TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Falls into his system. Not sure if he will be around to post. Just giving my man a hand.
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Got it, thanks.
southeastjerome
Footballguy
I'd argue that Pittsburgh pass D is underrated. No. 2 overall in defensive passer rating. No. 1 is GB.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Clorox
Footballguy
Thanks...at the bar. Pissed that I missed that!!! It's a guaranteed winner since I didn't get it.
Last edited by a moderator:
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Clorox
Footballguy
Thanks for rubbing it in on what's been a crappy day so far. I will drink one for you!
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I'm kind of shocked the line is still moving higher. Pitt 3 even will be available tomorrow I think.
Clorox
Footballguy
Didn't you hear that GB won already? It was FREE MONEY.
modogg
Footballguy
Don't worry bud, there are a lot of us wishing our teams were even in the game. Honestly, you should be a little concerned about what your boy Big Ben will do if they win. Mike Vick is a dreg of society, but at least we don't have to worry about him going out and fighting dogs again. you guys on the other hand... I would like to find the odds on if Big Ben will get into shennanigans again during the off-season
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
There's an excellent chance that Fresno is the worst team I've ever seen.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
3-2 on BMJ tails today, thx.
modogg
Footballguy
Last edited by a moderator:
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
thanks bud, the jinx worked. i knew that was your plan the whole time.
nittanylion
Footballguy
That was one hell of a comeback.
Adding 2 props:
Brandon Jackson Over 1.5 Receptions
Brandon Jackson Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Good Luck!
Adding 2 props:
Brandon Jackson Over 1.5 Receptions
Brandon Jackson Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Good Luck!
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Sunday hockey:
Pens/Caps under 5.5 (-115)
Pens trend under and with no Crosby or Malkin, they are playing a playoff style defense and goaltending hockey. Caps are going to be a second half over play but they have trouble at times on their PP while Pittsburgh is the stingiest team in the NHL on the PK. I see this as a 3-2 game decided in OT.
Pens/Caps under 5.5 (-115)
Pens trend under and with no Crosby or Malkin, they are playing a playoff style defense and goaltending hockey. Caps are going to be a second half over play but they have trouble at times on their PP while Pittsburgh is the stingiest team in the NHL on the PK. I see this as a 3-2 game decided in OT.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Some interesting prop stuff I just heard on FSR. Forgive me if you know this already.
44 Super Bowl coin tosses -- heads 22 times, tails 22 times.
The NFC has won the coin toss 13 straight times; the odds against that are more than 8,000:1.
Christina Aguilera has six different National Anthems on YouTube. The longest one is 1:54, and that is the over/under.
The one big prop the "Vegas wise guys" are hammering is Heath Miller's receiving yardage to go over.
There has been no 1Q TD in seven of the last nine Super Bowls.
YES to overtime is +800. True value is about +1900.
I can't sleep.
44 Super Bowl coin tosses -- heads 22 times, tails 22 times.
The NFC has won the coin toss 13 straight times; the odds against that are more than 8,000:1.
Christina Aguilera has six different National Anthems on YouTube. The longest one is 1:54, and that is the over/under.
The one big prop the "Vegas wise guys" are hammering is Heath Miller's receiving yardage to go over.
There has been no 1Q TD in seven of the last nine Super Bowls.
YES to overtime is +800. True value is about +1900.
I can't sleep.
Clorox
Footballguy
Say it ain't so, mo! No need to find a book, I will bet you $100 that Ben doesn't do anything wrong during the offseason.
Clorox
Footballguy
I am almost tempted to play U 1:57 at + odds. I'm also tempted to play that she will wear a cowboy hat at +250
I know one wiseguy who is hitting the under on Heath. I'm hoping for a 39.5 to 45.5 middle.And while I am getting my dumb props out of the way, I played:Obama picks Steelers (-140)Aikman/Buck says "Big Ben" in 1st Half (-265)Rodgers puts on the belt (+160)Player celebrates TD with jump into crowd (-110)MVP Thanks God First (+175)MVP Thanks Teammates First (+200) 
Last edited by a moderator:
Man In The Box
Footballguy
My plays so far:
GB -2.5
GB ML -145
Wallace-13.5 vs. Driver
Ward under 3.5 rec.
