsilks said:
Anyone wanna give me 5 guys to bet on to win the Masters? I do 5 bets every year with 100 bucks or so.Was thinking the following:Zach Johnson +5000Geoff Ogilvy +6000Rory McIlroy +2000Ricky Barnes +10000Lee Westwood +2000Any other opinions based on sportsbook.com odds?I considered Kaymer at +2000 as well
So far, I'm in on Lefty +550, Choi +7000, Singh +8000, and kevin Na +20000. I will make some matchup plays as well tomorrow and perhaps some props i saw that i like. Good luck.
 
Rough start to Bases thus far:

Totals 1-1 (.07)

Sides 1-5 (3.31)

Went with the first parlay of the season today on the following:

Col -110: I think Chacin is highly underrated. The longer layoff somewhat concerns me, but not enough to not play it.

Fla/Was O9: I don't think highly of either starter or either Bully, and think the sticks can do some damage here

Bos -160: I think Beckett rights the ship tonight. The tribe has lost 2 of 3 to start the season and I think that this is a very reaonable price on the Redsox.

risking .8 units to make 4+

GLTA

AB

 
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Yeah, echo all the BMJ back slapping. Made a few bucks off his picks this winter.

Going to Vegas on Saturday and will be looking for baseball angles to some degree. Someone get hot please!

NHL playoffs start next week. :pickle:

 
Going with the Blackhawks on the road in Montreal tonight. They seem to step up when the game is extremely critical. I know that these last 3 weeks have all been critical, but when they get a couple point cushion, they seem to relax too much. Montreal doesn't seem to play the trap game as well as a Nashville or Tampa Bay. That style of play has given the Hawks fits all season long. They are clinging to a 1 point lead, so it's time for Kane and Toews to wake up.

 
My friend and I bet in this account. We had a pretty good tournament. :lol: Something like 28-12 without taking bet sizes into account. Very unusual for me.

Straight Wager Report: Past 30 Days Generated: Tue Apr 5, 12:23 EDT 2011

04/04/2011 20:54:11 Wagered $55.00 to win $50.00 on CONNECTICUT -3.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 1 4/4 BUTLER VS CONNECTICUT

04/04/2011 20:50:38 Wagered $110.00 to win $100.00 on CONNECTICUT -3.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 1 4/4 BUTLER VS CONNECTICUT

04/04/2011 20:04:19 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on CONNECTICUT -3.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 1 4/4 BUTLER VS CONNECTICUT

04/02/2011 16:47:01 Wagered $110.00 to win $100.00 on BUTLER -3.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 11 4/2 VA COMMONWEALTH VS BUTLER

04/02/2011 16:20:03 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on CONNECTICUT +2.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 13 4/2 KENTUCKY VS CONNECTICUT

04/02/2011 16:19:46 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on BUTLER -3.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 11 4/2 VA COMMONWEALTH VS BUTLER

03/27/2011 16:54:47 Wagered $110.00 to win $100.00 on KENTUCKY -1.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 19 3/27 KENTUCKY VS NORTH CAROLINA

03/27/2011 16:51:37 Wagered $440.00 to win $400.00 on KENTUCKY -1.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 19 3/27 KENTUCKY VS NORTH CAROLINA

03/27/2011 12:38:40 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on KANSAS -11.5 Lost Straight Wager

CB 21 3/27 VA COMMONWEALTH VS KANSAS

03/26/2011 17:37:41 Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 on CONNECTICUT -2.5 Lost Straight Wager

CB 15 3/26 ARIZONA VS CONNECTICUT

03/26/2011 17:37:26 Wagered $120.00 to win $100.00 on FLORIDA -2.5 Lost Straight Wager

CB2113 3/26 (2ND HALF) BUTLER VS FLORIDA

03/26/2011 09:33:37 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on FLORIDA -4.0 Lost Straight Wager

CB 13 3/26 BUTLER VS FLORIDA

03/26/2011 09:33:08 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on CONNECTICUT -2.5 Lost Straight Wager

CB 15 3/26 ARIZONA VS CONNECTICUT

03/26/2011 09:30:12 Wagered $480.00 to win $400.00 on MONTREAL Lost Straight Wager

H 13 3/26 WASHINGTON AT MONTREAL

03/25/2011 21:42:25 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on VA COMMONWEALTH +4.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 83 3/25 VA COMMONWEALTH VS FLORIDA ST

