FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (1 Viewer)

[TheGooRoo]

1 Members: TheGooRoo

nothing too hot tonight....played huge juice in Dejesus yes hit -300 and Braun yes hit -280. Also played the Rangers again, -145.

I'll jump on, thanks. You can only imagine what Ichiro did to me last night. What a roller-coaster. Most agonizing nickel I ever won. 0 - 2 in his last AB...single up the middle! Couldn't believe it. The worst was when CBS (online) gave him an infield hit earlier in the game, only to change the scoring like 15 seconds later, to an error. Brutal. Line drive out also stung.

Mannnn, I don't think there was any way Alexei Ramirez could have thrown him out on the infield hit (error).....first thing I thought was Seattle is at home, scorer will call that a hit...no dice.

 

[modogg]

1 Members: TheGooRoo

nothing too hot tonight....played huge juice in Dejesus yes hit -300 and Braun yes hit -280. Also played the Rangers again, -125.eta: correction, Tex -125 not -145

Thanks for the Rangers pick bud. 2 nights in a row helping make up for my theory that the Phils are "due" the last 2 nights . I think i will throw that strategy away for a bit and let them come around on their own before i plop some money on them again

 

[Raider Nation]

The Dodgers actually invent new ways to lose.

Mattingly goes to the mound to talk to Broxton (Torre was ejected)... he steps off the mound, stops, turns around and goes back onto the mound to say something else. Bochy points this out to the umps, and Mattingly is charged with TWO mound visits. Broxton has to leave the game.



EDIT: ANNNNNNND like clockwork, the next batter doubles in two and L.A. blows the lead. LMAO.

 

[BRONG]

The Dodgers actually invent new ways to lose.

Mattingly goes to the mound to talk to Broxton (Torre was ejected)... he steps off the mound, stops, turns around and goes back onto the mound to say something else. Bochy points this out to the umps, and Mattingly is charged with TWO mound visits. Broxton has to leave the game.



EDIT: ANNNNNNND like clockwork, the next batter doubles in two and L.A. blows the lead. LMAO.

UNBELIEVABLE, check this out. I had a 200/2159 parlay, and my last two teams were Oakland and SF. They were both down by 4 runs, I thought I was done. Ended up GLUED to CBS sportsline for 2 hours, going back and forth.

 

[Raider Nation]

The Dodgers actually invent new ways to lose.

Mattingly goes to the mound to talk to Broxton (Torre was ejected)... he steps off the mound, stops, turns around and goes back onto the mound to say something else. Bochy points this out to the umps, and Mattingly is charged with TWO mound visits. Broxton has to leave the game.



EDIT: ANNNNNNND like clockwork, the next batter doubles in two and L.A. blows the lead. LMAO.

UNBELIEVABLE, check this out. I had a 200/2159 parlay, and my last two teams were Oakland and SF. They were both down by 4 runs, I thought I was done. Ended up GLUED to CBS sportsline for 2 hours, going back and forth.

 

[kOOk]

The Dodgers actually invent new ways to lose.

Mattingly goes to the mound to talk to Broxton (Torre was ejected)... he steps off the mound, stops, turns around and goes back onto the mound to say something else. Bochy points this out to the umps, and Mattingly is charged with TWO mound visits. Broxton has to leave the game.



EDIT: ANNNNNNND like clockwork, the next batter doubles in two and L.A. blows the lead. LMAO.

UNBELIEVABLE, check this out. I had a 200/2159 parlay, and my last two teams were Oakland and SF. They were both down by 4 runs, I thought I was done. Ended up GLUED to CBS sportsline for 2 hours, going back and forth.

Nice hit Brong I had kershaw for a nickel wasn't meant to be.

Dodgers light up licecum and lose unreal bad beat

 

[optionmaven]

Well done brong. After losing on the dodgers the previous night, I had to stay away from them. Got lucky with the A's finishing off my parlay. 10 to win 90.

Does anyone else delve into the indidual series bets. I've been having decent luck/picks with these. It helps I've been playing the whitesox regularly( i think they have lost one series in like 2 months and their prices haven't been too chalky......-115 against seattle, what a joke and easy win). When the new ones come up for thursday I'll post what looks good to me. The two I have for the early week series were the whitesox and bluejays. Going up against Grienke today with the series on the line(I thought toronto would take first 2). I would like to hedge out of it considering the pitching matchup but at -175 I don't see that happening.

