FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

[MarshallPlan]

5dimes limits on baseball props is $100. They serious? Are they more for football?

You can re-bet an infinite amount of times.

Will they toss me for multiple rebets or just move the line?

Doesn't look like I can rebet. I just tried and this came up. You have reached the max bet for this selection. You will be permitted to wager again on this event again once the limit is reset or the line has changed.

 

[Johnny Detroit]

Welcome back, JD. Don't be a stranger.

Thanks. Had another little one and bought a bar in Novi. So took most of bases off. Now ready for some football (Lifetime football: 58% 425-314).

 

[Raider Nation]

I am cool with the owner at Sports Options, so you can check out the paid service free for a week: sportsoptions.com/jd

This is incredible. What does it normally cost?

 

[Raider Nation]

Welcome back, JD. Don't be a stranger.

Thanks. Had another little one and bought a bar in Novi.

Congrats! I think I'm the only one in this thread who didn't have a kid in the past six months.

 

[Johnny Detroit]

I am cool with the owner at Sports Options, so you can check out the paid service free for a week: sportsoptions.com/jd

This is incredible. What does it normally cost?

it would be on the site. but, i know the owner personally. he ran Don Best before they went corporate. i can give you his personal # and just tell him you know me and he will hook you up.

 

[Raider Nation]

I am cool with the owner at Sports Options, so you can check out the paid service free for a week: sportsoptions.com/jd

This is incredible. What does it normally cost?

it would be on the site. but, i know the owner personally. he ran Don Best before they went corporate. i can give you his personal # and just tell him you know me and he will hook you up.

Cool... a PM would be great.This is a lot of info to digest. Gotta keep scrolling right to see all the books. Love the popup voice alerts.Any tips on a few key things to keep an eye on while looking at this screen?

 

[Johnny Detroit]

I am cool with the owner at Sports Options, so you can check out the paid service free for a week: sportsoptions.com/jd

This is incredible. What does it normally cost?

it would be on the site. but, i know the owner personally. he ran Don Best before they went corporate. i can give you his personal # and just tell him you know me and he will hook you up.

Cool... a PM would be great.This is a lot of info to digest. Gotta keep scrolling right to see all the books. Love the popup voice alerts.Any tips on a few key things to keep an eye on while looking at this screen?

use cris for openernext put public betting %put sharper books in the front. greek, cris, mybookie, easy st, bet online, pinnacle, 5dimes, jazz, etc.edit the settings to only see moves at a certain level so your screen does not get cluttered.take the time to play around and learn it all.the updates many times beat ESPN or anything else.his name is Rick Allec. 702-835-1743 x2001 is his office info. just say you are friend of johnny detroit and i said he would take care of u.

 

[Clorox]

Welcome back, JD. Don't be a stranger.

Thanks. Had another little one and bought a bar in Novi.

Congrats! I think I'm the only one in this thread who didn't have a kid in the past six months.

No kids here...2 dogs though. Mo is also in the no kids club right now.

 

[Clorox]

JD - this might be a dumb rookie question, but why does BetUS post one line but then jack it up when you sign in? Sometimes it is a 30 cents jump on top of their already awful favorites lines. I thought it was just me, but have talked to others who don't even play baseball there and it has happened to them as well.

 

[Raider Nation]

I am cool with the owner at Sports Options, so you can check out the paid service free for a week: sportsoptions.com/jd

This is incredible. What does it normally cost?

it would be on the site. but, i know the owner personally. he ran Don Best before they went corporate. i can give you his personal # and just tell him you know me and he will hook you up.

Cool... a PM would be great.This is a lot of info to digest. Gotta keep scrolling right to see all the books. Love the popup voice alerts.Any tips on a few key things to keep an eye on while looking at this screen?

use cris for openernext put public betting %put sharper books in the front. greek, cris, mybookie, easy st, bet online, pinnacle, 5dimes, jazz, etc.edit the settings to only see moves at a certain level so your screen does not get cluttered.take the time to play around and learn it all.the updates many times beat ESPN or anything else.