03/25/2011 21:42:10 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on OHIO ST -6.5 Lost Straight Wager

CB 79 3/25 KENTUCKY VS OHIO ST

03/25/2011 18:59:01 Wagered $99.00 to win $90.00 on KANSAS -10.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 81 3/25 RICHMOND VS KANSAS

03/25/2011 18:58:44 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on KANSAS -10.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 81 3/25 RICHMOND VS KANSAS

03/25/2011 18:58:07 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on MARQUETTE +4.5 Lost Straight Wager

CB 77 3/25 MARQUETTE VS NORTH CAROLINA

03/24/2011 19:00:24 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on BUTLER +4.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 7 3/24 BUTLER VS WISCONSIN

03/24/2011 19:00:06 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on CONNECTICUT +2.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 9 3/24 CONNECTICUT VS SAN DIEGO ST

03/19/2011 21:29:20 Wagered $660.00 to win $600.00 on CONNECTICUT -4.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 19 3/19 CINCINNATI VS CONNECTICUT

03/19/2011 19:34:04 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on BYU +2.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 23 3/19 GONZAGA VS BYU

03/19/2011 18:03:56 Wagered $550.00 to win $500.00 on SAN DIEGO ST -6.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 25 3/19 TEMPLE VS SAN DIEGO ST

03/19/2011 14:35:00 Wagered $440.00 to win $400.00 on UCLA +6.0 Lost Straight Wager

CB 15 3/19 UCLA AT FLORIDA

03/18/2011 21:19:03 Wagered $440.00 to win $400.00 on VA COMMONWEALTH +6.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 47 3/18 VA COMMONWEALTH VS GEORGETOWN

03/18/2011 21:18:51 Wagered $440.00 to win $400.00 on GEORGIA +6.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 27 3/18 GEORGIA VS WASHINGTON

03/18/2011 17:29:13 Wagered $440.00 to win $400.00 on PURDUE -14.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 45 3/18 ST PETERS VS PURDUE

03/18/2011 17:28:40 Wagered $440.00 to win $400.00 on LONG ISLAND +17.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 25 3/18 LONG ISLAND VS NORTH CAROLINA

03/18/2011 14:42:09 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on MEMPHIS +5.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 49 3/18 MEMPHIS VS ARIZONA

03/18/2011 14:07:39 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on GEORGE MASON +2.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 35 3/18 VILLANOVA VS GEORGE MASON

03/17/2011 19:18:00 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on WISCONSIN -4.5 Won Straight Wager

CB237 3/17 BELMONT VS WISCONSIN

03/17/2011 15:11:19 Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 on TEMPLE -1.0 Lost Straight Wager

CB2233 3/17 (2ND HALF) PENN STATE VS TEMPLE

03/17/2011 14:17:22 Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 on PRINCETON +13.0 Won Straight Wager

CB209 3/17 PRINCETON VS KENTUCKY

03/17/2011 14:16:56 Wagered $220.00 to win $200.00 on PITTSBURGH -17.0 Won Straight Wager

CB219 3/17 NC ASHEVILLE VS PITTSBURGH

03/17/2011 07:46:24 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on OVER 122.0 Lost Straight Wager

CB221 3/17 OLD DOMINION VS BUTLER

03/15/2011 19:04:23 Wagered $360.00 to win $300.00 on MONTREAL Lost Straight Wager

H 53 3/15 WASHINGTON AT MONTREAL

03/13/2011 15:25:12 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on PENN STATE +11.0 Pushed Straight Wager

CB 89 3/13 11 PENN STATE VS OHIO ST

03/13/2011 11:12:52 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on KENTUCKY +2.0 Won Straight Wager

CB 85 3/13 11 KENTUCKY AT FLORIDA

03/13/2011 11:12:41 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on DUKE -3.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 83 3/13 11 DUKE VS NORTH CAROLINA

03/12/2011 16:01:43 Wagered $330.00 to win $300.00 on PENN STATE +3.5 Won Straight Wager

CB 35 3/12 11 MICHIGAN ST VS PENN STATE

 
Yeah, echo all the BMJ back slapping. Made a few bucks off his picks this winter.Going to Vegas on Saturday and will be looking for baseball angles to some degree. Someone get hot please! NHL playoffs start next week. :pickle:
Play all home underdogs, April is a very good month for home dogs
 

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