 

[kOOk]

Well done brong. After losing on the dodgers the previous night, I had to stay away from them. Got lucky with the A's finishing off my parlay. 10 to win 90.Does anyone else delve into the indidual series bets. I've been having decent luck/picks with these. It helps I've been playing the whitesox regularly( i think they have lost one series in like 2 months and their prices haven't been too chalky......-115 against seattle, what a joke and easy win). When the new ones come up for thursday I'll post what looks good to me. The two I have for the early week series were the whitesox and bluejays. Going up against Grienke today with the series on the line(I thought toronto would take first 2). I would like to hedge out of it considering the pitching matchup but at -175 I don't see that happening.

as far as series plays I haven't played many at all. I have heard of betting formulas based on hedging and or chase theory that makes money only betting series wagers profitable. GooRoo probably could shed some more light on the subject.gluck on your live plays.WOOT

 

[Lupe]

Everyone on Ichiro at -280 to get a hit tonite? He's got a hit in 17 of last 19 games, and is 9-19 lifetime against Floyd. Probably means an 0-5 night.

 

[optionmaven]

Everyone on Ichiro at -280 to get a hit tonite? He's got a hit in 17 of last 19 games, and is 9-19 lifetime against Floyd. Probably means an 0-5 night.

I have a hard time laying 140 to win 50, which is what i would limit myself too on this sort of bet. Probably stupid, but i'm just too (cheap, tightwad etc.), to be banking that much money on a guy getting a hit. I don't see the value, I have to look elsewhere. I do like the numbers though......9-19 is basically everyother at bat. Hard to argue against that logic.

 

[Raider Nation]

Interesting section in Wong's book about correlated parlays.

I'm going to assume you all know what that term means (we always discuss it at length during football season), and we all look for it, but often the books don't let you use them. Example: Ohio State is -24 and the total is 36. No book is going to let you parlay the Buckeyes -24 with the over.

But there are more subtle ones you can take advantage of. Wong pointed out the 2000 NFC Championship game between the Bucs and Rams. The Rams had been hanging 30-40 points on everyone all year, and the Bucs had been allowing only 10-14 points all year. Something had to give.

St. Louis was -14 and the total was 45.

If the Bucs covered, it was likely going to be a low-scoring game.

If the Rams covered, it was likely going to be a high-scoring game.

So he put in a parlay on the Bucs & under and another parlay on the Rams & over.

The Rams won 11-6.

Now obviously you cannot do this in every game. There will be some games where the team with the best offense and the team with the best defense is the same team. But in a scenario where one team CLEARLY has the better offense and the other team CLEARLY has the better defense, how do you think you'd do if you threw in a parlay with the defensive team and the under, then another parlay with the offensive team and the over?

$100 to win $260 on each parlay. +$160 every time it works out.

Smart? Stupid? Somewhere in between?

 

[Raider Nation]

Everyone on Ichiro at -280 to get a hit tonite? He's got a hit in 17 of last 19 games, and is 9-19 lifetime against Floyd. Probably means an 0-5 night.

0-4, right on cue. The good news is that it's a scoreless game in the 9th, so he might get up again.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Have to clear $2500 in bets at Sports Interaction to cash out that sweet deal we had last season. That's about 125 $20 unit bets. Trying to grind it out 1 or 2 per day

 

[TobiasFunke]

I did this last time and it didn't turn out so well, but that doesn't mean it was the wrong play. So I'll throw it out there again.

Jim Riggleman sometimes decides to do what basically amounts to throwing in the towel on getaway games, and this is one such occasion for the Nats in their getaway game against the Reds this afternoon. I'd say there's literally only two major league hitters in the starting lineup. Willingham is sitting, as is Pudge. Other marginal power guys like Desmond and Morse are also on the bench.