Christ, man... I hate you and love you all at the same time!I'm never going to be able to move away from this computer screen now. Gonna have to have pizzas delivered instead of cooking.

 

[Johnny Detroit]

JD - this might be a dumb rookie question, but why does BetUS post one line but then jack it up when you sign in? Sometimes it is a 30 cents jump on top of their already awful favorites lines. I thought it was just me, but have talked to others who don't even play baseball there and it has happened to them as well.

not dumb at all. many books, especially all the big public ones (bodog, betus, etc) do what is called a dual line. if they tag you as sharp, betting steam, etc you get profiled. for example, the lines i see at betus are not what most people see. books that do not do dual lines (5dimes), will put people they think are sharper on a delay. so for example, joe public hits submit on a wager and it gets processed that second. someone they have profiled, hits submit and it could be 10, 15, 30+ seconds before it is confirmed. this allows them to make sure there is not a big move on the game. thus the infamous "the line has changed" message.

 

[Raider Nation]

JD, I "removed" all the ham 'n egger sportsbooks from the screen. Much less clutter now.

The only thing I could not figure out is how to set Cris in the "open" column. Pinny is the default and I dunno how to change it.

 

[Johnny Detroit]

JD, I "removed" all the ham 'n egger sportsbooks from the screen. Much less clutter now.The only thing I could not figure out is how to set Cris in the "open" column. Pinny is the default and I dunno how to change it.

I think it is under setup, columns and check opener?

 

[MarshallPlan]

I was very impressed with Sports Options the one week last year I used it for free. Called and inquired about having it full-time and it was way too expensive for me.

 

[lumpy19]

fun night tonight

9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 bets

Mmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

 

[lumpy19]

5dimes limits on baseball props is $100. They serious? Are they more for football?

You can re-bet an infinite amount of times.

Will they toss me for multiple rebets or just move the line?

Doesn't look like I can rebet. I just tried and this came up. You have reached the max bet for this selection. You will be permitted to wager again on this event again once the limit is reset or the line has changed.

if the line doesn't move you can't rebet

 

[Raider Nation]

fun night tonight9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 betsMmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

Curious why you like teasing in the preseason? Some of these games tend to be runaways, no?

 

[Clorox]

JD - this might be a dumb rookie question, but why does BetUS post one line but then jack it up when you sign in? Sometimes it is a 30 cents jump on top of their already awful favorites lines. I thought it was just me, but have talked to others who don't even play baseball there and it has happened to them as well.

not dumb at all. many books, especially all the big public ones (bodog, betus, etc) do what is called a dual line. if they tag you as sharp, betting steam, etc you get profiled. for example, the lines i see at betus are not what most people see. books that do not do dual lines (5dimes), will put people they think are sharper on a delay. so for example, joe public hits submit on a wager and it gets processed that second. someone they have profiled, hits submit and it could be 10, 15, 30+ seconds before it is confirmed. this allows them to make sure there is not a big move on the game. thus the infamous "the line has changed" message.

Thanks for the detailed insight. I can't imagine how they would have me profiled as a sharp, but maybe they have me tagged because I play mostly favorites. I'm down money there and just trying to clear a rollover before yanking my money and moving it somewhere else.

 

[lumpy19]

fun night tonight9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 betsMmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

Curious why you like teasing in the preseason? Some of these games tend to be runaways, no?

teasing in the preseason is more profitable than the reg season.look at how low the totals are on these games, the 6 pt you get in the teaser are more valuable.

 

[Clorox]

fun night tonight9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 betsMmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

Curious why you like teasing in the preseason? Some of these games tend to be runaways, no?

teasing in the preseason is more profitable than the reg season.look at how low the totals are on these games, the 6 pt you get in the teaser are more valuable.

Refresh my memory please...what numbers are you trying to cross over here? Why not include Detroit and Baltimore in there as well?

