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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)

'cosjobs said:


FIRST TEAM TO KICKOFF WILL BE (OPENING KICKOFF)

NYG +250

NE -300

If we assume Bellichik will defer receiving a kickoff to the second half and the NYG will receive if given the choice, -300 seems fair for an apparent lock.

And if we can make that assumption there are a ton of related bets that offer value- if we can assume NY will get the ball first... but unsure if I can make that leap or not.

I know BB loves to score in bunches- so he almost always defers, hoping to score last in the first half and get the ball and score again opening the second half. I do not see why he would abandon that philosophy now.
No one has thoughts on this? NE has deferred 28 straight times. And the last time they did not defer- Brady tore his ligaments...Only way to lose, it seems would be for NYG to win toss and defer. I just don't see them doing that in a SB

 
'cosjobs said:


FIRST TEAM TO KICKOFF WILL BE (OPENING KICKOFF)

NYG +250

NE -300

If we assume Bellichik will defer receiving a kickoff to the second half and the NYG will receive if given the choice, -300 seems fair for an apparent lock.

And if we can make that assumption there are a ton of related bets that offer value- if we can assume NY will get the ball first... but unsure if I can make that leap or not.

I know BB loves to score in bunches- so he almost always defers, hoping to score last in the first half and get the ball and score again opening the second half. I do not see why he would abandon that philosophy now.
No one has thoughts on this? NE has deferred 28 straight times. And the last time they did not defer- Brady tore his ligaments...Only way to lose, it seems would be for NYG to win toss and defer. I just don't see them doing that in a SB
I's been talked about many times in this thread.The same thing happened in the Pitt / 'Zona game, and the sure bet lost.

 
'cosjobs said:


FIRST TEAM TO KICKOFF WILL BE (OPENING KICKOFF)

NYG +250

NE -300

If we assume Bellichik will defer receiving a kickoff to the second half and the NYG will receive if given the choice, -300 seems fair for an apparent lock.

And if we can make that assumption there are a ton of related bets that offer value- if we can assume NY will get the ball first... but unsure if I can make that leap or not.

I know BB loves to score in bunches- so he almost always defers, hoping to score last in the first half and get the ball and score again opening the second half. I do not see why he would abandon that philosophy now.
No one has thoughts on this? NE has deferred 28 straight times. And the last time they did not defer- Brady tore his ligaments...Only way to lose, it seems would be for NYG to win toss and defer. I just don't see them doing that in a SB
I's been talked about many times in this thread.The same thing happened in the Pitt / 'Zona game, and the sure bet lost.
I love the pats taking the ball because of the gronk factor. He'll suffer at halftime and they'll want to maximize him early. :shrug:
 
'cosjobs said:


FIRST TEAM TO KICKOFF WILL BE (OPENING KICKOFF)

NYG +250

NE -300

If we assume Bellichik will defer receiving a kickoff to the second half and the NYG will receive if given the choice, -300 seems fair for an apparent lock.

And if we can make that assumption there are a ton of related bets that offer value- if we can assume NY will get the ball first... but unsure if I can make that leap or not.

I know BB loves to score in bunches- so he almost always defers, hoping to score last in the first half and get the ball and score again opening the second half. I do not see why he would abandon that philosophy now.
No one has thoughts on this? NE has deferred 28 straight times. And the last time they did not defer- Brady tore his ligaments...Only way to lose, it seems would be for NYG to win toss and defer. I just don't see them doing that in a SB
I's been talked about many times in this thread.The same thing happened in the Pitt / 'Zona game, and the sure bet lost.
I love the pats taking the ball because of the gronk factor. He'll suffer at halftime and they'll want to maximize him early. :shrug:
Then it seems like you'd be all over the +250 for a 50/50 bet?
 
'cosjobs said:


FIRST TEAM TO KICKOFF WILL BE (OPENING KICKOFF)

NYG +250

NE -300

If we assume Bellichik will defer receiving a kickoff to the second half and the NYG will receive if given the choice, -300 seems fair for an apparent lock.

And if we can make that assumption there are a ton of related bets that offer value- if we can assume NY will get the ball first... but unsure if I can make that leap or not.

I know BB loves to score in bunches- so he almost always defers, hoping to score last in the first half and get the ball and score again opening the second half. I do not see why he would abandon that philosophy now.
No one has thoughts on this? NE has deferred 28 straight times. And the last time they did not defer- Brady tore his ligaments...Only way to lose, it seems would be for NYG to win toss and defer. I just don't see them doing that in a SB
I's been talked about many times in this thread.The same thing happened in the Pitt / 'Zona game, and the sure bet lost.
I love the pats taking the ball because of the gronk factor. He'll suffer at halftime and they'll want to maximize him early. :shrug:
Then it seems like you'd be all over the +250 for a 50/50 bet?
:thumbup:
 
'John Bender said:
Any ochocino props anywhere?I almost wonder if Belichick is diabolocial enough to basically shut him down all year. The Giants don't game plan for him at all and Bill keeps him on the field all game and he goes off. Seriously been thinking about this a lot and I don't think it's crazy
All over this, put some $ on Ocho to win MVP @ +12500 when 5Dimes still had it up. He just cut a guy yesterday, and it's not as if Ochocino is absolutely terrible. Could easily see this happening, worth a small play at those odds at least. The O 0.5 receptions and O 9.5 yards total receiving were like taking candy from a baby under this theory.Could definitely see Gronk on decoy duty if he really isn't up to snuff and Belichick knows it, and going to Ochocino just because it's not expected.
 
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'bmj87 said:
Sorry, still in Vegas and haven't had time to post plays ... no hoops today, but i have 35u on the Super BowlBallard o8.5 1st rec bigPlus 1000 others
I don't know most of the bets I made, but i know I tailed you here bud!! Good call
 
So I'm sitting on a 9-0 Giants square...after I mocked my wife all week for our horrible numbers :lmao:

Don't you dare ruin it Brady!

 
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So I'm sitting on a 9-0 Giants square...after I mocked my wife all week for our horrible numbers :lmao:Don't you dare ruin it Brady!
congrats bud!ETA: i just checked my numbers. Actually got great numbers this year like 7,0 a 3,3, and some other good one, and that f'n safety is going to mess everything up. Figures the only year i get great numbers the safety comes in the 1st Q
 
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So I'm sitting on a 9-0 Giants square...after I mocked my wife all week for our horrible numbers :lmao:Don't you dare ruin it Brady!
congrats bud!ETA: i just checked my numbers. Actually got great numbers this year like 7,0 a 3,3, and some other good one, and that f'n safety is going to mess everything up. Figures the only year i get great numbers the safety comes in the 1st Q
I hear ya bro. I have 7-0 and 3-0 in a $100/square and instantly cringed on that safety!
 
So I'm sitting on a 9-0 Giants square...after I mocked my wife all week for our horrible numbers :lmao:Don't you dare ruin it Brady!
congrats bud!ETA: i just checked my numbers. Actually got great numbers this year like 7,0 a 3,3, and some other good one, and that f'n safety is going to mess everything up. Figures the only year i get great numbers the safety comes in the 1st Q
Thanks bud! Maybe there will be a 2 point conversion to get it back to normal for you!ETA - mine was only $5 per square.
 
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