Unfortunately the pitching matchup is Volquez vs. Livan, so the odds are already pretty short on the Reds, limiting the value of the play. But if you want to make an afternoon play to pass the time, you can do a lot worse than Volquez and the Reds versus this garbage:

CF Nyjer Morgan

RF Roger Bernadina

3B Ryan Zimmerman

1B Adam Dunn

SS Cristian Guzman

LF Willie Harris

2B Adam Kennedy

C Wil Nieves

P Livan Hernandez

 

[Tiger Fan]

I did this last time and it didn't turn out so well, but that doesn't mean it was the wrong play. So I'll throw it out there again.Jim Riggleman sometimes decides to do what basically amounts to throwing in the towel on getaway games, and this is one such occasion for the Nats in their getaway game against the Reds this afternoon. I'd say there's literally only two major league hitters in the starting lineup. Willingham is sitting, as is Pudge. Other marginal power guys like Desmond and Morse are also on the bench.Unfortunately the pitching matchup is Volquez vs. Livan, so the odds are already pretty short on the Reds, limiting the value of the play. But if you want to make an afternoon play to pass the time, you can do a lot worse than Volquez and the Reds versus this garbage:CF Nyjer MorganRF Roger Bernadina3B Ryan Zimmerman1B Adam DunnSS Cristian GuzmanLF Willie Harris2B Adam KennedyC Wil NievesP Livan Hernandez

why not

 

[Tiger Fan]

I did this last time and it didn't turn out so well, but that doesn't mean it was the wrong play. So I'll throw it out there again.Jim Riggleman sometimes decides to do what basically amounts to throwing in the towel on getaway games, and this is one such occasion for the Nats in their getaway game against the Reds this afternoon. I'd say there's literally only two major league hitters in the starting lineup. Willingham is sitting, as is Pudge. Other marginal power guys like Desmond and Morse are also on the bench.Unfortunately the pitching matchup is Volquez vs. Livan, so the odds are already pretty short on the Reds, limiting the value of the play. But if you want to make an afternoon play to pass the time, you can do a lot worse than Volquez and the Reds versus this garbage:CF Nyjer MorganRF Roger Bernadina3B Ryan Zimmerman1B Adam DunnSS Cristian GuzmanLF Willie Harris2B Adam KennedyC Wil NievesP Livan Hernandez

why not

7-1 Nats.....

 

[MarshallPlan]

Interesting section in Wong's book about correlated parlays.

I'm going to assume you all know what that term means (we always discuss it at length during football season), and we all look for it, but often the books don't let you use them. Example: Ohio State is -24 and the total is 36. No book is going to let you parlay the Buckeyes -24 with the over.

But there are more subtle ones you can take advantage of. Wong pointed out the 2000 NFC Championship game between the Bucs and Rams. The Rams had been hanging 30-40 points on everyone all year, and the Bucs had been allowing only 10-14 points all year. Something had to give.

St. Louis was -14 and the total was 45.

If the Bucs covered, it was likely going to be a low-scoring game.

If the Rams covered, it was likely going to be a high-scoring game.

So he put in a parlay on the Bucs & under and another parlay on the Rams & over.

The Rams won 11-6.

Now obviously you cannot do this in every game. There will be some games where the team with the best offense and the team with the best defense is the same team. But in a scenario where one team CLEARLY has the better offense and the other team CLEARLY has the better defense, how do you think you'd do if you threw in a parlay with the defensive team and the under, then another parlay with the offensive team and the over?

$100 to win $260 on each parlay. +$160 every time it works out.

Smart? Stupid? Somewhere in between?

First halves better then full games.

 

[TobiasFunke]

I did this last time and it didn't turn out so well, but that doesn't mean it was the wrong play. So I'll throw it out there again.Jim Riggleman sometimes decides to do what basically amounts to throwing in the towel on getaway games, and this is one such occasion for the Nats in their getaway game against the Reds this afternoon. I'd say there's literally only two major league hitters in the starting lineup. Willingham is sitting, as is Pudge. Other marginal power guys like Desmond and Morse are also on the bench.Unfortunately the pitching matchup is Volquez vs. Livan, so the odds are already pretty short on the Reds, limiting the value of the play. But if you want to make an afternoon play to pass the time, you can do a lot worse than Volquez and the Reds versus this garbage:CF Nyjer MorganRF Roger Bernadina3B Ryan Zimmerman1B Adam DunnSS Cristian GuzmanLF Willie Harris2B Adam KennedyC Wil NievesP Livan Hernandez

why not

7-1 Nats.....

Livan throws complete game, gives up 1 run. Of course.Maybe I should post a fade on the Nats in this thread every day.