Driver under 4.5 rec.
Wallace over 73.5
Jennings over 80.5
Randle-El under 1.5 rec.
Randle-El under 14.5
Quarless -9.5 vs. Randle-El
Jennings -39.5 vs. Miller
J. Jones -31.5 vs. Randle-El
Jennings -73.5 vs. Spaeth
Jennings -63.5 vs.Randle-El
Jennings -71.5 vs. Randle-El
Matthews MVP +2500
GB -2.5
GB ML -145
Wallace-13.5 vs. Driver
Ward under 3.5 rec.
Driver under 4.5 rec.
Wallace over 73.5
Jennings over 80.5
Randle-El under 1.5 rec.
Randle-El under 14.5
Quarless -9.5 vs. Randle-El
Jennings -39.5 vs. Miller
J. Jones -31.5 vs. Randle-El
Jennings -73.5 vs. Spaeth
Jennings -63.5 vs.Randle-El
Jennings -71.5 vs. Randle-El
Matthews MVP +2500
PatsFanCT
Footballguy
I love Rogers -3.5 and expect a Randell El pass, and maybe even Flynn to come in after Rogers gets his 3rd concussion of the year, but over 9 kick returns could be tough if it's a tight defensive game. Good luck.
PatsFanCT
Footballguy
I know from first hand (losing) experience that the Steelers won the coin toss three years ago against The Cardinals, so that is incorrect. I don't know about the rest.Some interesting prop stuff I just heard on FSR. Forgive me if you know this already.44 Super Bowl coin tosses -- heads 22 times, tails 22 times.The NFC has won the coin toss 13 straight times; the odds against that are more than 8,000:1.Christina Aguilera has six different National Anthems on YouTube. The longest one is 1:54, and that is the over/under.The one big prop the "Vegas wise guys" are hammering is Heath Miller's receiving yardage to go over. There has been no 1Q TD in seven of the last nine Super Bowls.YES to overtime is +800. True value is about +1900.I can't sleep.
ceo3west
Footballguy
Lots of inviting props today, here are a few I'm rolling with:
M. Crosby over 7.5 pts (even)
J. Jones over 3 rec (-120) -- should be a push worst case here
B. Jackson over 1.5 rec (-130) -- might be closest thing to a lock today, he'll be in there a lot picking up blitzes
ST/D TD (+135)
Shortest TD under 1.5 yds (-125)
GB 39 pts (100-1)
GB 36 pts (100-1)
GB 22 pts (75-1)
GB 15 pts (300-1)
PIT 22 pts (75-1)
PIT 18 pts (75-1)
PIT 15 pts (100-1)
PIT 11 pts (200-1)
M. Crosby over 7.5 pts (even)
J. Jones over 3 rec (-120) -- should be a push worst case here
B. Jackson over 1.5 rec (-130) -- might be closest thing to a lock today, he'll be in there a lot picking up blitzes
ST/D TD (+135)
Shortest TD under 1.5 yds (-125)
GB 39 pts (100-1)
GB 36 pts (100-1)
GB 22 pts (75-1)
GB 15 pts (300-1)
PIT 22 pts (75-1)
PIT 18 pts (75-1)
PIT 15 pts (100-1)
PIT 11 pts (200-1)
Sarnoff
Footballguy
Anthem: this one's gonna be close, but I'm tempted to hit the over on 1:54.
Lambeau Leap: Longshot. Only if it's the right odds, there are additional factors complicating an easy jump.
Halftime show: Lots of props, none really looking good right now. Don't think Fergie's doing more than one outfit, and what she will have on will probably show a lot of leg.
