FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

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Pretty high on ND tonight. I just think that we have a premiere defense for an undefeated team thats squaring off against a Freshman QB getting his first start for a team that's in complete disarray. There is no denying USC has top shelf talent but I think it takes a great coach to get these kids focused and circle the wagons and, well, kiffin just isn't that guy. IF ND can get in the young QBs head early and force a mistake or two they can rattle him and this could get ugly. IF this kid gets his legs under him early and builds colnfidence with some big plays, this could come down to the wire. On the Ore/orest front... Kelly is a great coach and he's gonna have these kids fired up and pissed off about last week. IMO Oregon is in "statement game" mode and is going to stomp a mud hole in State. I'm on ND / ORE in a tease and then I bought ND down to -3 for 3u. Probably going to parlay ND/ORE as well.

Go domers....

 

[Raider Nation]

Got a 6 unit speeding ticket today. Shouldn't be drinking an extra large coffee and then listen to "Stranglehold" on full blast when driving.

What means this?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Got a 6 unit speeding ticket today. Shouldn't be drinking an extra large coffee and then listen to "Stranglehold" on full blast when driving.

Imagine the odds?

I drive MAYBE 15 miles per week

 

[John Bender]

Got a 6 unit speeding ticket today. Shouldn't be drinking an extra large coffee and then listen to "Stranglehold" on full blast when driving.

What means this?

6 of my betting units.

Got a 6 unit speeding ticket today. Shouldn't be drinking an extra large coffee and then listen to "Stranglehold" on full blast when driving.

Imagine the odds?

I drive MAYBE 15 miles per week

It's true. Had to go to the Pet Store. The 476 (The Blue Route) is only 55 mph speed limit :(

 

[Raider Nation]

Got a 6 unit speeding ticket today. Shouldn't be drinking an extra large coffee and then listen to "Stranglehold" on full blast when driving.

What means this?

6 of my betting units.

I thought it was some newfangled rating system for moving violations in Philly.

 

[modogg]

Jesus the fla/fsu under just got ####ed.

<_< it certainly looked like the right call for most of the game. oh well, have to get 'em next time i guess

 

[bmj87]

7:00

CFB

SC/Clem u61.5

Miss/MSU u53.5

CBB

Mizz St +3.5

 

[derek245583]

UF/FSU Under 40.5

Oklahoma -6

Alabama -44.5 (+250)

Get on my back boys!!! Go Louisville!!

Should I hedge this and lock in some money??

You could throw some on Auburn +10.5 and find a middle maybe.

Hit Auburn +13 (-105) for a huge middle and locked in about .25 units

I think that's a fine play. Bama runs it up a little more then lets up a bit with all their backups.

Double scooped itDamn under in the UF FSU game was sailing along.

Come on Oklahoma

 

[Raider Nation]

Auburn team total over 7. Seems way to easy???

would not touch with 10' pole

 

[Guster]

UF/FSU Under 40.5

Oklahoma -6

Alabama -44.5 (+250)

Get on my back boys!!! Go Louisville!!

Should I hedge this and lock in some money??

You could throw some on Auburn +10.5 and find a middle maybe.

Hit Auburn +13 (-105) for a huge middle and locked in about .25 units

I think that's a fine play. Bama runs it up a little more then lets up a bit with all their backups.

Double scooped itDamn under in the UF FSU game was sailing along.

Come on Oklahoma

I'm WAY over leveraged on the OK ML for my liking.

 

[Billy Bats]

Jesus the fla/fsu under just got ####ed.

it certainly looked like the right call for most of the game. oh well, have to get 'em next time i guess

Yea 13-3 at half was just about right then the #### hit the fan. I just need to stick to Sundays.

 

[sdp1226]

Addedenn St. -1 1/2BYU -27Oklahoma/Okie St. over 71Florida/Florida St. under 421/2 units on both totals. I will be adding Clemson later today.

Tailing Penn St. -1 and Oklahoma o71

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Woah, WTF just happened? Clemson went from -4 to -6.5 in three minutes???????????????????

 

[derek245583]

Auburn team total over 7. Seems way to easy???

First Downs?

They got exactly 7 first downs

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Auburn team total over 7. Seems way to easy???

First Downs?

They got exactly 7 first downs

Oklahoma has 43.

 

[derek245583]

Auburn team total over 7. Seems way to easy???

First Downs?

They got exactly 7 first downs

Oklahoma has 43.

I wonder if Gene has been fired yet?And it is amazing that he keeps racking up the recruiting classes.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Need a tie after the first OT and then OU to get a TD in the 2nd hoping Okie State can't match.

 

[Guster]

Need a tie after the first OT and then OU to get a TD in the 2nd hoping Okie State can't match.