 

[Raider Nation]

fun night tonight9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 betsMmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

Curious why you like teasing in the preseason? Some of these games tend to be runaways, no?

teasing in the preseason is more profitable than the reg season.look at how low the totals are on these games, the 6 pt you get in the teaser are more valuable.

I suppose, but almost all of these games are virtual pick 'ems (3 points or less). I'd rather take my shots SU.

 

[Johnny Detroit]

on NFL teasers (my opinion as different people approach teasers different)

Based of a -110 vig, a sports bettor will need to hit around 52.4 percent of their wagers to break even. Using the standard 6-point teaser as our example, each individual teaser side would now need to cover 72.5 percent to break even. Essentially, those extra six points need to boost your win percent an additional 20 percent to make a teaser worth playing. The first thing is toss out using a total. Even though some may disagree, there is no total worth moving six points that will boost your win percentage 20 percent. Sure, a dog to the under or favorite to the over has some correlation concepts, but we are trying to keep it simple in this example. Some basic tips to follow when betting six-point teasers in the NFL: favorites of 7.5-8.5 down to 1.5 – 2.5, thus crossing both 3 and 7. Also, move the underdogs of 1.5-2.5 up to 7.5-8.5, thus moving cross 3 and 7.

 

[MarshallPlan]

3 team, 6 pointers at +180 are better then 2 teamers at -110.

 

[Johnny Detroit]

I was very impressed with Sports Options the one week last year I used it for free. Called and inquired about having it full-time and it was way too expensive for me.

something like Sports Options is an amazing tool, but unless you are betting volume and bigger $, better off using some of the free tools on the web. it is catered more toward the book, mover or middler versus the average bettor.

 

[TheGooRoo]

+2.5 more units for the good guys yesterday

Tonight:

Schumaker no rbi

Reynolds yes k (crazy line, still crazy amount of value)

Pagan yes hit

Upton yes k

Likely more plays as lineups come up.

 

[Raider Nation]

Just about every team figures to play its starters for the entire 1st half tonight.

Placing only 1H wagers will have a nice regular season feel to it.

 

[lumpy19]

fun night tonight9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 betsMmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

Curious why you like teasing in the preseason? Some of these games tend to be runaways, no?

teasing in the preseason is more profitable than the reg season.look at how low the totals are on these games, the 6 pt you get in the teaser are more valuable.

I suppose, but almost all of these games are virtual pick 'ems (3 points or less). I'd rather take my shots SU.

This is exactly the reason teasers should be used. The 6pts are more valuable with the low totals and 1.5 - 2.5 spreads.

 

[lumpy19]

Some background on the NFL teaser info.

All books used to have +100 for 2 team 6 pt teasers. There's maybe 1 or 2 books that still give a player those odds now because the books realized they were losing money to bettors who were crossing the 3 and the 7 with those bets. Books did not adjust the 3 team 6 pt teasers, those stayed at +180 so they were still profitable with a higher variance. ~2-3 years ago pinnacle, greek, and 5 dimes all started shading their football lines so that 6 pt teasers couldn't be used to cross the 3 and 7. example, line is +2 (-110) on a game, that's the widely available line. These books would post the line at +1(+100) so when a player teased 6 pts it only moved the line to +7. Last year bookmaker, arguably the biggest book online, moved their 3 teamers from +180 to +160 and several other books followed suit. I'm not a genius but when the books are taking all these measures to avoid accepting bets like these i'm going to do my best to find books that still offer +180 and bet them for as much as i can stand.

4 team 6 pt teasers are currently +300 pretty much everywhere and that's still an +EV bet but i'm sure that line will also change in the future.

The NFL is arguably the hardest sport to beat. Betting teasers is a good way to get action on a lot of games and know that you're placing bets that will return + money in the long run.