 

[lumpy19]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

 

[lumpy19]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

Adding CFL Montreal -290

 

[tribecalledjeff]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

Kind of worried that it didn't.

 

[optionmaven]

Small series bets on Angels +160 and Giants -135. I like the mets a little bud didn't play them.

 

[modogg]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

i'll tail you here bud. Also went to play optionmaven's Angels series, and i realized that Sportsbook has limited pretty much every bet but sides to $10. Nice. My only saving grace here is that I have to think they are missing an opportunity to be taking my money.

 

[lumpy19]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

Kind of worried that it didn't.

I know

 

[tribecalledjeff]

I did this last time and it didn't turn out so well, but that doesn't mean it was the wrong play. So I'll throw it out there again.Jim Riggleman sometimes decides to do what basically amounts to throwing in the towel on getaway games, and this is one such occasion for the Nats in their getaway game against the Reds this afternoon. I'd say there's literally only two major league hitters in the starting lineup. Willingham is sitting, as is Pudge. Other marginal power guys like Desmond and Morse are also on the bench.Unfortunately the pitching matchup is Volquez vs. Livan, so the odds are already pretty short on the Reds, limiting the value of the play. But if you want to make an afternoon play to pass the time, you can do a lot worse than Volquez and the Reds versus this garbage:CF Nyjer MorganRF Roger Bernadina3B Ryan Zimmerman1B Adam DunnSS Cristian GuzmanLF Willie Harris2B Adam KennedyC Wil NievesP Livan Hernandez

why not

7-1 Nats.....

Livan throws complete game, gives up 1 run. Of course.Maybe I should post a fade on the Nats in this thread every day.

Nah, keep firing away. The only thing that I would caution you against is thinking that you have an edge over Vegas in something like this. They are very, very, very smart and I'm sure that the getaway lineup both times that you posted was already factored into the line. That said, 2 games is completely meaningless as far as making any sort of deductions on anything. Thoughts are always good and welcome.

 

[BRONG]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

Kind of worried that it didn't.

I know

Yeah odd, and I could see Texas getting to Weaver. You can even make an argument for Lee not settling into Arlington yet, one of his worst parks, if you really wanted to...had to pass.I like the SF series play, got it at -125.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Thursday POD:

Loney no run -180

 

[BRONG]

Thursday POD:Loney no run -180

 

[lumpy19]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

Lame...no runs in the 8th or 9th inning to even make me sweat.

 

[lumpy19]

Those that have a betus acct, under football futures/college football/divisions they have Nebraska -105 to win the big 12 north

This is around -200 to -300 at other books, betus is slow to move the line, max bet is 500

 

[TheWick]

Some NFL futures are up on SB...boring ones, but it still got me excited.

 

[modogg]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

Lame...no runs in the 8th or 9th inning to even make me sweat.

No compaints from me, thanks for the post Lump

 

[BRONG]

Thursday POD:Loney no run -180

Give me your paypal address.

 

[BRONG]

Been meaning to ask, in golf matchups (for entire tourney), what happens when neither player makes the cut? Yet one player finishes higher than the other after the two completed rounds...

 

[optionmaven]

Been meaning to ask, in golf matchups (for entire tourney), what happens when neither player makes the cut? Yet one player finishes higher than the other after the two completed rounds...

Cut doesn't matter. Its graded by low score through the 2 rounds. A push is possible too if they both land on the same number.

 

[kOOk]

Thursday POD:Loney no run -180

Nice

 

[kOOk]

Large bet on u8(-105) tonight in the texas/laa game, i'm shocked it didn't move to 7.5

played this at u8 -110 CASH ITthanks Lumpy

 

[Lupe]

Those that have a betus acct, under football futures/college football/divisions they have Nebraska -105 to win the big 12 northThis is around -200 to -300 at other books, betus is slow to move the line, max bet is 500

nice find ... but max bet is to win 100 for me.

 

[lumpy19]

Those that have a betus acct, under football futures/college football/divisions they have Nebraska -105 to win the big 12 northThis is around -200 to -300 at other books, betus is slow to move the line, max bet is 500

nice find ... but max bet is to win 100 for me.

My max bet is $50 Had to call in some favors to get the full max down.I've found similar lines at a few other smaller sites. I'm waiting for sportsbook to post their lines and hoping it's in the -105 range.