Lots of question marks this year, nothing as sure as it's been in the past. Casinos might clean up this year on the silly props.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
One of these years there's going to be a safety.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Is that on sportsbook? I can 't find it.Wow, that is free
Clorox
Footballguy
It's at 5Dimes...unfortunately, it got pounded up to -430 this morning. I should have hit it earlier in the week when it was under -200.Is that on sportsbook? I can 't find it.Wow, that is free... they both love to knob players.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Dunno.Watch Joe Buck try to get all faggy and cute:Is that on sportsbook? I can 't find it.Wow, that is free
"And Rather Large Ben throws a beautiful strike!"
Clorox
Footballguy
Raider Nation said:Dunno.Watch Joe Buck try to get all faggy and cute:Frostillicus said:Is that on sportsbook? I can 't find it.Raider Nation said:Wow, that is freeClorox said:
"And Rather Large Ben throws a beautiful strike!"
That's what I was thinking all week...what if they avoid saying it completely for the first time ever. So I held off on playing it for a while.
bostonfred
Footballguy
I don't bet on anything where one guy controls the outcome, he has no skin in the game, and nobody will investigate whether he takes money not to say it. If the books stand to lose a million bucks if he says big ben, then I don't care what the odds are, I'm not taking them.
modogg
Footballguy
just took a look and it is -650. had to take no at +420, hoping we get to hear RN's "Large Ben". would be great if one of these guys was a gambler and did it on purposeClorox said:It's at 5Dimes...unfortunately, it got pounded up to -430 this morning. I should have hit it earlier in the week when it was under -200.Frostillicus said:Is that on sportsbook? I can 't find it.Raider Nation said:Wow, that is freeClorox said:... they both love to knob players.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Just a little reality check....most of these props have $500 to $1k limits.....maybe in vegas MAYBE you could find a book that would let you throw 5k down MAYBE but i doubt it. I've seen this sentiment alot, it's not that easy to get big money down on anything other than the spread.
Time Kibitzer
Footballguy
I wouldn't touch this bet. Books set to make too much money by having Buck/Aikman not say it, and too easy for the books to pay them off.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
That is positively ridiculous. Go check how much Buck and Aikman make.
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
The thing is, the max bet on props like these is usually very low.
Time Kibitzer
Footballguy
I'm far from a experienced gambler, but these 2 bets look to have some good value:
Player to score first in the game will have Odd Number Jersey +250
Player to score last in the game will have Odd Number Jersey +250
Here's a list of players with odd number jerseys in this game: Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, James Jones, Andrew Quarless, Tom Crabtree, Ben Roethlisberger, Mike Wallace, Heath Miller, Matt Spaeth, Mewelde Moore, Isaac Redman
Granted, both kickers have an even number jersey, but I think that's a bit more likely to come into effect for the player to score last in the game, which is why I'm looking more seriously at the player to score first in the game bet.
Player to score first in the game will have Odd Number Jersey +250
Player to score last in the game will have Odd Number Jersey +250
Here's a list of players with odd number jerseys in this game: Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, James Jones, Andrew Quarless, Tom Crabtree, Ben Roethlisberger, Mike Wallace, Heath Miller, Matt Spaeth, Mewelde Moore, Isaac Redman
Granted, both kickers have an even number jersey, but I think that's a bit more likely to come into effect for the player to score last in the game, which is why I'm looking more seriously at the player to score first in the game bet.
Time Kibitzer
Footballguy
Is there a sportscaster database somewhere, otherwise a quick google search turned up no serious answers.That is positively ridiculous. Go check how much Buck and Aikman make.I wouldn't touch this bet. Books set to make too much money by having Buck/Aikman not say it, and too easy for the books to pay them off.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Thank you...bostonfred's post is anything but a good posting, it's very uninformedThat is positively ridiculous. Go check how much Buck and Aikman make.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
It was rhetorical. They make too much money and probably like their job too much to take a backroom meeting with a casino owner who will instruct them not to utter the words "BIG BEN" in the 1st half because they may lose several $500 wagers.Is there a sportscaster database somewhere, otherwise a quick google search turned up no serious answers.That is positively ridiculous. Go check how much Buck and Aikman make.
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
Lumpy/MP - What do you guys make of the odds the game is tied at some other time after 0-0?