 

[lumpy19]

fun night tonight9 teams to tease in NFLX, something like 82 betsMmia, KC, STL, hou, nyj, oak, dallas, gb, min

Curious why you like teasing in the preseason? Some of these games tend to be runaways, no?

teasing in the preseason is more profitable than the reg season.look at how low the totals are on these games, the 6 pt you get in the teaser are more valuable.

Refresh my memory please...what numbers are you trying to cross over here? Why not include Detroit and Baltimore in there as well?

Trying to cross 3 and 7. Detroit and baltimore game are already lined at 3, if a line is +3(-125) i'll include it but other than that they're already giving the 3 so teasing to 9 isn't as valuable.I personally also like to tease games line +4.5 to +5.5 to get to 10.5 or 11.5. I get the 7 and 10 when i tease those numbers and to 11.5 i get the 11(2td's compared to a fg) The higher the total on the game the less value the 6 pt tease is worth. Preseason games have low totals because the offenses are mixes of 1st string, 2nd string, 3rd string, etc guys that aren't used to playing with each other. Tends to lead to lower scoring games increasing the value of the 6 pts.

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm with you, lump. I've been a teaser player for a loooooong time, since back in the days when they were thought to be sucker bets. I'm just not entirely comfortable playing them in the preseason with so many no-names on the field. That's hard to cap.

Here is my card for tonight. Fade away.

Houston/New Orleans O 20.5 for the 1H. This bet pleases me.

Miami/JAX O 36

K.C./T.B. O 34

Oakland/CHI O 33.5

Jets ML (-105)

San Diego -2.5

It isn't a true "hedge" but I couldn't resist NYG ML +250 in case my Pitt -4 bet tanks.

GLTA

 

[Raider Nation]

Lotta TV games here in addition to the two on NFLN: http://www.channelsurfing.net/

 

[derek245583]

Lotta TV games here in addition to the two on NFLN: http://www.channelsurfing.net/

You gotta sign up for stuff?I wanna watch the Saints and Texans and bet the over, but dont wanna sign up for anything.

 

[Raider Nation]

Lotta TV games here in addition to the two on NFLN: http://www.channelsurfing.net/

You gotta sign up for stuff?I wanna watch the Saints and Texans and bet the over, but dont wanna sign up for anything.

Just click the links bud.

 

[derek245583]

Lotta TV games here in addition to the two on NFLN: http://www.channelsurfing.net/

You gotta sign up for stuff?I wanna watch the Saints and Texans and bet the over, but dont wanna sign up for anything.

Just click the links bud.

oI didnt even scroll down, I just clicked on the "Watch Games Now"

 

[Raider Nation]

Pretty clean Texans/Saints feed: http://atdhe.net/22396/watch-new-orleans-s...-houston-texans

Even full screen looks decent.

 

[Raider Nation]

Holy Jesus... Bomar is terrible.

 

[Clorox]

For those watching Steelers/Giants...that's why I am not a fan of betting preseason football. In the regular season they get at least 3 there.

 

[Raider Nation]

For those watching Steelers/Giants...that's why I am not a fan of betting preseason football. In the regular season they get at least 3 there.

Not to mention Pitt was -3.5 for the 1H. Ouch.

 

[derek245583]

Well, my stream went out.....but it looks like we scooped it RN!!!

 

[Raider Nation]

Houston/New Orleans O 20.5 for the 1H. This bet pleases me.

Done.... in one quarter.

 

[derek245583]

Houston/New Orleans O 20.5 for the 1H. This bet pleases me.

Done.... in one quarter.

Gives me a freeroll on Kyle or Kurt Busch winning the race tonight....+750 for Kyle and +1700 for Kurt....COME ON BOYS!!!

 

[lumpy19]

For those watching Steelers/Giants...that's why I am not a fan of betting preseason football. In the regular season they get at least 3 there.

so why does that make you not a fan?regular season is more predictable?

 

[Clorox]

For those watching Steelers/Giants...that's why I am not a fan of betting preseason football. In the regular season they get at least 3 there.

so why does that make you not a fan?regular season is more predictable?