I just need OU to win, don't care how, so I'll root for this scenario

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Need a tie after the first OT and then OU to get a TD in the 2nd hoping Okie State can't match.

I just need OU to win, don't care how, so I'll root for this scenario

Well this is a community so we root for teh whole, not necessarily our individual bets.OU wins so I'm happy, 3-4 -1.3u yesterday and today now though. Better luck in the night games! Off to watch ND/USC, see you guys for the late game.

 

[ChainsawU]

I'm still high off that Louisville 2H!

 

[ChainsawU]

Call it a hunch. H-U-G-E spot for the Irish, to say the least. They haven't had pressure like this in two decades. I think they crumble. Not too worried about the backup QB angle. Every QB on SC's roster had scholarship offers from hundreds of schools. Hopefully talent >>> lack of experience. Lastly, I simply do not believe in Notre Dame's offense, which is the single-biggest reason I see the upset.

USC +4 -105

315/300

Just spent 116.77 on a ####load of gf beer and Raspberry Lambic. About to go pick up my ride or die chick and find somewhere to watch this game.

 

[Raider Nation]

LAS VEGAS SHARPS REPORT -- WEEK 12

OAKLAND AT CINCINNATI:

Oddsmakers anticipated sharp interest in fading Oakland…a tired, bad team whose defense has faded in recent weeks. Cincinnati opened a half point above a critical number at -7.5 and 48, before getting bet up to -8 and 49.5. Support for a team and an Over is usually tied to a soft opposing defense. This game is sitting right in the basic strategy teaser window. You can put the Bengals in two-teamers and move them below both the 7 and the 3 with the six-point teaser adjustment.

PITTSBURGH AT CLEVELAND:

Sharps are anticipating a tight defensive struggle here. Charlie Batch will replace the injured Byron Leftwich (who replaced the injured Ben Roethlisberger). Sharps look to prefer Batch to Leftwich. An opener of pick-em has been bet up to -1 or -1.5. The opening total of 36 has been bet down to 34.5 though. That combo represents support for Pittsburgh’s defense against young Brandon Weeden on a field that’s seen low scoring games all season. If the line moves up to Pittsburgh -1.5 and -2 everywhere, that would put the home underdog Browns in the teaser window. You can bet them with a six point adjustment moving up past the 3 and the 7.

BUFFALO AT INDIANAPOLIS:

Not much sharp interest in this game. Indy has been getting more media respect. But, Buffalo played well vs. Miami last week, while Indy’s soft defense makes it hard to trust them as a favorite. This game opened at Indy -3 on its home field and stayed there. The total has been bet down from 52 to 51.

DENVER AT KANSAS CITY:

Denver opened at -10, and was bet up to -10.5 even though there are old school sharps who automatically bet double digit underdogs. The Broncos continue to get respect from sharps under Peyton Manning. It’s telling that the Chiefs didn’t drop back to +10 after the move. Some traditionalists will still support the dog. We’re hearing that many sharps still believe Kansas City has its eye on the #1 draft pick.

TENNESSEE AT JACKSONVILLE:

Tennessee drew support here at the opening line of -3. We’re now seeing -3.5 in many places. It takes a lot of money to move off a key number…though less in a game that the public is likely to ignore. Squares won’t have any interest here. Our sources tell us sharps believe Chad Henne is due for a letdown performance after his big game in Houston last week. That plus Jacksonville’s perceived lack of home field advantage is in play here. The Jags have been awful at home all season.

MINNESOTA AT CHICAGO:

No line at press time because Jay Cutler’s status is still up in the air. We can assure you that the sharps who pounded Chicago last week on game day when Alex Smith was a late scratch for San Francisco have little interest in betting on Jason Campbell again if he gets the call for the Bears. We’re hearing the totals guys are looking Under if Campbell does get the start.

ATLANTA AT TAMPA BAY:

More interest here on the total than the team side. An opener of 48 has been bet up to 49.5 and 50. Tampa Bay’s defense has struggled often in recent action, but their offense continues to surprise. Atlanta opened at pick-em. We’re seeing pick-em or Atlanta -1 in most places. Sharps who were riding the Bucs early largely believe oddsmakers have now adjusted.

SEATTLE AT MIAMI:

Sharps respect Seattle, but they’re not comfortable laying points on the road when teams from the West play early games in the East. This line opened at Seattle -3 and stayed there. Sharps will be looking to bet Seattle in value spots down the stretch when they’re back home again.

BALTIMORE AT SAN DIEGO:

Baltimore opened at -2, but has been bet down to -1 or -1.5. Sharps see this as a tough schedule spot for the Ravens…who had to play a brutal rivalry game last Sunday Night in Pittsburgh…THEN travel to the West Coast. Sharps were looking at San Diego in two-team teasers too. We expect many stores to drop this game to one to keep it out of the teaser window on game day.