 

[optionmaven]

Series prices, I like fading the cubs against the cards @ -115. Cubs usually get up for their most hated rivals but this cub team is not good. mediocre pitching and some dead bats. Also on the whitesox bandwagon against the A's, though the athletics have given us some fits. Decent price @ +125. Didn't bet it yet but I also like the marlins series bet against the bravos @ +105. Rays look obvious (road monsters) but cleveland has been playing better of late and at -240, a little too chalky.

 

[lumpy19]

o11.5(-110) cubs/cards

hurry to sportsbook, slow to move the line, still sitting at -110

little daytime action

 

[BRONG]

I'm on Seattle tonight. Don't trust Beckett yet and he probly won't go too far in his first start in over 2 months. Bullpen got used up last night too (in line, I know, but still)...

On the other side, Vargas has been nothing but quality in 9 of his last 10 starts. Big names against no-names, has to be value...

Hopefully, drunk Bostonians will drive the dog up a little higher by late Friday night. I'll wait to play it.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I'm on Seattle tonight. Don't trust Beckett yet and he probly won't go too far in his first start in over 2 months. Bullpen got used up last night too (in line, I know, but still)... On the other side, Vargas has been nothing but quality in 9 of his last 10 starts. Big names against no-names, has to be value...Hopefully, drunk Bostonians will drive the dog up a little higher by late Friday night. I'll wait to play it.

giddyup

 

[Tiger Fan]

Atlanta Falcons o8.5 winsIt's -189 right now....but this team is very good. They were banged up a lot last year and still finished 9-7.

1 Sep 12 ATL @ PIT Heinz Field 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 2 Sep 19 ARI @ ATL Georgia Dome 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 3 Sep 26 ATL @ NO Superdome 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 4 Oct 03 SF @ ATL Georgia Dome 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 5 Oct 10 ATL @ CLE Cleveland Browns Stadium 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 6 Oct 17 ATL @ PHI Lincoln Financial Field 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 7 Oct 24 CIN @ ATL Georgia Dome 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 8 Bye 9 Nov 07 TB @ ATL Georgia Dome 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 10 Nov 11 BAL @ ATL Georgia Dome 8:20 PM Tickets NFLN 11 Nov 21 ATL @ STL Edward Jones Dome 4:05 PM Tickets FOX 12 Nov 28 GB @ ATL Georgia Dome 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 13 Dec 05 ATL @ TB Raymond James Stadium 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 14 Dec 12 ATL @ CAR Bank of America Stadium 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 15 Dec 19 ATL @ SEA Qwest Field 4:05 PM Tickets FOX 16 Dec 27 NO @ ATL Georgia Dome 8:30 PM Tickets ESPN 17 Jan 02 CAR @ ATL Georgia Dome 1:00 PM Tickets FOX

 

[optionmaven]

Hit a 3 teamer yesterday and I'm coming right back with the same teams. yanks -1.5 runs -120, white sox +108, and mets +110. 25/175.

 

[derek245583]

Johnnydetroit gonna hook us up with great promos again for football season???

 

[TheWick]

Freddy Garcia no HR even

Jose Lopez no Run -190

Peralta no RBI -170

Hafner no hit +200

Milledge No run -160

Reds O3 -130

Reds +102

Rockies -146

 

[lumpy19]

Johnnydetroit gonna hook us up with great promos again for football season???

I sent him a PM a few days ago and haven't heard anything back. Hasn't been at FBG since April 29th.Using google you can find similar offers to his available at affiliate sites.

 

[derek245583]

Johnnydetroit gonna hook us up with great promos again for football season???

I sent him a PM a few days ago and haven't heard anything back. Hasn't been at FBG since April 29th.Using google you can find similar offers to his available at affiliate sites.

Lots of new signups...I think I have accounts at about 80% of the sites.I am considering matchbook this year.

 

[lumpy19]

Johnnydetroit gonna hook us up with great promos again for football season???

I sent him a PM a few days ago and haven't heard anything back. Hasn't been at FBG since April 29th.Using google you can find similar offers to his available at affiliate sites.

Lots of new signups...I think I have accounts at about 80% of the sites.I am considering matchbook this year.

No bonuses at matchbook, no parlays, no props, no teasers...basically just quarters, halves, sides, totals. Usually the best line on the stuff they offer though.