Did you happen to see the sequence? They wouldn't have done it like that in the regular season. Every now and then coaches do things in preseason to experiment. Just can't stomach the uncertainty. But that's just me. I hope you are making a killing tonight.

 

[lumpy19]

For those watching Steelers/Giants...that's why I am not a fan of betting preseason football. In the regular season they get at least 3 there.

so why does that make you not a fan?regular season is more predictable?

Did you happen to see the sequence? They wouldn't have done it like that in the regular season. Every now and then coaches do things in preseason to experiment. Just can't stomach the uncertainty. But that's just me. I hope you are making a killing tonight.

what certainty is there in a regular season game?i'm not tyring to be a ####, just trying to change your mind. preseason is a great time to bet the nfl because the average gambler can get good information before the linesmakers. Reading the local media. the uncertainty of what the teams are going to do is what makes it better to bet.

 

[derek245583]

For those watching Steelers/Giants...that's why I am not a fan of betting preseason football. In the regular season they get at least 3 there.

so why does that make you not a fan?regular season is more predictable?

Did you happen to see the sequence? They wouldn't have done it like that in the regular season. Every now and then coaches do things in preseason to experiment. Just can't stomach the uncertainty. But that's just me. I hope you are making a killing tonight.

what certainty is there in a regular season game?i'm not tyring to be a ####, just trying to change your mind. preseason is a great time to bet the nfl because the average gambler can get good information before the linesmakers. Reading the local media. the uncertainty of what the teams are going to do is what makes it better to bet.

I think it comes back to what you are betting for....If you are betting to make money, then I see his point. If you are betting to entertain yourself (If I walk away with money, great) then I see your side of the argument.I just gamble to pass the time to be honest.

 

[Clorox]

what certainty is there in a regular season game?i'm not tyring to be a ####, just trying to change your mind. preseason is a great time to bet the nfl because the average gambler can get good information before the linesmakers. Reading the local media. the uncertainty of what the teams are going to do is what makes it better to bet.

You make good points. I have heard a lot of positives about NFL preseason, but I have never been good at picking preseason games. Of course, I am not really good at picking anything but that's another story. At any rate, let's say Steelers win this game 24-21. Wouldn't it chap your ### if you got the Steelers -4 and lost because of that sequence (a backup QB audibling into a handoff to fricken Mewelde Moore at the goalline with no timeouts)? I know it is a small sample size...

 

[Raider Nation]

Liking the O 40 in the Packers/Seahawks game (NFL Network ... 10:00)

Anybody got a lean on the side in that one?

 

[modogg]

I think taking the Seahwaks to win the NFC West at +350 may be worth a shot. A lot of talk lately about the Hawks getting V-Jax, and i think between Hasselback/Whitehurst, and a defense that is a little better than average, they have a shot at winning the West

Also have an MMA play tonight that i posted in the MMA wagering thread:

Tim Kennedy over Jacare - I explained it somewhat loosely over there. unfrotunately the line has moved a bit, i got it at +215 on Thursday i believe, and i know it has moved sincve then.

 

[lumpy19]

what certainty is there in a regular season game?i'm not tyring to be a ####, just trying to change your mind. preseason is a great time to bet the nfl because the average gambler can get good information before the linesmakers. Reading the local media. the uncertainty of what the teams are going to do is what makes it better to bet.

You make good points. I have heard a lot of positives about NFL preseason, but I have never been good at picking preseason games. Of course, I am not really good at picking anything but that's another story. At any rate, let's say Steelers win this game 24-21. Wouldn't it chap your ### if you got the Steelers -4 and lost because of that sequence (a backup QB audibling into a handoff to fricken Mewelde Moore at the goalline with no timeouts)? I know it is a small sample size...

it would definitely chap my ###, but dumb stuff happens in the regular season too.i'm just so excited that there's football to bet on i don't even care if i win or lose :X

 

[Raider Nation]

1st H parlay:

G.B. ML (+105)

Over 20