SAN FRANCISCO AT NEW ORLEANS:

Support has come in on New Orleans, who opened at +2 but is down to +1. Our sources say that’s mostly because of improved play from the Saints in recent weeks…rather than a vote against new Niners quarterback Colin Kaepernick. Sharps saw a lot of Kaepernick when he played for Nevada in college. Those who were skeptical of him as a starter last week regretted it. Though, this is his first road start…and some sharps do consider that a meaningful angle to attack.

ST. LOUIS AT ARIZONA:

Arizona opened at -3 despite their in flux quarterback situation. Sharps bet St. Louis fairly heavily, driving the line down to Rams +2 or +1.5. Sharps have had mixed success with St. Louis this season. Many lost on them vs. the Jets last week, but have won at other times. The Rams will be in the teaser window as a dog if the price doesn’t move any more.

GREEN BAY AT NY GIANTS:

The Giants opened at -2.5, as sharps anticipated Green Bay interest. Instead, sharps hit the home team off a bye week (something they’ve been doing a lot of in recent weeks), driving the number up to a field goal. The total is up two points from 49 to 51…which tells you the weather is probably going to be nice in this much anticipated Sunday Night affair. Late November just isn’t what it used to be for guys who liked betting Unders in cold weather cities.

CAROLINA AT PHILADELPHIA:

Nick Foles has struggled badly in place of Michael Vick. So, Carolina opened as a road favorite here despite their poor record. Sharps bet the Panthers! An opener of -1 is up to -2.5. The places that moved to Carolina -3 did see Eagles money come in at that point. Philadelphia will be in the teaser window if the line stays below three. Looks like there will be a lot of teaser options for round robins this weekend. Of course, many sharps start off a NEW week with Monday Night teasers that they leave open-ended until the following week’s likes come out. It will be interesting to see how the public bets this game on Monday. Squares love betting Monday Night football, but they’ll have to decide which slumping squad they’ll want to support.

We may have another report on Monday for that Carolina/Philadelphia game if game-day news warrants it. That happened last week with Chicago-San Francisco. For now, sharps prefer Carolina from -1 to -2, but Philadelphia if they see a +3 because of the percentages involved at that key number.

 

[modogg]

CBB Tomorrow:SMU -3.5

now at -4.5, but just added more to it

 

[The Ref]

Woah, WTF just happened? Clemson went from -4 to -6.5 in three minutes???????????????????

I'm sure you figured it out by now, but Shaw didnt get the start.

 

[bmj87]

8pm plays

CBB:

Samford +3

Montana -8.5

CFB:

USC +4.5

 

[modogg]

8pm playsCBB:Samford +3Montana -8.5CFB:USC +4.5

i hit a road bump in the middle games, and would love to finish out strong. These look like winners to me

 

[tjnc09]

I have Samford as well.

Tangent: if Stanford wins today and would have beat ND, are they in the NC hunt?

 

[The Ref]

8pm playsCBB:Samford +3Montana -8.5CFB:USC +4.5

Tailed.Also - I see no reason for this game to go over tonight. i see a freshman QB in his first start. I see a top D in the country. I see a second D with loads of talent.1 Unit OVER 45.5.

 

[tjnc09]

8pm playsCBB:Samford +3Montana -8.5CFB:USC +4.5

Tailed.Also - I see no reason for this game to go over tonight. i see a freshman QB in his first start. I see a top D in the country. I see a second D with loads of talent.1 Unit OVER 45.5.

You mean under?

 

[Guster]

8pm playsCBB:Samford +3Montana -8.5CFB:USC +4.5

Tailed.Also - I see no reason for this game to go over tonight. i see a freshman QB in his first start. I see a top D in the country. I see a second D with loads of talent.1 Unit OVER 45.5.

 

[Penguin]

Not feeling the SC love, I'd smash ND -4

 

[The Ref]

8pm playsCBB:Samford +3Montana -8.5CFB:USC +4.5

Tailed.Also - I see no reason for this game to go over tonight. i see a freshman QB in his first start. I see a top D in the country. I see a second D with loads of talent.1 Unit OVER 45.5.

You mean under?

 

[derek245583]

How much are we going to put on the LA Tech/SJST Over?

 

[tjnc09]

8pm playsCBB:Samford +3Montana -8.5CFB:USC +4.5

Tailed.Also - I see no reason for this game to go over tonight. i see a freshman QB in his first start. I see a top D in the country. I see a second D with loads of talent.1 Unit OVER 45.5.

You mean under?

Aw one of those bets. GL haha

 

[The Ref]

How much are we going to put on the LA Tech/SJST Over?

I already got a .5 unit down. Lets see how it goes, but I might go the full unit.If anyone cares - this market has been fun to watch. It's the team tickets exchange for the right to buy face value tickets to the NC game.https://www.orangebowlteamtix.org/markets/sports/college-fb/notre-dame/2013-discover-bcs-national-championship-game/?host=ob&hasTriedSecure=true&host=obWhen ND went up 10-0 someone bought 6 contracts for $1,100 each. In other words someone paid $6,600 for the right to buy 6 $350 tickets. Guess I shouldn't have sold for $740.

 

[derek245583]

How much are we going to put on the LA Tech/SJST Over?

I already got a .5 unit down. Lets see how it goes, but I might go the full unit.If anyone cares - this market has been fun to watch. It's the team tickets exchange for the right to buy face value tickets to the NC game.https://www.orangebowlteamtix.org/markets/sports/college-fb/notre-dame/2013-discover-bcs-national-championship-game/?host=ob&hasTriedSecure=true&host=obWhen ND went up 10-0 someone bought 6 contracts for $1,100 each. In other words someone paid $6,600 for the right to buy 6 $350 tickets. Guess I shouldn't have sold for $740.

How much do tix usually sell for?I mean, surely those $350 seats wont be going for more than a grand next month....what a waste

 

[gussy]

I'll tail that La Tech/SJSU over with a 1/2 unit. Got 76.

 

[The Ref]

How much are we going to put on the LA Tech/SJST Over?

I already got a .5 unit down. Lets see how it goes, but I might go the full unit.If anyone cares - this market has been fun to watch. It's the team tickets exchange for the right to buy face value tickets to the NC game.

https://www.orangebo...re=true&host=ob

When ND went up 10-0 someone bought 6 contracts for $1,100 each. In other words someone paid $6,600 for the right to buy 6 $350 tickets. Guess I shouldn't have sold for $740.

How much do tix usually sell for?I mean, surely those $350 seats wont be going for more than a grand next month....what a waste

Right now on ebay they are going for $1500 plus. It's crazy. It's way more then a super bowl.

 

[derek245583]

Every time a basketball score flashes across the bottom line I think to myself "Damn, I shoulda bet that over". They I realize its basketball.

Need to fix that ESPN

 

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ND vaunted defense looked like it was picked apart last drive.... If this kid gets to feelin good, ND is in trouble.

ND will have no shot against bama if they pull it off.

 

[Guster]

I'll tail that La Tech/SJSU over with a 1/2 unit. Got 76.

 

[The Ref]

OK - I just bought 2 Florida Gator contracts for $110 each, and bought the ND money line 600 to win 200.

 

[Guster]

ND vaunted defense looked like it was picked apart last drive.... If this kid gets to feelin good, ND is in trouble. ND will have no shot against bama if they pull it off.

 

[derek245583]

La Tech has less defense than Ga Tech.

FYI

 

[Guster]

La Tech has less defense than Ga Tech.FYI

So are you saying .5u is too few?

 

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ND vaunted defense looked like it was picked apart last drive.... If this kid gets to feelin good, ND is in trouble. ND will have no shot against bama if they pull it off.

What part are you disagreeing with? Are you watching the game?

 

[Guster]

ND vaunted defense looked like it was picked apart last drive.... If this kid gets to feelin good, ND is in trouble. ND will have no shot against bama if they pull it off.

What part are you disagreeing with? Are you watching the game?

I'm watching. Your post has no point to it. If... If... If... Just seems like you wanted to pile on against ND for no good reasonETA - but I'm hung over, so there's a good chance I'm just cranky

 

[The Ref]

OK - I just bought 2 Florida Gator contracts for $110 each, and bought the ND money line 600 to win 200.

Florida contracts up to $140.I bought 2 Ducks for $60 and added 100 to win 60 on ND.I think this is a great arbitrage opportunity. Its virtually cant lose.

 

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ND vaunted defense looked like it was picked apart last drive.... If this kid gets to feelin good, ND is in trouble. ND will have no shot against bama if they pull it off.

What part are you disagreeing with? Are you watching the game?

I'm watching. Your post has no point to it. If... If... If... Just seems like you wanted to pile on against ND for no good reasonETA - but I'm hung over, so there's a good chance I'm just cranky

Scroll up.... I have all bets on ND... I was leaning ND pregame.

 

[Guster]

ND vaunted defense looked like it was picked apart last drive.... If this kid gets to feelin good, ND is in trouble. ND will have no shot against bama if they pull it off.

What part are you disagreeing with? Are you watching the game?

I'm watching. Your post has no point to it. If... If... If... Just seems like you wanted to pile on against ND for no good reasonETA - but I'm hung over, so there's a good chance I'm just cranky

Scroll up.... I have all bets on ND... I was leaning ND pregame.

Yeah, I realized that after my edit.